The Moral and Religious Profile of Britain Today Professor Linda Woodhead Lancaster University AHRC/ESRC Westminster Faith Debates www.faithdebates.org 1.Moral profile -moral majority -moral minority 2.Religious profile -majority -minorities Based on data from: 1. £12m AHRC/ESRC Religion & Society Research Programme 2. Three surveys on religion and values designed by me and administered by YouGov, 2013. Each one nationally representative (9,000 people in total) 3. Own research Moral profile of Britain Values consensus • On personal morality (from abortion to samesex marriage to euthanasia) the overwhelming majority of British people are liberal • On socio-political issues matters more are ‘centre-right’ than ‘centre-left’ A values profile of GB Paternalist Vertical axis = personal morality Horizontal = sociopolitical views 7% GB 9% GB Social (leftwing) Individualist (rightwing) 38% GB 45% GB Liberal Religious values • The values of most Christians are close to the general consensus Values profile of Anglicans compared with population NB the leadership is in a different place Paternalist 7% GB 5% CofE 9% GB 10% CofE Social Individualist 38% GB 30% CofE 45% GB 56% CofE Liberal Church leaders are out of step with the moral convictions of the British people Positioned in top left and right quartiles E.g. less than 30% of Christians under 45 think that same sex marriage is wrong. A clear majority under 45 think it is positively right. The moral minority A liberal, democratic/egalitarian ‘moral majority’ of >90% of the GB population A strict moral minority of 8.5% (on abortion, SSM, euthanasia) The post-paternalistic moral revolution • The boundaries of liberalism extended • Egalitarianism extended to include women, children, the disabled, LBGT people • “post-paternalism” • Read by churches as religio-moral dissolution • The moral minority remain on the paternalist side of the divide • Splits churches between approved moral minorities and disaffected moral majorities Religious Profile of Britain 1. Ethnic/cultural majority 2. Ethnic/cultural and religious minorities Census 2011 (England &Wales) Source: ONS Religious by age Source: Woodhead, YouGov for Westminster faith Debates 2013 90 80 C of E 70 Prefer not to state None 60 Catholic 50 Other 40 30 20 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Strength of belief by age Source: Woodhead, YouGov for Westminster faith Debates 2013 60 to 69 Atheist 50 to 59 Prob no God Age 70 and over Agnostic 40 to 49 Probable believer 30 to 39 Definite believer under 30 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Proportion of age cohort 70% 80% 90% 100% The failure of religious institutions in GB to connect with religious people under 40 The coming apart of Christian institutions and the spiritual and moral life of the nation Spiritual creativity, institutional failure Results in displaced persons – no neat institutional home Complex identities “Catholics” • • • • • • 76% believe in God 54% don’t go to church 52% don’t identify as either religious or spiritual 33% no spiritual practice in private 19% “not influenced by any religion at all” 4% take ANY guidance from religious leaders (11% from my religion, 8% God) “Nones” on the run • 25% practise a spiritual activity in private • 17% believe in God (22% agnostic, 41% atheist) • 11% describe themselves as “spiritual” • 1% belong to a religious group • 0% take ANY guidance from religious leaders (30% from science) Source: Woodhead, YouGov for Westminster faith Debates 2013 Religious or spiritual or… Which, if any, of the following best describes you? A spiritual person A religious person Both spiritual and religious I would not describe myself, or my values and beliefs, as spiritual or religious None of these Don't know Source: Woodhead, YouGov for Westminster faith Debates 2013 11 10 10 51 13 5 Authority – self not religious leaders or sources Which do you rely on most? (CHURCHGOERS) Own reason and judgement Own intuition or feelings Family Trusted friends God or 'higher power' The tradition and teachings of my religion Science A scripture or holy book, e.g. Bible, Qur'an The religious or spiritual group to which I belong Religious leaders, local or national CofE RC 31 14 11 3 15 20 14 17 3 13 10 17 1 1 7 5 3 5 1 0 2.Ethnic/cultural minorities Census 2011 (England &Wales) Source: ONS Minorities are likely to have much clearer ‘mono-identities’ – Sikh, Muslim, born-again Christian, atheist etc. Conditions favouring mono-identities 1.Cultural defence (and attack) in relation to majority 2.Mobilisation against injustice 3.Strategic opportunities 4.Counter-cultural advantages View minority identities in GB in relation to a spectrum of security Jewish identity: secure From trying to achieve security in insecure conditions to greater security – room for more complex and fractured identities to expand. Muslim identity: insecure • Race, class, colonial factors make Muslims the most insecure large group in Britain • Injustices exacerbate • Heighted religious identity – from culture to religion – is a reaction • vicious cycle of insecurity and mono-identity Christian minority identity • Over-60s Christians plus • A defensive Christian moral minority • Daily Mail, Daily Telegraph moaning and mourning The defensive Christian minority • Aim to purify and defend ‘fundamentals’ of faith • Conservative family defence • Anti women’s equality, anti gay Ironically, reinforces drift from the churches Atheist minority Do you believe in a god or some 'higher power'? Yes, there is definitely a God or some 'higher power' Yes, there is probably a God or some 'higher power' No, there is probably NOT a God or some 'higher power' No, there is definitely NOT a God some 'higher power' Don't know 26 23 16 19 17 Definitely no God 18-14 25-39 40-59 60+ 21% 22% 23% 14% Threatened identities • The two most threatened groups in GB at the moment are paternalist Xns and Muslims. The first because privilege draining away, the second because the most genuinely disprivileged group • Their loud voices colour views of religion as paternalist, mono-identity, intolerant • Reinforce “new” atheism Insecurities • Higher profile of religion • Decline of scientific prestige • Masculinity? 5:3 male:female Govt policies reinforce mono-identities • • • • “community” multiculturalism RE favouring traditional religious representatives juridification of religious identity, first under HR law, since 2006 under equality law The God-fearing moral minority A liberal, democratic/egalitarian ‘moral majority’ of 80-90% of the GB population A strict moral minority of 8.5% (on abortion, SSM, euthanasia) A God-fearing moral minority of 3.6% Conclusion • Settled majority with clear moral consensus • Non-Christian minorities, secure and insecure • Atheist minority Religious institutions catering better for defensive minorities than secure majorities Spiritual creativity, institutional religious failure An increasingly unchurched country