PRESENTATION
OF H.E. AMBASSADOR NGUYEN XUAN LUU
ECONOMIC FORUM CLUB
Bratislava, 20 June 2013
1
Part I: Overview of Vietnam
Part II: Main economic achievements of Vietnam in recent years
Part III: Some aspects of Vietnam - Slovakia economic and trade relations
Recommendations to promote economic cooperation between the two countries
2
Area: 331,051.4
km2
Bordering: China (North),
Laos, Cambodia (West), East
Sea (East)
Population: 88,780,000 ( 2012 ),
54 ethnic groups, multi religions
Capital: Hanoi with 6.7
mn
Business Center: HCM City,
7.5
mn
3
4
5
6
7
Vietnam is gateway of Southeast Asia and North-East
Asia countries, a geopolitical location conducive to intergration and economic cooperation with other countries
Security, political stability
Viet Nam-active member of international organizations in the region and world.
Market is growing faster and more uniform (economic reform – renovation)
Abundant young workforce, 70% of the population under 40 years old, skilled and good education system conductive to economic development.
8
Economic reform (Doi Moi Renovation) from 1986
Sustain high and stability economic growth for years,
GDP growth average 7.5% during 2001-2005 , 7% between 2006-2010 and 5.03% in 2012
GDP 2012 total: USD 136 bn; Agriculture: 21% GDP,
Industry: 41% and Service: 38% ; corresponding structure in 1991 : 41%, 24%, 35%.
GDP per capita in 1986 : 100 USD, 2012 : 1,540 USD
Viet Nam joined the middle-income countries
9
GDP growth in 2010-2012 at relatively high level
7
6
5
9
8
4
3
2
1
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
GDP
10
11
Regional and International Integration:
- Motto: Vietnam is a friend and reliable partner of all countries in the international community
- Diplomatic relations with over 180 countries.
Trade-investment relations with more 200 countries and territories
- Member of ASEAN, APEC, UN, WTO …
12
Import-export turnover increase 15-
20% / year
In 2012 , exports reached USD 115 bn, up 18% compared with
2011
120
110
100
90
80
70
60
Imports reached USD
114 bn, up 7% compared with 2011
50
40
30
20
Opening of economy is high: im-ex/GDP:
170%
10
0
2009 2010 2011 2012
Export
Import
13
25
EU: USD 20 bn, 17% of total exports
United States: USD 20 bn, 17%
ASEAN: USD 17 bn,
15%
Japan: USD 13 bn, 11%
China: USD 12 bn, 10%
20
15
10
5
0
US
EU
ASEAN
CHINA
JAPAN
14
Textiles & garments: USD 15 bn, up
7% in 2012
Phone & accessories: 12.6
bn, up 97%
Crude oil: USD 8.5
bn, up 16%
Electronic & computer: 8 bn, up 70%
Footwear: 7 bn USD, up 11%
Aquatic products: USD 6 bn, up 1%
Machinery, equipment, tool & spare parts: USD 5.5
bn, up 27%
Wood & wood products: USD 4.6 bn, up 17%
Vehicles & parts: USD 4.5
bn, up 30%
Rice: USD 3.7
bn,
Coffee: USD 3.7
bn,
Rubber: USD 2.8
bn,
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Textiles and garments
Crude oil
Phone & accessories
Footwear
Aquatic products
Electronic & computer
Machinery parts
Wood products
Rice
Rubber
Coffee
Vehicles & parts
15
Vietnam is the world leader in exports of black pepper, cashew nuts.
Second place in exports of rice, coffee.
Third place in exports of natural rubber.
Top 10 place in exports of seafood.
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China: USD 29 bn, 25% of total imports
ASEAN: USD 21 bn, 18%
South Korea: USD 15.6
bn, 14%
Japan: USD 12 bn, 10%
EU: USD 8.8
bn, 8%
United States: USD 4.7
bn,
4%
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
CHINA
ASEAN
SOUTH
KOREA
JAPAN
EU
US
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Electronic, computer & accessories: USD 13 bn
Machinery, equipment, tools, spare parts: USD 16 bn
Petroleum: USD 9 bn
Fabric: USD 7 bn
Steel: USD 6 bn
Phone & accessories: USD 5 bn
Plastics: USD 5 bn
Raw materials for textile, wear, footwear: USD 3 bn
Chemicals and Chemical products: USD 5 bn
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Machinery, equipment, tool, spare parts
Petroleum
Fabric
Plastic
Raw materials for textile, wear, footwear
Chemicals
Chemical products
Animal feed & raw materials
Electronic
Steel
Phone & accessories
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FDI in 2010 : USD 18.6
bn
In 2011 : USD 14.7
bn
In 2012 : USD 13 bn
As of 5/2013 : USD 217 bn,
14,918 investment projects from 100 countries and territories
2010
2011
2012
As of
5/2013
Value
(Billion
USD)
18.6
Projects Countries, territories
1,237 55
14.7
13.0
1,465
1,535
217 14,918
53
58
100
19
Value
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As of 5/2013
Japan: USD 32 bn, 1,959 projects
30
25
20
Taiwan: USD 27 bn, 2,249 projects
15
10
5
Singapore: USD 27 bn, 1,154 projects
0
Projects
South Korea: USD 25 bn, 3,302 projects
British Virgin Islands: USD 15 bn, 511 projects
3.500
3.000
2.500
2.000
1.500
1.000
500
0
Japan
Singapore
South Korea
Taiwan
British
Virgin
Islands
Japan
Singapore
South Korea
Taiwan
British
Virgin
Islands
20
FDI of Viet Nam in abroad:
Up to 3/2013 , Vietnam had 742 investment projects abroad with a total registered capital of USD 15.5
bn in many countries and territories.
