The EU-US Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) Istanbul 12 September 2013 Damien Levie Deputy Chief Negotiator DG TRADE 1 Disclaimer All views expressed are purely personal and should not be considered as representative of the European Commission’s official position. Neither the European Commission nor any person acting on behalf of the Commission is responsible for the use which might be made of the following information. 2 1- Top trading partners 2 – TTIP Time 3 – How we got there? 4 – Economic findings 5 – A "21st century" trade agreement 6 – Timing 7 – EU negotiation mandate 89 - Transparency in trade negotiations 3 EU/US Trade: EU is the world's biggest trading power Countries who have the EU, the US, China or Japan as their most important trade partner EU as first trade partner US as first trade partner China as first trade partner Japan as first trade partner 4 Top trading partners • World's largest trade market • 50% of world GDP and 1/3 of world trade • €1.8 billion/day and €723 billion/year of goods and services traded • 15 million transatlantic jobs • €2,4 trillion of mutual investment stocks However, relative importance is in decline 5 EU imports from USA (2011) 6 EU exports to USA (2011) 7 TTIP time Not new: "old movie" of the 90ies Trade = growth at minimal cost to taxpayer • Irresistible given macroeconomic situation Potential not fully exploited • Tariff average: 3% EU: 5.2% US: 3.5% • Trade-weighted tariff protection: EU: 2.8% US: 2.1% • Barriers at and behind borders : similar aims, different approaches 8 TTIP time (2) Ambitious bilateral trade and investment agendas • Canada, Japan, India and ASEAN • Trans-Pacific Partnership DDA Impasse & need of new global trade rules Stars aligned • European Council and European Parliament • 28 Member States • Business 9 How we got there? Preparations (1) November 2011 EU-US Presidential Summit • High-Level Working Group on Growth and Jobs • Tasks: identify policies & measures to increase trade and investment to support job creation, growth & international competitiveness • Timing: June & end of the year 2012 (US elections) 10 How we got there? Preparations (2) • • • • • In-depth work Scoping exercise USTR & European Commission Relationship between equals Building on previous work, TEC, & > 60 sector-specific regulatory dialogues 11 How we got there? Preparations (3) Interim report June 2012 • Preferred option: a comprehensive agreement • Goal is highly ambitious liberalisation in all areas: goods, services, public procurement, investment, regulatory issues and non-tariff barriers. • Rules for the 21st century: trade facilitation & customs, competition and State-owned enterprises, labour & environment, SMEs, supply chains, access to raw materials & energy. 12 Preparations (4) Interim report June 2012 "If achievable" 13 Preparatory Work (5) Stakeholders' role invited by the HLWG (interim report) to present concrete proposals to address the impact of regulatory differences that unnecessarily impede trade Joint EU-US call July 2012 call by USTR/DoC + TRADE / DG Enterprise & Industry Good results Legislators in the loop 14 Preparatory Work (6) Final report February 2013 Recommends start procedures to launch negotiations of a comprehensive trade & investment agreement: "TTIP" Key findings: • Need break new ground to reap benefits & establish new trade rules that are globally relevant • Need innovative approaches, both to be creative, flexible & open-minded • Agreement in three parts 15 Preparatory Work (7) Final report February 2013 1. market access 2. Regulatory issues & NTBs 3. Rules addressing shared global trade challenges and opportunities 16 Preparatory Work (8) Market Access • Goods: "would be to eliminate all duties on bilateral trade … substantial elimination of tariffs upon entry into force, phasing out of all but the most sensitive in a short time frame … options for … most sensitive products" • Services: bind existing opening, and "achieve new market access … long-standing market access barriers while recognising … sensitive … sectors. Commitments on transparency, impartiality & due process for licensing & qualification requirements & procedures 17 Preparatory Work (9) Market Access ctd • Investment: liberalization and protection provisions based on highest standards • Public procurement: "enhance business opportunities through substantially improved market access to gov procurement .. At all levels of government on the basis of national treatment 18 Preparatory Work (10) Regulatory issues & NTBs • Important: "significant portion of the benefits" [equivalent to a traditional tariff of 10-20%] • Balanced ambition: move progressively to a more integrated market place while respecting each side's "right to regulate in a manner that ensures the level of protection of health, safety, and the environment that each side deems appropriate" • Shared objective: identify new ways to prevent NTBs from limiting the capacity of