FARM TO FORK, FARM TO FASHION – INVESTING IN NIGERIA’S AGRICULTURAL VALUE CHAINS, SELF SUFFICIENCY IN FOOD PRODUCTION RAW MATERIALS FOR INDUSTRY SANUSI, LAMIDO SANUSI, CON GOVERNOR, CENTRAL BANK OF NIGERIA Presentation to the Investment Summit on Nigeria 1st August, 2012 PRESENTATION OUTLINE • Overview of Nigeria’s Agricultural Landscape • Agricultural Value Chain, Chain Actors & Value Chain Models • NIRSAL: Concept, Pillars, Policy Fixes and update • Conclusion 2 OVERVIEW OF AGRICULTURE IN NIGERIA 1. The agriculture sector is central to Nigeria’s economy, accounting for 40 per cent of GDP and providing 60 per cent of employment. Agriculture is a major source of employment growth: Between 2001-2007 alone, it accounted for 51 per cent of job creation in Nigeria. 2. Since the 1960s, Nigeria has lost a dominant position in exports of key crops such as cocoa, groundnuts, ground nut oil and palm oil. In the 1960s, Nigeria had over 60% of global palm oil exports, 30% of global ground nut exports, 20-30% of global ground nut oil exports, and 15 % of global cocoa exports. By the 2000s, Nigeria global share of exports of each of these crops was 5% or less. 3. Today, Nigeria is a net importer of agricultural produce, with imports totalling $4.2 bn. Large food products import include wheat ($1.1bn), fish ($0.7b), rice ($500m), and sugar ($400m). Total food import bill of USD 4.2 billion annually. 4. Nigeria’s agriculture sector has enormous potential – with an opportunity to grow output by 160%, from USD 99 billion today to USD 256 billion by 2030. This growth potential comes from increasing yields to 80-100% of benchmark countries; increase acreage by 14 m ha new agricultural land, approximately 38% of Nigeria’s unused arable land of 36.9m ha; and shift 20% of production to higher value crops. 5. Nigeria faces a large and growing global agricultural market – Rising commodity prices, growing demand for food, and opportunities in bio-fuel all present significant opportunities for Nigeria. For example, global cereal demand will grow by between 31% and 150% by 2050 depending on the region, and global commodity prices are in their second major spike in three years. Agriculture can become the main driver for more equitable income growth, compared to oil and gas sector. 3 PRESENTATION OUTLINE • Overview of Nigeria’s Agricultural Landscape • Agricultural Value Chain, Chain Actors & Value Chain Models • NIRSAL: Concept, Pillars, Policy Fixes and Update • Update 4 AGRIC VALUE CHAIN Consumption Retailing Trading Research Processing Communication Trading Post-harvest handling Production Input supply Transportation Government Policies and Regulations Input supply Technical and business training services Financial Services Market Information and Intelligence Source: Adopted from Ferris (2007) VALUE CHAIN ACTORS AND MODELS • The value chain includes all activities required to bring a product to the market, including horizontal linkages to suppliers of goods and services • Actors in the value chain – service providers, farmers, processors, traders & wholesalers and retailers • Dynamics of actors in the value chain – actors exist to maximize profits, information flow is asymmetrical and actors who are value chain drivers tend to intimidate other actors in the value chain 6 PRESENTATION OUTLINE • Overview of Nigeria’s Agricultural Landscape • Agricultural Value Chain, Chain Actors & Value Chain Models • NIRSAL: Concept, Pillars, Policy Fixes and Update • Conclusion 7 NIRSAL is an initiative designed to appropriately define, price and share agribusiness related credit risk NIRSAL has the following partners: Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) The Bankers’ Committee (CEOs of deposit money banks, specialized banks, discount houses), insurance companies. The Federal Ministry of Agriculture & Rural Development (FMA & RD) Federal Ministry of Finance Federal Ministry of Trade & Investment NIRSAL seeks to achieve the following: Mobilize financing for Nigerian agribusiness using credit guarantees to address the risk of default Create markets Act as Investment Advisor NIRSAL is a flexible financing tool designed to change the behavior of financial institutions Covers all crops and livestock activities in Nigeria, while improving investment outcomes and creating jobs. Builds on a legacy of previous CBN interventions in agriculture. 