Presentation - UNICEF - Children and AIDS

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2014 STATISTICAL UPDATE

“Children should be the first to benefit from our successes in defeating HIV, and the last to suffer from our failures.”

Anthony Lake

Executive Director, UNICEF

CHILDREN

,

ADOLESCENTS

AND

AIDS

Digital Release, 28 November 2014

Key points [1]

• An AIDS-free generation is within reach, and it starts with children.

• Globally, more than 1.1 million new HIV infections among children were averted between 2005 and 2013 but efforts need be stepped up dramatically to reach 2015 goals.

1

• Treatment is not equitable: children and adolescents lag behind adults on access to antiretroviral therapy (ART).

2

1.UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

2.UNAIDS, WHO, UNICEF, Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting; and UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

Key points [2]

• Adolescents are being left behind.

• AIDS is #1 killer of adolescents in Africa, and #2 globally.

3

• Adolescents are the only age group in which AIDS-related deaths have not decreased.

4

• Prevention efforts need to be intensified and targeted to reach those most at risk; adolescent girls in sub-Saharan

Africa and adolescent key affected populations.

• Stigma and discrimination, along with policy and legal barriers such as age-of-consent or punitive laws, prevent services from reaching adolescents.

3. WHO, Health for the world’s adolescents: a second chance in the second decade, World Health Organization, Geneva, 2014.

4. UNICEF analysis of UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

Key points [3]

• Improving strategic information is essential to facilitating better results, especially where data is made available nearly in real time, and is effectively utilized in planning and programming.

• We have the knowledge and tools to achieve an AIDS-free generation.

• Achieving an AIDS-free generation will mean addressing inequities and reaching the most vulnerable children, adolescents, and their families.

UPDATE ON THE FIRST DECADE OF A CHILD’S LIFE

“Eliminating new HIV infections among children is an ambitious but achievable goal. With the support of the Every Woman Every Child movement, an AIDSfree generation can be ours. There is no better investment than the health of women and children.”

Ban Ki-moon

Secretary-General of the United Nations

1

st

decade: summary of key figures

1.1m

240,000

1.1 million new HIV infections were prevented among children (0–14 years) in low- and middle-income countries between 2005 and 2013 based on UNAIDS models.

5

240,000 new HIV infections occurred among children (0–14 years) in low- and middle-income countries in 2013.

5

67%

23% vs 37%

67% of pregnant women living with HIV in low- and middle-income countries received the most efficacious antiretroviral medicines to prevent mother-tochild transmission in 2013, compared to 47%** in 2010.

6

23% of children (0–14 years) living with HIV in low- and middle-income countries received life-saving ART in 2013 vs 37% of adults.

6

5. UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

6. UNAIDS, WHO, UNICEF, Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting; and UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

** Note: Data from 2005 through 2009 include single-dose nevirapine, a regimen no longer recommended by WHO; thererfore values from 2005-2009 are not directly comparable to those from 2010-2013.

1.5 million pregnant women living with HIV

2 000 000

1.5 million pregnant women living with HIV (2013)

1 500 000

1 000 000

500 000

0

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013

Estimated number of pregnant women living with HIV, globally, 1990–2013

Note: The shaded area indicates the uncertainty ranges around the estimates.

Source: UNAIDS 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

More progress in PMTCT since 2009 than the previous decade

Estimated number of new HIV infections in children (aged 0–14): global trend, percent decline, and projection, 2001–2015

Source: UNICEF analysis of UNAIDS 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

Global vertical HIV infection rates

Estimated percentage of HIV-exposed infants who were vertically infected with HIV, 2013

Note: The boundaries and the names shown and the designations used on this map does not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the

United Nations

Source: UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

Almost 90% of new HIV infections in children in sub-Saharan Africa

Middle East and North

Latin America and

Industrialzed

Africa countries

Caribbean

1,800

East Asia and Pacific 2,300

<500

1%

1% <1%

8,200 CEE/CIS

3%

South Asia

14,000

6%

<1,000

<1%

West and Central Africa

92,000

38%

Eastern and Southern

Africa

120,000

51%

Total: 240,000 (100%)

Estimated number and percentage of new HIV infections among children aged 0–14 globally, by UNICEF region, 2013

Source: UNAIDS 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

Good progress for many countries

…even more needed by 2015

Global plan priority countries and respective 2015 targets

Number of new HIV infections among children

(0-14 years)

Percentage decline in new HIV infections among children (0-14 years)

2009 (baseline) 2013 (latest) 2015 (target) Achieved (2009–2013) Required (2013–2015)

