International University of Applied Sciences Bad Honnef - Bonn An Analysis of General Aviation in Europe Dr. Michael Erb Managing Director AOPA-Germany An Analysis of General Aviation in Europe 1. – – – 2. – – – – – 3. 4. General Aviation (GA) in Europe Definition Statistics Who is AOPA? GA´s Economic and Social Benefits Economy – Business Travel Ecology Infrastructure Technology Transfer Security GA´s Perspectives Jobs in GA 1. General Aviation Definition - General Aviation is all civilian flying except for Scheduled Passenger and Cargo Airlines, or expressed in a positive way: - It´s Personal Air Traffic, just like driving a vehicle on the streets for most different nonscheduled purposes AOPA-Germany´s Objectives • Promoting and Defending GA´s interests Advocacy • News and Consultancy for Members Information • Keeping Safety Standards High Flight Training • AOPA-Germany has 24.000 members, the parent organisation IAOPA is with 450.000 members the biggest pilots´ association worldwide. www.aopa.de Private Travel Business Travel Taxi Commercial on Demand Transport Just Fun – Destination Unimportant Sports Competition Motorsports Driver´s and Pilot´s School Law Enforcement Firefighting Ambulance Agriculture Parcel Service Off Road / Off Runway Crane and Skycrane Oldtimer Leisure and Education for the Youth Statistics I GA, is it mainly “Hobby-Aviation?“ Car Traffic, Airlines, GA, Share of Revenues in % PKM in % Pax. in % 23,50 66,1 55 Purpose Private Private Travel, Sightseeing, Airsports Commercial Flight School Business Travel 56,25 33,9 45 3,90 32,30 Aerial Work 5,60 Ambulance 16,50 Government 16,80 Revenues p.y.: 980 mio. €, 5% of Total Civil Aviation with 20 bn. € Jobs: 7.200, 8% of Total Civil Aviation with 90.000 Figures for Germany, Estimate for Europe = factor 5 = 5 bn. € Revenues AOPA-Data Statistics II Aircraft and Airfields 46.900 GA-Aircraft vs. ~ 4.000 Airliners 3.000 GA Airfields vs. ~ 450 Airports for Airlines Small Aircraft and Safety Well maintained aircraft and well trained pilots produce a high safety standard: With 100 Take Offs per year a deadly accident can be expected in average after 625 years. 2. GA´s Economical and Social Benefits Focus on Business Aviation Trends in European Business Travel • More and more Markets have a European dimension • The ability to reach market partners and to be reached is an important factor for success • Railway and Road-Traffic are on longer distances too slow • Companies with European markets locate themselves in areas with International Airports and leave remote areas • New Media like teleconferences can substitute business travel to a certain extend, but not fully What can GA offer in Business Travel? GA saves time because: • It is fast! - between 200 and 800km/h on the direct line • It is quick to reach! - reduced check-in times at regional airports - a much tighter net of access points than airlines (350/40 in Germany, 3000/450 in Europe), consequently reduced feeder-times especially in remote areas • It doesn´t let you wait! - Because of GA´s flexibility as an individual means of transportation, travel times can be chosen on demand, without the need for time-buffers and waiting • Trave time is value time! - GA allows undisturbed work and meetings on board Cologne Paris London, with 2 h stays, can be done with the airlines in ca.14 h, other means of transportation can hardly compete Magdeburg Cologne – Magdeburg Brno, with 2 h stays, can´t be done with airlines only Rail Total Journey Time in hrs Disadvantage Car 60:22 Combination Airline + Car via Vienna and Leipzig 52:00 33:20 50:22 42:00 23:20 High End Low End Business Business Aviation Aviation 10:00 13:00 --- 3:00 C o s t C o m p a ris o n C o s ts p e r P a s s e n g e r a n d 1 0 0 k m d ire c t d is ta n c e (P K M ) in € C a lc u la te d M in im u m M a x im u m A v e ra g e G e n e ra l A v ia tio n 2 3 ,- 3 0 0 ,- A irlin e *) 3 3 ,- 1 1 0 ,- R a ilw a y *) 2 4 ,- 4 8 ,- C a r / U p p e r M id s ize 1 2 ,- 4 0 ,- *) B u sin e ss -C la ss A irlin e , F irst C la ss R a ilw a y 5 9 ,- 1 7 ,- Ways to use GA aircraft • Rental with/without crew – Like a Taxi or a rented car • Sharing of an aircraft with/without crew – Fractional Ownership (e.g. Netjets) • Full Ownership of an aircraft – With a paid crew or “Self-Flying Businessman“ How to identify the optimum means of transportation • Saved time and an enlarged market range alone do not justify an expensive means of transportation. • It depends on what the traveller does with the saved time and the increased mobility. • The “value added“ per time is the key factor. Not only high Executives produce a high added value, but also specialists in urgent cases. Assumptions for the quantification of the “Traveltime-Effect“: A typical enterprise uses GA aircraft together with cars, railways and airlines. Findings of a 2001 aircraft user study. Quantity: 75 journeys p.y. over 500 kmdistance with 3,7 passengers Saved Working Time: 1.943 hrs with car als alternative, (7 hrs per journey x 3,7 x 75) Value Added: Average of “Opportunity Costs“ 250 €/h/pax, 250 h x 1.943 €/h = € 485.000 total, GA´s cost-disadvantage: € 117.000 p.y. or 0,42 €/pkm Resulting “Traveltime“ Benefit: 368.000 € p.y. or 4.900 € per journey, which is factor 4,5 of the amount invested in GA. The “Break-Even“ of GA usage is obviously lower. Not regarded are the value of an geographically increased market and the ability to work on board. Assumptions for the quantification of the “Location Effect“: A central and a remote location for an industrial company with 700 employees differ only in the below factors: Labour Cost: According to the spread between Hessen and Sachsen-Anhalt, 23 vs. 17 €/h, with 700 employees and 1.600 hrs Monthly Rental: € 13 vs. € 8,50 per m² Taxes: Example of the “Gewerbesteuer“-leverage of 450% vs. 350% Costs for GA: 800 flight-hrs with €1.000/h in addition to other travel expenses Calculation-Scheme for the ”Location Effect“ Labour Rental Taxes Additional Costs for GA Cost p.y. Central Remote Area Area 25.767.344 18.655.557 1.672.032 1.092.267 Cost-advantage p.y. Remote Area 7.111.787 579.765 245.496 190.942 54.555 0 800.000 -800.000 Location Effect 6.946.107 All figures in EUR Evaluation of the “Location Effect“: The location Effect can have an even higher influence than the „Traveltime Effect“. It´s a real phenomenon: Companies like Viessmann in Allendorf and Würth in Schwäbisch-Hall take systematically advantage of this effect by operating their own airfield and fleet of businessaircraft, far away from any central area and airport. GA´s Infrastructure Egelsbach,1.400m RWY, 80.000 mvmts. p.y., satellite airfield of FRA Airfield operating costs p.y. vary between 250&500 k €, revenues via landing and user fees With the costs for 1 km of ICE tracks = 20 mio. EUR, 4 “sports aviation airstrips“ can be built to “business standard“ airfields with a weather independent instrument approach Engpässe: IFR-Verfahren, FoF , Runway-Länge Technology Transfer 1) 1977: Learjet Model 28/29, first production jet aircraft to utilize winglets. Winglets, introduced by GA, today reduce fuel consumption of airliners by 5-7%! In Germany GA burns 50 Mio. liters fuel p.y., the Airlines 12. bn. liters, 240 times more. So GA´s Winglets save five times more fuel in the Airlines than GA consumes in total! Technology Transfer 2) Boeing´s first aircraft powered by a fuel cell was a Diamond Aircraft “Super-Dimona“ MotorGlider in spring 2008 In Brasil hundreds of Embraer EMB 202 Aircraft fly Agricultural Missions with pure Bio-Ethanol Technology Transfer 3) GA aircraft manufacturers like Cirrus, Diamond and Lancair have a long and successful tradition of building all composite aircraft … … whereas Boeing´s all composite 787 has not even completed its maiden flight. GA Ecology Are GA Aircraft just noisy fuel-burners? - Airfields remain below all Noise Limitations for German Airports (Flughäfen), Streets and Railroads - With modern Diesel engines a DA40 TDI consumes only 2,5l / 100 Pkm, less than a modern Boeing 747-400 with 3,7l - A “classic“ Socata TB20 consumes 4,2l /100 PKM GA Security, is there a threat? W = ½ mc², so 1.200 Cessna 172s are needed to create the kinetic energy of a single Boeing 767 like at 9/11 An International Comparison 250 • GA revenues in the USA: 100 bn. USD p.a. = 250 EUR per Citizen, Trend: Rising 200 150 USA D 100 50 0 • and in Germany: 980 mio. EUR p.a. = 12 EUR per Citizen, only 4,8% of USA, Trend: Falling, except Business Sector Revenue/Citizen Why? Area: • Europe = 7% bigger Citizens: • Europe = 70% more GDP: • Per Citizen almost identical GA density in Aircraft / 1 Mio. Citizens International Distribution of GA Population Density in Citizens / Square Kilometer 3. GA´s perspectives What will come? • GA will not be a means of mass transportation, but it can occupy an important and growing niche in transportation • Very Light Jets will significantly expand the market, reach new target groups • New Fuels and Engines will improve ecology • New Avionics and ATM-Technolgies will improve safety and efficiency What does GA need? • Acceptance of GA as an ordinary means of transportation • Reduction of Bureaucratic Overhead: GA in USA has less but strict regulation, better economy, and even better safety records. A challenge for EASA! • Adequate Network of weather independent GA Airfields • Simplification of IFR-Courses in Europe, in the USA 53% of pilots hold an IFR-Rating, in Europe only 4% • Implementation of Satellite Navigation Procedures for Approaches and En-Route 4. Jobs in Germany´s GA • • • • • • Maintenance and Production Flight Schools Airfields Air Taxi Police + Border Patrol Corporate Aviation Total: 3.070 900 1.050 1.250 600 ~1.000 ~7.200 G e rm a n C o rp o ra te G A U s e rs U n te rn e h m e n L F Z -T yp BASF B e e c h K in g A ir 3 0 0 H e in ric h -B au e r-V e rla g F a lc o n 9 0 0 Bauhaus F a lc o n 20 0 0 , L e a r J e t 3 5 A B e rte ls m a n n F a lc o n 50 , B e ec h K in g A ir 3 0 0 BMW H a w k e r 8 0 0 , G u lfstre a m V B u rd a L e a rje t 6 0, B e e c h K in g A ir C 9 0 D a im le r-C h rys le r A irb u s A 3 2 0 / A 3 19 B J D e u tsc h e T e le k o m C h a lle n g e r 60 4 D u s c h o lu x C ita tio n J e t, C e ss na 3 4 0 H e rtie F a lc o n 10 Lego F a lc o n 90 0 L ie b h e rr C ita tio n J e t D r. O etk e r B e e c h K in g A ir 3 0 0 SAP L e a rje t 3 1 S c h o e ller B e e c h jet 4 0 0 Q u e lle L e a rje t 5 5 V ie ss m a n n C ita tio n V , C ita tio nJ e t V o lks w a g e n F a lc o n 90 0 W ü rth C ita tio n V Thank you very much for your audience!