Broadband TV and Recommendation: Improving the Customer Experience Ian Kegel Future Consumer Applications and Services Practice BT Research & Technology How can we make TV Recommendation work in a connected, multi-device world? © British Telecommunications plc Answers? 1. Use a flexible, high performance Recommendation System 2. Make better use of Feedback 3. Incorporate Social Media © British Telecommunications plc Future TV: Multi-platform, Multi-device • Unified access to live broadcast, VOD, Catch-up TV, OTT and local content • 20M PS3, Xbox360 & Wii consoles in the UK can deliver on-demand content to the TV today • 69% of UK households forecast to have Internet-enabled TVs by 2014 400M Internet-enabled TVs, STBs, Media Players, Games Consoles Non Internet-enabled TVs and STBs 100M 2011 © British Telecommunications plc 2012 2013 2014 • The Netflix effect: over 400 Netflixready devices in the US, and now coming to the UK… • OTT-exclusive ‘Internet TV’ players emerging (such as Apple, Boxee and Google TV) • Warner OTT content now integrated with Facebook Why Recommendation? • Huge amounts of content are available – but customers face rapidly increasing difficulty in finding what they want: the “crisis of choice” • Recommendation enhances the customer experience by anticipating customers’ preferences and enabling new forms of interaction. • It also enables the provider to promote specific content, and can reduce the cost of delivery by driving pre-emptive delivery techniques. © British Telecommunications plc Why Recommendation? © British Telecommunications plc Recommendation Challenges • Satisfying new customers who have yet to purchase anything • Suggesting new content when few people have already purchased it • Integrating different catalogues from multiple providers • Making the customer experience clear and simple – Addressing individuals as well as groups – Knowing who is watching at a given time – Using implicit and explicit feedback appropriately © British Telecommunications plc The MyMedia Project www.mymediaproject.org EU-funded Collaborative Project, 2008-2010 External Application Integration and UI Core Software Framework System Data Object Relation Mapping System Data Relational Database Metadata Enrichment & Catalog Import Interface Application Programming Interface Pluggable Metadata Enrichment & Catalog Information System Data Catalog Information/Enrichment Recommendations Algorithm Interface Recommendations © British Telecommunications plc Pluggable Algorithms • Goal: To make it easier for Content Providers to take advantage of stateof-the-art recommendation systems. • Flexible and modular Core Software Framework allows algorithms, content catalogues, feedback sources and UI components to be plugged in. • Library of recommender algorithms can be hybridised in the most appropriate way for the application. • Four real-world trials: IPTV, catch-up TV, e-commerce portal, user-generated content. MyMedia Today © British Telecommunications plc More information: http://www.ismll.uni-hildesheim.de/mymedialite/index.html Answers? 1. Use a flexible, high performance Recommendation System 2. Make better use of Feedback 3. Incorporate Social Media © British Telecommunications plc Future TV: Broadcast TV is still king… for now • 83% of viewing is still live broadcast ‘linear’ TV • 64% of ‘non-linear’ viewing is Catchup TV (eg. PVR, VOD) • UK more linear than US, with focus on fewer higher quality channels • The UK video rental market is small: less than 3 videos per household per year • OTT VOD stores have achieved low takeup (eg. Lovefilm is streamed by < 1% of UK households) • But there are disruptors on the horizon: YouView, Netflix, Apple TV © British Telecommunications plc Types of Feedback Explicit • High quality when given • Usually based on ratings • Both positive and negative • End-of-scale bias • Not always available Implicit • Abundant, theoretically • Based on observations • No negative feedback • Inherently noisy • Need to model both preference and confidence Hu, Koren and Volinsky (AT&T Labs): “Collaborative Filtering for Implicit Feedback Data Sets”, ICDM2008 © British Telecommunications plc An Example 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 Tuner Open/Closed Started watching channel or recording Stop/Start recording program Play, Pause, Rewind, - Fast forward, etc Delete Recording Schedule/Cancel Series Recording 5 4 3 2 1 0 04:00 © British Telecommunications plc 08:00 12:00 16:00 20:00 Dynamics of TV viewing behaviour Taxonomy of the TV viewing process (Bilandzic, 2004) • Scanning: Deliberate, heuristic evaluation of a channel • Flipping: Scanning all available channels • Grazing: Systematic, slow evaluation of a channel • Zapping: Switching to avoid certain content (eg. commercial break) then returning • Hopping: Continuous switching back and forth between two or more programmes Wonneberger, Schoenbach and van Meurs (Univ. of Amsterdam): “Dynamics of Individual Television Viewing Behavior: Models, Empirical Evidence, and a Research Program”, AEJMC2008 © British Telecommunications plc Managing Implicit Feedback VOD views per month 100 Implicit Feedback from VOD viewing alone is insufficient for the majority of the population. 10 0 O(1M) Customers ordered by VOD viewing frequency © British Telecommunications plc Managing Implicit Feedback 500 Implicit Feedback from PVR recordings improves prediction for more customers. 10 0 50 O(1M) Customers ordered by VOD viewing frequency Customers ordered by PVR recording frequency © British Telecommunications plc PVR recordings per month VOD views per month 100 Managing Implicit Feedback 500 Additional events captured per month VOD views per month 100 Could we be smarter about collecting implicit feedback? 10 0 O(1M) Customers ordered by VOD viewing frequency © British Telecommunications plc Answers? 1. Use a flexible, high performance Recommendation System 2. Make better use of Feedback 3. Incorporate Social Media © British Telecommunications plc Future TV: a ‘Social Experience’ • Second screen interaction during TV viewing is becoming the norm • The TV remote is being replaced by a keyboard, tablet or smartphone enabling better interaction • Second screens provide access to EPG and PVR functionality • Increasingly used for enhanced programme interaction and participation • 80% of mobile Internet users under 25 regularly use their device to comment or chat while watching TV: – 72% use Twitter 56% use Facebook 34% use other mobile applications – 30% said it was "fun" and made TV "more interesting". © British Telecommunications plc A New Type of Feedback? Explicit • • • • • Implicit High quality when given Usually based on ratings Both positive and Social negative End-of-scale bias • Can be Not always available • • • • © British Telecommunications plc • • • • quality • Abundant, theoretically Based on observations No negative feedback Inherently noisy Need to model both preference and confidence negative high Both positive and Can be explicit or implicit (and difficult to interpret) Potentially very noisy Not always available Some Challenges • What techniques can be used to manage implicit feedback in real-world systems? • How should social feedback be balanced with the traditional explicit and implicit forms? • What impact will new forms of second screen interaction have on content personalisation? © British Telecommunications plc Broadband TV and Recommendation: Improving the Customer Experience ian.c.kegel@bt.com