THE AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND CARDIOTHORACIC ORGAN TRANSPLANT REGISTRY EIGHTEENTH ANNUAL REPORT 1984 – 2013 ANZCOTR 2013 NUMBER OF ALL TRANSPLANT TYPES BY YEAR 1984 - 2013 200 150 100 50 0 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2 HEARTS HEART-LUNG SINGLE LUNG 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 B-L LUNG ANZCOTR 2013 NUMBER OF ALL TRANSPLANTS* 1984 - 2013 YEAR 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 HEART HEART-LUNG SINGLE LUNG BILATERAL LUNG 14 0 0 0 22 0 0 0 34 1 0 0 30 1 0 0 56 2 0 0 93 14 0 0 103 12 5 0 103 19 18 0 115 18 27 3 114 13 24 33 104 13 26 44 108 13 28 43 103 7 32 42 105 4 43 43 82 4 38 50 76 2 27 47 70 2 28 73 82 1 29 55 82 9 29 70 89 5 20 68 Grand Total all Transplants 78 6 13 91 89 6 10 79 80 6 17 88 68 6 8 78 90 5 12 112 71 2 13 115 76 3 10 123 76 2 12 158 85 4 4 153 86 2 5 181 2384 182 478 1749 4793 *Includes domino, heterotopic and retransplants ANZCOTR 2013 ALL HEART TRANSPLANTS BY HOSPITAL 1984 - 2013 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Totals St Vincents 14 22 34 28 49 50 47 41 36 39 44 41 35 35 26 19 20 17 19 14 28 26 19 18 27 19 27 24 25 25 868 The Alfred Royal Perth 30 38 33 37 35 25 25 24 28 23 25 22 30 24 24 23 22 22 21 28 18 23 17 15 23 635 7 4 5 9 8 6 7 6 11 7 12 7 5 13 7 6 9 13 7 149 Auckland 2 5 8 6 5 11 8 10 7 13 14 10 10 13 15 8 22 4 13 8 9 8 11 11 11 12 9 263 Prince Charles Royal Childrens Year Totals 14 22 34 30 2 56 5 93 8 4 103 20 4 103 22 9 115 28 4 114 21 4 104 20 8 108 24 3 103 21 2 105 10 4 82 11 3 76 9 0 70 8 5 82 17 8 82 16 2 89 14 2 78 13 3 89 16 8 80 13 2 68 8 6 90 10 6 71 3 6 76 10 5 76 13 7 85 13 9 86 348 121 2384 HEART LUNG TRANSPLANTS BY HOSPITAL 1986 - 2013 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Total St Vincents The Alfred Royal Perth 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 11 0 0 6 6 0 5 13 0 8 10 0 6 5 0 6 6 0 9 4 0 4 3 0 3 1 0 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 2 4 0 1 2 0 3 0 0 1 0 1 1 3 0 3 0 1 1 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 83 64 5 Prince Charles 2005 figure includes one retransplant Auckland 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prince Charles Royal Childrens Year Totals 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 3 14 0 0 12 0 1 19 0 0 18 0 2 13 0 1 13 0 0 13 0 0 7 0 0 4 0 0 4 1 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 1 3 0 9 2 0 5 3 0 6 4 0 6 2 0 6 2 0 6 0 0 5 2 0 2 0 0 3 1 0 2 1 0 4 1 0 2 22 8 182 ANZCOTR 2013 SINGLE LUNG TRANSPLANTS BY HOSPITAL 1990 - 2013 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Totals St Vincents The Alfred Royal Perth 3 2 0 14 4 0 19 8 0 14 9 0 10 14 0 10 17 0 9 18 0 16 21 0 10 25 0 12 13 0 7 16 0 5 21 0 3 20 0 4 10 0 0 10 1 3 2 4 2 9 3 2 6 0 3 4 4 2 7 2 1 7 0 2 8 2 0 2 2 1 3 1 152 256 19 Auckland 0 0 0 1 2 1 2 3 3 1 3 3 3 4 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 28 Prince Charles 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 1 2 0 3 2 2 1 2 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 23 Royal Childrens Year Totals 0 5 0 18 0 27 0 24 0 26 0 28 0 32 0 43 0 38 0 27 0 28 0 29 0 29 0 20 0 13 0 10 0 17 0 8 0 12 0 13 0 10 0 12 0 4 0 5 0 478 ANZCOTR 2013 BILATERAL LUNG TRANSPLANTS BY HOSPITAL 1992 - 2013 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Total St Vincents The Alfred 2 1 14 19 21 22 18 23 23 12 13 20 17 16 13 20 29 25 28 18 28 25 28 25 31 32 28 27 32 35 25 29 40 40 38 49 40 54 43 70 47 57 45 68 603 687 Royal Perth 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 6 6 4 7 12 12 11 64 Auckland 0 0 1 2 6 1 2 6 9 8 5 10 9 8 9 9 12 7 9 10 12 19 154 Prince Charles Royal Childrens Year Totals 0 0 3 0 0 33 0 0 44 0 0 43 0 1 42 8 1 43 13 2 50 7 1 47 10 0 73 1 0 55 12 0 70 5 0 68 19 0 91 14 0 79 8 0 88 9 0 78 14 0 112 17 0 115 13 0 123 23 0 158 25 0 153 38 0 181 236 5 1749 Includes retransplants ANZCOTR 2013 COMBINED WAITING LIST ACTIVITY 2013 HEARTS TOTAL LUNGS TOTAL Active as at 1 January 2013 78 107 New Additions during 2013 105 227 W1 - Transplant Performed 86 188 W2 - Patients condition Improved 5 2 W3 - Too ill, new dev of contraindications etc 12 10 W4 - Patient declined 1 1 W5 - Transferred to another interstate list 1 0 W6 - Died waiting 15 14 0 1 From on hold to Active Jan 2013 Removals from Waiting List (Permanent) W7-Removed - unspecified TOTAL at Year end - (Active) 31 December 2013 58 108 Total at month end inactive - (On HOLD) 9 10 *Contains complete calendar year activity from all Registry Participant Centres. nb lungs column includes heart/lung procedures ANZCOTR 2013 PRE TRANSPLANT DIAGNOSIS HEART 1984 - 2013 Retransplant 1% Other 13% ISCHAEMIC HEART DISEASE 34% Peripartum CM 1% Familial CM 2% Congenital HD 6% Viral CM / Myocarditis 3% IDIOPATHIC DILATED CARDIOMYOPATHY 40% ANZCOTR 2013 PRE TRANSPLANT DIAGNOSIS 1984 - 2013 n = 2384 Pre Transplant Diagnosis (Hearts) Idiopathic Cardiomyopathy (IDCM) Ischaemic Heart Disease (IHD) Other (eg. Valve disease, adriamycin toxicity,trauma) Congenital Heart Disease Viral Cardiomyopathy/Myocarditis Familial Cardiomyopathy Peripartum Cardiomyopathy Retransplantation Total Number 962 801 323 133 63 55 24 23 2384 % 40% 34% 13% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 100% ANZCOTR 2013 PRE-TRANSPLANT STATUS HEARTS 1996 -2013 ANZCOTR 2013 PRE-TRANSPLANT STATUS HEARTS 1993 - 2013 STATUS - Year 96 97 98 99 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 n= 103 105 82 75 70 80 82 88 76 89 79 68 90 71 76 76 84 86 NYHA III % 70 55 57 60 61 64 50 67 50 43 34 44 59 38 60 28 49 NYHA IV % 17 24 26 20 29 20 32 16 27 27 28 21 8 21 7 8 13 7 Inotropic support % 9 13 12 15 6 10 12 11 5 3 11 10 8 9 4 9 2 17 Intra-aortic Balloon Pump % 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 5 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 Ventricular Assist Device % 3 7 4 4 4 6 4 5 13 26 27 25 25 32 28 29 35 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Artificial Heart % 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 35 0 ANZCOTR 2013 DONOR / RECIPIENT STATE OF ORIGIN HEARTS 1984 - 2013 800 700 600 Number 500 400 300 200 100 0 ACT NT NSW QLD VIC Recipients 1984-2013 SA WA TAS NZ Donors 1984-2013 ANZCOTR 2013 DONOR / RECIPIENT STATE OF ORIGIN HEARTS 1984 - 2013 Location Recipients 84-13 % Donors 84 - 13 % Recipients 2013 % Donors 2013 % ACT NT NSW QLD VIC SA WA TAS NZ 42 5 710 387 594 104 184 58 287 1.8 0.2 29.9 16.3 25.1 4.4 7.8 2.4 12.1 49 20 613 453 507 214 162 36 290 2.1 0.9 