A Changing World: Helping Students Prepare for Life in a Scary World that We Know Little About Chris Droessler College Tech Prep Consultant NC Department of Public Instruction Chris.Droessler@dpi.nc.gov QR-Code www.ctpnc.org/presentations Surprises Future Demand Changing World www.ctpnc.org/presentations Degree Level Matters People with more education make more money than those with less education Average Starting Salaries for 2009 College Graduates in FL $47,708 Associate in Science (community college) $44,558 Bachelor degree (private college) $39,108 Certificate (community college) $36,552 Bachelor degree (state college) Miami Herald - Jan 1, 2011 2006-2016 Projected NC Employment: Education Required work exp. long OJT mod. OJT Bachelor’s degree Bachelor + work exp. Master’s degree Doctorate degree Professional 1,2 year college Associate degree short OJT NC Employment Security Commission 2008 NC High School Graduate Intentions Other Employment Trade and Business Schools Military Private Junior Colleges Public Senior Institutions Community and Technical Colleges Private Senior Institutions NC Public Schools Statistical Profile 2008 Postsecondary Intentions vs. Reality Graduate Intentions OJT 11.6% 4 year 1-2 year 38% 47% Education Required 4 year 20.1% 9% 1-2 year OJT 59.6% On the Job Training Required (2008 NC Starting Salaries - 2016 High Demand) $33,110 $28,920 $27,880 $27,730 $27,180 $26,930 $26,920 $26,700 $26,590 $26,280 $25,840 $24,730 $23,950 $23,720 $23,710 $23,510 long OJT mod. OJT long OJT long OJT long OJT mod. OJT mod. OJT long OJT long OJT long OJT long OJT long OJT long OJT long OJT long OJT mod. OJT Elevator Installers and Repairers Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmaso Reinforcing Iron and Rebar Workers Boilermakers Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mech Sales Representatives, Services, all other Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders Millwrights Electricians Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters Stonemasons Terrazzo Workers and Finishers Plasterers and Stucco Masons Opticians, Dispensing Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians Dental Assistants Associate Degree Required (2008 NC Starting Salaries - 2016 High Demand) $47,920 $45,600 $45,280 $42,630 $38,470 $35,910 $35,870 $35,810 $29,700 $27,410 $26,870 $26,660 $25,240 $25,190 $24,520 $23,280 Radiation Therapists Diagnostic Medical Sonographers Dental Hygienists Registered Nurses Respiratory Therapists Radiologic Technologists and Technicians Physical Therapist Assistants Cardiovascular Technologists and Technicians Medical Equipment Repairers Forensic Science Technicians Paralegals and Legal Assistants Biological Technicians Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians, all other Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians Agricultural and Food Science Technicians Occupational Therapist Assistants Bachelor Degree Required (2008 NC Starting Salaries - 2016 High Demand) $65,690 $58,180 $55,220 $55,050 $53,970 $47,340 $46,980 $46,710 $46,380 $45,650 $45,590 $44,400 $42,900 $42,310 $40,430 $40,260 Physician Assistants Computer Software Engineers, Systems Software Construction Managers Aerospace Engineers Computer Software Engineers, Applications Financial Analysts Biological Scientists, all other Computer Systems Analysts Life Scientists, all other Occupational Therapists Environmental Engineers Industrial Engineers Database Administrators Logisticians Biomedical Engineers Network and Computer Systems Administrators Doctorate/Professional Degree Required (2008 NC Starting Salaries - 2016 High Demand) $166,400 Surgeons $136,450 Internists, General $125,320 Anesthesiologists $116,900 Obstetricians and Gynecologists $113,440 Family and General Practitioners $109,350 Pediatricians, General $106,380 Psychiatrists $87,020 Pharmacists $86,250 Podiatrists $60,950 Optometrists $54,990 Chiropractors $51,790 Computer and Information Scientists, Research $30,850 - $49,650 Postsecondary Teachers $48,280 Lawyers $48,010 Veterinarians $46,720 Physicians and Surgeons, all other 57% of bachelor’s-seeking students earn degree in 6 years National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Department of Education (nces.ed.gov) North Carolina 6-year Graduation Rate – 2008 57.6% average It makes you think? What happens to our 4-year program dropouts? 