By Cindy Beam & Michael Young So What’s Cooking In The Olive Oil Category? Introduction • Who is in control – retailer or brand? – We say retailer with a few exceptions Share of Display (% Total sum = share of total facings & % Total N = share of SKU's) HPS IGA WLM 6th Garland Aldi's 6th School TFM Prom St Face Face St. Face Face Face Manufacturer Gem Bertolli Lucini Carapelli Colavita Cookwell Crisco N 2% % of Total N 2% 2% 3 2 % of Total Sum 16% 15% 7% 5% % of Total Sum 2% % of Total N 13% 13% 6% 4% % of Total N 3% 4 1 % of Total Sum 5% 5% % of Total N 6% 4% N N Newman'sOwn 2 1 % of Total Sum 3% 1% % of Total N 3% 2% N % of Total Sum 2% % of Total N 5% N N 1 % of Total Sum 1% % of Total N 2% N % of Total Sum % of Total N % of Total N 6 9% 10% 9 9 32 47 10% 41% 52% 78% 15% 39% 62% 82% 2 2 9% 10% 7% % of Total Sum 14% 10% 9% 4% % of Total N 11% 2 4 7% 8% 9% 8% % of Total N 1 Pompeian Private Label Star N N 7 5 2 6 7 18% 20% 100% 18% 16% % of Total N 11% 22% 100% 12% 12% N 1% % of Total Sum % of Total N 2% % of Total N 5 4 % of Total Sum 9% 6% % of Total N 8% 8% Total 7 % of Total Sum % of Total Sum N 2 6 N N Olivari N Other N Only In 1 or 2 stores % of Total Sum 3 % of Total Sum Filippo 1 1% 3 % of Total N De Cecco 1 % of Total Sum 8 % of Total Sum Davinci N N 1 2% 4% 62 23 2 52 57 % of Total Sum 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% % of Total N 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Importance of Depth Store # SKUs WLM 6th HPS Garland Aldi 6th 62 23 IGA School TFM Prom 2 52 57 • Depth is very important – Audited 15 stores – Total 181 SKUs – Depth has increased significantly – Depth seems to be tied more to target market than competing stores Typical Walmart SKU’s $0.35/ .oz $0.30/ .oz $0.28/ .oz Typical Fresh Market SKU’s $0.76/ .oz $2.05/ .oz $1.76+/ .oz TOTAL OLIVE OIL (SHORTENING, OIL) OZ. Total Dollars BehaviorScape Framework LifeStyle BehaviorStage Start-Up Families HHs with Young Children Only < 6 Small Scale Families Small HHs with Older Children 6+ Younger Bustling Families Large HHs with Children (6+), HOH <40 Older Bustling Families Large HHs with Children (6+), HOH 40+ Young Transitionals Any size HHs, No Children, < 35 Independent Singles 1 person HHs, No Children, 35-64 Senior Singles 1 person HHs, No Children, 65+ Established Couples 2+ person HHs, No Children, 35-54 Empty Nest Couples 2+ person HHs, No Children, 55-64 Senior Couples 2+ person HHs, No Children, 65+ Total Cosmopolitan Centers Affluent Suburban Spreads Comfortable Country Struggling Urban Cores Modest Working Towns Plain Rural Living Total 144 127 112 131 99 75 112 120 120 101 111 74 65 95 109 114 86 88 74 81 90 144 144 113 118 102 93 120 100 86 80 64 70 80 79 73 71 69 70 59 41 63 98 87 66 87 68 58 73 129 133 105 113 100 82 109 160 148 129 101 112 97 125 148 161 137 115 120 109 131 119 125 104 96 86 78 100 Source: Spectra BehaviorScape: Total Dollars/Spectra 2013 Jan (Spectra)/Homescan Product Library Very High: 150+ High: 120-150 Category Role • Flagship Option 2* – Maintain sales/increase profits Sales Volume (000) Olive Oil HH Penetration Gross Margin** Total U.S. $722,133.6 37.8 45% West South Central $58,942.9 32.6 45% ACN Olive Oils WSC 07 * Robert Blattberg, PhD. (Consumer-Centric Category Management, pg.88) **Estimate based on the sample stores Strength of Leading Brand • Bertolli dominates – Multiple SKUs at 10 of our 15 stores – ACN: Bertolli Item $s are 17% of US category – Average Gross Margin about 45% Market Stocking Rate • Sum of store count / (#SKUs X #stores) Brand Store count #SKUs X # Stores Rate Bertolli 56 135 .41 Crisco 31 90 .34 Pompeian 39 120 .33 Gross Margin Estimates by Brand Report Manufacturer Bertolli N Mean Carapelli N Mean Colavita N Mean Cookwell N Mean Crisco N Mean Davinci N Mean De Cecco N Mean Filippo N Mean Gem N Mean Lucini N Mean Newman'sO N wn Mean Olivari N Mean Other N Mean Pompeian N Mean Private N Label Mean Star N Mean Total N Mean IGA WLM 6th St HPS Aldi's 6th SchoolGM GM% GarlandGM% St.GM% % 8 3 3 45% 42% 47% 4 1 51% 60% 2 30% 3 42% 6 2 2 29% 38% 43% 2 4 34% 45% 1 43% 5 4 23% 54% 1 1 45% 71% 2 60% 1 28% 6 41% 9 9 32 34% 41% 44% 7 44% 7 5 2 6 56% 58% 49% 55% 1 32% 62 23 2 52 41% 44% 49% 47% TFM Prom GM% 2 43% 44.25% Gross Margins 55.5%, carried in two stores 1 62% 36.67% 47 46% 7 46% 57 46% 52.8% GM (93.3% store presence) Is This Consistent with Your Role for the Category? • Provides value for the customer by meeting their routine, or stock-up, needs. – Various consumer uses • Pricing among