Malawi 23,000 7,400 2,300 67% 69%

Ethiopia 20,000 8,300 2,000 57% 77%

Zimbabwe

Botswana

Namibia

21,000

<1,000

2,400

9,000

<500

1,100

2,100

<100

<500

57%

57%

57%

77%

77%

77%

Mozambique

South Africa

Ghana

27,000

33,000

4,800

12,000

16,000

2,400

2,700

3,300

<500

57%

52%

50%

77%

79%

80%

Burundi

United Republic of Tanzania

Uganda

Swaziland

Côte d'Ivoire

Kenya

Zambia

Cameroon

2,600

31,000

30,000

1,900

8,200

21,000

19,000

14,000

1,300

16,000

16,000

1,100

4,900

13,000

12,000

9,500

7,400

<500

3,100

3,000

<200

<1,000

2,100

1,900

1,400

49%

49%

47%

46%

40%

38%

37%

32%

80%

81%

81%

81%

83%

84%

84%

85%

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Chad

Lesotho

India

Nigeria

Angola

10,000

4,900

4,400

17,000

63,000

4,400

3,700

3,400

13,000

51,000

4,000

1,000

<500

<500

1,700

6,300

<500

27%

25%

23%

22%

19%

10%

86%

87%

87%

87%

88%

89%

Country progress in reducing new HIV infections among children aged 0–14 in 22 Global Plan priority countries, 2009–2013

Source: UNICEF analysis of UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

78%

67% of pregnant women living with

HIV received PMTCT in 2013

>95%

93%

2005* 2009* 2010

39%

2011 2012 2013

16%

42%

17%

67%

68%

Eastern and

Southern

Africa

West and

Central Africa

Middle East and North

Africa

East Asia and

Pacific

South Asia Latin America and Caribbean

CEE/CIS All low- and middle-income countries

21 African

Global Plan countries

Estimated percentage of pregnant women living with HIV receiving the most effective antiretroviral medicines for PMTCT, in UNICEF regions, all low- and middle-income countries and the 21 African Global Plan priority countries, 2005–2013

Source: UNAIDS, UNICEF and WHO, 2005-2013 Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting, and UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

*Note: Data from 2005 through 2009 include single-dose nevirapine, a regimen no longer recommended by WHO; thererfore values from

2005-2009 are not directly comparable to those from 2010-2013.

New infections among children rapidly declining as PMTCT coverage increases

600 000

500 000

400 000

300 000

200 000

100 000

0

14%

22%

31%

40%

48%

47%

1

Maternal ARVs for PMTCT

0,9

New HIV infections in children (0-4)

0,8

0,7

67%

62%

0,6

56%

0,5

0,4

0,3

0,2

0,1

0

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005* 2006* 2007* 2008* 2009* 2010 2011 2012 2013

Estimated number of new HIV infections among children (aged 0–14) and coverage of antiretroviral medicines for PMTCT in all low- and middle-income countries 2001–2013

Source: UNAIDS, UNICEF and WHO, 2005-2013 Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting, and UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

*Note: Data from 2005 through 2009 include single-dose nevirapine, a regimen no longer recommended by WHO; thererfore values from 2005-

2009 are not comparable to those from 2010-2013

Transition to treatment for pregnant women living with HIV - too slow

100%

90%

80%

Maternal ARVs for PMTCT

Maternal ART

70%

67%

60%

62%

50%

56%

48%

47%

40%

40%

30%

31%

33%

20%

22%

25%

10%

18%

14%

13%

0%

2005* 2006*

1%

2007*

3%

2008*

9%

2009* 2010 2011 2012 2013

Estimated percentage of pregnant women living with HIV receiving antiretroviral medicines (ARVs) for PMTCT or receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART), in all low- and middle-income countries, 2005–2013

Source: (ARVS) – UNAIDS, UNICEF and WHO, 2005-2013 Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting; and (ART) – UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

*Note: Data from 2005 through 2009 include single-dose nevirapine, a regimen no longer recommended by WHO; thererfore values from 2005-

2009 are not directly comparable to those from 2010-2013.

Increased ART access for children living with HIV is critical for their survival

350 000

300 000

250 000

200 000

150 000

100 000

50 000

0

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

6%

2007

8%

2008

10%

2009

13%

2010

17%

Paediatric ART coverage

Child AIDS deaths

19%

23%

1

0,9

0,8

0,7

0,6

0,5

0,4

0,3

0,2

0,1

0

2011 2012 2013

Estimated number of AIDS-related deaths and ART coverage among children (aged 0–14) in all low- and middle-income countries, 2001–2013

Source: UNAIDS, UNICEF and WHO, 2005-2013 Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting, and UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

Note: The coverage estimate is based on the estimated unrounded number of all children living with HIV receiving ART. UNAIDS recommends using the denominator of all adults and children living with HIV and not just those eligible for ART based on 2013 WHO eligibility HIV treatment criteria.