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ODA record USD 7.9
bn in 2010 , 7.4
bn in 2011 and 6.5
bn in 2012.
As of 2012 , about USD 37 bn ODA disbursed since
1993 .
The major ODA donor: WB, ADB, EU, France,
Germany, Japan, South Korea, Australia...
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Political and social stability
Improve the legal environment and institutional market economy
Reform the public sector and encourage the development of the private sector
Improving infrastructure, transport, energy and training of human resources for development
International economic integration activities
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2013
GDP increased by 5.5% .; Export turnover increased by 10% .; Trade deficit about 8% ; State budget deficit by 4.8% of GDP; Inflation about 8% ;
Total investment of the whole society developed around 30% of GDP.
The poverty rate fell by 2% ; Create jobs for about
1.6 million workers; The unemployment rate in urban areas as 4% ;
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Overcome the difficulties as Potential risk of high inflation; Macroeconomic instability; High bad debt ( 7% of GDP); High level of bankruptcy; Real estate market and stock market plummeted.
Steps are taken:
- Reform banking system to solve the high bad debt
- Fix financing policy to reduce inflation, reduce the income and company tax.
- Restructuring the state companies
- Promoting exports, FDI and ODA inflows.
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Traditional friendship and multilateral cooperation
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In 2006 President of Slovakia Ivan Gaspanovic visited Viet
Nam.
In 2008 , Prime Minister Fico visited and reopened the Embassy of Slovakia in Hanoi.
In 2009 , Vietnam President Nguyen Minh Triet visited
Slovakia. Embassy of Vietnam opened in Bratislava in 2010 .
In 2010 , Chairman of N A Pavol Paska visited Viet Nam
The results of the visits gave new impetus to the development of bilateral relations today.
In April 2013 , First Meeting of Joint Commission on Economic
Cooperation between Viet Nam & Slovakia
The two countries signed several treaties and cooperation agreements to create a legal framework for promoting bilateral cooperation.
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TWO-WAY TRADE TURNOVER
VIETNAM EXPORT-IMPORT
Mi l lion USD
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2006 2011 2012
Two-way trade turnover
150
100
50
0
Mi l lion USD
300
250
200
2011 2012 export import
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Two-way trade turnover increased from USD 26 mn in
2006 to USD 170 mn in 2011 and USD 307 mn in 2012 .
Viet Nam exported USD 291 mn mainly computers, electronic products and components, footwear of all kinds, textiles and garments, seafoods
Viet Nam imported USD 16 mn mainly machinery, equipment and parts, wood and wood products; chemical raw materials for textile, leather, shoes and feed materials
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Investment & economic cooperation are limited
Investment: Slovak companies interested in the Vietnam market. Group Investment and Development of Slovakia
(BTG) has an investment project in Hoa Binh province
(Industrial park).
Slovak companies participated in Exhibitions in Ha Noi 2011 and 2013 ; Economic forums are organized in Viet Nam &
Slovakia.
Finance Group J & T (investment in construction project of office buildings in HCM City).
Some Vietnamese companies are interested in Slovak mobile market; selling coffee, rubber, seefood to Slovakia and though
Slovakia to EU countries.
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Vietnam is a bridge to Slovakia in the ASEAN market and Slovakia for Vietnam into Eastern
Europe - EU.
Great potential to develop cooperation in tourism, cultural cooperation, training and education.
Joint Commission is a good mechanism to promote cooperation. Encourage the small & medium enterprises (SME)
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How doing business in Vietnam?
- Open economy but highly competitive and lack of information.
- Big markets, profitability prospects but administrative procedures; unskilled workers
- Doing business in the cities, the industrial zones due to good infrastructure conditions
- Increase export of SK through investment projects
- Support from the Slovak Embassy in Vietnam and the Vietnam Embassy in Slovakia.
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Time of opportunity to promote relations and cooperation between Vietnam and Slovakia.
Vietnam - industrialization, modernization and rapid economic development. Slovakia – new, active member EU.
Slovakia and Vietnam will take advantage of opportunities to enhance cooperation, exploit strengths and potential of the two sides, meeting the interests of our two countries.
Friendly relations and cooperation need a new driving force from the young generations.
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