Photo: Riccardo Venturi

Tuberculosis 2013: basics, burden, impact, challenges, innovations

Dr Mario Raviglione

Director, Global TB Programme,

World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland

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PROGRAMME

Geneva Journalism & Health

Mentoring Initiative

Geneva, 20 May 2013

Overview

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 Basics

 Burden of TB, TB/HIV, MDR-TB

 Impact of interventions, and progress in TB care and control

 Vision beyond 2015

 Innovations necessary towards elimination

Tuberculosis: basics

• Tuberculosis (TB) is one of the oldest diseases of humans

• TB is a major cause of death worldwide , it competes with

HIV/AIDS as the greatest killer globally due to a single infectious agent

• TB is also one of the top killers of women worldwide, half a million women died from TB in 2011

• TB is caused by the bacterium Mycobacterium tuberculosis

• TB usually affects the lungs , although other organs are involved in 15-30% of cases

• If properly treated, TB caused by drug-susceptible strains is curable in virtually all cases

• If untreated , TB may be fatal within 5 years in 2/3 of cases

• One third of world has latent TB infection

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Robert Koch discovered the cause of TB

24 March 1882

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Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex:

M. tuberculosis, M. bovis, M. microti, M. africanum,

M. pinnipedii, M. caprae ( and M. canettii)

How is TB transmitted? ..Via aerosolised particles from infectious patients

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Who carries the burden of tuberculosis?

…mostly, the most vulnerable

Poor, crowded & poorly ventilated settings

Half a million women and over 65,000 children die of

TB each year; 10 million

“TB” orphans

Migrants, prisoners, minorities, refugees face risks, discrimination

& barriers to care

TB linked to HIV infection, malnutrition, alcohol, drug and tobacco use, diabetes

The Global Burden of TB -2011

Estimated number of cases

All forms of TB

HIV-associated TB

8.7 million

(8.3–9.0 million)

1.1 million (13%)

(1.0–1.2 million)

Multidrug-resistant TB Up to 0.5 million

Source: WHO Global Tuberculosis Report 2012

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Estimated number of deaths

1.4 million*

(1.3–1.6 million)

430,000

(400,000–460,000)

Unknown, but probably > 150,000

* Including deaths attributed to HIV/TB

Incidence rates, 2011

Highest rates in Africa, linked to high rates of HIV infection

~80% of HIV+ TB cases in Africa

0

–24

25 –49

50

–149

150 –299

≥300

Per 100 000 population

TB/HIV co-infection: 80% of burden in Africa

 TB leading cause of death in PLHIV

 ¼ of PLHIV worldwide die due to TB.

 PLHIV infected with TB 20-40 times more likely to develop active TB.

 Untreated, TB in PLHIV leads to death in weeks

 80% of all TB/HIV cases are in Africa

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Drug resistant TB: Major challenge

o Multi-drug resistant TB (MDR-TB)

• Second-line drugs, toxic, costly, lengthy o Extensively drug resistant TB (XDR-TB)

• Almost incurable, fatal o Drug resistant TB results from inadequate TB care and irrational use of drugs o New York epidemic in early 90’s – Cost of response: US$ 1 billion

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Estimated number of MDR-TB Cases, 2011

>60% of all cases are in 6 countries

Russian Federation

44,000

(14% of global MDR burden)

China

61,000

(20% of global MDR burden)

South Africa

8,100

Based on old survey data

Pakistan

10,000

(3% of global MDR burden)

India

66,000

(21% of global MDR burden)

Philippines

11,000

(4% of global

MDR burden)

The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the World Health Organization concerning

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 WHO 2012. All rights reserved

Spotlight on XDR-TB

Case of Atlanta lawyer with presumed XDR-TB caused international concern

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To date, 84 countries have reported at least one XDR-TB case

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About 9% of MDR-TB cases are XDR

The case of Mumbai and the

“TDR-TB outbreak”

Udwadia ZF, Amale RA, Ajbani KK, Rodrigues C. Totally drug-resistant tuberculosis in India. Clin Infect Dis. 2012 Feb 15;54(4):579–81.

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The global response:

Targets, Global Plan, and Stop TB Strategy

Goal 6: to have halted by 2015 and begun to reverse the incidence…

2015: 50% reduction in TB prevalence and deaths compared to 1990

2050: elimination (<1 case per million population)

1.

Pursue high-quality DOTS expansion

2.

Address TB-HIV, MDR-TB, and needs of the poor and vulnerable

3.

Contribute to health system strengthening

4.

Engage all care providers

5.

Empower people with TB and communities

6.

Enable and promote research

THE WHO STOP TB STRATEGY

Pursue DOTS

Address TB/HIV and MDR-TB

Strengthen systems

Engage all care providers

Empower communities

Promote research

Global Progress

Incidence

Mortality

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 51 million patients cured , 1995-2011

 20 million lives saved since 1995

 2015 MDG and other international targets on track

 BUT, TB incidence declining far too slowly, 1/3 of cases not in the system,

MDR-TB un-tackled etc.

