Agricultural Systems and Their Determinants AAEC 3204 Dr. George Norton Agricultural and Applied Economics Virginia Tech Copyright 2009 Objectives 1. Identify determinants of agricultural systems 2. Explore various types of farming systems, including examples from China and India 3. Consider factors that cause changes in farming systems over time Determinants of Farming Systems Anywhere Technical Institutional and human Physical Biological Exogenous to farm Climate Endogenous to farm Pests Marketing System Precipitation Diseases Family labor Management ability Evaporation Insects Communication Temperature Weeds Storage Education and knowledge Goals Land Crop species Transportation Livestock species Norms and beliefs Topography Soil structure Social Soil fertility Cultural Water Control Historical Irrigation Population density Drainage Market opportunities Capital Buildings Machinery Tools Distance to market Political factors Price policy Credit policy Land tenure system Input supply policy Trade policy Macroeconomic policy Off-farm employment opportunities Classification of Farming Systems Examples of farming systems Examples of farming systems Planting in Ghana Weeding in Ghana Feeding goats in Mali Intensive vegetables and poultry in India and Bangladesh Bangladesh Magic Trap Ecuador Potato – Pasture System Objectives today 1. Examine changes in agricultural systems in large developing countries • China • India • Brazil 2. Consider determinants of the changes Major factors affecting change in agricultural systems over time • • • • Population and income growth Changes in relative endowments of land and labor New technologies Changes in political system Reforms in India and China Both India and China had lower per capita income than sub-Saharan African countries in the 1970s, but have outpaced them greatly since then. • Chinese agriculture has grown more rapidly than India. Why? China liberalized its institutions in agriculture first, while India focused more on Macro policies • Indian reforms o o o o Green revolution in seventies with productivity increases slowing by the eighties Macroeconomic reforms in early nineties More recent agricultural sector and trade reforms (still a ways to go) Investment in research increasing India Chinese Agriculture • • • • ½ the cropland of the United States ¾ acre per Chinese farm worker compared to 120 acres in the United States 800 million farmers in China compared to about 7 million in the United States United States uses substantially more machinery China has been changing What Changed in Chinese agriculture? 1. Institutions (but what institutions?) 2. Technologies Which do you believe was more important in spurring growth, institutions or technologies? Types of Chinese farms 1) 2) 3) Communes – Major reforms began in 1979: Households within communes were assigned individual pieces of land. These individual pieces often organized into cooperatives. State farms (very small percent of total) Individual farms (significant share of the farms with land leased from the government). Almost all farms now run under a “contract responsibility system” This system was in place by 1985, but still tinkering with the leasing system China China Economies in transition: Effects on Farming systems Why has China’s (much) slower political transition allowed agricultural productivity to increase more rapidly than the former Soviet Union’s more complete but rapid political transition? • Property rights through contract responsibility system • Freeing up of markets and secure institutions (including wholesale and retail marketing institutions) The importance of the rural nonfarm sector Extremely important when an agricultural sector has is many small farms • Input suppliers, machinery repair shops, consumer goods, and many other small industries absorbed workers and spurred growth What institutions are necessary for agricultural growth to occur? 1. Property rights 2. Rule of law – ability to enforce contracts and rules to maintain market mechanism 3. Financial 4. Insurance 5. Input supply and marketing What about Brazil? o o o o o o Dualist structure in agriculture Rapid growth in large scale agriculture One of the few countries still bringing in large new tracts of land Investing in agricultural research Large exporter and potential to be bigger Environmental issues Conclusions • • • • Farmers are rational and relatively efficient Traditional and all farming systems are inevitably changing Many technical and institutional factors are driving these changes As systems such as those in China, India, and Brazil change, the effects spill over to the rest of the world