Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
Philippine Statistical Development Program (PSDP)
2011-2017
Medium-term Expenditure Framework (MTEF)
for Statistics
The Philippine Experience
by
Lina V. Castro
Interim National Statistician
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
Strengthening National Capacities to Bridge Development Data Gaps
Paris, France
2-4 April 2014
1
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
Outline of Presentation
I. Background and MTEF Concept
II. Preliminary results
III. Latest developments in the PSS
IV. ASEAN Community Statistical System (ACSS)
Strategic Plan, 2011-2015 Mid-Term Review
2
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
PSDP Assessment* (WB, 2010)
• Statistical development not a priority in national and local
government budget allocation; no predictability in budget
approval process
• Existing government policy biased towards attrition
• ‘Exodus’ of some trained and experienced senior statisticians
from MSAs
• Dwindling human capital
• Delays in production of key indicators, e.g., from censuses,
•
•
•
•
surveys, etc.
Data gaps; quality gaps; capacity gaps
Inefficient statistical and business processes
Minimal R&D, innovation, and technology use
Capacity gaps within and between major statistical
agencies and other data producers
* To provide recommendations on how to improve the preparation, implementation, coordination, monitoring,
and evaluation of the next PSDP during 2011-16.
3
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
PSDP goals and broad outcomes
Goal
To deliver better quality statistics in
support of evidence-based
policymaking, program
implementation and monitoring
To increase user understanding,
capacity and trust for wider and
rational use of statistics
Broad outcome
More timely, accessible, coherent,
comparable, comprehensive and
relevant statistics
Increased user understanding and
rational use of statistics
To enhance capacity of major
Enhanced statistical capacities of data
statistical agencies and other data
producers, providers and users
producers in government at the
national and local levels, and to
strengthen cooperation of
respondents and other data
providers for better quality statistics
4
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
PSDP goals and broad outcomes
5
Goal
Broad outcome
To strengthen statistical
governance, coordination, and
research and development at
the national and local levels
Improved coherence, effectiveness
and efficiency of the statistical
system
To increase investment and
institutionalize a sustainable
resource mobilization strategy
for statistics
Increased and sustained resources
for statistics
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
MTEF defined
MTEF is a management tool that integrates policymaking, planning, and
budgeting.
Budget
Top-down
estimate of
available
resources
Bottom-up
estimate of
costs
reconciliation
“Medium-term” as data is on prospective basis, e.g., budget year n+1, n+2,…,n+m.
Rolling annual process reduces imbalance between what is affordable and what is
demanded.
Adjustments are made through changes in policy thrusts.
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PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
MTEF defined
A good MTEF should
• link priorities with a budget that is within
sustainable spending boundaries
• highlight tradeoffs between competing
objectives (result of prioritization)
• links budgets with policy choices or intended
outcomes, and
• improve outcomes by increasing transparency,
accountability, and the predictability of funding.
7
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
MTEF goals
To secure increased resources and to sustain
investment in statistics that are results-based through
• a rationalized and transparent expenditure planning and
allocation process that is directly linked to statistical
development outcomes,
• optimal human resource framework, and
• strategies for sustainable financing and resource
mobilization.
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PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
MTEF outcomes
• Increased use of statistics in governance
• Availability of quality statistics [timely, accessible, relevant, reliable,
comparable, and coherent]
-------------------------------------------------------------• A good mix of data sources
- stable program of censuses and surveys
- dependable administrative information systems
• Efficient business processes using technology and innovation and with
quality R&D support
• Comparably high level of statistical capacity of statistical institutions and
other data producers
• Strong, effective policy and coordination
-------------------------------------------------------------Sustained, optimal investment in statistics
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PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
General principles/considerations
• PSDP 2011-2017 and international
commitments, including UNFPOS,
MAPS, DDS, BAPS
• Sectoral statistical development
plans
• Agency strategic plans
• Rationalization plans
Transparency
Predictability
Accountability
• National development goals
• Government budget policies
and guidelines
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PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
General principles/considerations
• Anchor on data quality assurance framework
• Focus on efficiency of statistical and business
processes
• Build on past gains
• Rationalize processes
• Highlight institutional building to ensure continuity
and sustainability
• Prioritize activities
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PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
MTEF outputs
12
•
Indicative resource requirements of regular and
developmental activities, as well as reforms needed in the
PSS, including possibly a human resource framework
o By agency and sector
o By administration level
•
Analysis of resource gaps
•
Multi-year expenditure/investment plan
•
Recommendations on interim cost standards for selected
processes [not feasible at this time]
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
Formulation process/approach
• Tier approach in resource analysis and planning
• Resource gap analysis
• Projections based on intended outcomes
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PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
