Chapter 5 Poverty, Inequality, and Development Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. The Growth Controversy: Seven Critical Questions • What is the extent of relative inequality, and how is this related to the extent of poverty? • Who are the poor? • Who benefits from economic growth? • Does rapid growth necessarily cause greater income inequality? • Do the poor benefit from growth? Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-2 The Growth Controversy: Seven Critical Questions • Are high levels of inequality always bad? • What policies can reduce poverty? Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-3 Measuring Inequality and Poverty • Measuring Inequality – Size distributions (quintiles, deciles) – Lorenz curves – Gini coefficients – Functional distributions Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-4 Table 5.1 Typical Size Distribution of Personal Income in a Developing Country by Income Shares—Quintiles and Deciles Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-5 Figure 5.1 The Lorenz Curve Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-6 Figure 5.2 The Greater the Curvature of the Lorenz Line, the Greater the Relative Degree of Inequality Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-7 Figure 5.3 Estimating the Gini Coefficient Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-8 Figure 5.4 Four Possible Lorenz Curves Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-9 Figure 5.5 Functional Income Distribution in a Market Economy: An Illustration Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-10 Measuring Inequality and Poverty • Measuring Absolute Poverty – Headcount Index – Total poverty gap TPG i 1 (Yp Yi ) H – Where Yp is the absolute poverty line – Yi is income of person I Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-11 Figure 5.6 Measuring the Total Poverty Gap Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-12 Measuring Inequality and Poverty • Measuring Absolute Poverty – Average poverty gap TPG APG H – Where H is number of persons – TPG is total poverty gap Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-13 Measuring Inequality and Poverty • Measuring Absolute Poverty – Foster-Greer-Thorbecke measure H 1 P n Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. ( Y Y ) p i i 1 Yp 5-14 Measuring Inequality and Poverty: • Measuring Absolute Poverty – The Human Poverty Index (HPI) Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-15 Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare • What’s so bad about inequality? • Dualistic development and shifting Lorenz curves: some stylized typologies – Traditional sector enrichment (see Figure 5.7) – Modern sector enrichment (see Figure 5.8) – Modern sector enlargement (see Figure 5.9) Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-16 Figure 5.7 Improved Income Distribution under the TraditionalSector Enrichment Growth Typology Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-17 Figure 5.8 Worsened Income Distribution under the Modern-Sector Enrichment Growth Typology Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-18 Figure 5.9 Crossing Lorenz Curves in the Modern-Sector Enlargement Growth Typology Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-19 Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare • Kuznets’ inverted-U hypothesis Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-20 Figure 5.10 The “Inverted-U” Kuznets Curve Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-21 Table 5.2 Selected Income Distribution Estimate Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-22 Table 5.3 Income and Inequality in Selected Countries Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-23 Figure 5.11 Kuznets Curve with Latin American Countries Identified Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-24 Figure 5.12 Plot of Inequality Data for Selected Countries Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-25 Poverty, Inequality, and Social Welfare • Growth and inequality Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-26 Figure 5.13 Long-Term Economic Growth and Income Inequality, 19651996 Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-27 Figure 5.14 Change in Inequality in Selected Countries, with or without Growth Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-28 Absolute Poverty: Extent and Magnitude • Extreme Poverty – $1-a-day headcount shows some progress – Incidence of extreme poverty is uneven Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-29 Table 5.4 Regional Poverty Incidence, 2004 Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-30 Table 5.5 Poverty Incidence in Selected Countries Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-31 Table 5.5 Poverty Incidence in Selected Countries (continued) Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-32 Absolute Poverty: Extent and Magnitude • Growth and poverty – Impact on per capita growth – Limited saving and investment by rich in poor countries – Impact on productivity – Lack of home demand – Incentives for public participation in the development process Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-33 Economic Characteristics of Poverty Groups • Rural Poverty • Women and poverty (See chapter 8 for more detail) • Ethnic minorities, indigenous populations, and poverty Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-34 Table 5.6 Poverty: Rural versus Urban Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-35 Table 5.7 Indigenous Poverty in Latin America Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-36 The Range of Policy Options: Some Basic Considerations • Areas of intervention – Altering the functional distribution – Mitigating the size distribution – Moderating (reducing) the size distribution at upper levels – Moderating (increasing) the size distribution at lower levels Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-37 The Range of Policy Options: Some Basic Considerations • Policy options – Changing relative factor prices – Progressive redistribution of asset ownership – Progressive taxation – Transfer payments and public provision of goods and services Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-38 Summary and Conclusions: The Need for a Package of Policies • Policies to correct factor price distortions • Policies to change the distribution of assets, power, and access to education and associated employment opportunities • Policies of progressive taxation and directed transfer payments • Policies designed to build capabilities and human and social capital of the poor Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-39 Case Study: Bangladesh Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-40 Concepts for Review • Absolute poverty • Factor-price distortions • Asset ownership • Factor share distribution of income • Character of economic growth • Deciles • Disposable income • Elasticity of factor substitution Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. • Factors of production • Foster-GreerThorbecke (FGT) index • Functional distribution of income 5-41 Concepts for Review (cont’d) • Gini coefficient • Lorenz curve • Headcount index • Neoclassical priceincentive model • Human Poverty Index • Income inequality • Indirect taxes • Kuznets curve • Land reform Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. • Personal distribution of income • Poverty gap • Progressive income tax 5-42 Concepts for Review (cont’d) • Public consumption • Quintiles • Size distribution of income • Redistribution policies • Subsidy • Regressive tax • Workfare programs Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-43 Appendix 5.1: Appropriate Technology and Employment Generation: The Price Incentive Model • Choice of techniques • Factor Price distortions and appropriate technology • Possibilities of Labor-Capital substitution Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-44 Figure A5.1.1 Choice of Techniques: The Price Incentive Model Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-45 Appendix 5.2: The AhluwaliaChenery Welfare Index • Constructing poverty-weighted index of social welfare Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-46 Table A5.2.1 Income Distribution and Growth in the Twelve Selected Countries Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 5-47