competitors. • Promotion Characteristics – Healthier substitute for cooking oils • Space Allocation • Assortment Characteristics Relationship Between Gross Margins & Depth Mean Gross Margin ($) Walmart (6th St.) Number of Facings and GM$ WLM 6th St GM$ $4.00 $3.50 $3.00 $2.50 WLM 6th St Face 1 N 6 Mean $2.09 2 31 $3.04 3 14 $3.57 4 4 $1.51 5 1 $1.50 6 1 $2.68 7 3 $2.91 $2.00 8 1 $2.54 $1.50 9 1 $1.82 Total 62 $2.91 $1.00 $.50 $.00 1 2 3 4 5 6 Number of Facings 7 8 9 Relationship Between Gross Margins & Depth The Fresh Market Number of Facings and GM$ TFM Prom GM$ Mean Gross Margin ($) TFM Prom Face 1 $9.00 $8.00 $7.00 $6.00 $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $.00 37 Mean $8.14 2 17 $5.82 3 3 $5.84 57 $7.32 Total 1 2 Number of Facings 3 N Relationship Between Gross Margins & Depth IGA (School Ave.) Number of Facings and GM$ IGA SchoolGM$ Mean Gross Margins ($) $5.00 $4.50 IGA School Face 1 $4.00 $3.50 $3.00 N 6 Mean $4.00 2 21 $3.82 3 15 $3.80 4 5 $3.02 5 1 $2.41 $2.50 6 3 $4.52 $2.00 7 1 $3.69 $1.50 Total 52 $3.77 $1.00 $.50 $.00 1 2 3 4 5 Number of Facings 6 7 Private Label Opportunities • How strong are private labels? Products TOTAL Colavita (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. ** Parent Folder Olive Oil % Penetration 0.7% Index 119 Quadrant 1.High Index / High Penetration Botticelli (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. * Olive Oil 1.2% 118 1.High Index / High Penetration Capatriti (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. ** Olive Oil 0.7% 118 1.High Index / High Penetration Bertolli (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. Olive Oil 6.0% 114 1.High Index / High Penetration Filippo Berio (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. Olive Oil 6.8% 114 1.High Index / High Penetration Star (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. Olive Oil 1.9% 111 1.High Index / High Penetration Carapelli (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. Olive Oil 1.6% 110 1.High Index / High Penetration Private Label (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. Olive Oil 18.8% 110 1.High Index / High Penetration Pompeian (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. Olive Oil 5.1% 109 1.High Index / High Penetration Crisco (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. Olive Oil 3.2% 107 1.High Index / High Penetration Mazola (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. * Olive Oil 0.8% 100 1.High Index / High Penetration Carbonell (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. ** California Olive Ranch (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. ** Vigo (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. ** Olive Oil 0.5% 121 2.High Index / Low Penetration Olive Oil 0.3% 113 2.High Index / Low Penetration Olive Oil 0.4% 111 2.High Index / Low Penetration Delallo (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. *** Olive Oil 0.3% 110 2.High Index / Low Penetration Goya (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. ** Olive Oil 0.7% 109 2.High Index / Low Penetration Da Vinci (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. *** Olive Oil 0.2% 106 2.High Index / Low Penetration Racconto (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. *** Olive Oil 0.3% 101 2.High Index / Low Penetration Napoleon (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. *** Olive Oil 0.2% 100 2.High Index / Low Penetration Olivari (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. ** Olive Oil 0.4% 97 4.Low Index / Low Penetration Gem (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. ** Olive Oil 0.5% 91 4.Low Index / Low Penetration Pampa (Shortening, Oil : Olive Oil) Oz. *** Olive Oil 0.3% 89 4.Low Index / Low Penetration ACN Homescan Product Library Private Label Opportunities • Stores Carrying P/L’s and their Gross Margins – P/Ls make up over 30% of total dollar share of the US category ($216,278,900) Manufacturer Bertolli WLM 6th St GM% N Mean Private Label N Mean Total N Mean HPS GarlandGM% 8 3 45% Aldi's 6th St.GM% IGA SchoolGM% 42% TFM Prom GM% 3 2 47% 43% 7 5 2 6 7 56% 58% 49% 55% 46% 62 23 2 52 57 41% 44% 49% 47% 46% Olive Oil Gross Margin % Trends 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2011 2012 2013 Recommendations on Private Label Use • Increase in-store cross merchandising • Introduce low cost strategies to enhance P/L image • Increase facings of higher GM% P/L products…with limits • Introduction of premium P/L products QUESTIONS??