Pre-Ischemic Conditioning for Intracranial AtheroSclerotic StrOke PICASSO TRIAL Marc Chimowitz (MUSC) David C Hess (GRU) Renee Martin (MUSC) David Liebeskind (UCLA) Imaging Need For Better Rxs For High-Risk Patients With ICAS • ICAS may be most common cause of stroke in the world- 4250% of strokes in China Pu et al Stroke. 2013;44(8):2109-14 • Despite aggressive medical management (AMM) in SAMMPRIS, 1-year rate of symptomatic cerebral infarction (new AHA / ASA stroke definition) in subjects whose qualifying event was a symptomatic infarct (74% of the SAMMPRIS cohort) was still very high (19.7%) • Alternative or Adjunctive Therapies Needed Scientific Premise For A Trial To Evaluate Remote Ischemic Conditioning (RIC) For ICAS • Cardiac trials and other organs (renal) – Long term benefit with single RIC • Chinese chronic conditioning trials in ICAS – Reduction of stroke – SPECT studies suggesting increase of CBF • Preclinical data – Neuroprotective in multiple models – Increases CBF in multiple models – Effective in Bilateral carotid artery stenosis model (BCAS) RIC • Most studies have treated with RIC once with 4 to 5 cycles of 5 minute inflation above 200 mmHg, then deflation for 5 minutes • Two studies with long term follow-up have shown long term effects on Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebrovascular Events (MACCE) CONDI long term Prehospital trial of RIC in STEMI before PCI Sloth et al European Heart Journal (2014) 35, 168–175 Upper Limb Ischemic Preconditioning For Preventing Stroke in ICAS Meng et al. Neurology 2012 • Randomized Trial (n=68): Brief Repetitive Cycles of Occluding Both Brachial Arteries With a BP Cuff BID x 300 Days vs. Usual Care • 300 Day Stroke Rate: 7.9% vs. 26.7% (p<0.01) • Second trial in patients over age 80 (180 days of RIC) with similar “positive” results (under peer review) Bilateral Carotid Artery Stenosis Model (adapted from Shibata M, Stroke. 2004;35:2598-2603) Chronic daily RIC in a mouse BCAS model Increases CBF, improves cognitive function reduces cell death and myelin loss (Hoda et al, Trans Stroke Res 2014) High plasma nitrite How Does Chronic RIC Work in ICAS? • Increase CBF in areas where it is decreased • Cytoprotection (protects neurons, glia) • Platelet activation, plaque stability • Improve recovery from stroke Pleiotropic with multiple mechanisms A key mediator is nitrite RIC increases nitrite (NO) in blood of mice and men Nitrite likely related to increased CBF Bilateral carotid artery stenosis model in mice with plasma nitrite measured at 30 days. Mice with Remote Ischemic Postconditioning (RIPostC) had significant elevations of nitrite (P<.001) Biomarkers • IMAGING- CBF-MRI ASL in collaboration with David Liebeskind, UCLA and Max Wintermark, Stanford • Plasma/serum biomarkers – – – – – Nitrite Platelet activation Inflammatory-CRP, TNFa Anti-inflammatory, IL-10 SDF-1 Arterial spin-labeled perfusion MRI (ASL) Noninvasive Obviates exogenous contrast agents Enables serial acquisition Provides absolute quantification of changes in cerebral blood flow (CBF) mapped to template hypoperfusion or serial worsening of perfusion hyperperfusion or serial increases in perfusion Multiparametric perfusion also informative about changes over time in a given patient Courtesy of David Liebeskind Arterial spin-labeled perfusion MRI (ASL) Courtesy of David Liebeskind Questions That Need Answers Before a Phase III Trial • • • • • ? Dose – bilateral vs. unilateral; bid vs. qd ? Duration ? Rx Adherence ? Potential Efficacy (? Correlation Between Biomarkers And Clinical Outcome) PICASSO Ischemic Conditioning Trial Design Phase 1 Bilateral bid + AMM N= 30 Unilateral qd +AMM N=30 AMM alone N=20 Rx Adherence, ASL MRI, Blood biomarkers, Clinical Endpt. at Baseline, 30d, 4m, 9m (no ASL MRI), 12m. Dose for Phase 2 based on Adherence, Blood biomarkers and ASL MRI at 4m Phase 2 Chosen Dose + AMM N=74 + 30 Phase 1 Rx Adherence, clinical endpoints 30d, 4m, 9m, 12m AMM alone Validation Gp. N=20 + 20 Phase 1 Clinical Endpt. 