26.2 19.3 21.6 9.1 6.9 1.5 12.4 2 0 22 16 24 1 7 3 9 2 0 26 19 29 1 8 4 11 1 1 21 15 16 10 11 0 9 1.2 1.2 25.0 17.9 19.0 11.9 13.1 0.0 10.7 TOTALS 2371 100.0 2344 100.0 84 100 84 100.0 ANZCOTR 2013 Mean Waiting Time to Transplant HEARTS 1984 - 2013 250 200 DAYS 150 100 50 0 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 YEAR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Mean Waiting Time in days ANZCOTR 2013 WAITING DAYS TO HEART TRANSPLANT 1984-2013 Year 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 n= 14 19 32 30 56 93 103 103 115 114 104 108 103 105 82 75 70 80 82 88 76 89 79 63 89 68 74 76 84 84 mean 44 46 67 61 80 86 99 103 87 116 192 203 171 228 185 236 196 177 148 143 134 159 150 163 171 147 180 171 202 225 std dev + 77 54 76 80 102 87 154 126 119 127 219 236 200 265 219 260 227 212 219 162 176 169 155 180 174 132 232 165 213 298 median 10 19 37 40 33 61 35 57 51 78 128 107 92 127 117 133 120 88 64 91 67 113 102 125 127 103 97 115 139 102 min-max 4-295 3-209 3-295 3-424 1-400 1-445 1-842 1-633 1-790 1-626 1-1392 3-1684 2-1144 1-2577 1-1260 1-2411 1-1431 1-2048 1-1502 1-782 1-908 2-792 2-764 2-974 1-976 5-565 1-1189 1-586 2-1181 0-1668 ANZCOTR 2013 Mean Recipient Age at Transplant HEARTS 1984 -2013 50 40 Age(yrs) 30 20 10 0 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Year ANZCOTR 2013 RECIPIENT AGE AT HEART TRANSPLANT YEARS 1984 - 2013 year 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 n 14 19 32 30 56 93 103 103 115 114 104 108 103 105 82 75 70 80 82 88 76 89 79 66 89 68 74 76 84 84 mean 33 39 40 41 41 42 43 47 45 46 47 46 48 46 46 47 49 45 45 45 47 48 43 46 46 45 47 45 42 42 std dev + 15 13 13 12 14 14 15 14 15 14 13 16 13 14 15 15 13 15 18 15 15 14 17 16 17 17 16 17 16 18 median 39 38 43 46 45 46 47 52 51 51 50 50 53 50 51 53 53 49 52 47 52 52 49 49 50 48 52 48 47 48 min-max 11-51 10-54 11-57 13-56 4-63 1-65 6-65 1-64 4-66 6-65 1-66 2-68 10-64 9-66 1-64 2-67 12-66 2-64 7-70 1-67 9-66 5-65 3-67 5-71 6-67 1-69 5-70 5-72 1-67 1-70 ANZCOTR 2013 Hearts Mean Donor Age 1984 - 2013 40 35 30 Age in years 25 20 15 10 5 0 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Year ANZCOTR 2013 DONOR AGE HEARTS - YEARS 1984-2013 year 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 n 14 19 32 30 56 93 103 103 115 114 104 108 103 105 82 75 70 80 82 88 76 89 79 66 89 68 74 76 84 84 mean 24 24 26 25 25 28 30 30 30 34 34 32 33 35 31 34 33 33 30 35 33 37 31 34 37 33 38 34 34 33 std dev +8 7 7 7 8 11 11 12 12 13 14 14 12 13 13 16 13 14 15 14 14 14 14 15 13 14 12 14 14 15 median 23 21 25 24 23 26 28 28 28 32 31 33 33 35 30 32 33 33 25 36 31 39 29 35 40 34 39 33 34 34 min-max 13-41 15-43 16-39 14-41 12-44 1-50 9-52 5-58 1-56 8-61 1-66 2-59 1-57 12-58 1-62 1-64 5-57 6-58 2-60 8-62 7-59 9-61 5-59 10-59 2-61 5-62 6-60 5-58 4-58 1-57 ANZCOTR 2013 HEARTS - Mean Ischaemic Time 1984 - 2013 300 250 Minutes 200 150 100 50 0 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Year ANZCOTR 2013 MEAN HEART ISCHAEMIC TIME 1984-2013 MINUTES ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL - HEART TRANSPLANT 1984 - 2013 YEAR 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 n* 2364 2004 1870 1762 1653 1549 1423 1319 1206 1079 978 874 776 692 615 536 456 387 329 280 223 171 124 93 68 37 20 14 6 3 % 100.0 86.9 84.5 82.4 80.2 78.0 75.0 72.1 69.3 65.8 63.0 60.3 57.0 55.0 51.9 48.4 44.7 42.1 39.3 37.2 35.7 33.1 30.3 28.7 27.3 24.8 23.1 21.8 19.7 15.8 n* = Number alive at start of year ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL - HEART TRANSPLANT 1984 - 2013 Percent Survival 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 YEAR Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL – ORTHOTOPIC v HETEROTOPIC v DOMINO TRANSPLANTS 1984 - 2013 Orthotopic YEAR 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 n 2364 2004 1870 1762 1653 1549 1423 1319 1206 1079 978 874 776 692 615 536 456 387 329 280 223 171 124 93 68 37 20 14 6 3 % 100.0 86.9 84.5 82.4 80.2 78.0 75.0 72.1 69.3 65.8 63.0 60.3 57.0 55.0 51.9 48.4 44.7 42.1 39.3 37.2 35.7 33.1 30.3 28.7 27.3 24.8 23.1 21.8 19.7 15.8 Heterotopic n % 31 100.0 22 71.0 19 61.3 18 58.1 18 58.1 17 54.8 15 54.8 13 54.8 11 46.4 10 42.2 9 42.2 8 42.2 7 42.2 4 35.2 2 35.2 1 17.6 Domino n 36 29 28 27 22 21 19 18 18 15 15 15 13 13 13 13 12 12 10 8 6 5 4 % 100.0 80.6 80.6 77.7 63.3 63.3 57.3 54.3 54.3 48.1 48.1 48.1 41.6 41.6 41.6 41.6 38.4 38.4 35.1 28.1 28.1 23.4 23.4 ANZCOTR 2013 Actuarial Survival Orthotopic v Heterotopic v Domino Hearts 1984 - 2013 100 80 60 Percent Survival 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Orthotopic Heterotopic Domino Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL ALL HEARTS PERIOD COMPARISON 1984 – 2013 100 p<0.001 80 Percent Survival 60 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 1984-89 1990-99 Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel 2000-09 2010-13 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL HEARTS PERIOD COMPARISON 1984 - 2013 1984-1989 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 n* 244 213 202 198 196 192 185 176 168 158 145 139 132 127 117 107 97 94 87 84 81 76 70 66 63 38 21 14 6 3 1 1990-1999 % 100.0 87.3 82.8 81.1 80.3 78.7 75.8 72.1 68.9 64.8 59.4 57.0 54.1 52.0 48.0 43.9 39.8 38.5 35.7 34.4 33.2 31.1 28.7 27.0 25.8 23.4 21.9 20.6 18.7 14.9 14.9 *N = NUMBER ALIVE AT START OF YEAR n* 1012 871 847 819 789 762 725 688 654 621 595 566 532 514 487 429 359 297 242 196 144 95 54 27 5 2000-2009 % 100.0 86.1 83.7 80.9 78.0 75.3 71.6 68.0 64.6 61.4 58.8 55.9 52.9 50.8 48.1 45.1 41.9 39.2 36.6 34.4 33.0 30.3 27.6 26.3 24.7 n* 790 695 678 665 652 597 514 456 384 301 239 171 115 51 12 2010-2013 % 100.0 88.0 85.8 84.2 82.5 80.8 78.7 77.4 75.9 72.7 70.8 69.1 66.3 63.9 61.9 n* 318 227 144 84 16 % 100.0 87.0 85.1 84.4 81.1 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL PRE TRANSPLANT DIAGNOSIS 1984 - 2013 100 80 IDCM v IHD p<0.005 IHD v Others p<0.005 60 Percent 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 IHD Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel 14 15 IDCM 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 Others ANZCOTR 2013 29 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL PRE TRANSPLANT DIAGNOSIS HEARTS 1984 – 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 IHD n % 801 669 634 610 578 545 503 466 431 383 349 316 268 243 210 181 154 126 106 82 68 51 32 24 18 6 2 100.0 84.4 81.4 79.7 77.3 74.8 71.1 67.6 64.5 60.0 56.8 54.2 49.5 47.8 45.0 42.1 37.8 33.9 31.7 28.2 