Website Marketing and Design Poitiers, September 23-27 Session 3 – Web Marketing Methods, eCommerce Business Models 1 Topics • Overview and Theories of Web Marketing • eCommerce Biz Models • B2C: eCommerce takes off • Case Study: Auto Industry Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 2 An Internet Framework Digital Networked Individuals Marketing Internet Marketing Technology Economics The Web is fundamentally about individuals using a network to access digital products Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 3 Marketing Evolves as Technology Changes • Technological innovation brought about the factory system & enabled mass production – Marketing emphasis was on logistics & supply chain management • Radio enabled national roll-out of brands – Marketing emphasis was on selling • Television coincided with the product & brand management system of marketing • Mainframe computers enabled new methods of segmentation & customer management • The Internet enables mass customization Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 4 Do You Yahoo? • For 50% of US Web users: Yes!! • A phenomenal eCommerce success story • Yahoo! brand extensions provide value add for users – – – – – Yahoo! Yahoo! Yahoo! Yahoo! Yahoo! games clubs chat auctions Stores • Yahoo! leverages its brand and ability to draw Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I 5 traffic to generate multiple revenue streams Perry & W Robson Most Popular Web Sites Yahoo! Leads Most Popular Web Sites Figure 5.1 60% 51% 50% 32% 30% 28% 27% 26% 24% tripod.com 33% microsoft.com 34% lycos.com 35% 40% excite.com 50% 20% 10% netscape.com geocities.com go.com msn.com aol.com yahoo.com 0% Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 6 Yahoo! Brand Extensions The Success of the Yahoo! Brand Figure 5.2 Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 7 Web Benefits to Firms • The range of Web benefits – Business models can be based on improvements in product or service – Business models can be based directly on generating revenue • Let’s take a closer look at these broad classes of business models Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 8 Revenue-Based Biz Models Use the Net to Make Money Provider Pays • • • • • Sponsorship Alliances Banner advertising Prospect fees Sales commissions Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 9 Revenue-Based Biz Models Use the Net to Make Money Provider Pays Customer Pays • • • • • • • • • Sponsorship Alliances Banner advertising Prospect fees Sales commissions Product sales Pay-per-use Subscriptions Bundle sales Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 10 Closed Loop Marketing • Marketing is closed loop when specific customer responses to specific marketing actions can be tracked – For example: if an online ad encourages Web site registration, the campaign is closed loop if users can be tracked from ad exposure to the decision to register • Closed loop marketing leads to rapid learning – Marketers can experiment with prices, ad copy, and product features on selected samples of consumers Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I 11 Perry & W Robson The Impact of Closed Loop Marketing On the Internet Nobody Knows You’re A Dog… • Marketers want two results from user responses – They want consumers to make a choice that leads to • information • improved customer satisfaction • a transaction Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 12 – Marketers want to learn about visitors to their site Web Chains • A Web chain is a click sequence – Can be as short as a single click – Can be as long as all possible choices on a Web site • Decision points = event nodes • Ending point = result node • Common Web chain starting points – Company homepage – Search engine or portal – Banner ads Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 13 Web Chain of Events Figure 5.12 BEGIN No Notice Rate (NNR) E1: Views Page with Paid Link (1-CTR-NNR) R2: Notices Ad but doesn’t click = Ad brand impact Click-through Rate (CTR) R1: Doesn’t Notice Ad = $0 benefit E2: Clicks Through to Company Web Site = Prospects (1-PCR) Offline Induced Buyer (OIB) E3: Views Web Site but Doesn’t Buy E4: Visits Web Site and Buys Repeat Buyer (RR) (1-OIB) R3: Offline Purchase = (Ad brand + Web Site brand + Offline profit) R6: Would have bought offline anyway = (Ad brand + Web Site brand + Online profit – Offline profit) Prospect Conversion Rate (PCR) R4: No Immediate Purchase = (Ad brand + Web Site brand impact) E5: Loyal