END OF PRODUCT LIFE: CLOSING THE LOOP ISQA 511 Mellie Pullman Overview EOL Supply Chain Management & 3 Rs Landfill vs. Recycling Recycling & Innovation EOL Supply Chain & 3Rs Raw Material Suppliers Recycling with Disassembly Product Take-Back Component Suppliers Recycling without Disassembly Subassembly Secondary Markets Remanufacture & Reuse Product Use DisposalLand Fill & Incinerate Final Assembly (OEM) Distributor & Customer US Municipal Waste Stream Generated from Products Category Thousand tons Durable Goods (tires, appliances, furniture, carpets, etc.) 45,670 Non Durable Goods (newspapers, books, plastic utensils, disposable 58,710 diapers, etc.) Glass Packaging 10, 050 Steel Packaging 2,550 Aluminum Packaging 1,880 Paper & Paperboard Packaging 38,280 Plastics Packaging 13,010 Wood Packaging 10,670 Other Misc. Packaging 310 Source: Franklin Associates (2008), a Division of ERG. The Three Principles Of Waste & Pollution Reduction: There are three different strategies to reduce or prevent waste/pollution: • Dematerialization: Increase resource productivity (use less to achieve the same function) • Material/process substitution (different material/process to achieve the same) • Reuse & recycling (use material and value-added over and over) Dematerialization examples • Advanced High Strength Steels (AHSS) in automotive applications (25% weight reduction) • Mass reduction of beverage containers • Continuous casting technology in metals production • Drip lines instead of sprinklers for irrigation • Spaceframe design concept • Miniaturization in the electronics industry (e.g. precious metal content in consumer electronics) Material substitution examples • Steel, aluminum, magnesium, composites in automotive • Steel, concrete, timber in construction • Glass, steel, aluminum, plastics, paper in packaging • CFCs instead of ammonia, chloromethane, sulfur dioxide • MTBE instead of lead (TEL) as antiknock in fuels • Bio-based plastics versus petroleum-based plastics • Lead-based solder versus lead-free solder Reuse and Recycling (Supply Loops, Closed-Loop Supply Chains) A supply loop is constrained when it is not able to reprocess all targeted end-of-life products into secondary output marketable at above-cost prices. Raw materials mining Primary materials production Materials reprocessing manufacture Final product assembly Product sale and delivery Component reprocessing Product reprocessing Product demand & use Eol product collection & inspection End-of-life product disposal Component The reasons can be: • Limited collection of end-of-life products • Limited feasibility of reprocessing • Limited market demand for the reprocessed secondary resources Recycling Rates Batteries are recycled at a rate of 99% Metal has next highest recycling rate 6O% Paper Products: 55% Current Glass (Aluminum) container recycling rates: 11 Deposit States rates 64% (76%) Remaining No-Deposit States rates 12% (35%) Wood Pallets: 800 Million produced each year (300 M from recycled or reclaimed content) 1/3 of US landfills no longer accept these pallets; others charge for their disposal. Supply Loops – Environmental Benefits Primary production 2. Use 1. Disposal Collection & reprocessing 1. Diversion of product or process waste from landfill or incineration by collecting them for economic value recovery via reprocessing. 2. Generation of secondary resources from product or process waste and displacement of primary resources, i.e. materials, components & products. When are the environmental benefits from displacement more significant than the benefits from avoided landfill / incineration? Supply Loops – Potential Benefits from Displaced Primary Production Material Primary Production (cradle-to-gate in MJ/kg) Recycling (scrap-to-gate MJ/kg) Savings Factor Aluminum 194.7 10.3 19 Copper ~100 20 – 30 5 – 3.3 Steel 21.7 7.1 3 Steel section 33.3 16.0 2.1 PET 82.7 30.2 2.7 Paper 18 12 1.5 Glass 12 8 1.5 Product Steel section Cell phone Primary Production Reuse Savings Factor 33.3 MJ/kg 5.2 MJ/kg 6.4 150-250 MJ/phone 2.5-5 MJ/phone 30-100 Could we replace all primary steel (BF/BOF) with recycled steel (EAF)? BF: blast furnace BOF: basic oxygen furnace EAF: electric arc furnace GHG emissions from