U.S. and EU firms to innovate & compete in global markets 19 Preparatory Work (11) Regulatory issues & NTBs ctd • Need new processes & mechanism: promote greater compatibility, including where appropriate, harmonization of future regulations, & reduce burdens from existing regulations through, where appropriate, mutual recognition or other means • 5 elements 20 Preparatory Work (12) Regulatory issues & NTBs ctd 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. ambitious SPS chapter ambitious TBT chapter Horizontal disciplines on regulatory coherence in goods and services… upstream regulatory consultation, impact assessments, good regulatory practices Sectorial annexes: Commitments / steps => regulatory coherence Framework … guiding regulatory cooperation … institutional basis for future progress – "engine of the living agreement" 21 Preparatory Work (12) Rules addressing shared global trade challenges and opportunities 1. 2. 3. 4. IPR Environment & labour Other rules, principles, modes of cooperation in: trade facilitation & customs, competition policy, State-owned enterprises and other enterprises with special gov' granted rights,localization barriers to trade, access to raw materials & energy, SMEs, transparency 22 Final report HLWG • Endorsed by Presidents Barroso, Van Rompuy and Obama • Triggered internal procedures to launch negotiations of a “Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership” (TTIP) 23 Impact Assessment - Economic findings • Significant economic gains both EU & US: • 0,5 % increase in EU GDP by 2027 • 68-119bio €/year (EU), 50-95bio €/year (US) • 545€ extra disposable income for families • Increased trade • EU exports to US up by 28% (187 bio €) • Total EU exports up 220 bio € (3rd countries included) • Labour market: benefits (of overall wages and new job opportunities for high- and low-skilled workers) • RoW: GDP increase +100 bio/ € 24 Impact Assessment – Sectoral Benefits Output (in %) US EU Agriculture forestry fisheries Other primary sectors Processed foods Chemicals Electrical machinery Motor vehicles Other transport equipment Other machinery Metals and metal products Wood and paper products Other manufactures Water transport Air transport Finance Insurance Business services Communications Construction Personal services Other services 0.06 0.02 0.57 0.37 -7.28 1.54 -0.08 0.37 -1.50 0.08 0.79 0.99 0.44 0.42 0.83 0.25 0.17 0.53 0.26 0.28 0.00 0.05 -1.13 -0.40 -2.04 -2.78 0.83 1.66 0.45 -0.02 0.26 0.42 0.39 -0.11 -0.44 0.07 0.32 0.39 0.38 0.18 Bilateral exports (in Million EUR) Bilateral exports (in %) EU exports to US US exports to EU EU exports to US US exports to EU 15.10 0.60 45.50 36.20 35.00 148.70 25.50 6.60 68.20 19.90 22.80 6.80 1.60 8.50 8.30 2.30 0.90 3.10 2.30 -1.00 21.80 0.40 74.80 34.20 44.10 346.80 27.80 16.70 88.10 42.50 16.70 7.10 2.20 4.90 7.40 5.40 10.50 6.60 13.80 1.50 1,743 55 13,405 29,895 2,555 87,358 9,037 7,448 12,516 3,209 11,132 23 333 3,517 3,333 1,545 51 71 228 -491 1,102 41 4,083 27,273 8,304 65,903 10,318 7,810 18,778 2,918 6,170 42 374 1,240 264 1,931 685 155 964 744 25 EU negotiation mandate Negotiating directives set out in very broad terms the topics and objectives to be achieved in the negotiations Three main elements: • Market access: tariffs, RoO, Services, PP, Investment • Regulatory and NTBs: towards convergence? • Trade rules addressing shared global challenges IPR, Trade and Sustainable Development + Other Globally Relevant Challenges and Opportunities 26 Tariffs IPR Other Public Procur ement 21st Century FTA Invest ment Ingredients TBT & SPS Regulatory Cooperation Services 27 Timing Parallel launch procedures Adoption of negotiation mandate (14 June 2013) Letter of notification US Congress (90-day period) Trade negotiations on one tank of gas 1st round of negotiations (July 2013) 2nd round 7-10 October 3rd round December 28 Milestones on the way No low-hanging fruit Complex topics • Agriculture, SPS, Regulatory convergence, NTBs, services, public procurement Elements of timing • US presidential term • EP elections June 2014 • College of Commissioners Oct. 2014 29 Transparency in trade negotiations • Democratic scrutiny and public involvement are encouraged at all stages of negotiations • During negotiations: public consultations, civil society dialogue, SIA, Council and EP (INTA) • Stay informed Commission's TTIP dedicated website http://ec.europa.eu/trade/policy/in-focus/ttip/ Follow us on Twitter @EU_TTIP_team • Public debate before the deal is approved 30 Negotiations: Working arrangements • DG Trade will take the overall lead (and USTR) • Negotiating teams are led by a Chief Negotiator • Chief Negotiators set up negotiation rounds, normally alternating between the EU and US • Depending on the agenda, up to 70 people on the Commission side • 1st round: 8-12 July in Washington • All areas of negotiation covered • DG Trade draws on expertise from across the Commission • Strong cooperation between DGs 31 THE END 32