Urban PM2.5 levels under the EU Clean Air Policy Package Gregor Kiesewetter, Markus Amann Presentation slides complementing TSAP Report #12 The use of these slides is encouraged with proper reference to Kiesewetter and Amann (2014): Urban PM2.5 levels under the EU Clean Air Policy Package, TSAP Report #12, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Methodology • For the PM2.5 measurements at urban stations reported in the EEA AIRBASE database for 2009, the contributions from sources at different spatial scales and economic sectors have been estimated with the GAINS/EMEP/CHIMERE models. • Sufficient data were available for 21 Member States. • The same models have been used to estimate contributions in 2030 under the assumption of the emission reductions proposed in the 2013 Clean Air Policy Package. • Both cases are compared against the WHO guideline value of 10 μg/m3. Origin of PM2.5 at street canyon stations and how it is modelled in GAINS Build-up of PM2.5 contributions from different geographical origin How GAINS apportions observed PM2.5 to the different sources of origin Contributions: PM2.5 Street City National Transboundary Natural The methodology is described in more detail in TSAP Report#12 and Kiesewetter et al., 2014 (Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, ) Spatial origins of PM2.5 at background monitoring stations covered by GAINS (relative fractions of total modelled PM2.5 at each station in 2009) Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of25PM2.5 in Austria Average of 19 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 20 18 μg/m3 PM2.5 16 2030 Commission proposal -5 20 18 16 Households 14 12 Primary PM: Traffic 10 Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 8 Sec. PM: Industry + agri 6 Primary PM: Industry 4 Origin 12 10 8 6 2 WHO guideline value 0 14 4 Natural 2 μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 0 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of25PM2.5 in Belgium Average of 4 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 20 18 μg/m3 PM2.5 16 2030 Commission proposal -5 20 18 16 Households 14 12 Primary PM: Traffic 10 Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 8 Sec. PM: Industry + agri 6 Primary PM: Industry 4 Origin 12 10 8 6 2 WHO guideline value 0 14 4 Natural 2 μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 0 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of25PM2.5 in Bulgaria Average of 14 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 35 μg/m3 PM2.5 30 2030 Commission proposal -5 35 30 Households 25 Primary PM: Traffic 20 Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 15 Sec. PM: Industry + agri 10 Primary PM: Industry 5 Natural 0 WHO guideline value Origin μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 25 20 15 10 5 0 Origin et al., 2014) Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter Origin of PM2.5 25 in the Czech Republic Average of 33 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 25 μg/m3 PM2.5 20 2030 Commission proposal -5 25 20 Households Primary PM: Traffic 15 Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 10 Sec. PM: Industry + agri μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 15 10 Primary PM: Industry 5 5 Natural WHO guideline value 0 Origin 0 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of25PM2.5 in Estonia Average of 3 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 10 9 μg/m3 PM2.5 8 2030 Commission proposal -5 10 9 8 Households 7 6 Primary PM: Traffic 5 Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 4 Sec. PM: Industry + agri 3 Primary PM: Industry 2 Origin 6 5 4 3 1 WHO guideline value 0 7 2 Natural 1 μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 0 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of25PM2.5 in Finland Average of 2 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 10 9 μg/m3 PM2.5 8 2030 Commission proposal -5 10 9 8 Households 7 6 Primary PM: Traffic 5 Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 4 Sec. PM: Industry + agri 3 Primary PM: Industry 2 Origin 6 5 4 3 1 WHO guideline value 0 7 2 Natural 1 μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 0 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of25 PM2.5 in France Average of 29 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 25 μg/m3 PM2.5 20 2030 Commission proposal -5 25 20 Households Primary PM: Traffic 15 Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 10 Sec. PM: Industry + agri μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 15 10 Primary PM: Industry 5 5 Natural WHO guideline value 0 Origin 0 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of 25PM2.5 in Germany Average of 79 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 20 18 μg/m3 PM2.5 16 2030 Commission proposal -5 20 18 16 Households 14 12 Primary PM: Traffic 10 Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 8 Sec. PM: Industry + agri 6 Primary PM: Industry 4 Origin 12 10 8 6 2 WHO guideline value 0 14 4 Natural 2 μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 0 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of25PM2.5 in Greece Average of 3 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 35 μg/m3 PM2.5 30 2030 Commission proposal -5 35 30 Households 25 Primary PM: Traffic 20 Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 15 Sec. PM: Industry + agri 10 Primary PM: Industry μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 25 