Treatment is not currently equitable: children lag behind adults

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

37%

23%

All adults (aged 15+) Children (aged 0–14)

Percentage of adults (aged 15+) and children (aged 0–14) living with HIV receiving antiretroviral therapy, global, 2013

Note: The coverage estimate is based on the estimated unrounded number of all adults and children living with HIV receiving ART. UNAIDS recommends using the denominator of all adults and children living with HIV and not just those eligible for ART based on 2013 WHO eligibility HIV treatment criteria.

Source: UNAIDS, UNICEF and WHO, 2005-2013 Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting, and UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

Children not benefitting from

ART as much as adults

100%

80%

84%

Adults (aged 15+)

Children (aged 0–14)

60%

40%

20%

0%

69% 55% 52% 51% 51%

50% 49% 48%

33%

45%

27%

24%

9%

46%

12%

44%

42% 41% 40%

42%

38% 36% 36%

33%

29% 27%

31%

30%

22% 22%

16%

11%

15% 14%

8%

25% 24%

21% 20%

6%

5%

12%

8%

Percentage of adults (aged 15+) and children (aged 0–14) living with HIV receiving ART, 22 Global Plan priority countries, 2013

Source: UNAIDS, UNICEF and WHO, 2013 Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting and UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

Note: The coverage estimate is based on the estimated unrounded number of all children living with HIV receiving ART. UNAIDS recommends using the denominator of all adults and children living with HIV and not just those eligible for ART based on 2013 WHO eligibility HIV treatment criteria.

Less than 1 in 4 children living with HIV receiving

ART in 2013

2007 2009 2011 2012 2013

>95%

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

51%

40%

30%

27%

38%

30%

23%

22%

20%

10%

10%

15%

0%

Eastern and

Southern

Africa

West and

Central Africa

Middle East and North

Africa

East Asia and

Pacific

South Asia Latin America and Caribbean

CEE/CIS All low- and middle-income countries

21 African

Global Plan countries

Estimated percentage of children living with HIV receiving antiretroviral therapy, in UNICEF regions, all low- and middle-income countries and the 21

African Global Plan priority countries, 2007–2013

Source: UNAIDS, UNICEF and WHO, 2007–2013 Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting, and UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

Note: The coverage estimate is based on the estimated unrounded number of all children living with HIV receiving ART. UNAIDS recommends using the denominator of all adults and children living with HIV and not just those eligible for ART based on 2013 WHO eligibility HIV treatment criteria.

Only 37% of infants tested in time

…progress is too slow

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

2010

49%

2011 2012

10%

2013

19%

25%

4%

43%

80%

37%

39%

Eastern and

Southern

Africa

West and

Central Africa

Middle East and North

Africa

East Asia and

Pacific

South Asia Latin America and Caribbean

CEE/CIS All low- and middle-income countries

21 African

Global Plan countries

Estimated percentage of infants born to women living with HIV receiving a virological test by two months of age, in UNICEF regions, all low- and middle-income countries and the 21 African Global Plan priority countries, 2010–2013

Source: UNAIDS, UNICEF and WHO, 2005–2013 Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting, and UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

100%

Cotrimoxazole coverage for children remains low at 37%

99%

90%

80%

2010 2011 2012 2013

47%

13%

19%

18%

17%

48%

37%

Eastern and

Southern

Africa

West and

Central Africa

Middle East and North

Africa

East Asia and

Pacific

South Asia Latin America and Caribbean

CEE/CIS All low- and middle-income countries

21 African

Global Plan countries

38%

Estimated percentage of infants born to women living with HIV receiving cotrimoxazole, in UNICEF regions, all low- and middle-income countries and the 21 African Global Plan priority countries, 2010–2013

Source: UNAIDS, UNICEF and WHO, 2005–2013 Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting, and UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

UPDATE ON THE SECOND DECADE OF A CHILD’S LIFE

“We cannot run away from adolescents. HIV is the leading cause of adolescent mortality in Africa – especially among young women. This is a moral injustice. I am calling on young people to lead the new ‘All In’ initiative, alongside UNICEF and UNAIDS, to end the adolescent AIDS epidemic.”

Michel Sidibé

Executive Director, UNAIDS

2

nd

decade: summary of key figures

#1 and

#2

#1 killer of adolescents in Africa and #2 worldwide, is AIDS.

7

2.1m

2.1 million adolescents (10–19 years) were living with HIV in 2013 more than 80% of whom live in sub-Saharan Africa, and many of whom still do not know their HIV status.

8

64%

64% of the 250,000 new HIV infections among older adolescents

(15–19 years) were among girls in 2013.

