for Road Applications EGNOS and Galileo for efficient road network management Fiammetta Diani GSA - Market Development Officer Objective of the presentation Trends Opportunities Actions • Mobility demand and GNSS market in road: which priorities and market opportunities? • Why EGNOS (and Galileo) in road applications? • Think now about EGNOS and Galileo in road applications: which support from EC/GSA? 2 Agenda Trends • Mobility demand and GNSS market in road: which priorities and market opportunities? 3 Growing mobility demand and pressure on budgets Million vehicle-kilometres Vehicle usage in large European countries (2003-08) 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 France 1,000,000 Germany 500,000 0 UK 2003 2008 Source: GSA/UNECE 1. 10% of Europe’s roads are congested; mobility demand continues to grow 2. Pressure on national budgets to build or scale up roads 3. Costly economic and environmental externalities The road infrastructure needs to be better used 4/18 Users have already decided… SatNav-enabled vehicles in Europe* (2010-30) 400 Stock of Sat-Nav equipped road vehicles (mln units) Sat-Nav penetration in road vehicles (%) 350 81 83 83 84 85 87 88 90 91 92 93 93 93 93 93 93 100% 90% >330 80% 76 300 70% 65 250 60% 53 200 150 50% 43 40% 34 30% 100 20% 50 10% 0 0% 2010 11 Source: GSA-MMFT 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 2030 A huge market potential for services and applications needs to be exploited… …Policy makers have a great opportunity Galileo - Road monetized benefits (Millions of Euros, cumulated 2010-2030) Benefit for public institutions Benefit for users 20.520 Social benefit 2.383 1.306 Air pollution reduction CO2 emissions reduction 202 43.570 Cost savings due to congestion reduction** Road Total 7.776 8.505 2.658 219 VAT Corporate tax Fuel Cost savings decrease of consumption injuries* reduction Travel time reduction Equivalent to ~93K injuries ~6 bln litres ~30 mln tons Galileo - Road non-monetized benefits (cumulated 2010-2030) ~ 2.000 lives saved ~ 14.000 new jobs High Which priorities for GNSS in Road Ability to market Road Network Management eCall ADAS Public benefits Logistics High Medium PPUI Low Low Public transport Timing to adoption Slow Fast Road Network Management: new schemes and regulation impact • EETS: 2004/52/EC + Decision 2009/750 – EETS must be compatible with both DSRC and GNSS systems, but GNSS is recommended for new systems due to its flexibility • Eurovignette: 2006/38/EC – Harmonizes taxation of HGVs >3.5t using TENs – By 2012 they should be all tolled GNSS adopted /decision taken GNSS under evaluation 8 GNSS customers in road pricing will grow in Europe # of GNSS OBUs in EU-27 (millions) 16 17 18 18 17 18 19 20 13 9 6 1 1 2009 10 2 11 3 3 12 13 14 15 16 9 • The new regulatory framework combined with the introduction of new schemes are expected to push strongly GNSS adoption in Europe Why GNSS in Road Network Management? 1. Flexibility to adapt over time as road networks/ traffic evolve 2. Cost efficiency: no capital-intensive toll gate infrastructure 3. Holistic approach to traffic management (all roads/ specific roads, all vehicles/ specific vehicle types, e.g. HGVs) 4. Interoperability in pan-European network 5. New business opportunity for Value Added Services Agenda Opportunities • Why EGNOS (and Galileo) in road applications? 11 EGNOS: early adopters Most receivers nowadays are EGNOS-enabled and not more costly as the non EGNOS-enabled ones. EGNOS OS is for free: therefore, the cost of using EGNOS is marginal. Benefits exist now even if they are under demonstration. You take decisions now for systems to be applied in the future (technology improves, benefits will be demonstrated). So, why not using EGNOS together with GPS ? ENI early EGNOS adopter: thanks to an independent test, ENI is equipping national and international fleet (1,500 trucks) with EGNOS OBU. EGNOS integrity: versus a guaranteed position Operators (toll chargers, EETS, public authorities, logistic operators) may need to provide in the future a guarantee of positioning for GNSS-based road pricing schemes (to prevent or manage claims), in regulated transport (e.g. dangerous goods) or in co-modal and just-in-time logistics, ensuring a high service quality. EGNOS can help providing a guarantee of position, providing a level of confidence to the user. Protection Level Mentore results: 1 and 2 – nuclear transport by road Two vehicles: Big truck & trailer only extra-urban roads (# 1) Truck extra-urban & urban roads (# 2) On board Unit using EGNOS Open Signal (Signal in Space) Protection Level calculated at the Service Centre Mentore results: 3 – intermodal freight container Container rail/ terminal areas (# 3) On board Unit using EGNOS Open Signal (Signal in Space) Protection Level calculated at the Service Centre Mentore results: 4 & 5 – urban logistics Two vans urban roads: In the city centre/ inside the LTZ (thus narrow streets) (# 4) Outside the LTZ (less narrow streets) (# 5) On Board Unit EGNOS Open Signal Protection Level calculated at the Service Centre EGNOS corrections assisted function Mentore: comparison of results 120,00% 100,00% 80,00% MITMARCO Different EGNOS performances in different operational conditions MITMARIO 60,00% ITC01 BO IP 40,00% 1 2 3 4 5 20,00% 1 0,00% 2 3 4 5 % HPL messages 9,5 9,4 9,3 9,2 9,1 9 MITMARCO 8,9 MITMARIO 8,8 ITC01 8,7 BO 8,6 IP 8,5 8,4 8,3 8,2 8,1 8 1 2 3 average