Innovating with GeneXpert

WHO endorsement December 2010

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Nearly 83 countries using it in March 2013

WHO GLOBAL

TB PROGRAMME

VISION:

A World FREE of TB

MISSION: The WHO Global TB Programme aims to advance universal access to

TB prevention, care and control, guide the global response to threats, and promote innovation.

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What we do: our core functions

 Provide global leadership on TB;

 Develop policies, strategies and standards for TB prevention, care and control;

 Coordinate technical support to Member States, catalyze change, and build sustainable capacity;

 Monitor the global TB situation, and measure progress in TB care, control, and financing;

 Shape the TB research agenda and stimulate the generation, translation and dissemination of valuable knowledge;

 Facilitate and engage in partnerships for TB action.

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The TB Elimination Strategy

VISION

A WORLD FREE OF TB

TOWARDS

ZERO

TB DEATHS

ZERO

TB CASES

ZERO

TB SUFFERING

Proposed Pillars and Principles of the

Post-2015 TB Strategy

Universal highquality TB care and prevention

Bold policies and supportive systems

Intensified research and innovation

Targets for 2025/2030

Target 1 Target 2 Target 3

75%/80% reduction in deaths due to TB

(compared with

2015)

40%/60% reduction in TB incidence rate

(compared with

2015)

No catastrophic expenditures for families affected by TB

CHALLENGES TO “ ELIMINATION "?

1.

Funding not secure; catastrophic expenditure for the poor

2.

Only 2/3 of estimated cases reported or detected (late)

3.

TB/HIV major impact in Africa

4.

MDR-TB, with high burden in former USSR and China

5.

Un-engaged non-state practitioners and communities, and the private sector

6.

Weak health policies, systems and services

7.

Social and economic determinants maintain TB

8.

Research awakening: old diagnostics, drugs and vaccines

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ROADBLOCK 1: Lack of commitment

"…

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…"

ROADBLOCK 2: Funding

Funding gap vs Global Plan ~ US$2–3 billion per year

Funding gaps reported by countries US$0.7 billion in 2013

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ROADBLOCK 3: Today, most used tools for TB control are old and not conducive to elimination

DIAGNOSTIC VACCINE TREATMENT

Sputum smear microscopy

Discovered 1882

BCG

Developed 1920s

1st-line TB drugs

Discovered 1943-1970

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ROADBLOCK 3: Bedaquiline – First drug in forty years

• Only data from Phase IIb trials available , further efficacy and safety data will be needed from rigorously conducted Phase

III trials

• On December 28, 2012, the U.S. Food and

Drug Administration approved bedaquiline

• Caution on use

• WHO advises that a single drug deemed to be effective should never be added alone to a regimen to which a patient is not responding to

• WHO has initiated a review process aimed at developing rapid interim guidance on the potential use of bedaquiline for the treatment of MDR-TB.

• Interim guidance from WHO in coming month

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ROADBLOCK 3: Research key for elimination

1. For elimination one would need potent short treatments, mass TLTBI and potent pre- and post-exposure vaccines. None is available today

2. Basic research is fundamental to gain further knowledge and R&D pipelines must be expanded , nurtured and well-financed.

3. TB Vaccine development: we need a global coalition of all engaged agencies so that efforts are harmonised and coordinated. This is not a job for one agency only!

4. Increased financial resources for research: keep working together to provide the right messages to investors

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What is in the pipelines for new diagnostics, drugs and vaccines in 2013?

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Diagnostics:

7 new diagnostics or diagnostic methods endorsed by WHO since 2007;

6 in development;

yet no PoC test envisaged

Drugs:

1 new drug approved in late 2012, but probably little impact on epidemiology;

1 expected to be approved in 2013;

a regimen and other 2-3 drugs likely to be introduced in the next 4-7 years

Vaccines:

11 vaccines in advanced phases of

development;

1 just reported with no detectable efficacy

Roadblock 4: Unregulated private sector

• Private sector is first point of care in many settings

• Diverse network of formal and informal providers ranging from hospitals, corporate sector to the traditional healers and quacks

• Contribution to finding people with

TB between 10%-40% in countries

• Collaboration exists but still not enough in many settings. Efforts need to be made on both ends

• Untapped potential

• Private sector engagement crucial in closing the gap on case detection

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Roadblock 5: Taking on the Pharmaceutical Industry

• Lobbying, promotion, economic incentives and infiltration

• Quality differentiation based on level of regulation

• Counterfeit medicines

• Drug resistance

• BUT, we need them on our side!

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TB crosses borders

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?

Question for you

How would you increase the profile of TB?