global steel production in 2005 (in MMT CO2 eq) MMT= Million Metric Ton • 1020 MMT finished steel (1142 MMT crude steel) • Scenario 1: All from basic oxygen furnace (BOF 2.021 kg CO2eq / kg) • Scenario 2: All from electric arc furnace (EAF 0.3471 kg CO2eq / kg) 2500 MMT CO2eq 2000 1500 Factor 5.4 1000 500 0 100% BOF 100% EAF Global crude steel production (in MMT) 1200 1000 800 600 640 MMT scrap generated in 2005 400 2005 most consumed EAF 602 (53%) 200 1950 BOF 540 (47%) 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 GHG emissions from global steel production in 2005 (in MMT CO2 eq) • 1020 MMT finished steel • Current: ~ 70% recycling rate (?), 64% BOF, 33% EAF • Feasible today but steel demand increases: 100% recycling rate, 47% BOF, 53% EAF 2500 MMT CO2eq 2000 Factor 1.4 Factor 1.75 64% BOF, 33% EAF 47%BOF, 53% EAF 1500 1000 500 0 100% BOF 100% EAF Should we reuse or recycle our cell phones? Research by: Roland Geyer, Vered Doctori Blass, University of California, Santa Barbara Background • Estimated amount of cell phone subscriber in 2007: 2.5 billion • Estimated end-of-life phones in 2005 in the USA: 130 million (~ 0.55 wt% of total e-waste in the US) • Estimated av. life time 18 months, collection rate < 20% • More handsets reuse than recycled Recycling potential in USA in 2005 Material composition Plastics Metric tons wt% of US consumption 40-50% Glass and Ceramics 15-20% Copper 1500 0.06% Ferrous metals ~ 3% Silver 40 0.5% Non ferrous metals 22-37% Gold 4 2.3% Other 5-10% Palladium 2 1.7% Energy required to produce, collected and reprocess cell phones Diversion from landfill Edisp Cell phone use Collection Ecoll & reprocessing Erepro Displaced production Edisplaced in MJ/phone Best case reuse Edisplaced Material & product markets recycle Edisplaced reuse Erepro Ecoll recycling Erepro Edisp 250 21.6 1 0.5 1.5 ~0 Worst case 150 16.2 5 1 2 ~0 Economics of cell phone recycling and reuse Recycling (including reverse logistics) Average Cost Average Revenue US 2006 (2006 $/phone) 7.88 0.75 UK 2003 (2006 $/phone) 11.36 0.90 Not profitable if recyclers have to bear the reverse logistics costs. Reuse (including reverse logistics cost) Total Cost Average Revenue US 2006 (2006$/phone) 9.8 17 UK 2003 (2006 $/phone) 12.76 23 Profitable even if refurbishers bear the reverse logistics costs. Closer look at cell phone recycling Currently, only copper and the precious metals are being recovered. Ag Al Au Cr Cu Fe Ni Pb Pd Sn Zn Total Mass (in Grams) Metal price in Value of recoverable metals (in cents) High Low 2006 (cents/g) High Low 36.01 0.90 0.11 32.41 4.03 7.20 1.52 0.27 1.94 0.41 2151.71 0.033 0.026 70.15 56.12 0.72 0.20 0.82 0.59 0.16 0.68 20.68 9.30 14.09 6.33 6.62 2.70 0.10 0.66 0.27 2.74 0.70 2.43 6.64 1.70 0.80 0.28 0.17 0.14 0.05 1060.97 0.09 0.00 93.37 0.00 0.80 0.43 0.92 0.74 0.39 0.92 0.27 0.35 0.32 0.10 41.57 15.56 221.03 69.56 However, together they make up 95% of the total material value. Conclusions • More cell phones are currently reused than recycled • Reuse is profitable even if collection cost is included, one of the reasons being the short lifetime of cell phones • Recycling is only profitable without the collection cost • Recycling currently only recovers copper and precious metals, i.e. 70-84% of the embodied energy and 95% of the economic value • The displacement rate of metal recycling is estimated to be high • The displacement rate of cell phone reuse is estimated to be low •WHY? • At current estimated displacement rates cell phone recycling might generate more environmental benefits than reuse Reuse & Remanufactured Products How do you feel about buying these used or remanufactured products? (rate 1 neutral to 3 very strongly on how strong you feel) Unattractive/Disgusting Safety and Reliability Issues Purchase is more green Technology Product Unattractive/Disgusting Safety and Reliability Issues Purchase is more green Would buy it if it were X % of new price? Household Product Unattractive/Disgusting Safety and Reliability Issues Purchase is more green Would buy it if it were X % of new price? Personal Product Unattractive/Disgusting Safety and Reliability Issues Purchase is more green Would buy it if it were X % of new price? Reuse