8

1.2bn

1.2 billion adolescents; the largest generation in history.

9

7. WHO, Health for the world’s adolescents: a second chance in the second decade, World Health Organization, Geneva, 2014.

8. UNICEF analysis of UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

9. United Nations Population Division, 2014.

Adolescents living with HIV is a global issue

Estimated number of adolescents

(aged 10-19) living with HIV, 2013

Estimated adolescents living with HIV globally in 2013

Note: The boundaries and the names shown and the designations used on this map does not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the

United Nations

Source: UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

55%

50%

45%

40%

35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%

55%

50%

45%

40%

35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%

1–4

Marked differences in HIV between females and males emerge during adolescence

Female Male

55%

50%

45%

40%

35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%

Female Male

5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49

Botswana (2013)

<5 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

South Africa (2012)

Female Male

55%

50%

45%

40%

35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%

Female Male

<5 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34

Uganda (2011)

35–39 40–44 45–49 <5 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

Kenya (2012)

HIV prevalence by age group in Botswana (2013), Kenya (2012), South Africa (2012) and Uganda (2011)

Source: Botswana AIDS Impact Survey, 2013; Kenya AIDS Indicator Survey (AIS), 2012; South African National HIV Prevalence,

Incidence, Behaviour and Communication Survey, 2012; and Uganda AIDS Indicator Survey (AIS), 2011.

Almost two-thirds of adolescents living with HIV are in Eastern & Southern Africa

Latin America and

Caribbean

4%

East Asia and

Pacific

Industrialized

Countries

2%

4%

CEE/CIS

1%

South Asia

6%

Middle East and

North Africa

1%

West and Central

Africa

19%

Eastern and

Southern Africa

64%

Estimated percentage of adolescents aged 10–19 living with HIV globally, by UNICEF region, 2013

Source: UNAIDS 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

Nearly half of all adolescents living with HIV are in just six countries

South Africa

15%

Rest of the World

21%

Nigeria

8%

Côte d'Ivoire 2%

Cameroon 2%

Indonesia 2%

Zambia

4%

Total: 2.1 million

Malawi

4%

Mozambique

5%

Zimbabwe

5%

Uganda

5%

India

6%

United Republic of Tanzania

7%

Ethiopia

7%

Kenya

7%

Estimated percentage of adolescents aged 10–19 living with HIV in 14 selected high burden countries, 2013.

Source: UNAIDS 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

AIDS-related deaths are declining rapidly for all age groups . . . except adolescents

250 000

Children aged 0–4

Adolescents aged 10-19

Children aged 5–9

Young people aged 20–24

200 000

150 000

100 000

50 000

0

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Estimated number of AIDS-related deaths among children aged 0–9, adolescents aged 10–19 and young people aged 20–24,

2001–2013

Source: UNICEF analysis of UNAIDS 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

2013

Infections among infants decreasing more rapidly than adolescents and young people

700 000

600 000

500 000

400 000

300 000

Children aged 0–14

Young people aged 20–24

Adolescents aged 15–19

200 000

100 000

0

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Estimated number of new HIV infections among children (aged 0–14), adolescents (aged 15–19) and young people (aged 20–24),

2001–2013

Source: UNAIDS, 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

2013

Access to testing is a challenge

…most adolescents don’t know their HIV status

Percentage of adolescent and young males and females (aged 15-19 and 20-24) who have been tested for HIV in the last 12 months and received the results of the most recent test, select sub-Saharan African countries, 2010-2014

Source: UNICEF global HIV and AIDS databases based on MICS, DHS, AIS and other nationally representative household surveys,

2010-2014.

17.7 million children orphaned by AIDS

20 000 000

18 000 000

16 000 000

14 000 000

12 000 000

Eastern and Southern Africa

West and Central Africa

East Asia and the Pacific

Latin America and the Caribbean

South Asia

CEE/CIS

10 000 000

8 000 000

6 000 000

4 000 000

2 000 000

0

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Estimated number of children (aged 0-17) who have lost one or both parents to an AIDS-related cause, by UNICEF region,

1990–2013

Source: UNICEF analysis of UNAIDS 2013 HIV and AIDS estimates, July 2014.

2013

Acknowledgements

UNICEF

Amaya Gillespie

Chiho Suzuki

Eduard Eduardo

Lisa Walmsely

UNAIDS

Mary Mahy

Juliana Daher

WHO

Awandha Mamahit

Chika Hayashi

Michel Beusenberg

Natalie Bailey

Priscilla Idele

Tyler Porth

Vivian Lopez

Web:

Email:

Twitter: www.childrenandaids.org childrenandaids@unicef.org

@unicef_aids

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