“National Company “KazMunayGas”: “Kazakhstan as the Main Driver of Oil Production Growth in Eurasia: Key Projects, Prospects And Challenges” Zurich, April 25, 2013 Oil and Gas Industry of the Republic of Kazakhstan World proved crude oil reserves, bln.barrels Proved oil reserves, MMbbl • Kazakhstan holds 9th place in the world with regard to the proved oil reserves, with the 39,8 bln. barrels of oil • Kazakhstan is the 2nd largest oil producer among the CIS countries • Natural gas reserves make up 3 trln.cub.m , which is 1% of world’s gas reserves. • Oil production in Kazakhstan is 1.76 mln.bbl/day or about 80 bln.tons • Gas production in Kazakhstan makes up 25 bln.cub.m. Nigeria 39.8 Kazakhstan Libya Russia UAE Kuwait Iraq Iran Venezuela Saudi Arabia 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 • Oil production is expected to Increase by 60% by 2020 • Caspian Sea Shelf Projects should become the main driver of oil Annual crude oil production in Kazakhstan, mln. Oil production in Kazakhstan, mtoe tons (with forecast to 2020) 130 CAGR = 7% 47 51 59 62 65 production growth in Kazakhstan • By 2035 the Caspian Sea region will provide about 9% of the world crude oil demand 90 67 71 76 80 72 bln. US dollars Investments in oil and gas sector 21% of oil sector in Kazakhstan’s GDP 3 The Republic of Kazakhstan: Key-takeaways, New Challenges and Development Goals GDP growth rate Development Strategy until 2020 GDP growth – no less than 30% National Fund’s assets – no less than 30% of GDP Share of the small and medium enterprises in the GDP - 40% Growth of investments in non-resource sector of the economy - 30% Population - 18 mln. people Life expectancy – over 72 year 200 188,1 180 160 140 9.8% 9.3% 120 9.6% 9.7% 133.4 8.9% 81.0 80 7.5% 115.3 104.3 100 3.3% 7.0% 57.1 60 40 145.9 10.7% 43.2 30.8 24.6 20 1.2% 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 growth against the proceeding year; 2008 2009 2010 2011 GDP in billion US dollars Foreign Direct Investments (mln.US dollars) 2 JSC NC "KazMunayGas" in Kazakhstan's Oil-and-Gas Sector KazMunayGas is Kazakhstan's national operator for exploration, production, refining and transportation of hydrocarbons, representing the state in Kazakhstan's oil-and-gas sector. 100 percent of the company's shares are owned by the SWF “Samruk-Kazyna” JSC. Key figures 2011 21,1 mln. tons 4,9 bln. m3 15,3 mln. tons 66,9 mln. tons 110,6 bln. m3 Production of crude oil and gas condensate Gas production Oil refining Pipeline oil transportation Pipeline natural gas transportation Layout of oil pipelines Share on the RoK's market, % 26,4 % 13,1 % 83,2 % 77,1 % 95,7 % Layout of gas pipelines Central Asia - Centre Bukhara - Ural Orenburg - Novopskov BGR - Almaty Kazakhstan-China 4 The Development Strategy of KazMunayGas 1 • Oil and gas exploration and production • Growth of hydrocarbon reserves and crude oil and gas production • Oil transportation 2 3 4 5 6 • Diversification of oil export routes, integration of oil transportation systems and ensuring a stable transportation • Gas transportation and marketing • Development of Kazakhstan gas market, transit potential and satisfaction of the domestic market requirements • Oil refining & Oil and oil products marketing • Oil refining technological development, ensuring domestic market and development of petro chemistry • Service and innovative technological sector • Creation of competitive services, achieving the level of world oil and gas companies • Managerial improvement • Financial sustainability and debt management, development and improvement of corporate governance, formation of target capital structure, implementation of personnel policy and enhancing social activity 5 Strategic Targets of JSC NC “KazMunayGas” for 2022 Description Unit Plan for 2012 2015 2022 (Long-term strategy) Growth 2022/2012, ( %) Oil and gas condensate reserves mln. tons 779,0 817,0 1 413 1,8 times Volume of oil and gas condensate mln. tons 21,9 24,0 35,4 1,6 times Volume of oil refining and gas condensate mln. tons 16,4 19,0 19,0 115,9 % 9,3 > 10 >15 ROACE EBITDA margin % 13,3 > 16 > 18 by 5,7 percentage point by 4,7 percentage point 6 Geological Exploration Performance Short-term plan of geological exploration (2012-2015) 556 bln. KZT 4 650 lin. km 11 970 km2 435 wells Geological exploration costs Total costs for geological exploration during 2012 – 2016 will make up 556 bln. KZT 2D Seismic survey 2D seismic survey to the extent of 4 650 lin. km is scheduled to be held for identifying new structures 3D Seismic survey 3D seismic survey to the extent of 11 970 sq.km is scheduled to be held for specifying the composition of the identified structures Prospecting and exploratory drilling 435 exploration and appraisal wells are planned to be drilled From 2015 the consolidated increment in raw hydrocarbons reserves of KMG will be ensured through geological exploration. 7 Exploration and Production Innovation Policy • Improving the efficiency of geological exploration • (muiltifocusing, digital geological modeling) Increment in the consolidated residual recoverable oil reserves by more than twice through geological exploration based on innovative technologies by 2022 • Laboratory test Development and transfer of innovative technologies Improvement of development efficiency of the fields with depleted deposit and challenged reserves in order to increase the oil recovery factor. ADVANCED TECHNOLOGIES 15 low-margin deposits of JSC KMG E&P, remaining recoverable reserves 6570 thousand tons Ground tests in natural field conditions • Nonsteady (cyclic) waterflooding with reverse filtration flow • Polymer-gel system injection • Alternating injection of oil and water • Sidetracking • Horizontal wells and horizontally branched wells Large-scale introduction of innovation on a turnkey basis in existing fields Innovative effect • Production tests of research and technology and development activities by Kazakh scientists and teams in the field, testing of new domestic equipment and technologies • Introduction and experience of application of the new technologies by world service companies • Introduction of new technologies in the existing fields 8 Geological Prospecting Projects of JSC NC “KazMunayGas” Kazakhstan Sector of Caspian Sea Onshore North-Caspian Project (16,81%) Zhambay (50%) Zhambyl (73%) Satpayev (75%) 7 5 Kurmangazy (50%) Zhemchujiny Жамбыл (25%) 1 4 Khvalynskoye (25%) 6 3 Project N (51%) (50%) Tsentralnaya (50%) 2 Центральная 1 - Liman 2 - Uzen-Karamandybys 3 - Karaton-Sarkamys 4 - R-9 5 - Taysogan 6 - Teresken 7 -Temir 9 Diversification of Oil Transportation Routes Over 20 years of independence of the Republic of Kazakhstan: volume of oil export increased from 13 to 71 mln.tons annually approximately 4 000 km of oil pipelines constructed pipeline export capacities increased from 10 to 58 mln.tons annually | “Caspian Oil Pipeline” Pipeline Consortium • In April 1996 Agreement between Kazakhstan, Russia, Oman and International Oil Consortium on construction of CPC Pipeline was concluded. • Oil pipeline length:1510 km • Commissioned: 2001 • July 1 2011 – commencement of construction works on the CPC Expansion Project (up to 67 mln.tons of which 52,5 mln.tons of oil from the Republic of Kazakhstan) Existing routes Planned routes Kazakhstan-China Oil Pipeline Implementation of the KazakhstanChina Oil Pipeline Expansion Project (Stage II) will allow increasing the output capacity up to 20 mln.tn of oil a year. Oil transportation, mln.tn CPC Oil Pipeline “Atyrau-Samara” Oil Pipeline Kazakhstan-China Oil Pipeline 2011 28,2 15,4 10,9 Kazakhstan Caspian Transportation System Project The need in the KCTS export capacities will arise by the moment Phase II of the Kashagan field development is implemented 10 Gas-main Pipelines of Kazakhstan Russian Federation Kyrgyzstan China 11 Reconstruction and Modernization of Refineries in Kazakhstan Implementation of the State Program on Industrial and Innovative Development Enforcement and the Program on Development of the Petroleum Industry in the Republic of Kazakhstan for 2010-2014 will allow: increasing an average integrity index of the Kazakhstan refineries up to 10,2 global rate