Customer Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce Offline Buy Rate (OBR) OnlineI Only (1-OBR) Perry & W Robson New Customer (1-RR) R5: New Customer = (Ad brand + Web Site brand + Online profit + Future lifetime value) R7: Only buy online = 14 (Ad brand + Web Site brand + Online profit) Evaluating Web Chains • Enables marketers to evaluate a wide range of Web strategies and tactics • Calculate – – – – expected expected expected expected value value value value of of of of an impression a prospect a new customer a repeat buyer Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 15 Web Chain Benefits and Probabilities Five Main Benefits Occur in the Chain • Online contribution: the incremental profit from an online sale • Offline contribution: incremental profit from the sale of products through the standard channel • Ad-brand impact: value to a visitor, who sees the ad but doesn’t click through • Web site brand impact: value of a visit to the Web site that results in benefits, but not a sale • Lifetime customer value: future value of profits from a new customer Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 16 Evaluating Web Chains Behavior Rates Impact Values Variable Level Variable Level Click-through rate 2.7% Ad-brand impact $0.00 No-notice rate 70% Web site brand impact $.0.30 Prospect conversion rate 15% Offline profit $15.00 Repeat buying rate 90% Offline profit $23.00 Offline-induced buy rate 0.05 New customer LTV Offline buy rate 0.30 Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson $125.00 17 Cost and Performance Table 5.5 Time to Reach Cost per Site Ad Network Search Engine Special Type Impressions 75,772 16,670 1,887 Cost Impression $2,075 $1,133 $52 $0.03 $0.07 $0.03 CTR 2.70% 5.50% 9.50% Cost per 4000 Prospect Prospects $1.01 About 2 weeks $1.24 About 4.5 weeks $0.28 About 23 weeks One of the best uses of Web chain analysis is to Part 1 - methods Introduction to Ecommerce I 18 compare alternative of acquiring customers Perry & W Robson From Web Chains to Closed Loops • There’s a strong connection between Web chains and closed-loop marketing • A Web chain is closed loop if – the chain extends from the marketing offer to the desired marketing response – Each step is trackable • The Internet can be used to close the loop on traditional media advertising if unique identifiers are included with the ad – Dell newspaperPartads contain a unique code 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 19 Website Marketing and Design Poitiers, September 23-27 Session 4 – B2C eCommerce 1 What is B2C? Business-to-Consumer electronic commerce: • eCommerce Buying = combines ordering and paying online Example – A consumer orders an item of clothing on a web site and completes the entire transaction online Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 21 B2C eCommerce Takes Off Consumer spending online is on the rise! Paid for online Ordered online, paid for offline Offline orders influenced by the Net Total 1997 (Billions) 1998 (Billions) Growth $5.1 $11.0 54% $10.2 $15.5 34% $44.8 $50.8 12% $60.1 $77.3 32% Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 22 B2C eCommerce Takes Off Breakdown of Online Consumer Spending (US) $13.5 - Researched online, ordered and paid for offline $10.8 – Ordered online, paid for offline BIG TICKET ITEMS (Cars, Refrigerators, etc) $4.7 – Ordered online, paid for offline $11.0 – Paid for online $16.3 - Researched online, ordered and paid for offline SMALL TICKET ITEMS Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I 23 (Clothing, Electronics, etc) Perry & W Robson B2C eCommerce Takes Off eCommerce Impact on Web Sites 4% 100% 20% 80% 37% 38% 9% 5% 14% 23% 5% 9% 30% 60% 10% 4% 4% 10% 32% 9% 20% 40% 20% 5% 50% 20% 23% 54% 40% 25% 0% Brand Content Financial Travel Shopping • Adding eCommerce raises e-mail address not the stakes available No response • eCommerce creates incentives to improve 3+ days performance and customer 2 days responsiveness 1 day – E-mail response time is critical – Web-server performance is important Majority of eCommerce Sites with • eCommerce sites are most Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I 24 One-Day Response responsive Perry & W Robson B2C eCommerce Takes Off eCommerce Impact on Web Sites • eCommerce creates strong incentives for companies to enhance their online use of personalization – Raises the value of users’ online experience – Improves customer loyalty – Allows for detailed information gathering • The personalization/eCommerce link is especially strong for