Terrestrial Carbon Sequestration Jay Angerer Texas AgriLife Research Blackland Research and Extension Center September 3, 2010 Outline Introduction Global Carbon Cycle Plant processes Terrestrial Sequestration Forests Cropland Rangeland Disturbed or denuded land Outline (cont.) Other Benefits Potential Pitfalls Monitoring and Measurement Decision Support Tools Where Does Terrestrial Sequestration Fit? From: http://www.netl.doe.gov/technologies/carbon_seq/overview/ways_to_store.html Terrestrial Carbon Sequestration Defined From Lal et al. (2004): “Carbon sequestration implies transferring atmospheric CO2 into long-lived pools and storing it securely so it is not immediately reemitted. Thus, soil C sequestration means increasing Soil Organic Carbon (SOC) and Soil Inorganic Carbon (SIC) stocks through judicious land use and recommended management practices (RMPs).” Global Carbon Cycle From: http://www.netl.doe.gov/technologies/carbon_seq/overview/what_is_CO2.html Plants as “Injectors” From: http://www.epa.gov/sequestration/local_scale.html Local Carbon Cycle Photosynthesis Photosynthetic Pathway Differences C3 Pathway – better able to acquire CO2 with increasing CO2 (fertilizer effect) C4 Pathway – CO2 is “pumped” into inner leaf cells to reduce water loss. From: http://www.geo.arizona.edu/palynology/ geos462/14rockvarnish.html Rice, barley, wheat, most trees Does not respond as much to increasing CO2 May be beneficial to C sequestration in hot, dry environments Corn, tropical grasses Pathways of Terrestrial Carbon From Lal et al. 2004. Science 304, 1623 Carbon Sequestration: Forests Reforestation – replanting areas where trees have been removed Afforestation – planting trees in cropland Increasing tree growth – increase biomass of tree species Increasing permanence of forest products – reduce “throw-away” tendencies Decreasing the loss of current forested areas Carbon Sequestration Rates and Saturation Periods: Forests From: http://www.epa.gov/sequestration/rates.html Forest Carbon Sequestration Programs Reforestation of degraded lands with fast growing tree species Urban tree planting Fire management of forests and surrounding areas Change other management practices (e.g. logging procedures) Cropland Carbon Sequestration Changes in crop management No-till Minimum-till Conversion to grassland Manure management Fertilizers Irrigation Increased use of legumes Carbon Sequestration Rates and Saturation Periods: Ag Lands From: http://www.epa.gov/sequestration/rates.html Soil Carbon Dynamics In Response To Tillage SOIL CARBON (% OF ORIGINIAL) IN RESPONSE TO CULTIVATION 100 Perennial Vegetation Conservation Tillage Plowing 50 0 1 years 50 Factors Affecting Sequestration Soil texture (sand, silt, clay percentages) Soil profile characteristics (depth, rocks) Climate (temperature, humidity, rainfall) Rates can range from: 0 to 150 kg C/ha per year in dry and warm regions 100 to 1000 kg C/ha per year in humid and cool climates From: Lal et al. 2004. Science 304, 1623 Potential Losses Soil Erosion Removal of residues and mulch can increase erosion Deposition in channels or in aquatic systems Deposition is 0.4 to 0.6 Gt C/year 0.8 to 1.2 Gt C/year is lost to exposure to atmosphere Must assess carbon used for crop management Plowing Fertilizer application Chemical Use These must be accounted for to get the proper offset From: Lal et al. 2004. Science 304, 1623 Biochar for Improving Ag Soils Fine grained, highly porous charcoal Used as a soil amendment which improves soil physical and chemical properties Can increase site productivity First used by Amazonian natives Rangeland Carbon Sequestration Rangelands are generally characterized as grasslands or shrublands that are not suitable for consistent crop production Occupy almost 50% of worldwide land area Carbon sequestration would require changes in grazing management Reduced stocking rate or livestock removal Grazing systems Rangeland Carbon Sequestration Improved resource management Reduce wildfires Reduce water and wind erosion Restore overgrazed and denuded areas Conversion of cropland to grazingland Introduce/promote nitrogen fixing legumes Carbon Sequestration Rates and Saturation Periods: Rangelands From: http://www.epa.gov/sequestration/rates.html Issues with Rangeland Carbon Sequestration Large land area, but relatively low carbon storage In US, most rangelands are privately owned or are public lands (e.g. BLM land) High degree of uncertainty in sequestration estimates for most regions Need large land areas to be attractive to potential buyer or as an offset May require development of government programs for assisting farmers/ranchers in joining carbon sequestration programs Assessing Carbon Sequestration Potential for Programs GIS Phase Precipitation Classification COMET VR Phase Carbon Sequestration Potential Classification Land Tenure