30d, 4m, 9m, 12m The Doctormate Device FDA IDE G140239 Automating RIC Safely, Accurately, Non-Invasively It is so simple, even I could use it….. Cuff Sized S, M, L Rechargeable Controller Device charger The 1818 18 Phase I Baseline MRI ASL Blood biomarkers 30 days Adherence MRI ASL Blood biomarkers 4 months Adherence MRI ASL Blood biomarkers Determine dose for Phase 2 Bilateral, bid Unilateral, qd Aggressive med management (AMM) Dose decision based on: Adherence MRI ASL (CBF) Blood biomarkers 9 months 12 months MRI ASL Blood biomarkers Phase 2 30 subjects from Phase 1 MRI ASL Biomarkers 20 subjects from Phase 1 MRI ASL Biomarkers 74 subjects 20 subjects 9 months Optimal dose from phase 1 AMM 12 months Symptomatic infarct Key Inclusion Criterion • Non-disabling symptomatic cerebral infarction within 30 days of enrollment attributed to 7099% stenosis of a major intracranial artery (carotid artery, MCA stem (M1), vertebral artery, or basilar artery) that is documented by any of the following: MRA, CTA, or catheter angiography EXTRA SLIDES GO/NO GO for PHASE III Clinical Trial Yes Does the 95% CI of the Observed 1Year Rate of Symptomatic Cerebral Infarction in the Control Group Include the Observed Rate for Similar High-Risk Patients in SAMMPRIS? No Do 1. the Intent-to-Treat Efficacy Analysis in Phase 2 Show A Significantly Lower 1-Year Rate of Symptomatic Cerebral Infarction Than 20% (The High-Risk Rate in SAMMPRIS?), and 2. the ASL MRI or Blood Biomarker Studies in Phase 1 Suggest a Favorable Response to RLIC? No Do 1. Pre-specified Secondary Efficacy Analyses Suggest a Subgroup With A Significantly Lower 1-Year Rate of Symptomatic Cerebral Infarction Than the Rate Observed in That Subgroup in SAMMPRIS and 2. the ASL MRI or Blood Biomarker Studies in Phase 1 Suggest a Favorable Response to RLIC in this Subgroup? Yes Is the Rate in the RLIC Group Sufficiently Lower Than the Control Group to Suggest Moving Forward With The Phase III Trial? No Yes Go for Phase III Trial Yes No No Go for Phase III Trial SAMPLE SIZE Phase 2: The primary efficacy hypothesis to be tested in Phase 2 is that subjects treated with RLIC plus AMM in this trial will have a significantly lower rate of symptomatic cerebral infarction at 1 year compared with the rate observed in high-risk patients treated with AMM alone in SAMMPRIS. In those subjects, the 1-yr rate of symptomatic cerebral infarction was 19.7%. For the primary endpoint, the hypothesis is that the percent of subjects with this outcome will be less than 20%. Let p be the true percent of subjects with the outcome by 1 year. The statistical hypothesis is: Ho: p > or = 20% versus H1: p < 20%. The sample size was calculated to provide at least 80% power for p = 13% in subjects treated with RLIC plus AMM. This corresponds to a 35% relative risk reduction. Using a one-sided exact binomial test with a Type I error of 15%, the required sample size is 100 subjects. The power with 100 subjects for several values of p is shown in the table. Relative Risk Power with p 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% Reduction 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% n=100 0.97 0.93 0.88 0.80 0.70 0.59