HPL 4 5 Scutum: EGNOS CS/EDAS adoption and standardisation Implementing EGNOS CS/EDAS large scale/live operations of dangerous goods transport in the three EU countries (Italy, France and Austria), by: Turning proven demonstration into operation Leading research into fruition A technolgy step forward in: 1) Optimization of the processing to further increase the availability of HPL calculations/ guarantee of position 2) multipath mitigation -> to improve the HPL solution Agenda Actions • Think now about EGNOS and Galileo in road applications: which support from EC/GSA? 19 Support from EC/GSA: quantify GNSS economic benefits MONETARY BENEFITS SOCIAL BENEFITS OPEX – Service Providers (incl. EETS) – Toll Chargers – Public Entities CAPEX • Different schemes could be considered, e.g.: CASH FLOW STREAM = INPUT = OUTPUT NPV DSRC WACC NPV GNSS (GPS only) • The cost benefit analysis will assess GNSS/ EGNOS value added by player: NPV GNSS (GPS + EGNOS) • Universal/ HGVs only • Motorways/ Country schemes • Key Europe-wide examples have already been assessed BUSINESS CASES HGV scheme in France: GNSS shows a considerably higher NPV than DSRC free flow Objective: to assess the economics of key road tolling technologies if applied only to HGVs in a large network formed mainly by motorways Net benefits by operator (the French case**) (Mld €) 55 MAIN ASSUMPTIONS Total OBUs (# Mio – HGV* only) 52 2010: 0.87 → 2030: 4.5 Road network (k km) 49 50 Traffic volumes (Mld vehicle-km) 11 2010: 11.2 → 2030: 12.6 45 10 40 2010: 13 → 2030: 16.5 Stock of vehicles (# Mio) 2010: 4.2 → 2030: 5.8 Toll fee (€-km) 5 2010: 0.12 → 2030: 0.30 3 ETC transactions on tolled roads (%) 2010: 100% → 2030:100% 35 38 36 VAS (Infomobility) 5.0 €/ month Users: 100% HGV 30 GNSS DSRC Free Flow Toll Charger Service Provider Public Entities Toll Charger and Service Provider: include faster adoption and possibility to charge additional roads Public Entities: include environmental impact Note: * > 3.5t ; ** The simulation is based on estimates on the eco-tax (GNSS or DSRC Free Flow systems to be applied to a large network of non-conceded motorways and local roads). To make the simulation comparable with other cases some elements are different from the actual bid: there is not a bonus/ malus scheme for the TC (but revenues from tolling instead) and the SP is in charge of fraud costs (as opposed to the actual bid, where they are sustained by the Public authority) BUSINESS CASES All-vehicles all roads scheme in the Netherlands Objective: to assess the economics of a universal country-wide RUC scheme based on GNSS MAIN ASSUMPTIONS Net benefits by operator (the Dutch case*) (Mld €) 52 48 30 Road network (k km) 2012: 124.5 → 2030: 156 Traffic volumes (Mld vehicle-km) 15 40 2012: 7 → 2030: 9.9 (LV/ PC) 2012: 1 → 2030: 1.8 (HGV*) 60 50 Total OBUs (# Mio) 15 2012: 13.8 → 2030: 18.5 (LV/ PC) 2012: 6.3 → 2030: 8.5 (HGV*) 6 2 Stock of vehicles (# Mio) 2012: 7.8 → 2030: 9.9 (LV/ PC) 2012: 1.2 → 2030: 1.8 (HGV*) Toll fee (€-km) 20 31 31 10 2012: 0.03 → 2030: 0.2 (LV/ PC) 2012: 0.06 → 2030: 0.4 (HGV*) GNSS transactions on tolled roads (%) 2012: 90% → 2030: 100% 0 VAS (Infomobility) Base case Toll Charger VAS case*** Service Provider Public Entities 0.5 €/ month (LV/ PC) 1.0 €/ month (HGV) Users: 100% LV/PC and HGV Note: * The simulation is based on estimates on the ABvM case (GNSS system will be applied from 2012 in all existing roads); ** > 3.5t ; *** 2.5 €/month for PC/ LV and 5 €/ month for HGV for VAS (including infomobility) Support from EC/GSA: demonstrate EGNOS benefits • Several EGNOS trials and initiatives • GSA/EC encourage Toll Chargers/ Service Providers to trial on the field EGNOS value added • DG ENTR recently launched: “The Assessment of the utilization of EGNOS in the road transport domain”. Expected results in second half 2011 Support from EC/GSA: business development to identify VAS opportunities Services based on the vehicle Location based services without driver interaction Navigation SOS Location and tracking (also dangerous goods) Stolen vehicle recovery Off board navigation PAYD / PPU Concierge Weather Services based on the user Use of HMI for information exchange with the driver POI Fleet management Map/POI update Usage report Intelligent maintenance (RVD) Real time traffic Info Special maps Access management Georeferenced services E-call 24 Infomobility and sustainable mobility Services related to strong political relationship with institutions Seize first-mover advantages Don't be overtaken! www.egnos-portal.eu Fiammetta.Diani@gsa.europa.eu Back up What is EGNOS? Technology Accuracy GPS 10m GPS + EGNOS corrections 2m Improvement Increased accuracy + Integrity EGNOS is the first European SatNav system EGNOS improves the accuracy of position measurements by transmitting signals that correct GPS data and provide information on its reliability EGNOS is composed of transponders aboard three geostationary satellites and a ground network of about 40 positioning stations and four control centres. EGNOS is available and free of charges EGNOS Services – EDAS EGNOS data (real-time): • RIMS raw observations • SBAS messages EGNOS Data Access Server - EDAS Value-added service provider User-specific information Phase 1 “prototyping”: Beta test users Freely available to all, after registration Service Definition phase Experimental service until end of 2010 Phase 2: Service Provision (as from 2011) End users