3 Year Plans for Energy Efficiency: lessons learned and forging forward Christina Halfpenny Director, Energy Efficiency Division www.mass.gov/doer Creating A Cleaner Energy Future For the Commonwealth Milestones Green Communities Act (GCA) Electric and natural gas resource needs shall first be met through all available, cost- effective energy efficiency and demand reduction resources Energy Efficiency Advisory Council 11 voting members, includes AG, DEP, DOER as Chair Program Administrators as non voting Councilors Stakeholders: business groups, unions, environmental groups, consumer advocates Council consultants provide 3rd party expertise and review Statewide programs Integrated gas & electric programs 8 unique Program Administrators collaborating Streamlining processes, reducing costs Single efficiency brand and marketing Statewide Evaluation, Verification and Monitoring practice 2 Creating A Cleaner Energy Future For the Commonwealth Accomplishments ACEEE Ranking #1 for Energy Efficiency 2010: 99% electric savings 83% gas savings 2011: 91% electric savings 84% gas savings ISO- NE EE Forecasting Model Creating A Cleaner Energy Future For the Commonwealth Rise in Efficiency Efforts Savings as a % of annual retail sales 2.50% 2.32% Electric Gas 2.00% 1.74% 1.50% 1.30% 1.05% 1.00% 0.92% 0.69% 0.50% 0.46% 0.52% 2009 Report 2010 Report 0.00% 2011 Year End 2012 MTM 4 Creating A Cleaner Energy Future For the Commonwealth Costs of Increasing Efficiency Efforts Plan $/kWh 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 Plan $/kWh 0.2 0.1 0 2009 Plan $/kWh Actual $/kWh 2010 2011 2010 2011 2012 $279 $453 $551 $0.447 $0.454 $0.447 $236 $275 $0.38 $0.33 2012 5 Creating A Cleaner Energy Future For the Commonwealth Costs of Increasing Efficiency Efforts Plan $/kWh 0.6 0.5 0.4 Plan $/kWh 0.3 Actual $/kWh 0.2 0.1 0 2009 Plan $/kWh Actual $/kWh 2010 2011 2010 2011 2012 $279 $453 $551 $0.447 $0.454 $0.447 $236 $275 $0.38 $0.33 2012 6 Creating A Cleaner Energy Future For the Commonwealth Critical Sectors for Savings 1,400,000 Electric Program Savings MWh 1,200,000 Lg Retrofit 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 Resi Lighting Resi Retrofit 200,000 C&I NC Sm Retrofit Resi NC - 18000000 16000000 Lg Retrofit Gas Program Savings Therms 14000000 12000000 10000000 Behavior 8000000 Resi WZ 6000000 4000000 7 2000000 0 C&I NC HEHE Resi NC MF Retrofit Creating A Cleaner Energy Future For the Commonwealth Developing the Next 3 Year Plans Stakeholder engagement in 3 year plans 2013-2015 Council Priorities 2012 Market opportunity assessment - PAs Economic assessment and C&I surveys - Council EM&V review Best Practices Review EEAC Consultant Recommendations 8 Creating A Cleaner Energy Future For the Commonwealth High Potential 9 Creating A Cleaner Energy Future For the Commonwealth Stakeholder Feedback January Council Meeting – Public Comment • Commercial Real estate • Healthcare • Community groups – customer equity • Labor Group – data accessibility • Consumer Advocates – multi family, customer equity 10 Creating A Cleaner Energy Future For the Commonwealth Program Barriers to Address Commercial 1. marketing and outreach 2. transaction costs 3. responsiveness and timing 4. limited measure offers 5. insufficient incentives 6. programs not tailored to unique needs Residential 1. tenant landlord – Multi family 2. hard to reach/hard to serve: lower income, language, elderly 3. going deeper 11 Creating A Cleaner Energy Future For the Commonwealth Consultant Recommendations Annual Savings Assessment of Potential (% of Retail Sales) (% of Retail Sales) Electric Gas 2013: 2.5% 2.40% 2014: 2.6% (without CHP, codes and standards attribution, or early retirement retrofit) 2015: 2.7% to 3.5% 2013: 1.3% 2014: 1.5% 2015: 1.7% 1.4% to 6.5% Between 1,100 and 1,300 GWh for electric Between 29 and 38 MMtherms 12 Creating A Cleaner Energy Future For the Commonwealth Cost Estimates $.35/kWh ELECTRIC Deeper Savings Comprehensive Investment in Future Harder to Reach/Serve Lower cost initiatives , lighting, upstream, behavior $5.50/therm $.42/kWh GAS $6.35/therm How do we achieve all cost effective energy efficiency? Creating A Cleaner Energy Future For the Commonwealth Achieving All Cost Effective EE • Requires good data Good data collection processes • Effective marketing and outreach • Customized approaches to customers, including financial incentives • Accounting for naturally occurring energy efficiency • High efficiency codes and standards (and compliance) • Building labeling pilots underway through DOER 14 Creating A Cleaner Energy Future For the Commonwealth Next steps to 2013-2015 Plans • • • • April Draft plans May Appreciative Inquiry June Response to Draft plans October 30 in statute for submittal of 3 year plans • 90 day review by the DPU 15 Creating A Cleaner Energy Future For the Commonwealth Thank you! Christina Halfpenny Director, Energy Efficiency Division christina.halfpenny@state.ma.us www.mass.gov/doer 16 Creating A Cleaner Energy Future For the Commonwealth