Formulation process/approach
Tier 1: Base case
Essential or core operational requirements
1. Organizational resource requirements to undertake
core activities and services, e.g. essential organic
human resources to run core (regular) operations and
personal services, operating expenses, e.g., travel,
transportation, utilities, and other services
2. Direct costs to carry out core activities, e.g.
designated
statistical
activities,
including
improvements thereof , priority and critical nondesignated statistical activities
14
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
Formulation process/approach
Tier 2: Developmental case
Developmental activities’ requirements
1. Organizational resource requirements, e.g. minor
augmentation of statistical human resources of
NGAs and LGUs, training and education on new
statistical areas relative to capacity level and
needs of NGAs and LGUs
2. Requirements of new and pioneering activities e.g.
new designated statistical activities or major
improvement of existing designated activities
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PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
Formulation process/approach
Tier 3: Reforms case
Requirements to achieve medium- to long-term vision and goals, e.g.,
increase ratio of total statistics budget to GDP, increased use of
statistics in governance
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1.
Structural changes, organizational expansion/rationalization
based on human resource framework, e.g., statistician for every
municipality, creation of statistical units, massive expansion of
human resources
2.
Requirements of
•
statistical activities for more advanced research and other
uses
•
acquisition of large-scale or high-end technology
•
advanced R&D including acquisition of physical assets such
as land, building, and the likes
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
Formulation process/approach
+
MOOE
+
Capital
outlay
+
+
MOOE
+
Capital
outlay
-
+
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+
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
MOOE
+
Capital
outlay
Significantly improved/new
designated statistics
Revised/updated data series
New indicators
Priority/critical national and
local development indicators
-
Designated statistics
Non-designated MDG indicators
Uber priority indicators
Tier 1
Human
resources
-
Tier 2
Human
resources
Updated/improved/new
indicators
Tier 3
Human
resources
• New/improved statistical
infrastructure and
business processes
• Significant organizational
changes/expansion
• Large-scale asset
acquisition
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
Formulation process/approach
Statistical activities that were costed
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
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Periodic, pilot, and one-time censuses and surveys
Administrative data systems
Statistical processes to extract/generate data from administrative
registration/reporting systems, except the civil registration system
which is covered in full
Framework and indicators development
Statistical management and coordination
Development and maintenance of statistical information systems
Statistical education, training and capacity building
Statistical advocacy
Research and development
Technical cooperation and assistance
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
I. Background and MTEF Concept
General steps
Done thru intensive consultations/meetings and creation of Adhoc
Working Group on Financing Statistics
1. Define baseline situation and analyze past trends
2. Identify core requirements
3. Define resource requirements for developmental and
reforms cases
4. Determine available resources
5. Analyze resource gaps and reconcile
6. Formulate the MTEF which includes a reconciled budget
and remaining resource gaps, as well as recommendations
on financing and resource mobilization strategies
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PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
II. Preliminary results
MTEF
2011-2017
Organizational
resources
PILOT AGENCIES
NSCB
NSO
BAS
BLES
SRTC
BSP
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PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
PSDP Vol 2
requirements
DOH
DepEd
DOT
DENR
DILG
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
II. Preliminary results
Expenditure for statistics at current prices appears to have increased in
general (smoothed)…
Statistical budget, 2005-2012
4,000,000
3,500,000
3,000,000
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Total budget, MSAs
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PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
2010
2011
Total core budget, MSAs
2012
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
II. Preliminary results
The bulk of expenditure for statistics has been allocated to primary data
collection…
Total expenditure for statistics by MSA, 2005-2012
4000000
3500000
SRTC
3000000
2500000
BLES
2000000
BAS
1500000
NSCB
1000000
NSO
500000
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
thousand pesos
22
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
2010
2011
2012
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
II. Preliminary results
Core expenditure for statistics at current prices follows the same increasing
trend (smoothed) except in 2012 …
Core statistical budget by expenditure, 2005-2012
1,800,000
1,600,000
1,400,000
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
2005
2006
2007
Personal services
23
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
2008
2009
MOOE
2010
2011
Capital outlay
2012
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
II. Preliminary results
Regular expenditure of the major statistical agencies, 2005-2012
Nominal prices; in thousand pesos
Total
NSO
NSCB
BAS
BLES
SRTC
2005
1,177,617
823,358
66,823
250,541
17,650
19,245
2006
1,263,576
874,467
80,228
268,264
20,904
19,713
2007
1,308,907
898,574
81,265
272,395
21,071
35,602
2008
1,380,909
978,757
82,207
262,963
23,607
33,376
2009
1,484,405
1,049,935
89,403
283,541
26,157
35,369
2010
1,573,522
1,067,603
81,868
383,227
22,937
17,887
Source of basic data: Agency submission of NSO, NSCB, BAS, BLES, and SRTC
Notes:
24
Regular expenditure refers to spending (or approved budget) on regular appropriate programs of the agency. It does not include
expenditure/budget for locally-funded and foreign-assisted projects.
