Slide 1 of 23 Say Yes to the Test! Jeffrey L. Lennox, MD Professor of Medicine Emory University School of Medicine Atlanta, GA From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. IAS–USA Slide 2 of 23 A Brief History of the Cervical Pap Smear • 1928 – Papanicolaou presents methods and case reports. Received press attention, but little interest from medical establishment. • 1941 – Papanicolaou publishes additional data. • 1955 – First large study completed. • Late 50’s–60’s – Refinements, training of cytologists. • 1984 – 82% reduction in cervical cancer mortality compared to 1940’s. From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 3 of 23 In the 30 years after the description of the Pap smear, but before its acceptance, cervical cancer was the #1 cause of cancer mortality in women From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 4 of 23 Why Did the Medical Establishment Reject Cervical Pap Smears? • New test, no proof of efficacy and benefit • Insufficient training and expertise of pathologists • Additional costs to screen • Wide variability in results between labs • Bias against women, particularly with regards to STIs From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 5 of 23 Anal Pap Smear Among HIV-Infected Men: 27 years since first description • 1986 – “Association Between Anorectal Dysplasia, HPV and HIV in Homosexual Men”* • Obtained rectal Paps from 61 men, 39 reexamined 6-12 months later • 31% HIV+ • Findings: −24/61(39%) had dysplasia −Dysplasia associations – history of anal warts, frequent receptive anal sex, HIV+ −Persistent dysplasia more common in HIV+ * Frazer IH, Lancet 1986, 328(8508):657–660 From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 6 of 23 Incidence of Anal Cancer in HIV-Infected Persons During HAART Era 34,189 HIV-infected patients from 13 North American cohorts 131-159 per 100,000 person-years, 31-59% higher than the peak for cervical cancer! Silverberg MJ, Clin Inf Dis 2012, 54(7):1023-34 From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 7 of 23 Are all HIV-infected men equally at risk? • Cross sectional study of 200 MSM and 123 MSW, all HIV-infected, who had anoscopy performed.1 • Dysplasia present: 21% MSM, 7% MSW Anal Dysplasia Characteristic OR (95%CI) p CD4 <200 1.7 (0.8-4.4) 0.235 History rectal condyloma 2.8 (1.4-5.8) 0.004 Receptive anal intercourse 4.3 (2.2-8.4) <0.001 • Military cohort- median anal cancer age 42 years.2 • Persons with HIV >15 years had 12x higher rate than those <5 years (p<0.01) 1. Abramowitz L, AIDS 2007, 21(11): 1457-65. 2. Crum-Cianflone and Marconi, AIDS, Feb 2010 From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 8 of 23 How Well does the Anal Pap do When Compared to Biopsy? Chiao EY,JAIDS 2006;43:223-233 From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 9 of 23 Cost Effectiveness of Anal Cytology Screening in MSM Population Frequency HIV+ MSM HIV- MSM Annually Q 3 years Cost per QALY Saved $16,000 $7,800 Goldie SJ. JAMA 1999, 281(19):1822-1829 From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 10 of 23 Cost Effectiveness of Other Common Interventions Intervention Q2 yr cervical Pap age 30-39 PCP prophylaxis Cost/yr life $2,300 $16,000 HTN screening men age 40 Treat diastolic BP 95-104, age 40 Statin for men age 40, TC >300 $23,000 $32,000 $23,000 Colonoscopy for CA screening Cervical Pap, HPV vaccinated woman $90,000 $110,000 Anal Pap Goldie SJ. JNCI 2004;96:604-615 From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 11 of 23 Cost Effectiveness of HRA Only vs. Pap for Screening - Methods • 401 HIV+ MSM had HRA, Pap, and HPV digene assay done at same visit. • 98/401 (24%) had AIN 2/3 based on biopsy during HRA. • For sensitivity and specificity the HRA biopsy was assumed to be gold standard. Test Sensitivity Specificity Cost/Test HRA - - $193 Pap 84 39 $90 Ocogenic HPV 100 16 $95 Lam JMC, AIDS 2011, 25: 635-42 From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Cost Effectiveness of HRA Only vs. Pap - Results Slide 12 of 23 Insert