26.7 24.6 21.2 18.4 17.6 14.9 14.9 1 1 7.4 7.4 IDCM n % 970 835 773 721 668 631 584 543 487 448 408 369 341 303 278 243 209 186 160 140 110 84 65 51 39 22 13 9 100.0 89.1 86.4 84.0 81.1 79.3 76.6 74.3 70.6 69.2 66.8 64.7 62.4 60.5 57.3 53.4 50.9 49.1 46.9 45.1 43.3 40.3 37.2 36.5 34.2 31.0 29.2 29.2 3 1 24.7 14.8 Others n % 595 502 464 435 408 375 337 311 288 249 222 191 170 146 128 112 93 79 63 58 47 36 27 18 11 10 6 4 2 100.0 86.9 85.6 83.4 82.4 80.3 77.7 74.8 74.1 69.0 65.9 62.2 59.5 56.9 53.7 49.8 45.1 43.6 38.4 38.4 37.7 35.0 34.0 32.5 32.5 32.5 28.7 28.7 28.7 2 28.7 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL PRE-TRANSPLANT STATUS HEARTS 1984 - 2013 100 80 p=ns 60 40 Percent Survival 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 NYHA III 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 NYHA IV INOTROPES IABP All VAD Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL PRE-TRANSPLANT STATUS HEARTS 1984 - 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 NYHA III n= 1157 1004 959 909 849 799 733 680 622 570 528 470 418 365 321 270 231 197 161 130 92 68 44 35 20 11 7 4 % 100.0 87.5 85.4 82.8 80.2 77.8 74.8 72.2 68.6 65.9 63.3 60.6 58.2 56.1 52.8 49.0 45.3 43.0 40.0 37.6 36.2 34.1 32.3 30.7 28.5 23.5 23.5 19.6 NYHA IV n= 578 495 463 450 437 420 402 377 346 308 277 253 225 208 187 166 140 120 105 92 82 65 51 37 32 20 9 6 4 2 INOTROPES % 100.0 86.4 83.4 82.0 80.9 79.4 77.3 73.8 72.0 67.7 64.1 61.7 57.3 55.4 52.2 48.5 44.8 41.5 39.0 36.7 34.6 31.5 28.4 26.5 26.5 25.5 22.2 22.2 22.2 15.9 n= 264 225 214 205 197 187 171 156 145 133 123 112 97 86 79 73 60 53 43 39 35 28 21 15 12 5 3 2 % 100.0 88.4 86.4 84.4 82.7 80.6 75.4 71.8 69.4 65.1 63.1 61.0 56.5 54.1 51.5 49.5 45.2 42.9 39.5 37.6 37.6 35.3 31.2 31.2 26.9 26.9 26.9 26.9 IABP n= 51 43 43 41 38 37 35 35 34 33 30 25 23 21 20 18 17 16 15 15 14 10 7 6 4 2 2 2 2 1 % 100.0 84.3 84.3 82.3 76.3 74.3 70.3 70.3 68.3 66.3 62.2 55.8 53.5 51.1 48.7 43.8 43.8 41.2 38.6 38.6 36.1 33.2 29.5 25.3 25.3 18.1 18.1 18.1 18.1 18.1 All VAD n= 274 218 181 156 128 105 82 70 55 33 21 18 14 11 8 7 6 5 3 3 2 2 % 100.0 87.8 83.5 82.0 78.6 75.3 71.4 69.5 67.4 61.5 57.1 54.2 47.9 47.9 47.9 47.9 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL RECIPIENT AGE BY GENDER HEARTS 1984 - 2013 MALES 0-39 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 n= 451 388 356 332 316 298 278 261 234 207 188 171 154 141 131 121 105 91 77 72 63 47 37 30 22 14 11 7 3 2 FEMALES 0 - 39 % 100.0 88.3 86.0 83.0 82.0 79.9 78.0 76.6 73.2 69.3 67.3 65.4 62.7 62.2 60.4 59.5 55.9 54.2 50.5 49.1 48.4 45.0 44.0 42.7 41.1 36.7 36.7 36.7 36.7 24.5 *N= NUMBER ALIVE AT START OF YEAR n= 232 192 185 168 156 145 130 118 107 95 89 77 71 61 56 51 46 40 34 33 27 24 17 16 10 6 4 3 1 1 MALES >39 % 100.0 86.4 85.0 79.4 77.0 76.0 72.7 69.3 69.3 66.0 63.2 58.7 57.2 53.0 51.2 48.4 47.4 46.4 43.9 43.9 43.9 42.2 40.2 40.2 40.2 40.2 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.9 n= 1390 1178 1100 1050 983 924 855 793 725 659 600 538 475 423 370 312 261 223 184 150 114 89 58 42 31 15 5 4 2 FEMALES > 39 % 100.0 86.6 83.9 82.3 79.4 76.9 73.5 70.4 67.0 63.7 60.9 58.2 54.7 52.5 49.1 44.5 40.5 37.3 34.5 31.9 29.8 27.3 23.8 22.9 21.6 19.8 19.8 15.9 11.3 n= 296 249 232 217 199 185 166 150 140 120 104 93 79 68 60 52 44 39 34 26 22 14 12 6 5 3 1 % 100.0 86.6 84.2 83.8 83.4 81.7 78.5 75.1 74.0 70.7 66.4 63.8 59.5 57.9 53.5 51.6 47.5 46.4 45.1 42.2 42.2 39.9 37.0 26.4 22.0 17.1 10.3 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL BY RECIPIENT AGE AND GENDER HEARTS 1984 - 2013 100 80 Percent Survival MALES 0-39 yrsv MALES>39yrs p<0.005 MALES>39yrs v FEMALES>39yrs p <0.05 60 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 MALES 0-39 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 FEMALES 0-39 Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel MALES >39 FEMALES > 39 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL DONOR AGE HEARTS 1984 - 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 * 0 - 16 n= 215 198 174 163 157 149 142 134 121 112 105 96 84 75 69 64 53 47 43 38 35 31 24 20 13 8 6 3 2 2 1 % 100.0 90.1 88.6 85.5 84.0 82.3 79.5 76.7 73.2 68.9 67.0 65.7 64.3 62.7 60.1 58.3 54.5 51.3 50.2 47.8 47.8 47.8 44.4 42.4 39.9 39.9 39.9 39.9 39.9 39.9 39.9 17 - 39 n= 1347 1176 1111 1058 996 936 867 814 753 683 618 550 493 441 394 345 295 258 222 195 158 118 85 64 49 29 15 11 4 1 % 100.0 89.0 87.0 84.9 83.0 80.7 77.7 75.2 73.1 69.6 66.1 62.4 58.8 56.3 53.0 49.7 45.5 43.3 40.7 39.1 37.6 34.0 30.8 28.8 27.3 24.6 22.5 20.8 18.2 12.2 40 - 49 n= 514 422 391 366 334 315 283 250 225 197 183 164 142 125 110 94 80 64 48 36 24 18 13 8 5 1 % 100.0 84.3 81.6 79.3 75.5 73.4 69.8 65.3 62.3 58.6 57.4 56.1 52.2 51.0 48.1 44.0 40.6 36.8 33.1 28.7 25.9 24.7 24.7 24.7 24.7 24.7 50 -59 n= 272 211 190 173 161 148 134 121 105 88 74 68 59 51 43 32 28 24 16 12 9 7 2 2 1 % 100.0 81.2 76.5 75.3 73.9 72.5 70.0 67.8 62.1 60.8 56.5 56.5 53.8 52.9 49.6 43.4 43.4 41.8 35.9 33.5 33.5 33.5 26.8 26.8 26.8 2 OF THE 16 CASES IN THE GREATER THAN 59 YEARS CATEGORY ARE HETEROTOPIC HEART TRANSPLANTS * >59 n= 16 9 7 7 6 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 % 100.0 56.3 43.8 43.8 37.5 30.7 23.0 23.0 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL DONOR AGE HEARTS 1984 - 2013 100 0-16yrs v 40-49yrs 0-16yrs v 50-59yrs 17-39yrs v 40-49yrs 17-39yrs v 50-59yrs 80 p<0.001 p<0.005 p<0.001 p<0.009 60 40 Percent Survival 20 0 0 1 2 YEAR 3 4 5 6 7 8 0 - 16 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 17 - 39 40 - 49 50 -59 >59 2 OF THE 11 CASES IN THE GREATER THAN 59 YEARS CATEGORY ARE HETEROTOPIC HEART TRANSPLANTS Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL DONOR GENDER HEARTS 1984 - 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Fem ale n= 755 610 566 528 497 468 421 392 347 294 271 246 221 203 177 152 131 113 90 76 61 45 30 23 13 7 3 2 1 % 100.0 83.2 80.8 78.7 77.6 75.8 72.2 70.3 67.3 62.0 60.1 58.5 56.8 55.7 52.3 48.6 45.6 43.8 40.1 36.8 35.8 33.8 30.4 29.2 27.7 27.7 22.6 22.6 22.6 Male n= 1608 1395 1306 1238 1156 1083 1005 928 859 787 709 631 558 490 440 384 325 279 239 205 165 129 94 71 55 31 18 12 5 3 % 100.0 88.7 86.2 84.1 81.3 79.0 76.2 72.9 70.2 67.5 64.2 61.2 57.2 54.8 51.8 48.4 44.5 41.6 39.2 37.4 35.8 33.0 30.5 28.7 27.3 24.3 23.4 21.9 19.4 19.4 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL DONOR GENDER HEARTS 1984 - 2013 100 80 p=ns 60 Percent Survival 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 Year 