business-to-business marketing Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 25 Consumer-to-Consumer Commerce • Consumer-to-consumer sites must build trust – – – – – – Systems that rate seller credibility Verify identities of buyers and sellers Insurance against fraud Escrow accounts to ensure products are shipped Bans on sellers who bid on their own products Bans on buyers who win, but don’t complete the sale • Successful auction sites blur the distinction between business and fun Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 26 The Pace of eCommerce Saving Money: The Simplest Reason to Buy Online • Regular lower prices – An online site can dramatically reduce selling costs for retailers – Competitive pressures keep prices low $35 Figure 12.9 – Comparison of Bestseller Prices $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 A Man in Full Sugar Busters Into Thin Air Memoirs of a Wolfe Steward Krakauer Geisha Golden List Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W RobsonBestsellers For Less Amazon.com Wal-mart.com Barnes&Noble.com 27 Shopping.com The Pace of eCommerce Saving Money: The Simplest Reason to Buy Online • Sales tax is seldom charged on online purchases – Products delivered electronically - software downloads – When the merchant doesn’t have a physical presence in the state where the product is delivered • Shipping costs vary – Consumers notice and react to the cost of shipping – Shipping to home addresses is expensive • Package delivery companies are optimized for delivery to commercial addresses • One large delivery to a retailer is replaced by many small deliveries Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I 28 Perry & W Robson The Pace of eCommerce E-tailers Offer Assortment & Convenience • • • • • Virtually unlimited shelf space 24/7 service Convenient for repeat purchases One-stop shopping Ability to comparison shop Top Reason Cited for Retail Store Dissatisfaction, Christmas 1998 1. Can’t find a salesperson 26% 2. Unknowledgeable staff 18% 3. Parking problems 17% 4. Waiting in lines 14% 5. Insufficient selection 13% 6. Crowded merchandise 7% 7. Unfriendly staff 7% 8. Difficulty finding things 7% 9. Inconvenient location 10. Hours not convenient Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I5% Perry & W Robson 2% Table 12.6 Physical Retail Problems 29 The Pace of eCommerce Entertainment • Less developed due to technical issues such as slow consumer access speeds • Exception is adult entertainment, which earned nearly $1 billion in 1998 • Other entertainment forums include – – – – auction sites chat rooms instant messaging discussion groups Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 30 Website Marketing and Design Poitiers, September 23-27 End of Session 3 – Break 1 Payment Mechanisms Which Company Bears the Risk? Sponsorship Fixed Payment Banner Ads Impressions Prospect Fees Click Through Sales Commissions Purchase Risk Increases for the Web Site Being Paid • Sponsorship least risky: fixed payment • Banner Ads: payment depends on impressions • Prospect Fees & Sales Commissions: depend Part 1 - Introduction to advertiser Ecommerce I 32 on success of site and Perry & W Robson The Many Ways to Pay Online Possible Payment Approaches Paid Traffic Sponsorship Impressions Leads Co-Brand L1 - Time L2 - Impressions Visits Downloads Buyers Users L3 - Results L4 - Expenditure Figure 5.8 Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 33 Competing Against the Net Retailer Responses to the eCommerce Challenge • Selective price discounts – Bricks and mortar merchants can offer discounts for products that can also be bought online • Concentrating attention on late adopters of technology – Some consumers have a lot of fear, uncertainty and doubt about the online shopping experience – This slows their defection to new online outlets Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 34 Competing Against the Net Undifferentiated • Pine and Gilmore stress that the economy is evolving toward experienced-based value • Retailers function less as sellers of products than as stagers of events Stage Experiences Competitive Position Creating and staging experiences Differentiated Retailer Responses to the E-Commerce Challenge Deliver Services Make Goods Extract Commodities Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Market Perry & W Robson Pricing 35 Premium Competing Against the Net Retailer Responses to the E-Commerce Challenge: ‘Clicks and Mortar’ Adopt the Internet to create a hybrid system • Bricks and