20 15 10 5 Natural 5 0 WHO guideline value 0 Origin Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of 25PM2.5 in Hungary Average of 6 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 25 μg/m3 PM2.5 20 2030 Commission proposal -5 25 20 Households Primary PM: Traffic 15 Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 10 Sec. PM: Industry + agri μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 15 10 Primary PM: Industry 5 5 Natural WHO guideline value 0 Origin 0 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of25PM2.5 in Ireland Average of 2 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 12 μg/m3 PM2.5 10 2030 Commission proposal -5 12 10 Households 8 Primary PM: Traffic Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 6 Sec. PM: Industry + agri 4 μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 8 6 4 Primary PM: Industry 2 2 Natural WHO guideline value 0 Origin 0 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of 25 PM2.5 in Italy Average of 70 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 25 μg/m3 PM2.5 20 2030 Commission proposal -5 25 20 Households Primary PM: Traffic 15 Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 10 Sec. PM: Industry + agri μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 15 10 Primary PM: Industry 5 5 Natural WHO guideline value 0 Origin 0 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of 25PM2.5 in Lithuania Average of 5 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Origin 16 14 Households Primary PM: Traffic Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 12 10 8 Sec. PM: Industry + agri 6 Primary PM: Industry 4 Natural 2 WHO guideline value 0 Insufficient data from street stations available μg/m3 PM2.5 14 2030 Commission proposal -5 μg/m3 PM2.5 Insufficient data from street stations available 16 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of PM2.5 in the Netherlands 25 Average of 5 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 18 16 μg/m3 PM2.5 14 2030 Commission proposal -5 18 16 14 Households 12 Primary PM: Traffic 10 Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 8 Sec. PM: Industry + agri 6 Primary PM: Industry 4 μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 12 10 8 6 4 2 Natural 2 0 WHO guideline value 0 Origin Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of25 PM2.5 in Poland Average of 142 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 30 μg/m3 PM2.5 25 2030 Commission proposal -5 30 25 Households 20 Primary PM: Traffic Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 15 Sec. PM: Industry + agri 10 μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 20 15 10 Primary PM: Industry 5 5 Natural WHO guideline value 0 Origin 0 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of 25PM2.5 in Portugal Average of 15 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 16 μg/m3 PM2.5 14 2030 Commission proposal -5 16 14 12 Households 10 Primary PM: Traffic μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 12 10 8 Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 6 Sec. PM: Industry + agri 6 4 Primary PM: Industry 4 2 Natural 2 WHO guideline value 0 0 Origin 8 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of 25PM2.5 in Romania Average of 2 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 15 10 5 0 Origin 25 20 Households Primary PM: Traffic Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. Sec. PM: Industry + agri 15 10 Primary PM: Industry 5 Natural WHO guideline value Insufficient data from street stations available μg/m3 PM2.5 20 2030 Commission proposal -5 μg/m3 PM2.5 Insufficient data from street stations available 25 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 0 Origin et al., 2014) Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter Origin of25PM2.5 in Slovakia Average of 17 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 25 25 Households Primary PM: Traffic 15 Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 10 Sec. PM: Industry + agri Primary PM: Industry 5 μg/m3 PM2.5 20 20 μg/m3 PM2.5 2030 Commission proposal -5 15 10 5 Natural WHO guideline value 0 Origin 0 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of 25 PM2.5 in Spain Average of 30 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 16 μg/m3 PM2.5 14 2030 Commission proposal -5 16 14 12 Households 10 Primary PM: Traffic μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 12 10 8 Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 6 Sec. PM: Industry + agri 6 4 Primary PM: Industry 4 2 Natural 2 0 WHO guideline value 0 Origin 8 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of25PM2.5 in Sweden Average of 5 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 12 μg/m3 PM2.5 10 2030 Commission proposal -5 12 10 Households 8 Primary PM: Traffic Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 6 Sec. PM: Industry + agri 4 μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 8 6 4 Primary PM: Industry 2 2 Natural WHO guideline value 0 Origin 0 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014) Origin of25 PM2.5 in the UK Average of 24 urban AIRBASE stations modelled in GAINS 15 5 16 μg/m3 PM2.5 14 2030 Commission proposal -5 16 14 12 Households 10 Primary PM: Traffic μg/m3 PM2.5 μg/m3 PM2.5 2009 12 10 8 Sec. PM: Traffic + agri. 6 Sec. PM: Industry + agri 6 4 Primary PM: Industry 4 2 Natural 2 0 WHO guideline value 0 Origin 8 Origin Source: IIASA GAINS (Kiesewetter et al., 2014)