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Female Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel Male ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL RECIPIENT GENDER HEARTS 1984 - 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Female n= % Male n= % 528 441 416 385 355 330 295 268 247 215 193 169 150 128 116 103 90 79 68 58 49 38 29 22 15 9 5 3 1 100.0 86.5 84.5 81.8 80.5 79.1 75.9 72.5 71.9 68.6 65.0 61.5 58.5 55.6 52.5 50.1 47.6 46.5 44.6 43.2 43.2 41.3 38.9 34.6 32.8 30.1 22.6 22.6 22.6 1836 1565 1455 1381 1299 1221 1129 1052 959 865 787 707 629 564 500 433 366 312 261 222 176 135 95 71 53 29 16 11 5 100.0 87.1 84.5 82.5 80.0 77.7 74.7 71.9 68.6 65.1 62.4 60.0 56.6 54.8 51.7 47.9 44.0 41.1 38.1 35.8 34.0 31.3 28.5 27.4 26.2 23.7 23.7 22.0 19.4 1 22.6 2 14.6 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL RECIPIENT GENDER HEARTS 1984 - 2013 100 80 Percent Survival p=ns 60 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 Year 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Female Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel Male ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL ISCHAEMIC TIME HEARTS 1984 - 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 <2hrs n= % 346 296 277 265 255 245 228 217 202 189 174 163 153 149 137 122 114 104 96 85 71 61 52 37 28 19 11 9 5 3 177 100.0 88.0 85.0 81.9 79.4 77.5 73.7 71.1 66.5 63.2 59.1 57.4 54.6 53.9 50.2 46.8 44.1 43.3 41.2 38.6 36.7 34.0 31.1 27.8 26.9 26.9 25.2 25.2 21.8 17.0 17.0 2-4 hrs n= % 1141 981 923 872 808 758 697 644 589 532 487 446 393 349 321 285 241 206 171 146 118 89 58 47 35 17 9 4 1 100.0 88.0 85.6 83.8 81.2 78.7 75.6 72.3 69.4 66.0 63.4 60.3 56.7 53.7 50.9 47.7 43.5 40.5 37.6 35.7 34.4 31.9 28.6 28.0 26.0 22.3 20.7 17.7 17.7 4-6 hrs n= % 695 581 534 501 469 434 395 361 327 282 250 213 182 155 127 105 83 67 52 42 32 23 14 10 5 2 1 1 100.0 85.7 83.9 82.0 80.1 78.2 75.6 72.9 70.8 66.9 64.5 61.7 58.1 57.4 53.9 49.8 46.8 43.2 39.0 36.6 35.6 33.1 33.1 33.1 33.1 24.8 24.8 24.8 >6 hrs n= % 166 138 130 120 113 106 99 91 81 71 63 51 47 36 28 22 17 14 9 7 5 1 100.0 85.4 81.0 77.8 76.5 75.1 73.7 72.1 71.3 68.6 66.5 64.2 62.9 60.0 58.1 53.7 51.0 47.8 47.8 47.8 47.8 47.8 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL ISCHAEMIC TIME HEARTS 1984 - 2013 100 80 p=ns 60 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 <2hrs 2-4 hrs Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel 4-6 hrs >6 hrs ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL CROSSMATCH HEARTS 1984 - 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Positive n= 164 129 120 109 102 95 82 75 72 65 60 54 46 44 41 38 32 25 25 21 17 11 8 7 6 3 1 1 % 100.0 79.8 77.9 74.5 73.8 72.3 68.4 64.1 62.4 58.0 54.4 52.6 47.5 47.5 47.5 44.1 40.4 36.4 36.4 30.6 30.6 26.5 26.5 26.5 26.5 21.2 21.2 21.2 Negative n= 2017 1728 1619 1544 1469 1396 1293 1202 1100 995 909 818 731 647 575 497 424 367 304 260 209 163 116 87 62 35 20 13 6 3 1 % 100.0 87.3 84.8 82.9 80.7 78.6 75.6 72.8 69.9 66.6 63.8 61.1 58.0 55.8 52.5 49.0 45.3 42.8 39.8 38.0 36.4 33.9 30.9 29.1 27.6 25.4 23.6 22.2 20.0 16.0 16.0 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL CROSSMATCH HEARTS 1984 - 2013 100 80 p < 0.01 60 Percent Survival 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 Year 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Positive Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel Negative ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL PEAK PANEL REACTIVE ANTIBODIES ALL HEARTS 1984 - 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 PRA<15% n= % 2136 1818 1706 1613 1517 1422 1305 1210 1099 989 890 796 705 624 557 486 416 359 301 257 208 159 113 84 59 30 18 11 5 2 100.0 87.0 84.5 82.4 80.4 78.2 75.2 72.5 69.5 66.2 63.2 60.8 57.4 55.3 52.4 49.0 45.4 42.8 39.7 37.3 35.8 33.1 30.1 28.3 27.2 24.3 23.3 21.7 19.2 14.4 PRA≥15 n= % 221 182 166 154 137 130 121 110 107 95 90 81 74 69 60 50 40 33 28 24 18 15 11 10 9 8 3 3 1 1 1 100.0 85.7 84.2 81.1 76.8 75.1 72.2 67.3 66.7 61.6 60.3 54.9 52.2 51.4 46.9 42.8 38.3 36.2 36.2 36.2 36.2 34.1 34.1 34.1 30.7 30.7 25.6 25.6 25.6 25.6 25.6 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL PEAK PRA ALL HEARTS 1984 - 2013 100 80 p=ns 60 Percent Survival 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Year PRA<15% Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel PRA>=15% ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL CMV STATUS HEARTS 1984 - 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Donor Neg Rec Neg n= 376 317 294 280 265 252 233 218 201 186 168 152 130 115 97 90 80 72 66 60 46 30 19 14 12 5 3 2 2 % 100.0 87.8 85.5 84.1 81.0 80.1 78.1 76.1 74.3 72.0 67.3 64.8 60.8 57.9 53.2 52.1 49.7 47.7 45.1 43.6 42.0 37.8 33.5 33.5 31.0 24.5 19.0 19.0 19.0 Donor Pos Rec Neg n= 418 350 325 306 285 273 254 232 216 197 179 158 142 122 113 99 87 71 58 50 42 32 27 21 12 7 4 1 % 100.0 85.7 82.7 80.9 79.0 76.8 73.4 70.4 68.2 65.3 64.0 61.7 59.7 57.9 56.5 53.4 50.6 46.3 44.2 40.3 40.3 39.2 39.2 39.2 36.9 36.9 36.9 36.9 Recipient Pos n= 1528 1307 1225 1158 1082 1008 922 859 779 690 627 562 501 450 403 343 287 248 203 169 136 110 76 57 42 24 12 9 2 1 % 100.0 87.3 84.9 82.9 80.8 78.4 75.1 72.3 69.1 65.4 62.6 59.7 56.2 54.3 51.1 46.9 42.8 40.5 37.4 35.4 33.6 31.0 27.8 25.4 24.4 22.3 21.1 19.2 19.2 19.2 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL CMV STATUS HEARTS 1984 - 2013 100 80 p=ns 60 Percent Survival 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 Year 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 R-ve/D-ve R-ve/D+ve R+ve = R+veD+ve or R+veD-ve Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel R+ve ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL HLA MISMATCH HEARTS 1984 - 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 MM0 n= 2 2 1 % 100.0 50.0 0.0 MM1 n= 5 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 % 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 66.7 66.7 66.7 66.7 66.7 66.7 66.7 66.7 66.7 66.7 66.7 66.7 66.7 66.7 66.7 66.7 66.7 MM2 n= 33 26 26 26 26 23 23 22 20 19 18 15 14 13 11 11 8 8 7 5 4 4 4 4 2 1 % 100.0 78.8 78.8 78.8 78.8 75.6 75.6 72.3 69.0 65.5 65.5 61.7 57.6 53.5 49.2 49.2 39.8 39.8 39.8 39.8 39.8 39.8 39.8 39.8 39.8 19.9 MM3 n= 115 103 96 92 91 86 83 73 69 64 56 52 48 47 42 37 32 28 25 24 19 13 8 4 2 % 100.0 90.4 89.5 87.6 87.6 84.7 82.7 78.6 77.5 75.2 72.7 71.4 67.2 67.2 65.7 64.1 62.3 58.2 56.1 56.1 56.1 49.5 40.9 40.9 40.9 MM4 n= 351 296 280 268 248 226 205 192 165 154 141 124 115 108 97 