CH 8 SUM INCREASING SUFFRAGE 15TH AMENDMENT=BLACKS 19TH AMENDMENT=WOMEN 24TH AMENDMENT=NON-TAXPAYERS 26TH AMENDMENT=18 TO 21 YEAR OLDS CH 8 SUM STATE QUALIFICATIONS 18, CITIZEN, RESIDENT, REGISTERED REASONS FOR NOT VOTING CANNOT VOTERS SUPPORTIVE NON-VOTERS (Oakwood ?) ALIENATED NON-VOTERS (Jefferson ?) LACK OF INTEREST / APATHY AMERICANS… LESS LIKELY TO VOTE THAN EUROPEANS US HAS MORE ELECTIVE OFFICES ( ABOUT 52, 000+) US HAS A COMPLEX REGISTRATION PROCESS US POLITICAL PARTIES ARE WEAKER US HAS LESS DAILY GOVERNMENT INVOLVEMENT Australia 95% Malta Austria Belgium Italy 94% 92% 91% 90% Luxembourg Iceland New Zealand 90% 89% 88% Denmark Germany Sweden Greece 87% 86% 86% 86% Venezuela Czech Rep. Brazil 85% 85% 83% Brazil Netherlands Costa Rica Norway Romania Bulgaria Israel Portugal Finland Canada France U.K. Ireland Spain Japan 83% 83% 81% 81% 81% 80% 80% 79% 78% 76% 76% 76% 74% 73% 71% Japan Estonia Hungary Russia 71% 69% 66% 61% India U. S. Switz 58% 54% 54% Poland 51% INACTIVES (22%) LITTLE PARTICIPATION IF ANY PAROCHIAL PARTICIPANTS NO VOTING OR CAMPAIGNING CONTACT OFFICIALS ABOUT SPECIFIC PROBLEMS COMMUNALISTS ENGAGED W/ NONPARTISAN COMMUNITY ACTIVITIES VOTING SPECIALISTS REGULARLY VOTE BUT VERY LITTLE ELSE CAMPAIGNERS VOTE GET INVOLVED W/ CAMPAIGNS COMPLETE ACTIVISTS (11%) PARTICPATES IN ALL FORMS OF POLITICAL ACTIVITIES MORE EDUCATED (MOST IMPORTANT FACTOR) HIGHER INCOME UNION MEMBERSHIP POLITICALLY AFFILIATED CIVIC INVOLVEMENT OLDER MARRIED LACK OF POLITICAL EFFICACY “INTERNAL” AND/OR “EXTERNAL” LACK OF MOTIVATION UNINSPIRING CANDIDATES NO REALIGNING ISSUES AKA “CRITICAL ELECTIONS” “BUSY” Figure 13.2- Why People Don’t Vote Back Voters lining up outside a Baghdad polling station during the 2005 Iraqi election. Voter turnout was considered high despite widespread concerns of violence. WOMEN VOTING IN AFGHANISTAN “BALLOT CONFUSION” ?? SOUTH AFRICANS WAITING TO VOTE FOR THE FIRST TIME (1994) 12 HOURS OF LATER Ways to Improve Voter Turnout Make registration and absentee voting easier. Make Election Day a holiday. Strengthen political parties. Patterns in Vote Choice Party members most dependable for party nominees. Ticket-splitting has increased. Race: minorities largely vote for Democrats. Gender: women usually vote for Democrats. Income: poor typically vote for Democrats. Ideology: liberals largely vote for Democrats. Issues: prospective and retrospective judgments. AV- Turnout of Eligible Voters Back Figure 13.1- South v. Non-South Back Figure 13.3- Registered Voters Back Figure 13.5- Electoral College 2008 Back 2008 2000 McCain 47.2 Bush 49.9 Obama 51.2 Gore 46.4 2004 1996 Bush 50.8 Dole 41 Kerry 48.7 Clinton 47.3 Figure 13.6- Gerrymandering Back Gerrymander “art” http://rangevoting.org/GerryGal.html http://www.redistrictinggame.org/ Figure 13.7- Electronic Voting Machines Back Edwards, Wattenberg, and Lineberry Government in America: People, Politics, and Policy Fourteenth Edition Chapter 10 Elections and Voting Behavior How American Elections Work Types of elections: Primary elections: Select party nominees Select officeholders General elections: Select options on specific policies Referendum: state-level method of direct legislation that gives voters a chance to approve proposed legislation or constitutional amendment Initiative : process permitted in some states whereby voters may put proposed changes in the state constitution to a vote, given a sufficient number of signatures Whether to Vote: A Citizen’s First Choice Suffrage: the legal right to vote Extended to African Americans by the 15th Amend Extended to Women by the 19th Amendment Extended to people over 18 by the 26th Amendment Whether to Vote: A Citizen’s First Choice U.S. has low voter turnout Political Efficacy: the belief that one’s political participation really matters Civic Duty: the belief that in order to support democratic government, a citizen should always vote Those who see clear differences between parties are likely to vote. If indifferent, then one may rationally abstain from voting. From Government in America, 13th edition. Registering To Vote Voter Registration: a system adopted by the states that requires voters to register well in advance of the election day Registration procedures differ by state. Motor Voter Act: passed in 1993, requires states to permit people to register to vote when they apply for their driver’s license Who Votes? More education = more likely to vote. Most important factor BUT connected to