8 NIRSAL creates access to finance by integrating end-to-end agriculture value chains with financing value chains . . . Agricultural value chain Input producers Farmers Agro Dealers / Storage Agro processors Industrial Distribution manuand exports facturers Agricultural financing value chain Loan Product Dev. 1 Credit Distribution Loan Credit origination Assessment Managing and pricing for risk Loan Disbursement 9 Enablers Infrastructure Credit bureau Policies 1 Includes working capital loans; fixed asset finance; trade finance Extension services Price stability boards NIRSAL is driven by Five Pillars - particularly the Risk Sharing and Technical Assistance pillars . . . NIRSAL ($500m assets to stimulate lending financial institutions) 1 Risk sharing Facility ($300m) Shares lending risks with banks (e.g. 50% loss incurred) 2 Insurance Facility ($30m) Link insurance products to the loan provided by the banks to loan beneficiari es 3 4 Agricultural Technical assistance bank rating facility scheme ($60m) ($100m) Build the Rate banks capacity of according banks, to their microeffectivene finance ss of institution lending to s agriculture . Build capacity of agricultura l value chains Expand financial inclusion 5 Bank incentive mechanism ($10m) Targeted incentives that move banks to a long term, strategic position and commitme nt to agricultural lending Goal Expand bank lending in agricultural value chains 10 NIRSAL Objective De-risk agriculture finance value chain Build longterm capacity Institutionalise incentives for agriculture lending NIRSAL – Current Status • NIRSAL’s key lending Guidelines were approved by the CBN’s Committee of Governors in April 2012 • NIRSAL is now open for business and accepting applications for Credit Risk Guarantees (CRGs) • Two applications have so far been received: N250million credit facility for the supply of sorghum to Guinness Nigeria Plc. The Bank is requesting for 50% Guarantee cover. N75million credit facility for the supply of cassava chips to China with the Bank requesting for a 75% Guarantee cover • Under the insurance pillar, plans are underway to expand the insurance landscape and enable private sector participation. Two insurance companies have recently been granted approval by NAICOM to offer insurance products for agri-businesses 11 NIRSAL – Current Status • NIRSAL has engaged 26 (70%) State Governments in Nigeria and held focal meetings with strategic Stakeholder groups focusing on the major crops rice, tomato, cotton and aquaculture • NIRSAL is currently working with financial institutions to improve competitiveness of loan pricing, increase accessibility and use of mobile phone channels and encourage insurance companies to introduce market-based innovations that align with customer needs • Presently awaiting the approval from the President to commence the legal formation of the NIRSAL Plc. i.e. stand as a non-bank financial institution 12 PRESENTATION OUTLINE • Overview of Nigeria’s Agricultural Landscape • Agricultural Value Chain, Chain Actors & Value Chain Models • NIRSAL: Concept, Pillars, Policy Fixes and Update • Conclusion 13 CONCLUSION CBN‘s agricultural interventions have over time, led to increased access to finance by farmers and other stakeholders These initiatives have promoted the growth of the agricultural sector, facilitated employment and income generation in the rural areas We will work closely with the Federal ministries to field joint teams especially around our priority value chains We anticipate that these engagements will yield insights about what additional activities our institutions need to prioritize e.g. – insurance sector reform, trade policy changes Our objective is to ensure that the ideas at the heart of NIRSAL become institutionalized and rolled out into the market place quickly 14 CBN’s Other Major Agricultural Finance Programmes at a Glance CBN’s Agricultural Financing Initiatives Commencement Year/Duration 1978 Guaranteed $358m to 760,636 farmers. $221.87m (73.3%) recovered from 557,318 (62.0%) farmers. 2003 Paid $6.67m as 40% interest drawback to 159,367 eligible farmers. ACGSF - Agricultural Credit Guarantee Scheme Fund (ACGSF) IDPF - Interest Drawback Programme Fund Performance/ Outreach ACSS - Agricultural Credit Support Scheme CACS - Commercial Agriculture Credit Scheme 2006 2009 Paid $5.82m as 6% interest rebate on 43 large projects. Released $1.19bn to 227 agric. value chain projects (198 private promoters and 29 State Governments) through18 banks (a) Exchange Rate = USD1.00 = N150.00 Nigerian Naira (b) Population of Nigeria :167m (c ) Nigerian Farming Population (58% of Nigeria’s population): 96.8 m 15