Status Soil Organic Carbon Classification Wind Erosion/Calcium Carbonate Classification Major Land Resource Area Designation Land Cover Assessment within Carbon Sequestration Potential Classes Target Areas for Programs/ Interventions Defined Define USDA Program Available for Sequestration (e.g. CRP) Conduct COMET VR Simulations for Base and Program Scenarios Assess Potential for Carbon Sequestration under Regional Program Sequestration Potential for Southwest Region Uncertainty Analysis Uncertainty in prediction of carbon sequestration on agricultural lands can be high, especially on rangelands Lack of quantitative information on carbon sequestration for various practices and locales Models need to be calibrated to these conditions An uncertainty analysis was conducted using carbon modeling results for southwest region Assessing Uncertainty for Southwest Region The estimated amount of carbon sequestered and its associated uncertainty were mapped A weighted averaging procedure was used based on soil texture, soil map unit, major land resource area, and county. Spatially explicit maps of the carbon sequestered and uncertainty were produced Sequestration on Disturbed Lands Issues affecting carbon Exposure of soil Water Erosion Wind Erosion Carbon depleted to point where soil amendments may be required Sequestration on Disturbed Lands Degraded or denuded land offers opportunity to replace/sequester carbon Fast growing tree species Grasses or grass/legume mix Biochar? Potential Sequestration Rates From: Lal et al. 2004. Science 304, 1623 Other Benefits of Terrestrial Sequestration Improved Ecosystem Services Cleaner water Cleaner air Improved soil fertility Improved biodiversity Potential for monetary benefits Carbon trading/offsets Pitfalls Interactions with biofuel production Land areas may be used for biofuel production rather than C sequestration Implications for food security/livelihoods In the case of livestock producers, may reduce land available for grazing Increasing population may drive land use change to meet food security needs and negate carbon gains Pitfalls Leakage The IPCC Special Report (2000) defines leakage as "the unanticipated decrease or increase in greenhouse gas (GHG) benefits outside of the project's accounting boundary as a result of project activities." Example: For a forest under a C sequestration program, logging may be displaced to an area outside the Project area. The CO2 emissions that result from the displaced logging could partially or completely negate the benefits of avoiding CO2 emissions in the protected forest. Monitoring and Verification Monitoring Verification Are the contracted practices sequestering carbon Evaluation Are (or where) the contracted practices being applied? Is their leakage? Is there proper accounting? Reporting Is the project meeting contract goals? Monitoring and Verification Generally need to sample large area in multiple places to get a reasonable representation of carbon amounts Rangelands with non-uniform vegetation and terrain require more sampling Samples using conventional lab analyses are expensive to process Terrestrial sequestration verification would be too expensive to do with conventional methods. Measurements of Soil Carbon Develop improved technologies and systems for direct measurements of soil carbon Two Methods Laser induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS) Near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy (NIRS) Allow rapid scans of samples in the field Examine correlation of results with other technologies Principles for cost effective sampling LIBS System Portable NIRS System Simulation Models and Decision Support Tools Models can be used to assess carbon sequestration potential for a given area Provide the ability to examine different management alternatives for carbon gain Allow examination of other outputs such as erosion and water quality under the selected practice Simulation Models CENTURY Model Model and Documentation http://www.nrel.colostate.edu/projects/century5/ APEX and EPIC Model Online tool: http://www.cometvr.colostate.edu/ http://epicapex.brc.tamus.edu/ COLE (Carbon OnLine Estimator): Web-based Tool for Forest Carbon Analysis http://www.ncasi2.org/COLE/ Carbon Decision Support Tool Map Driven User Interface Carbon Practice Selection (State and Transition [S&T] interface) Climate Data Carbon Sampling Decision Support Engine (Comet-VR, Carbon Potential Assessment, Spatial Queries, etc. S&T Data Remote Sensing Data Soils Data Other Ag Data Web Soil Survey Map Output Report Output Homework Read two journal articles: Soil Carbon Sequestration Impacts on Global Climate Change and Food Security R. Lal (11 June 2004) Science 304 (5677), 1623. Soil carbon sequestration to mitigate climate change and advance food security. R. Lal, et al. Soil Sci 172 no12 D 2007 Questions?