figure HPV+ : HRA Pap > ASCUS: HRA HRA Conclusion: Direct HRA is the most cost effective From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 13 of 23 Random Biopsy Increases HGSIL Diagnostic Rate of HRA • 372 patients had HRA with directed and random biopsies done at same visit • 124 patients with HSIL, 11 (9%) diagnosed by random biopsy Silvera R, CROI 2013, #142 From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 14 of 23 New York State Guidelines Clinicians should obtain anal cytology at baseline and annually in the following HIV-infected populations: * Men who have sex with men * Any patient with a history of anogenital condylomas * Women with abnormal cervical and/or vulvar histology From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 15 of 23 My Conclusions – 1. For those with HIV of >5 years duration, use direct HRA if available for MSM and other high risk people 2. Use Pap as second choice, followed by HRA 3. When performing HRA do 1-3 random biopsies From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 16 of 23 Anal Cancer Prevention st 1 ! Kimberly A. Workowski, MD Professor of Medicine Emory University School of Medicine Atlanta, GA From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. IAS–USA Slide 17 of 23 Natural History of HPV Infection • HPV persistence is a prerequisite for abnormal anogenital cytology • Most infections self limited – Limited data on persistence in specific anatomic sites (HIV+) – Anal dysplasia +/- treatment not well defined • Incidence and clearance rates can differ among HPV types – HPV16 lower anal clearance rate (dePokomany 2009) From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 18 of 23 HPV Vaccine Efficacy Outcome Sex Vaccine Randomized Vaccine Controlled Trials Efficacy Cervical precancer Bivalent and Quadrivalent F >92% Vaginal/Vulvar precancer Quadrivalent F 100% Anal precancer Quadrivalent M 75% Genital warts Quadrivalent F, M >89% No evidence of efficacy against existing HPV infection or disease Paavonen J et al. Lancet 2009;374:301-14, Kjaer S et al. Cancer Prev Res 2009;2:868-78, Hildesheim A et al. JAMA 2007;298:743-53, Future I/II Study Group, BMJ 2010;341, The Furture II Study Group Lancet 2007;369:1861-8, Palefsky J et al. NEJM 2011;365:1576-85 Gardasil Package Insert, page 504 Table 12 From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 19 of 23 HPV vaccine–preventable fractions of various anal disease categories among HIV+ MSM Sahasrabuddhe. J Infect Dis. 2013 Feb;207(3):392-401. From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 20 of 23 Time to recurrence of high-grade anal neoplasia among vaccinated and unvaccinated oncogenic human papillomavirus–infected men who have sex with men with a history of high-grade anal neoplasia New York City, April 2007– April 2011 (n = 105). Figure 2. Swedish KA, Factor SH, Goldstone SE. Prevention of recurrent high-grade anal neoplasia with quadrivalent human papillomavirus vaccination of men who have sex with men: a nonconcurrent cohort study. Clin Infect Dis. 2012 Apr; 54(7):891-8. From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 21 of 23 Predictors of progression from low-grade AIN (LGAIN) to high-grade AIN (HGAIN) Coutlée F.Sex Health. 2012 Dec;9(6):547-55. From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 22 of 23 Logistic Regression Analysis of Factors Associated with Prevalent Abnormal Anal Cytology among MSM in the SUN Study, 2004–2006 Conley L. J Infect Dis. 2010 Nov 15;202(10):1567-76. From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA. Slide 23 of 23 Screening for Anal Dysplasia and Cancer in MSM CDC, HIVMA OI guidelines: consider anal Pap tests in MSM – Evidence is limited • • • • Natural history Reliability of screening methods Safety and response to treatments Programmatic support needed – Patients with abnormal results should be evaluated with highresolution anoscopy (HRA) HPV DNA screening of rectum not recommended From JL Lennox, MD, and KA Workowski, MD, at Atlanta, GA: April 10, 2013, IAS-USA.