83 70 59 53 48 34 26 19 15 12 8 5 3 1 % 100.0 85.4 83.6 83.0 81.1 78.1 74.2 72.0 66.2 62.6 58.8 55.8 54.4 53.0 49.5 43.8 39.4 35.9 34.7 34.7 32.2 31.2 29.8 28.1 26.1 23.6 20.2 15.7 15.7 MM5 n= 812 703 653 609 576 547 502 463 430 388 359 321 287 250 222 192 163 138 112 94 77 63 45 34 23 14 9 6 3 2 % 100.0 89.7 87.3 84.9 82.9 81.2 78.2 74.5 72.1 68.4 65.1 61.5 58.7 56.4 53.4 49.6 46.1 43.4 38.8 35.9 34.3 33.3 30.4 28.2 27.2 24.4 24.4 24.4 19.5 19.5 MM6 n= % 1046 100.0 872 85.1 813 82.3 769 79.8 710 76.9 667 74.8 614 71.9 570 69.5 520 67.2 454 63.9 406 61.5 366 59.6 314 55.2 274 53.2 244 50.0 212 47.3 182 43.8 159 41.8 131 39.5 109 36.7 91 35.6 67 31.4 48 29.2 37 27.9 29 26.3 15 25.1 7 22.9 5 22.9 2 22.9 1 11.5 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL HLA MISMATCH HEARTS 1984 - 2013 100 p<0.05 80 Percent Survival 60 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Year MM0 MM1 MM2 Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel MM3 MM4 MM5 MM6 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL HLA DR LOCUS MISMATCH HEARTS 1984 - 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 MM0 n= 72 61 55 48 47 45 40 36 34 31 30 26 23 22 20 20 16 15 13 12 11 9 5 5 3 1 % 100.0 86.0 83.1 78.4 78.4 76.7 69.8 68.0 68.0 63.9 63.9 61.7 56.9 54.4 51.9 51.9 46.4 46.4 43.2 43.2 43.2 43.2 32.4 32.4 32.4 19.4 MM1 n= 484 42 389 374 356 326 304 284 257 235 213 191 171 157 139 122 102 91 77 68 49 39 32 24 15 9 4 4 3 1 % 100.0 89.5 87.5 86.4 85.2 82.0 79.7 77.3 73.4 69.6 66.0 62.8 59.1 57.7 53.9 51.1 46.3 43.5 40.0 39.0 37.0 34.6 33.6 31.3 29.7 27.3 23.4 23.4 17.6 17.6 MM2 n= 1808 1526 1429 1345 1251 1181 1083 1002 915 815 738 662 585 514 458 394 338 287 239 201 166 126 87 65 50 28 17 10 3 2 1 % 100.0 86.3 83.7 81.5 78.9 76.9 73.9 70.8 68.2 64.9 62.1 59.6 56.4 54.3 51.4 47.6 44.3 41.7 39.1 36.5 35.1 32.4 29.5 27.9 26.5 24.6 23.5 21.8 21.8 14.5 14.5 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL HLA DR LOCUS MISMATCH HEARTS 1984 - 2013 100 80 p= ns 60 Percent Survival 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 Year 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 MM0 Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel MM1 MM2 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL MALIGNANCIES HEART 1984 - 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 PTLD n= 95 89 87 84 75 72 67 58 56 50 46 40 36 36 33 28 25 20 15 11 11 9 7 7 5 3 3 2 2 % 100.0 93.7 91.6 88.4 81.0 78.8 74.4 65.4 63.2 57.5 52.9 47.1 42.4 42.4 38.8 35.2 31.4 27.5 23.2 19.8 19.8 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 OTHER MALIGNANCIES (invasive skin/other) n= 501 493 485 478 460 442 416 395 373 348 323 300 275 259 239 209 175 151 127 104 79 57 41 31 21 13 6 4 2 *Survival of the group who were defined by having developed a malignancy % 100.0 98.4 97.0 96.0 93.0 89.9 85.2 81.9 78.0 74.0 69.9 66.4 62.6 60.5 56.8 52.1 46.5 41.6 38.2 34.1 32.3 27.5 23.8 21.3 19.7 18.6 16.7 16.7 16.7 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL MALIGNANCIES HEARTS 1984 - 2013 100 90 80 70 Percent Survival 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 ptld v other mal p=<0.005 0 1 2 3 Year 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 PTLD OTHER MALIGNANCIES Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel ANZCOTR 2013 RECIPIENT CAUSE OF DEATH - HEARTS 1984 - 2013 n = 1114 27% 300 18% 250 No of Deaths 200 14% 15% 10% 150 7% 100 4% 4% 50 0 1% TxCAD Misc Infection Acute Rejection Other NSGF Malignancies PTLD CVA Hemorrhage ANZCOTR 2013 CAUSE OF DEATH HEARTS 1984 - 2013 Transplant Coronary Artery Disease (TxCAD) Other Malignancy (non PTLD) Infection Acute Rejection Non-specific Graft Failure (NSGF) PTLD CVA Hemorrage 201 171 153 106 83 45 42 15 OTHER TOTAL(incl unspecified) Total all Deaths = 1114 298 60 30 29 29 17 16 12 9 7 7 6 5 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 Renal Failure Sudden Death Multi-organ Failure Cardiac Arrest/MI Heart Failure TxCAD + Rejection Pulmonary/Resp Failure Non-compliance Suicide Pancreatitis Motor Vehicle Accident Liver Failure Bowel Ischaemia Post Surgical Complication Right Ventricular Failure Pulmonary Hypertension Pulmonary Embolism Drug Overdose Aortic Dessection (Marfan's) congenital bronchomalacia (1), pericarditis(1), peripheral vascular disease(3), anoxic brain/head inj(2) acute abdomen (2), myelodysplasia (1), esophogeal perforation (1)drug induced lung damage (1) esophageal diverticulum (1) COPD (3) Hepatic Encephalopathy (2) Gen. deterioration (4) amyloidosis (1), Parkinson's(1),mesenteric ischemia(1), died on table(2) aortic aneurism(2) Brain stem bleed (2), dissenting myopathy (1), stroke (2), Motor Neuron Disease (1) Unspecified (data pending) 13 ANZCOTR 2013 CAUSE OF DEATH ALL HEARTS <5 YEARS AFTER TX 1984-2013 No % Infection 108 22 Misc (incl 4 no data 87 17 Rejection 86 17 Non Specific Graft Failure 67 14 Graft Atherosclerosis (TxCAD) 56 11 Non Lymphoid Malignancy 30 6 Lymphoproliferative Disease 13 3 CVA 20 4 Haemorrhage 12 2 Graft Atherosclerosis & Rejection 9 2 Pulmonary Failure 6 1 Pulmonary Hypertension 2 1 Totals 495 100.0 ANZCOTR 2013 CAUSE OF DEATH ALL HEARTS ≥5 YEARS AFTER TX 1984-2013 No % Misc (incl data pending) 178 29 Graft Atherosclerosis (TxCAD) 145 23 Non Lymphoid Malignancy 141 23 Infection 45 7 Lymphoproliferative Disease 32 5 Rejection 20 3 CVA 22 4 Non Specific Graft Failure 16 3 Pulmonary Failure 6 1 Haemorrhage 3 0.5 Graft Atherosclerosis & Rejection 7 1 Pulmonary Hypertension 1 0.5 Totals 619 100.0 ANZCOTR 2013 MALIGNANCIES* - HEART n = 596 1984 - 2013 PTLD 16 % Other 84 % *the count of initial diagnosis only ANZCOTR 2013 MALIGNANCIES - HEART N=596 1984 - 2013 PTLD Skin Metastatic SCC Melanoma BCC Spindle Cell Merkle Cell Dermatofibrosarcoma 95 95/2364=4% 241 35 72 2 3 2 355 355/2364=15% Other 146/2364=6.2% Lung Bowel Prostate Liver Renal Bladder Tonsil/throat/tongue Parotid Oesophagus Mesothelioma Pancreas Cervix Thyroid/Parathyroid Breast Larynx Caecum Testicle Carcinoid Tumour Ear/Face/Neck Brain Uterus Endometrium Leiomyosarcoma Leukaemia Liposarcoma Mediastinum Neuroblastoma Pituitary Seminoma Bone Unspecified 32 18 16 11 7 6 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 7 ANZCOTR 2013 Reason for Transplant Heart Lung 1986 - 2013 Misc 7% Bronchiectasis 2% CFA 3% PPH 26% Cystic Fibrosis 14% Congenital Heart Disease 14% Eisenmenger’s 21% Emphysema 3% AAT deficiency 7% Other PH 3% ANZCOTR 2013 REASON FOR TRANSPLANT HEART LUNG n = 182 1986 - 2013 Primary Pulmonary