increasing the depth of oil refining up to 89% enhancing the quality of motor fuels to Euro-4,5 standards Investment projects: “Construction of Aromatic Hydrocarbon Production Complex at Atyrau Refinery” “Construction of Deep Oil Processing Complex at Atyrau Refinery” “Reconstruction and Modernization of Pavlodar Refinery” “Reconstruction and Modernization of PKOP Refinery (Shymkent Refinery) «Road Bitumen Production at Aktau Plastic Mass Plant” Expected Results: Description Oil refining Gasoline Jet fuel Diesel fuel Mazut Refining depth Quality of oil products thou,.tons Fact 2011 13 724 2 764 388 4 093 3 403 67% Euro - 2 After reconstruction 2016 19 000 6 774 957 5 875 1 484 89% Euro – 4,5 Deviation (+/-) % + 5 276 + 4 010 + 569 +1 782 - 1 919 + 38 2,5 times 2,5 times + 44 - 57 + 22 12 Kazakh Content (КС) KC in procurement activities of KMG Group for the year 2011 bln.tenge KC in major petroleum projects for the year 2011 Total volume of procurement Kazakh content 7000 1,800.0 1,600.0 80% Общий объем закупок Total procurement level 1 498,9 6000 Kazakhstani content Казахстанское содержание 1,400.0 5000 1,200.0 4000 1,000.0 800.0 (USD mln.) 3000 37% 733 (49%) 739,9 2000 600.0 338,6 420,8 1000 400.0 261 (35,3%) 194 (57,3%) 200.0 278 (66%) 0.0 Всего, ТРУ Товары Total, GWS Goods Работы Works 62% Услуги Services 20% 63% 0 Импорт Import Казахстанское Kazakh содержание Content 38% 903 446.8 5244 1569 268 1311 13 Service Sector- Investment Projects р.Урал СКЭ БР Месторо ждение Кашаган Construction of the North-Caspian Environmental Response Base (NCERB) Purpose: to ensure oil spill response in case of Level 1 and 2, delivery of assistance in case of emergency situation, evacuation and rescue of people, deployment of equipment in case of Level 3 oil spill Deadline: 2013 Cost: 12,6 bln.tenge Location: Damba settlement, Atyrau oblast Status: NCERB is under construction. Shipyard/dry dock construction Purpose: development of the shipbuilding industry in the Republic of Kazakhstan Deadline: 2013 – 2016 Cost: 48 580 mln.tenge Location: Kuryk settlement, Mangistau oblast Status: feasibility study package produced, state expert review is carried out Gas turbine station construction Purpose: liquidation of energy emergency in the West –Kazakhstan oblast, security of RK energy supply Deadline : 2013-2015 (Phase 1); 2020-2021 (Phase 2) Cost: 34 113 mln.tenge Location: West-Kazakhstan oblast Status: feasibility study package produced, state expert review is carried out 14 Service Sector – Innovative Cluster Research study and development JSC “KBTU": Institute of Chemical Полигон Sciences named after Bekturov A.B. Institute of Organic Catalysis and Electrochemistry named after Sokolsky D.V. JSC “Kazakh Institute of Oil and Gas”: Research-and-Development Center in the “Information Technology Park” SEZ Experimental-industrial Studies Industrial Engineering Polygon based on low-profit oil Incorporation in fullscale production at fields of JSC “Exploration and domestic enterprises Production “KazMunayGas” Special Laboratory JSC “Kazakh Institute of Oil and Gas” in the “Information Technology Park” SEZ Promotion of finished commodity to the market Major petroleum projects: TCO, KPO, NCP etc. Export СЗМС Innovative projects on the territory of the “Information Technology Park” SEZ Creation of a showpiece complex using the latest results in the sphere of innovative technologies. Завод по ремонту малых судов Development of domestic research-and-development as well as design and experimental in the petroleum industry Завод буровых растворов Implemented by: 2011-2014 Students: 2000 Researches and developments in the sphere of high-performance computing, automation, production processes, IT software application for petroleum and other fields ITP SEZ KIOG Research and Development Center KBTU Institute of Information Technologies KBTU Petroleum Engineering Institute 15 JSC “National Company “KazMunayGas” The Republic of Kazakhstan, 010000, Astana, Kabanbai-batyr str., 22 tel.: +7 (7172) 97-61-01 fax: +7 (7172) 97-60-00, 97-60-01 e-mail: Astana@kmg.kz http://www.kmg.kz 16