Tools for Landscape Biodiversity Planning Frank W. Davis National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis UC Santa Barbara 2 mi 1 mi 2 mi 1 mi Biodiversity in fragmented habitats Landscape Goals Assessments abiotic biotic cultural Strategies & Scenarios Adaptive implementation & monitoring Community Visioning • • • • Spatial understanding Setting goals Exposing tradeoffs Weighting multiple criteria • Examining alternative futures http://placeways.com/ Examples of community visioning tools Tool Purpose URL 1000minds Discover people’s preferences www.1000minds.com What If? Evaluate alternative futures www.whatifinc.biz CommunityViz Evaluate alternative futures placeways/.com UPlan Model future development http://ice.ucdavis.edu/proje ct/uplan Landscape Assessment • • • • Resource quality Threats Costs Opportunities & Constraints Tools for assessing the conservation landscape Tool Purpose URL NatureServe Vista Conservation planning http://www.natureserve.org/prodServices/vi sta/overview.jsp EMDS Environmental assessment http://www.institute.redlands.edu/emds/ Maxent Species distribution models http://www.cs.princeton.edu/~schapire/max ent/ Zonation Multispecies habitat quality http://www.helsinki.fi/bioscience/consplan/s oftware/Zonation/index.html Circuitscape Habitat connectivity http://www.circuitscape.org Method An Example: Landscape analysis for mountain lions in the SF Bay region (Bren class project) Puma CWHR, Deer CWHR, Ecocondition Raster calculation Habitat Suitability map Puma and Deer Zonation software Core Areas for Puma population Circuitscape software Connectivity Analysis Ramas Metapop software + Literature review Population Viability Analysis How does connectivity affect the populations of Puma concolor in the Southern half of the Bay Area? Circuitscape: Connectivity Analysis Landscape process modeling • • • • • Tools for modeling landscape processes Agent-based models (e.g., HEXSIM) Population models (e.g., RAMAS) Ecosystem models (e.g. STELLA) Landscape models (e.g., LANDIS) http://www.naturecanada.ca/media/ images/ord%27s-kangaroo-rat3.jpg Modeling ecosystem services • • • • • watershed processes carbon resource production pollination services cultural values Tools for modeling and mapping ecosystem services Tool Purpose URL InVEST Ecosystem service mapping, tradeoff analysis www.naturalcapitalproject.org N-SPECT Non-point source pollution and erosion modeling http://www.csc.noaa.gov/digitalco ast/tools/nspect SPARROW Non-point source pollution modeling http://water.usgs.gov/nawqa/sparr ow/ SolVES Assess and map public values for ecosystems http://solves.cr.usgs.gov/ Conservation strategies and scenarios • • • • hotspot analysis conservation portfolio design investment prioritization tradeoff analysis Site scores for protecting underrepresented wildlife habitat types, accounting for land cost and projected housing development in the Sierra Nevada region. (Davis et al. Ecology and Society 2006) Tools for evaluating and mapping conservation priorities Tool Purpose URL NatureServe Vista Conservation planning http://www.natureserve.org/prodS ervices/vista/overview.jsp Zonation Multi-species habitat quality and connectivity http://www.helsinki.fi/bioscience/c onsplan/software/Zonation/index. html Marxan Reserve network design http://www.uq.edu.au/marxan/ http://www.bayarealands.org/ for a good example of regional conservation planning using Marxan Barriers to Tool Adoption ☹ “Conservation is opportunistic, not rational.” ☹ “The data don’t exist.” ☹ “I don’t trust computers.” ☹ “There are a zillion possible solutions.” ☹ “I’m bored.” http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/2009/0904/ Some Resources