Hypertension Eisenmenger's Syndrome Congenital Heart Disease Cystic Fibrosis Alpha-1-Antitrypsin Deficiency Emphysema Cryptogenic Fibrosing Alveolitis Other Pulmonary Hypertension Bronchiectasis Miscellaneous 47 37 26 25 13 6 5 6 4 13 Total 182 ANZCOTR 2013 Reason for Transplant Single Lung 1990 - 2013 Misc 6% Bronchiectasis 1% Other PH / Eisenmengers / CF 1% AAT 16% IPF 25% Emphysema 51% ANZCOTR 2013 REASON FOR TRANSPLANT SINGLE LUNG 1990 - 2013 n = 476 Emphysema Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Alpha-1-Antitrypsin Deficiency *Miscellaneous lung Bronchiectasis Other Pulmonary Hypertension Eisenmenger's Syndrome Cystic Fibrosis 242 119 74 31 5 2 1 1 *Lymphangioleiomyomatosis(5), OB(4), PLAM(4), sarcoidosis(3), pulmonary eosinophillic granulomatosis(2), allergic alveolitis(3), tuberous sclerosis(2), severe air flow obstruction(1), Histiocytosis X(2), alveolar cell sarcoma(1), asthma(1), Agammaglobulinaemia(1), hypersensitive pneuminitis(1) UIP(1), LIP(1) ANZCOTR 2013 Reason for Transplant Bilateral Lung 1992 – 2013 n =1704 Eisenmengers 1% IPF 10% Misc 9% Bronchiectasis 8% PPH 4% Other PH 1% AAT 7% Emphysema 27% Cystic Fibrosis 33% ANZCOTR 2013 REASON FOR TRANSPLANT BILATERAL LUNG 1992 - 2013 n = 1704 Cystic Fibrosis Emphysema Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Bronchiectasis Alpha-1-Antitrypsin Deficiency Primary Pulmonary Hypertension Other Pulmonary Hypertension Eisenmengers Syndrome *Miscellaneous lung * ILD(50), OB(24), sarcoidosis(24), PLAM (21), histiocytosis X(8), asthma (7), alveolitis(6), 568 452 173 137 118 70 18 10 158 1704 eosinophilic granulomatosis(3), ARDS(3), silicosis(1), diffuse alveolar damage(2), cystic lung disease (2), x -linked hypogammaglobulinemia(2), graft v host(1), viral pneumonia(1), Wegeners granulomatosis(1), surficant c deficiency(1), alveolar proteinosis(1), microlithiasis(1), pulmonary veno occlusive disease(1), pulmonary capillary hemangiomatosis (1) hypersensitive pneumonitis(1) ANZCOTR 2013 Donor / Recipient State of Origin All Lungs 1986 - 2013 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 lk Is l NZ No rfo TA S A W SA C VI LD Q NS W NT AC T Number Recipients 86 - 13 Donors 86 - 13 ANZCOTR 2013 *Retransplants and unknown state of origins are not included DONOR / RECIPIENT STATE OF ORIGIN ALL LUNGS 1986 - 2013 Location Recipients 86-13 % Donors 86-13 % Recipients 13 % Donors 13 % ACT NT NSW QLD VIC SA WA TAS NZ Norfolk Isl 23 4 694 324 678 163 191 88 186 1 1.0 0.2 29.5 13.8 28.8 6.9 8.1 3.7 7.9 0.0 53 30 621 371 580 226 172 57 248 0 2.2 1.3 26.3 15.7 24.6 9.6 7.3 2.4 10.5 0 1 0 47 34 49 11 11 8 19 0 0.6 0.0 26.1 18.9 27.2 6.1 6.1 4.4 10.6 0.0 2 3 42 35 42 12 21 4 19 0 1.1 1.7 23.3 19.4 23.3 6.7 11.7 2.2 10.6 0.0 Total 2352 100.0 2358 100.0 180 100.0 180 100.0 *Retransplants and unknown state of origins are not included ANZCOTR 2013 Mean Wait to Transplant All Lungs 1990 - 2013 300 250 200 Days 150 100 50 0 90 92 94 96 98 0 2 4 mean wait in days 6 8 10 12 Year ANZCOTR 2013 MEAN WAITING TIME TO LUNG TRANSPLANT – DAYS 1990 - 2013 year 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 n 17 37 48 70 83 84 81 90 92 76 103 85 108 91 109 92 108 87 120 125 130 166 156 180 mean 194 273 209 211 272 297 205 260 215 242 197 241 226 221 285 211 188 192 228 234 221 197 186 161 std dev 168 234 217 259 239 295 205 251 178 204 199 231 215 217 256 239 221 195 244 261 216 225 216 202 median 136 202 148 119 201 165 132 166 186 195 135 169 161 163 197 130 119 130 130 125 149 108 120 91 min-max 2-500 5-1034 1-1075 7-2325 8-1048 8-1679 7-1009 6-1839 1-1221 7-939 1-900 1-1199 7-1333 3-1336 4-1545 5-1350 0-1146 6-1494 1-2864 1-1322 0-1297 1-1601 0-1195 0-1302 ANZCOTR 2013 Mean Recipient Age at Transplant LUNGS 1989 - 2013 70 60 Age in Years 50 40 30 20 10 0 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 HLTx SLTx BSLTx ANZCOTR 2013 MEAN RECIPIENT AGE AT LUNG TRANSPLANT 1989 - 2013 HLTx year 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 n mean std dev min-max 11-46 12 32 20-51 10 37 19-46 11 34 15-49 12 31 12-48 13 31 14-46 10 32 24-52 11 38 18-37 6 26 23-42 9 36 13-43 14 26 4 22-53 na 38 2 22-46 na 34 2 40 na 40 1 22-49 10 35 9 13-55 18 36 5 21-47 10 36 6 25-46 8 37 5 9-45 14 25 6 15-48 12 38 6 25-45 9 36 5 29-31 na 30 2 17-51 18 37 3 50-57 na 54 2 18-37 9 25 4 27-49 na 38 2 SLTx year 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 n 38 27 28 29 29 21 13 10 17 8 11 12 10 12 3 5 mean std dev min-max 48 46 46 51 49 51 54 51 51 55 55 56 57 57 56 61 54 57 60 58 58 59 57 62 5 8 7 3 6 7 6 6 9 7 6 9 5 7 6 3 7 5 4 14 6 5 9 5 42-55 32-57 26-57 46-57 30-57 22-59 30-60 35-62 30-65 37-64 39-65 32-69 43-66 42-66 48-64 57-66 34-60 50-64 54-68 14-67 42-64 53-68 47-63 56-67 BSLTx year 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 n 3 33 44 43 42 43 50 47 73 55 70 65 90 77 85 73 106 111 117 152 149 173 mean std dev min-max 34 34 36 35 39 37 38 36 40 38 39 41 44 44 45 45 44 46 45 47 47 49 17 13 10 13 14 14 14 13 13 14 14 15 14 14 16 15 15 15 16 16 15 14 ANZCOTR 2013 19-52 19-56 19-54 16-60 13-60 14-61 14-60 15-62 14-63 13-60 14-65 17-64 15-65 16-64 15-66 9-63 15-69 11-64 11-69 7-69 12-69 14-67 Mean Donor Age at Transplant ALL LUNGS 1989 - 2013 60 50 Years 40 of Age 30 20 10 0 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 HLTx 1 SLTx 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 BSLTx ANZCOTR 2013 MEAN DONOR AGE AT TRANSPLANT LUNGS 1989 - 2013 HLTx year 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 n mean std dev min-max 14 23 11 11-43 12 25 10 12-47 19 29 7 17-43 18 26 11 11-44 13 27 14 10-55 13 33 13 15-53 13 33 13 10-50 7 32 16 14-49 4 31 13 17-45 4 32 15 16-51 2 53 na 51-55 2 21 na 15-26 1 50 na 50-50 9 37 12 18-50 5 35 16 8-49 6 37 16 12-52 5 33 18 11-58 6 20 16 7-48 6 28 16 13-50 5 39 18 17-58 2 33 na 15-50 3 37 18 17-51 2 53 na 46-60 4 34 11 23-43 2 39 na 30-47 SLTx year 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 n 5 18 27 24 26 28 32 43 38 27 28 29 29 21 13 10 17 8 11 12 10 12 3 5 mean std dev min-max 32 30 34 32 29 33 38 37 35 37 41 35 35 40 33 32 41 47 40 34 58 59 21 28 12 11 9 12 9 12 12 13 13 17 17 13 13 15 13 14 18 19 12 19 6 5 3 10 18-49 15-53 18-50 14-55 17-50 18-56 14-54 12-56 16-58 15-62 17-66 16-53 12-62 18-61 19-56 13-47 13-64 17-61 19-56 16-62 42-64 53-68 18-23 18-41 BSLTx year 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 n 3 33 44 43 42 43 50 47 73 55 70 65 88 77 85 73 106 111 117 149 150 173 mean std dev min-max 21 31 33 33 34 33 35 40 38 33 36 