many other ‘traits’ Older = more likely to vote UNTIL mobility becomes a problem Caucasian = more likely to vote. BUT, other ethnicities are higher with comparable education or higher income Female = more likely to vote Who Votes? Married = more likely to vote Union member = more likely to vote Traits are cumulative –possessing several adds up How Americans Vote: Explaining Citizens’ Decisions Candidates want a good visual image. Especially on dimensions of integrity, reliability, and competence Personality plays a role in vote choice, especially if a candidate is perceived to be incompetent or dishonest. (Elite?) (Career Politician?) How Americans Vote: Explaining Citizens’ Decisions Party Identification People still generally vote for a party they agree with. With the rise of candidate-centered politics, parties’ hold on voters declined in the 1960s and 1970s. (More splitticket voting.) Is this changing with increase ‘partisanship’? Many more voters make an individual voting decision and are up for grabs each election, (so-called floating voters). How Americans Vote: Explaining Citizens’ Decisions Mandate Theory of Elections* The idea that the winning candidate has a mandate from the people to carry out his or her platforms and politics *Politicians like the theory better than political scientists do. Policy Voting Basing your vote choice on issue preferences and where the candidates stand on policy issues Policy voting may occur if : Voters know where they and the candidates stand on issues and see differences between candidates Unlikely to occur because: Candidates can be ambiguous on the issues. Media tend to focus on the “horse race” not issues. Today candidates are forced to take a clear stand in the party primaries increasing chances for policy voting. Understanding Elections and Voting Behavior Candidates who vow to continue popular policies are more likely to win elections. Retrospective voting: voters cast a vote based on what a candidate has done for them lately. Those who feel worse-likely to vote against incumbents. Bad economies make politicians nervous. Start Here on Thursday The Last Battle: The Electoral College Electoral college actually elects the president— founders wanted him chosen by the elite of the country States (political parties) choose the electors Winner-Take-All system gives bigger emphasis to more populated states How the Electoral College works Each state has as many votes as it does Representatives and Senators. Winner of popular vote typically gets all the Electoral College votes for that state Electors meet in December, votes are reported by the vice president in January If no candidate gets a majority (270 votes), the House of Representatives votes for president, with each state casting one vote. A Tale of Three Elections http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_colle Elections and the Scope of Government Federal Gov’t does more now because… Elections generally support government policies and power. Voters feel they are sending a message to government to accomplish something Thus, the government expands to fill the needs of the voters. Summary Voters make two basic decisions at election time: 1-Whether to vote 2-Who to vote for Party identification, candidate evaluations, and policy positions drive vote choice. How important are demographics ? Voter Demographics = Stereotyping? Does this influence campaigns? Policies? Elections are fundamental to a democracy. WILSON CH. 6 - POLITICAL PARTICIPATION IMPORTANT TERMS ACTIVIST AUSTRALIAN BALLOT CAMPAIGNERS COMMUNALISTS COMPLETE ACTIVISTS ELIGIBLE ELECTORATE FIFTEENTH AMENDMENT WILSON CH. 6 - POLITICAL PARTICIPATION IMPORTANT TERMS GRANDFATHER CLAUSES INACTIVES LITERACY TEST MOTOR-VOTER BILL NINETEENTH AMENDMENT PAROCHIAL PARTICIPANTS POLL TAX REGISTERED VOTERS WILSON CH. 6 - POLITICAL PARTICIPATION IMPORTANT TERMS TWENTY-SIXTH AMENDMENT TWENTY-THIRD AMENDMENT VOTER APATHY VOTING RIGHTS ACT OF 1970 VOTING-AGE POPULATION VOTING SPECIALISTS WHITE PRIMARIES WILSON CH. 6 - POLITICAL PARTICIPATION QUESTIONS 1-IS VOTER PARTICIPATION LOWER IN THE USA THAN IN EUROPEAN CONTRIES? EXPLAIN YOUR ANSWER. 2-WHAT HAVE BEEN THE POLICY CONSEQUENCES OF A BROADER ELECTORATE. WILSON CH. 6 - POLITICAL PARTICIPATION QUESTIONS 3-WHAT COULD BE DONE TO INCREASE VOTER TURNOUT? 4-WHAT SORTS OF PEOPLE ARE OVERREPRESENTED ANOUNG THOSE WHO PARTICIPATE A GREAT DEAL? DOE THIS BIAS THE POLICIES THE GOVERNMENT WILL ADOPT? IF SO, WHICH ONES?