Chapter 19 GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Prepared by: Fernando & Yvonn Quijano © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. Increases in GDP Help Revive American Airlines Learning Objectives 19.1 Explain how total production is measured. 19.2 Discuss whether GDP is a good measure of well-being. 19.3 Discuss the difference between real GDP and nominal GDP. The business cycle does not affect all industries in the same way. For example, some trucking firms experienced slow sales during 2006 while airlines were prospering. 19.4 Become familiar with other measures of total production and total income. © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 2 of 31 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Microeconomics The study of how households and firms make choices, how they interact in markets, and how the government attempts to influence their choices. Macroeconomics The study of the economy as a whole, including topics such as inflation, unemployment, and economic growth. Business cycle Alternating periods of economic expansion and economic recession. © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 3 of 30 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Expansion The period of a business cycle during which total production and total employment are increasing. Recession The period of a business cycle during which total production and total employment are decreasing. Economic growth The ability of an economy to produce increasing quantities of goods and services. Inflation rate The percentage increase in the price level from one year to the next. © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 4 of 30 Learning Objective 19.1 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production Measuring Total Production: Gross Domestic Product Gross domestic product (GDP) The market value of all final goods and services produced in a country during a period of time, typically one year. GDP Is Measured Using Market Values, Not Quantities The word value is important in the definition of GDP. © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 5 of 30 Learning Objective 19.1 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production Measuring Total Production: Gross Domestic Product GDP Includes Only the Market Value of Final Goods Final good or service A good or service purchased by a final user. Intermediate good or service A good or service that is an input into another good or service, such as a tire on a truck. GDP Includes Only Current Production GDP includes only production that takes place during the indicated time period. © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 6 of 30 Learning Objective 19.1 Solved Problem 19-1 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Calculating GDP PRODUCTION AND PRICE STATISTICS FOR 2007 (1) PRODUCT (2) QUANTITY (3) PRICE PER UNIT 100 $50.00 Pizzas 80 10.00 Textbooks 20 100.00 2,000 0.10 Eye examinations Paper (1) QUANTITY (2) PRICE PER UNIT 100 $50 $5,000 Pizzas 80 10 800 Textbooks 20 100 2,000 PRODUCT Eye examinations (3) VALUE © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 7 of 30 Learning Objective 19.1 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production Production, Income, and the Circular Flow Diagram FIGURE 19-1 The Circular Flow and the Measurement of GDP © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 8 of 30 Learning Objective 19.1 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production Production, Income, and the Circular Flow Diagram Transfer payments Payments by the government to individuals for which the government does not receive a new good or service in return. © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 9 of 30 Learning Objective 19.1 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production Components of GDP Personal Consumption Expenditures, or “Consumption” Consumption Spending by households on goods and services, not including spending on new houses. Gross Private Domestic Investment, or “Investment” Investment Spending by firms on new factories, office buildings, machinery, and additions to inventories, and spending by households on new houses. Don’t Let This Happen to YOU! Remember What Economists Mean by Investment © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 10 of 30 Learning Objective 19.1 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production Components of GDP Government Consumption and Gross Investment, or “Government Purchases” Government purchases Spending by federal, state, and local governments on goods and services. © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 11 of 30 Learning Objective 19.1 Making Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income the Spending on Homeland Security Connection Government spending on homeland security more than doubled between 2001 and 2006. © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 12 of 30 Learning Objective 19.1 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production Components of GDP Net Exports of Goods and Services, or “Net Exports” Net exports Exports minus imports. An Equation for GDP and Some Actual Values Y C I G NX © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 13 of 30 Learning Objective 19.1 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production An Equation for GDP and Some Actual Values FIGURE 19-2 Components of GDP in 2006 © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 14 of 30 Learning Objective 19.1 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production An Equation for GDP and Some Actual Values • Consumer spending on services is greater than the sum of spending on durable and nondurable goods. • Business fixed investment is the largest component of investment. • Purchases made by state and local governments are greater than purchases made by the federal government. • Imports are greater than exports, so net exports are