35 36 40 35 37 38 39 42 43 44 43 3 13 13 12 12 14 13 14 13 15 16 14 15 13 15 15 15 16 15 17 16 17 ANZCOTR 2013 18-24 15-55 12-55 9-58 10-60 12-55 10-62 14-59 11-61 10-59 7-64 8-62 7-64 9-64 11-62 10-62 9-67 15-65 5-70 8-72 11-73 9-74 LUNGS MEAN ISCHAEMIC TIME 1989 - 2013 500 400 Minutes 300 200 100 0 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 SLTx 1 2 BSLTx 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 HLTx ANZCOTR 2013 LUNGS - MEAN ISCHAEMIC TIME 1989 - 2013 MINUTES year 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 HLTx mean std dev min-max 144 40 99-207 230 103 103-408 264 144 98-705 274 100 107-419 258 89 167-413 257 99 137-500 211 61 130-310 279 116 188-496 270 146 144-472 205 50 144-251 366 na 350-381 355 na 199-510 455 na 455-455 337 108 186-456 293 146 118-460 315 115 168-448 281 174 112-509 278 105 161-402 231 49 176-308 257 104 140-402 137 na 109-164 289 115 207-420 208 na 177-238 234 76 125-289 292 na 283-300 SLTx mean std dev min-max 238 226 282 315 280 304 276 290 332 306 346 351 335 344 331 304 304 292 286 311 280 247 213 304 47 108 107 124 109 94 123 117 141 111 153 133 128 123 193 111 146 146 91 116 111 85 77 151 180-310 18-450 103-455 155-543 110-465 144-485 105-515 110-525 97-740 138-560 93-612 117-623 99-564 122-510 155-735 141-452 120-532 140-570 185-423 145-535 150-450 144-385 134-287 119-486 BSLTx mean 425 420 382 362 342 361 379 346 357 383 367 377 324 327 327 342 335 326 325 338 320 311 std dev min-max 52 85 127 117 127 135 123 108 123 122 125 112 109 84 104 121 115 114 91 97 108 107 390-485 221-568 195-655 180-600 157-656 100-675 160-623 121-579 144-655 198-815 156-850 185-635 150-735 131-540 95-625 127-609 129-880 119-635 160-577 128-657 124-622 125-639 ANZCOTR 2013 Recipient Gender % Lung Transplants 1986 - 2013 70 55 60 50 51 49 45 47 53 % 40 30 20 10 0 Bilateral Lung Single Lung Male Heart Lung Female ANZCOTR 2013 Recipient Gender Lung Transplants 1986 - 2013 Transplant Type Male no % Female no % Bilateral Lung 871 51 833 49 Single Lung 264 55 212 45 Heart Lung 85 47 96 53 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL ALL LUNGS 1986 - 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 HLTx n= 181 142 123 109 97 88 82 77 65 59 57 51 46 42 39 35 32 29 26 23 20 14 7 6 % 100.0 79.4 69.3 62.0 55.7 51.1 49.3 47.5 43.0 42.3 41.6 39.4 37.8 36.1 33.5 30.9 30.0 29.0 28.0 26.9 25.6 21.5 19.5 19.5 SLTx n= 476 388 342 282 240 206 172 157 129 110 92 74 56 43 32 24 19 15 10 6 5 4 2 % 100.0 82.3 73.1 61.9 53.5 47.4 40.6 37.3 32.0 28.2 24.3 21.3 18.8 16.0 14.0 12.6 10.0 8.8 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 BSLTx n= 1704 1398 1139 915 747 614 506 440 364 303 250 187 139 110 83 63 45 26 20 12 4 % 100.0 88.5 79.8 72.6 67.1 61.8 57.7 55.0 51.2 47.6 44.4 41.7 37.8 36.9 33.9 32.6 30.8 28.3 24.9 24.9 21.9 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL ALL LUNG TRANSPLANTS 1986 - 2013 100 80 SL v HL p<0.005 SL v BL p<0.005 60 Percent Survival 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 Year 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 HLTx Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel SLTx BSLTx ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL DCD DONORS V DBD DONORS 2006 - 2013 100 80 60 Percent Survival p=ns 40 20 0 0 1 Year 2 3 DCD Donors Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel 4 5 6 7 NON DCD Donors ANZCOTR 2013 8 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL DCD DONORS v DBD DONORS 2006 - 2013 % NON DCD n= % 133 106 76 51 28 100.0 91.2 81.7 74.3 70.7 905 696 534 378 265 100.0 89.0 81.9 75.0 69.4 12 8 3 70.7 70.7 70.7 177 94 52 64.0 59.0 58.2 DCD ONLY n= 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Year ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL DONOR AGE ALL LUNGS 1986 - 2013 100 80 0-16 yrs vs 40-49yrs Percent Survival p<0.05 17-39yrs vs 40-49yrs p<0.05 60 40 20 0 0 1 2 YEAR 3 4 5 6 7 8 0-16 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 17 - 39 Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel 40 - 49 > 49 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL DONOR AGE ALL LUNGS 1986 – 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 0-16 n= 179 151 130 112 94 80 71 63 50 43 37 33 28 22 17 14 11 7 6 5 4 2 2 2 % 100.0 87.5 80.3 75.2 68.2 63.0 60.5 57.8 51.1 48.9 44.3 43.0 41.7 41.7 37.6 37.6 34.7 34.7 34.7 28.9 28.9 20.7 20.7 20.7 17 - 39 n= 1056 876 746 641 544 465 397 357 302 257 222 169 132 110 89 77 61 47 39 30 20 13 6 4 2 % 100.0 86.7 78.2 70.7 64.7 59.7 54.7 51.7 47.1 42.3 39.2 36.1 32.5 30.7 28.6 26.9 24.7 23.3 21.8 21.8 20.1 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 40 - 49 n= 522 432 357 280 232 194 156 137 113 94 76 62 52 38 30 19 13 9 6 4 3 2 2 % 100.0 86.5 76.8 65.6 60.0 54.1 49.1 46.1 42.6 41.0 36.0 33.5 31.2 28.6 25.4 21.5 19.0 15.8 15.8 15.8 15.8 15.8 15.8 50+ n= 604 469 371 273 214 169 136 117 93 78 64 48 29 25 18 12 11 7 5 2 2 1 1 % 100.0 85.8 76.3 68.7 61.0 54.3 50.2 47.5 43.2 41.2 40.1 36.0 31.6 29.4 25.5 25.5 25.5 22.8 16.3 16.3 16.3 16.3 16.3 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL ISCHAEMIC TIME ALL LUNGS 1986 - 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 <2hrs n= 33 27 25 21 19 15 12 9 9 9 8 7 6 5 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 % 100.0 84.6 78.3 65.8 59.5 47.0 43.7 32.7 32.7 32.7 29.1 25.5 21.8 18.2 14.6 14.6 14.6 14.6 14.6 14.6 14.6 14.6 14.6 14.6 14.6 2-4 hrs n= 510 416 346 279 233 199 172 155 122 107 87 75 55 49 38 30 25 23 21 17 14 9 5 3 2 % 100.0 87.4 80.0 69.7 64.4 59.6 56.4 53.4 47.2 43.7 39.8 37.9 34.5 33.2 28.9 25.7 24.8 24.8 23.7 22.5 21.1 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.7 4-6 hrs n= 948 787 642 525 428 343 281 250 203 164 146 114 88 65 54 40 30 20 15 11 6 5 3 2 1 % 100.0 88.4 78.3 71.4 64.8 57.8 53.6 51.0 46.5 42.6 41.0 38.2 33.9 31.0 29.0 28.4 25.3 22.4 20.0 20.0 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 >6 hrs n= 766 619 524 423 349 307 260 228 197 170 144 108 84 69 53 44 35 22 15 11 7 2 % 100.0 84.1 75.3 66.9 59.7 56.5 51.3 48.5 44.7 41.5 37.0 33.1 30.7 29.6 27.7 25.5 23.0 20.7 18.6 16.8 18.6 14.9 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL ISCHAEMIC TIME ALL LUNGS 1986 - 2013 100 80 60 p=ns Percent Survival 40 20 0 0 1 2 Year 3 4 5 6 7 <2hrs 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 2-4 hrs Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel 4-6 hrs >6 hrs ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL CROSSMATCH ALL LUNGS 1986 - 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Positive n= % 138 117 104 79 66 58 50 47 40 34 30 22 16 15 11 10 10 7 6 4 3 2 1 1 100.0 86.1 78.0 65.4 60.2 56.5 52.4 50.3 43.8 39.3 36.9 32.9 28.1 28.