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
2011
1,609,736
1,112,896
91,519
364,681
25,648
14,992
2012
1,504,269
1,000,245
92,587
362,388
29,672
19,377
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
II. Preliminary results
However, as percentage of the GDP, expenditure for statistics has
been on a downtrend both at current and constant prices…
Regular expenditure for statistics as percentage of GDP at
current prices
0.450
0.400
0.350
0.300
0.250
0.200
0.150
0.100
0.050
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Regular at current prices
Regular at constant prices
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PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
2010
2011
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
II. Preliminary results
Statistical human resources in terms of number have been on steady
decline…
26
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
II. Preliminary results
Statistical human resources (and thus services) are getting relatively
smaller relative to the government workforce…
Statistical personnel to general government workers, 20052012
0.370
0.350
0.330
0.310
0.290
0.270
0.250
2005
27
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
II. Preliminary results
Theoretically, the clientele per statistician has been expanding…
Statistical personnel to population ratio (number of persons
per statistician), 2005-2012
35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
2005
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PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
II. Preliminary results
Total proposed indicative budget of the major statistical agencies, 2013-2017
Nominal prices; in thousand pesos
MSA
2013
5,170,117
4,569,726
105,694
416,490
33,906
44,301
1/
Total
NSO
NSCB 2/
BAS 3/
BLES
SRTC 4/
2014
3,420,593
2,623,375
178,682
524,628
35,823
58,085
2015
2,896,978
2,090,179
169,815
533,796
37,437
65,751
2016
2,986,388
2,102,948
181,381
590,621
40,687
70,751
2017
3,151,666
2,200,388
186,850
637,420
41,166
85,842
Source of basic data:
Agency submission of NSO, NSCB, BAS, BLES, and SRTC
Notes:
1/ Includes forward estimates of budget for regular programs as well as activities such as surveys and
censuses normally charged to locally-funded projects.
2/ Includes the requirements of new NSCB regional divisions, in Regions II, III, IVA, IVB, VII, X, XIII,
ARMM
3/ Includes budget for regular activities charged to operations of the Department of Agriculture
4/ Includes budget for endowment fund for research and development and training
29
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
III. Latest developments in the PSS
Republic Act No. 10625, otherwise known as
The Philippine Statistical Act of 2013
“AN ACT REORGANIZING THE PHILIPPINE STATISTICAL
SYSTEM, REPEALING FOR THE PURPOSE EXECUTIVE
ORDER NUMBER ONE HUNDRED TWENTY-ONE
ENTITLED “REORGANIZING AND STRENGTHENING THE
PHILIPPINE STATISTICAL SYSTEM AND FOR OTHER
PURPOSES”
30
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
III. Latest developments in the PSS
The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)
• The PSA shall be constituted from among the existing
personnel of the major statistical agencies engaged in
primary data collection and compilation of secondary
data:
• National Statistics Office (NSO)
• Technical Staff of the National Statistical
Coordination Board (NSCB)
• Bureau of Agricultural Statistics (BAS)
• Bureau of Labor and Employment Statistics
(BLES)
31
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
IV. ASEAN Community Statistical System (ACSS) Strategic
Plan, 2011-2015 Mid-Term Review
Objective :To identify on-going challenges, new challenges and
define major thrusts for the Strategic Plan 2016-2020
Engagement :Brunei Darussalam and the Philippines, with the
support of ASEANStats conducted a Mid-Term review of the ACSS
Strategic Plan 2011-2015, identified remaining challenges, and
future challenges and major thrusts for 2016-2020
Activities :
• First Draft Mid-Term Review- discussed at the 4th ACSS SubCommittee on Planning and Coordination (SCPC) held in
Manila, 5-6 June 2013;
• 2nd Draft-discussed at the 5th SCPC held in Bandar Seri
Begawan, Brunei Darussalam, 20-22 August 2013
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PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
IV. ASEAN Community Statistical System (ACSS) Strategic
Plan, 2011-2015 Mid-Term Review
Broad Strategies:
• Institutional strengthening, enhancement of ACSS and its
sustainability;
• Improvement of the response to ASEAN data needs;
• Enhancing dissemination and communication, visibility and
use of statistics;
• Catching up and narrowing development gaps
33
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
References
•
•
34
Philippine Statistical Development Program 2011-2017, Multi-Year
Expenditure Framework for the Philippine Statistical System, 29
October 2012
Republic Act No. 10625, “Philippine Statistical Act of 2013”
PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014
Republic of the Philippines
Philippine Statistics Authority
Mabuhay and Thank you!
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PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014
LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014