mortar retailers can move certain parts of their retailing function online • Physical locations often a superior way to – Acquire customers – Set up customer relationships – Create a strong retail brand image • The online presence – Drives business to the physical locations – Provides 24/7 convenience for loyal customers – Adds new functionality – gift registries and shopping services Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 36 Bargaining Power Determines Who Bears Risk • Powerful sites shift risk to advertisers and demand sponsorships • Powerful advertisers demand accountability and negotiate for prospect fees of a share of transaction revenue Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I 37 Perry & W Robson Selecting Specific EC Opportunities & Application • Understand: – The possibilities of Ecommerce • Map opportunities that match current competencies and markets – Many opportunities to create new products and services Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 38 You Decide: ‘Pure Play’ vs. Bricks and Mortar • Three dimensions – the product (service) sold [physical / digital]; – the process [physical / digital] – the delivery agent (or intermediary) [physical / digital] • Traditional commerce – all dimensions are physical • Pure EC – all dimensions are digital • Partial EC – all other possibilities include a mix of digital and physical dimensions Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 39 Consumer-to-Consumer Commerce • Businesses deploy chat room technology – Enables consumers to interact directly with each other – Accelerates word of mouth – Facilitates consumer-to-consumer commerce • eBay • Yahoo! Auctions Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 40 The Key to Success in eCommerce Control of the two power axes: about building set of unique competencies & controlling bargaining power battle for providing greatest value & best features, from customer perspective Competitor power axis Power of Suppliers Threat of New Entrants Power of Customers Existing Competitors Threat of Substitute Products Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce Perry & W Robson Creation of Value chain power axis I 41 eCommerce Case Study This suggests that auto insurance, loans and leasing plans are highly desirable partners for both new and used car dealers Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 42 eCommerce Case Study: The Automobile Industry New intermediaries complicate the split of profits between elements of the profit pool Example: Online car sales The battle for customers takes place during: 1. Researching and selecting the vehicle 2. Finding a dealer and price 3. Choosing financing, insurance, warranty 4. Closing the deal Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I Perry & W Robson 43 eCommerce Case Study Table 12.3: Steps for Online Auto Buying Stage Service Providers Growth Drivers Consumer Participation (millions of households) 1998 2003 1. Research and select vehicle AutoSite Car and Driver CarPrices.com Consumer Reports Edmund’s IntelliChoice J.D. Power Kelley Blue Book Manufacturers Yahoo! Autos Increase in online households Easy access to deep product information from trusted brands Powerful word of mouth 2.0 7.9 2. Find a dealer and price Auto-By-Tel.com No-haggle pricing AutoConnect Dealers hire InternetAutoVantage focused salespeople Autoweb.com Dealers establish and CarPoint improve web sites Cars.com Dealers set up two-way Dealers e-mail Manufacturers Priceline.com Stoneage Part 1 - Introduction to Ecommerce I 0.8 5.2 Perry & W Robson 44 eCommerce Case Study Table 12.3 continued Stage Service Providers Growth Drivers 3. Choose financing, insurance and warranty Financing CarFinance.com Ford Credit GMAC Lending Tree Insurance GEICO Direct InsWeb Progressive Warranty Warranty Dir. Warranty Gold 4. Close the deal Saturn/Daewoo Dealer networks Luxury brands Online buying services Part 1 - Increased comfort with internet transaction security Technology cooperation between banks and dealers Dealers accept thirdparty financing Banks and insurers offer incentives to go online Higher quality vehicles easy to buy without a test drive Money-back guarantees and extended warranties Fixed pricing allows Introduction to Ecommerce I dealers to close sales online Perry & W Robson Consumer Participation (millions of households) 1998 2003 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.5* Number rounded up 45 Website Marketing and Design Poitiers, September 23-27 End of Sessions 3-4: A Demain! 1