Session #4: Agenda for MM2– Advanced Marketing Management Brief Review of Session 2 Identifying Competition Measuring Competitive Positioning & Customer Preferences 1 Overview of Session 2: Take Away Points from the Sealed Air Case Consider state & expected changes in competition; Consider state & expected changes in customer needs; Must consider customers’ true needs; Express advantages in terms of customer benefits: Consider state & expected changes in environment; Competitors’ ability & motivation to pursue your customers; Carefully interpret signals about expected competition; Consider what is threatened Technological changes, outlook of economy, etc. Internal policy very important, but cannot ignore external realities 2 Overview of Session 2 (cont.): Secondary Take Away Points from the Sealed Air Case Internal issues to consider Potential cannibalization Consistency with prior message to customers Fit with company policy Non-obvious implications of marketing mix decisions Pricing Place (distribution) Whether or not competitors decide to enter the market Perceived quality Effect of commission level on sales force motivation Typical of mature market 3 Crude but Useful Marketing Strategy Rule #1: Basic Forces of Change Competition Imitation: if you make a lot of money, or even seem as though you may, someone will copy what you do Particular competitive advantages will generally not last Customers Experimentation: everyone seeks new ways to make money Learning & taste change: determinants of desirability change Assimilation: preferences are perishable; expectations increase Value will generally not last Beware of the ‘boiling frog’ syndrome 4 Identifying Competition: Strategic Market Definition 5 Strategic Market Definition: A Market-Orientated Viewpoint Company Revlon Narrow Definition Cosmetics Broad Definition Hope (to be irresistible, attractive,..) Columbia Pictures Movies Entertainment McDonalds Fast food Quality, service, cleanliness, value, dependability, consistency IBM Computers Solutions for information needs Xerox Copying Office productivity 6 Levels of Competition Fast food ChewingBeer gum Product Form Competition: Diet Colas Water Tea Regular Colas Diet Coke Diet Juices Diet PepsiLemon limes Fruit flavoured colas Category Competition: Soft drinks Coffee Generic Competition: Beverages Budget competition: Food & Entertainment Ice cream Video rental 7 Identifying Competition Industry based approaches Company based Customer based approaches 8 Identifying Competition (cont.) Industry Based Approach A market consists of companies with similar products, technology, geographical coverage Measurement-- SIC classification (http://www.osha.gov/cgi-bin/sic/sicser5) Company Based Approach-- Managerial Judgment Against whom do we usually compete (direct competitors, makers of substitute products)? Who are potential competitive entrants & how likely are they to enter? Can competitors be grouped into strategic groups based on assets, competencies &/or strategies? 9 Identifying Competition (cont.) Examples of customer based approaches Based on observed customer behavior Cross elasticities Brand switching matrices Based on surveys & experiments Product deletion/ substitution Market structure of product category as perceived by customers 10 Identifying Competition (cont.): Cross Elasticities Example Competitive structure of eggs (cross price elasticities) Sales by Egg Size Price of Large Medium Large -3.324 Medium 1.360 Private Label 20-pack -2.144 2.756 Private Label 1.996 -3.106 0.886 20-pack 1.386 -2.030 11 Identifying Competition (cont.): Brand Switching Matrix Example Brand bought at time t+1 Brand bought at time t A B C D A B C D .60 .25 .01 .03 .37 .70 .04 .01 .02 .03 .69 .18 .01 .02 .26 .78 12 Identifying Competition (cont.): Surveys & Experiments Product deletion/ substitution Questions such as- what brand would you buy if ours were not available/ more expensive? 13 Measuring Competitive Positioning & Customer Preferences MMII Spring 2001 14 Crude Rule of Marketing Strategy # 2: Customer Decisions Customer decisions are based on perceptions. 