negative. © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 15 of 30 Learning Objective 19.1 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production Measuring GDP by the Value-Added Method Value added The market value a firm adds to a product. Table 19-1 Calculating Value Added FIRM VALUE OF PRODUCT VALUE ADDED Cotton Farmer Value of raw cotton = $ Value added by cotton farmer =1 Textile Mill Value of raw cotton woven into cotton fabric = $3 Value added by cotton textile mill = ($3 – $1) =2 Value of cotton fabric made into a shirt = $15 Value added by shirt manufacturer = ($15 –$3) = 12 Value of shirt for sale on L.L. Bean’s Web site = $35 Value added by L.L. Bean = ($35 – $15) = 20 Shirt Company L.L. Bean Total Value Added = $35 © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 16 of 30 Learning Objective 19.2 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Does GDP Measure What We Want It to Measure? Shortcomings in GDP as a Measure of Total Production Household Production Household production refers to goods and services people produce for themselves. The Underground Economy Underground economy Buying and selling of goods and services that is concealed from the government to avoid taxes or regulations or because the goods and services are illegal. © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 17 of 30 Learning Objective 19.2 Making Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income the Connection How the Underground Economy Hurts Developing Countries In some developing countries, more than half the workers may be in the underground economy. © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 18 of 30 Learning Objective 19.2 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Does GDP Measure What We Want It to Measure? Shortcomings of GDP as a Measure of Well-Being The Value of Leisure Is Not Included in GDP GDP Is Not Adjusted for Pollution or Other Negative Effects of Production GDP Is Not Adjusted for Changes in Crime and Other Social Problems GDP Measures the Size of the Pie but Not How the Pie Is Divided Up © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 19 of 30 Learning Objective 19.2 Making Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income the Did World War II Bring Prosperity? Connection © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 20 of 30 Learning Objective 19.3 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Real GDP versus Nominal GDP Calculating Real GDP Real GDP The value of final goods and services evaluated at base-year prices. Nominal GDP The value of final goods and services evaluated at current-year prices. © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 21 of 30 Learning Objective 19.3 Solved Problem 19-3 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Calculating Real GDP 2000 PRODUCT 2009 QUANTITY PRICE QUANTITY PRICE Eye examinations 80 $40 100 $50 Pizzas 90 11 80 10 Textbooks 15 90 20 100 2009 QUANTITY 2000 PRICE 100 $40 $4,000 Pizzas 80 11 880 Textbooks 20 90 1,800 PRODUCT Eye examinations VALUE © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 22 of 30 Learning Objective 19.3 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Real GDP versus Nominal GDP Comparing Real GDP and Nominal GDP FIGURE 19-3 Nominal GDP and Real GDP, 1990–2006 © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 23 of 30 Learning Objective 19.3 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Real GDP versus Nominal GDP The GDP Deflator Price level A measure of the average prices of goods and services in the economy. GDP deflator A measure of the price level, calculated by dividing nominal GDP by real GDP and multiplying by 100. Nominal GDP GDP deflator 100 Real GDP © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 24 of 30 Learning Objective 19.3 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Real GDP versus Nominal GDP The GDP Deflator 2005 2006 NOMINAL GDP $12,456 billion $13,247 billion REAL GDP $11,049 billion $11,415 billion FORMULA APPLIED TO 2005 APPLIED TO 2006 GDP Nominal GDP 100 Deflator Real GDP $12,456 billion 100 113 $11,049billion $13,247 billion 100 116 $11,415billion 116 113 2.7% 113 © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 25 of 30 Learning Objective 19.4 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Other Measures of Total Production and Total Income Gross National Product (GNP) Net National Product (NNP) National Income Personal Income © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 26 of 30 Learning Objective 19.4 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Other Measures of Total Production and Total Income Disposable Personal Income FIGURE 19-4 Measures of Total Production and Total Income, 2006 © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 27 of 30 Learning Objective 19.4 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Other Measures of Total Production and Total Income The Division of Income FIGURE 19-5 The Division of Income © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 28 of 30 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income An Inside LOOK Trucking Industry Depends on the Goods—Not Services—Component of GDP Economic Slowdown Slams Breaks on Trucking Sector As goods decline as a percentage of GDP, so does the demand for ground-freight transportation services. (The goods and services shares of GDP do not sum to 100 percent because GDP is composed of goods, services, and structures.) © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 29 of 30 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Key Terms Business cycle Macroeconomics Consumption Microeconomics Economic growth Net exports Expansion Nominal GDP Final good or service Price level GDP deflator Real GDP Government purchases Recession Gross domestic product (GDP) Transfer payments Inflation rate Underground economy Intermediate good or service Value added Investment © 2008 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 2e. 30 of 30