Other examples for reuse: • Beverage containers and other packaging • Printer/copier cartridges • Single use cameras • Electric motors of analog photocopiers • Cell phones • Tire retreading • Automotive spare parts Fundamental reuse challenges: • Challenge to competitively match supply with demand • Newness seems to have intrinsic value for most consumers • OEMs do not usually support reuse (almost no design for reuse) • Reused products are seldom perfect substitutes • Therefore unclear to what extent reuse displaces new production • Product reuse has conflict potential with product innovation Question: How can innovation improve the situation? Strategies for reducing waste are not keeping up. Market demand for many materials = volatile As Thomas Edison said about inventing: “You need a good imagination and a pile of junk.” Factors influencing 3Rs vs. Reverse Supply Chain (EPR) Factors affecting RSC implementation Factors driving 3R Rate Legislation Country & State Specific Policies: Product Standards & bans, Performance Standards, Charges& Taxes, Emissions trading, Subsidies & Information Disclosure Customer demand Customer Demand (both consumer & retail customer) Strategic cost/benefit Strategic cost/benefit Firm’s environmental concern Firm’s environmental concern Volume and quality of returns Overall Market Demand for materials Incentives & available resources between partners Incentives & available resources between partners Integration & coordination of SC Integration & coordination of SC Carter & Ellram (1998), Carter & Carter (1998), Bowen et al (2000), Stevens (2004), Choinard et al (2005), Dahlatshahi (2005), Tan & Kumar (2006), Walker et al (2008), Guide & Van Wassenhove (2009), Rahman & Subramanian (forthcoming IJPE) and others. Incremental vs. Radical Innovation (3R Context) Incremental Innovation Radical Innovation Product Redesign Improvement to a product within its current typology Functional Significant change in the device concept to provide the same function as the device it replaces Process Redesign Improvement to a process within its current typology Institutional Replacement of products with services System Significant changes in the device concept, infrastructure and user learning Washing Machine System-Radical Innovation How can we get more recycling innovation? System or Supply Chain Significant changes to device concept, access to & flows of EOL products Product and Process Design & Technologies for Re-processing and Disassembly Concept & Behavior shifts Market Demand vs. Legislation Case analysis findings: Innovation (I vs. R) as a function of key drivers Key Drivers Innovation Market Legislative Product/ Process Low Value: I High Value: I High Value: I (WEEE & Autos) Low Value: I System/ Low Value: I Radical (all types) with Supply Chain High Value: I & R Autos and EPR products. (Functional) in shift of durable product to services or “servicizing” Approaches & Challenges Market Demand-based Approach Incremental innovation seen with low value Customers demand but may not participate Packaging innovations (weight, unessential packaging, use of concentrates, refills, different materials) Legislative Policy-based Approach Incremental innovations face diminishing margins of return Radical innovation with high value Hard to create system shifts without high value Serviciszing & sharing products (company maintains ownership and others lease as needed) US demand fluctuates for material causing uncertainty & risk avoidance >fragile China demand for materials is high so radical process innovation happens there Incremental innovation more likely with standards, emissions trading, required information disclosure and voluntary recycling. (Cander, 2004) Radical innovation shown with product bans, charges & taxes, subsidies and EPR (EU autos) Shift customer habits in major ways Product Innovations Design for Dismantling & Recycling (DFD/DFR) EEE producers Technology & supply chain innovations Networks of dismantlers/shredders Example Market Driven: Chinese Recycling Xmas Lights , Minter (2011) Servicizing or Shared resources B2B Copiers Equipment Others? B2C Cars Clothes Wineries Pros & Cons of Servicizing & Sharing Questions & Thoughts