15 Semantic Scales: Input Ask customers directly to assess different products or services (e.g., MBA programs) 1 Job opportunities: limited Size of promotion: very small Quality of instruction: low Social activities: poor Tuition: inexpensive 2 3 4 5 6 7 plentiful very large high rich high 16 Example: Truck Cabin Perceived Performance Comparison on Rating Scale Performance Deviation Compared to Competition Attributes: Killer Our Main Company Competitor (from most (A) to least (L) important) Weakness A: Ease of maintenance * A B: Fuel efficiency * B C: Cab durability D D: Roominess and comfort * E: Quality of materials F: Safety features G: Ease of steering H: Location of controls * I: Windshield design J: Instrumentation * L K: Ease of entry L: Outer appearance -2 -1 1 2 3 4 Poor Excellent * Statistically significant difference (p‹0.05) Secondary Performance Performance Weakness Key Strength 7 6 C 5 F 4 G E 3 H 2 I 1 0 J K 1 2 Possible Overkill 17 Semantic Scales: Summary Input ratings of product attributes, importance & ideal values by individuals Results ratings of various product attributes for different objects importance rating of product attributes ideal rating of product attributes Advantages simple to do easy to interpret results Assumptions & Limitations product = set of attributes can customers rate different attributes? are customers willing to answer truthfully? When customers think of “product” in terms of a few & well-defined attributes. 18 MDS: Input Let customers assess the dis/similarity of different items Wharton Harvard Stanford LBS IMD Insead Wharton Harvard Stanford LBS 19 Example: U.S. Car Market 20 MDS: Summary Input similarity among objects Advantages Results * inferred number of dimensions used to distinguish objects relative positioning of objects along these dimensions preferences of these dimensions (ideal values) insights about perceptions (customers may not know) competition from customers’ view no need to describe features Assumptions & Limitations need to infer attribute levels no indication of attribute importance When customer perceptions of “products” are shaped by aggregated factors that cannot be articulated easily. 21 Conjoint Analysis: Design Job A Location: Salary: Exposure to top-level mgmt: Crime level: Job B London Average for W.E. Minimal Average for big W.E. city Job D Location: Salary: Exposure to top-level mgmt: Crime level: Job C London 20% below average About 25% of proj. 20% below average Job E Eastern Europe Average for W.E. Majority of projects 20% below average Job G Location: Salary: Exposure to top-level mgmt: Crime level: Location: Salary: Exposure to top-level mgmt: Crime level: Location: Salary: Exposure to top-level mgmt: Crime level: About 25% of proj. 50% above average Location: Salary: Exposure to top-level mgmt: Crime level: London 20% above average Majority of projects 50% above average Job F Eastern Europe 20% below average Minimal 50% above average Job H South Africa Average for W.E. Location: Salary: Exposure to top-level mgmt: Crime level: Location: Salary: Exposure to top-level mgmt: Crime level: Eastern Europe 20% above average About 25% of proj. Average for big W.E. city Job I South Africa 20% below average Majority of projects Average for big W.E. city Location: Salary: Exposure to top-level mgmt: Crime level: South Africa 20% above average Minimal 20% below average 22 Conjoint Analysis: Summary Input Judgment of attribute combinations Advantages Rankings or ratings choice-based Results relative importance of attributes relative utility for different levels for each attribute force tradeoffs insights about preferences (customers may not know) Assumptions & Limitations utility of product = sum of utility from attributes Customers may be unable or unwilling to indicate their preferences for some attributes. 23 Conjoint Analysis in Markstrat 24 Final Note on Assessing Customer Perceptions & Preferences All methods can give excellent information, when employed appropriately. 25 Summary A Market-Orientated Viewpoint Levels of Competition What do (/could) customer purchase from us Many possibilities 3 Methods for Identifying Competition Industry based approaches (SIC) Company based (Managerial judgment) Customer based approaches: Identifying Competition Based on Observed Customer Behavior (e.g., cross elasticities, brand switching matrix) Surveys & Experiments (e.g., product deletion/ substitution) Measuring Competitive Positioning & Customer Preferences Semantic Scales MDS Conjoint Analysis 26