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 21.4 21.4 21.4 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 Negative n= % 1910 1561 1307 1083 919 776 653 581 495 423 357 279 216 176 142 111 85 62 49 36 25 15 8 5 3 100.0 86.4 77.5 69.4 63.1 57.3 52.5 49.3 44.9 41.5 38.2 35.4 32.3 30.2 27.8 25.9 23.6 22.1 20.2 19.7 19.1 16.4 16.4 16.4 16.4 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL CROSSMATCH LUNGS 1986 - 2013 100 80 60 Percent Survival p=ns 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 Year 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Positive Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel Negative ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL CMV STATUS ALL LUNGS 1986 - 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Donor Neg Rec Neg n= 366 298 258 221 189 161 129 109 88 74 64 53 42 34 29 21 15 11 10 8 5 4 2 2 2 % 100.0 86.0 78.6 71.7 65.3 61.4 54.9 51.4 46.9 44.6 39.7 37.1 34.1 32.4 32.4 31.1 27.8 27.8 25.3 25.3 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 Donor Pos Rec Neg n= 457 380 314 263 215 188 160 144 119 99 83 63 52 41 31 28 21 12 9 7 6 1 1 % 100.0 90.0 79.5 73.2 65.6 61.2 56.5 53.6 47.8 44.0 40.7 38.0 36.7 33.7 30.2 29.2 24.8 23.3 23.3 23.3 23.3 17.5 17.5 Recipient Pos n= 1490 1212 1004 799 659 543 458 408 340 288 241 187 139 113 88 69 56 44 34 24 16 11 4 2 1 % 100.0 85.7 77.1 68.2 62.0 55.9 51.7 48.9 44.9 41.2 38.2 35.0 31.1 29.7 26.6 24.9 23.8 21.9 19.8 19.8 18.8 16.2 14.2 14.2 14.2 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL CMV STATUS LUNGS 1986 - 2013 100 80 R-D+ vs R+ p<0.05 60 Percent Survival 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 R-ve/D-ve R-ve/D+ve R+ve Years R+ve = R+ve/D+ve or R+ve/D-ve Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL HLA MISMATCH ALL LUNGS 1986 - 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 MM0-1 n= 13 11 9 8 5 4 4 4 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 % 100.0 84.6 69.2 69.2 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 50.8 MM2 n= 26 21 18 16 12 10 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 3 2 1 % 100.0 80.8 69.2 69.2 60.0 60.0 48.0 48.0 42.0 42.0 42.0 42.0 42.0 42.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 17.5 MM3 n= 112 96 86 73 63 57 50 44 34 28 26 22 19 15 13 11 9 7 5 3 3 1 % 100.0 90.0 84.2 77.1 73.8 71.4 66.2 62.1 57.5 53.9 52.0 45.9 39.6 35.2 32.8 32.8 32.8 32.8 32.8 32.8 32.8 19.7 MM4 n= 338 280 238 186 148 123 105 93 77 62 56 48 41 37 29 22 15 11 9 6 4 2 1 1 % 100.0 87.6 79.5 70.0 61.0 55.8 52.9 50.3 44.7 38.7 36.8 33.4 32.0 31.2 27.6 25.5 22.9 21.2 21.2 21.2 21.2 21.2 21.2 21.2 MM5 n= 772 617 512 413 334 287 237 206 166 148 131 104 78 64 51 44 35 23 21 15 10 5 2 1 1 % 100.0 85.1 77.4 69.2 61.7 56.7 51.7 48.4 44.4 41.6 37.7 34.9 32.3 31.4 28.8 28.2 25.5 22.2 22.2 22.2 18.9 14.4 10.8 10.8 10.8 MM6 n= 1100 905 741 610 522 427 356 319 272 226 177 131 96 72 55 41 34 27 20 16 11 9 5 3 3 % 100.0 86.9 76.8 68.6 63.7 57.2 52.4 49.9 45.4 42.2 38.8 36.1 31.9 29.0 26.8 23.7 21.8 21.8 17.6 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.7 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL HLA MISMATCH ALL LUNGS 1986 – 2013 100 80 MM0-1 v MM5 MM0-1 v MM6 p<0.05 p<0.05 60 Percent Survival 40 20 0 0 1 2 Years 3 4 5 6 MM0-1 7 8 MM2 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 MM3 Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel MM4 MM5 MM6 ANZCOTR 2013 ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL HLA DR LOCUS MISMATCH ALL LUNGS 1986 -2013 100 80 p=ns 60 Percent Survival 40 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 MM0 MM1 MM2 Years ANZCOTR 2013 Survival by Cutler-Ederer life tables, comparisons by log rank Cox-Mantel ACTUARIAL SURVIVAL HLA DR LOCUS MISMATCH LUNGS 1986 – 2013 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 MM0 n= 62 52 45 41 35 30 27 24 18 15 15 14 13 13 11 8 6 5 4 3 3 2 1 1 % 100.0 86.9 78.4 76.6 68.9 66.8 62.3 55.4 48.0 42.5 42.5 42.5 39.5 39.5 33.4 33.4 28.9 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 MM1 n= 489 394 334 271 210 180 153 128 99 85 75 64 54 45 33 27 20 17 13 10 5 2 % 100.0 85.7 77.8 70.7 62.2 57.5 54.2 50.5 45.0 41.7 38.2 37.7 35.2 33.1 27.0 25.2 24.2 22.9 22.9 22.9 17.5 13.1 MM2 n= 1810 1484 1225 995 839 698 580 523 441 373 309 235 174 137 110 88 70 48 39 28 21 14 8 5 4 % 100.0 86.7 77.5 68.8 63.1 57.2 52.2 49.7 45.6 42.2 38.9 35.2 31.8 29.8 28.4 26.5 24.2 22.6 20.2 19.6 19.6 17.5 15.9 15.9 15.9 ANZCOTR 2013 CAUSE OF DEATH - ALL LUNGS 1986 - 2012 ANZCOTR 2012 CAUSE OF DEATH - LUNGS 1986 - 2013 n = 1219 Bronchiolitis Obliterans Infection Pulmonary Failure Other Malignancy NSGF Acute Rejection Renal Failure Hemorrage PTLD CVA TxCAD OTHER (incl unspec) Totals Multi-organ Failure Cardiac Arrest (16) Heart Failure(5) IHD(4) Sudden Death (cause unknown) Post Surgical Complications Suicide(4) Non compliance(4) Withdrawal of treatment(2) Inanition(1) Bowel Ischemia(4) Perforation(1) Rupture(1) Liver Failure(5) Cirrhosis(1) Necrotising Bronchiolitis(3) BronchO Pneumonia(2) Pulmonary Embolism (4) Aspergillosis (3) Aspiration (1) Pancreatitis Hypoxic brain (2) Pneumothorax(1) Aortic Dissection Esophageal rupture Systemic vasculitis Parkinson's disease Metabolic problem Reperfusion Injury Dissecting Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Cyclosporin Neurotoxicity Metabolic problem Unspecified (no data) 27 25 12 11 9 6 6 5 4 4 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 23 403 33% 267 22% 94 8% 75 6% 70 5% 32 3% 39 3% 34 3% 26 2% 26 2% 6 1% 147 13% 1219 100% ANZCOTR 2013 CAUSE OF DEATH ALL LUNGS < 5 YEARS POST TX Bronchiolitis Obliterans Infection Misc Pulmonary Failure Non specific Graft Failure Non Lymphoid Malignancy Hemorrhage Rejection CVA PTLD Renal Failure No Data Graft Atherosclerosis (TxCAD) No 269 209 93 70 63 30 29 28 25 18 17 6 5 % 31.2 24.2 10.8 8.1 7.3 3.5 3.4 3.2 2.9 2.1 2.0 0.7 0.6 Totals 862 100.0 CAUSE OF DEATH ALL LUNGS ≥ 5 YEARS POST TX Bronchiolitis Obliterans Infection Non Lymphoid Malignancy Misc Pulmonary Failure Renal Failure PTLD NonSpecific Graft Failure No Data Hemorrhage Rejection CVA Graft Atherosclerosis (TxCAD) No 134 57 45 42 24 22 8 7 6 5 4 2 1 % 37.5 16.0 12.6 11.8 6.7 6.2 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.3 Totals 357 100.0 ANZCOTR 2013