25% of all students in Community College have a 4-year degree. Did we send them to the wrong school? NC Board of Education Mission Every public school student will graduate from high school, globally competitive for work and postsecondary education and prepared for life in the 21st Century. Surprises Future Demand Changing World www.ctpnc.org/presentations If we really want to prepare our students for successful careers, we need to know all we can about the rapidly changing job market. C. Droessler Fastest Growing Occup. in NC Requiring Postsecondary Education (Total Change in Positions Projected from 2008 - 2018) 22,800 6,710 5,370 5,160 5,020 4,430 3,790 3,370 3,320 3,290 3,160 2,840 2,630 2,500 2,480 Registered Nurses Accountants and Auditors Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education Postsecondary Teachers Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education Physicians and surgeons Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts Business Operation Specialists, All Other Construction Managers Computer Software Engineers, Applications Clergy Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education Real Estate Sales Agents Paralegals and Legal Assistants Fastest Growing Occup. in NC (Total Change in Positions Projected from 2008 - 2018) 32,910 22,800 18,940 15,720 14,230 8,260 7,750 7,150 6,930 6,710 6,680 6,190 5,610 5,540 5,390 Home Health Aides Registered Nurses Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Foo Retail Salespersons Customer Service Representatives Cashiers Waiters and Waitresses Personal and Home Care Aides Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers Accountants and Auditors Construction Laborers Truck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Retail Sales Workers Executive Secretaries and Administrative Assistants Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks Fastest Growing Occup. in USA (Total Change in Positions Projected from 2010 - 2020) 711,900 706,800 706,300 607,000 497,700 489,500 437,300 425,400 398,000 359,000 358,400 338,400 330,100 328,500 319,100 Registered Nurses Retail Salespersons Home Health Aides Personal Care Aides Driver/Sales Workers and Truck Drivers Office Clerks, General Laborers and Material Movers, Hand Fast Food and Counter Workers Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast F Building Cleaning Workers Elementary and Middle School Teachers Customer Service Representatives Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Miscellaneous Healthcare Support Occupations Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Fastest Growing Occup. in NC (Percent Change in Positions Projected from 2008 - 2018) 79 45 45 44 42 41 41 41 40 38 38 37 36 34 34 Biomedical Engineers 450 x 79% = 360 Medical Scientists, Except Epidemiologists Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts Personal and Home Care Aides Dental Hygienists Veterinary Technologists and Technicians Physician Assistants Dental Assistants Home Health Aides 81,790 x 40% = 32,910 Survey Researchers Veterinarians Medical Assistants Financial Examiners Medical Equipment Repairers Pharmacy Technicians Fastest Declining Occup. in NC (Total Change in Positions Projected from 2008 - 2018) -4210 -3730 -3490 -2610 -2140 -1690 -1630 -1610 -1550 -1490 -1460 -1460 -870 -820 -780 -720 -710 -700 -690 Sewing Machine Operators Textile Winding, Twisting, and Drawing Out Machine Setters, Ope Textile Knitting and Weaving Machine Setters, Operators, and Ten First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Production and Operating W Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers Machine Feeders and Offbearers Shipping, Receiving, and Traffic Clerks Textile Bleaching and Dyeing Machine Operators and Tenders Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Computer Programmers Packers and Packagers, Hand Order Clerks Helpers--Production Workers Computer Operators Industrial Production Managers File Clerks Data Entry Keyers General and Operations Managers Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners Fastest Declining Occup. in USA (Total Change in Positions Projected from 2010 - 2020) -96,100 -68,900 -42,100 -38,100 -33,200 -31,600 -19,100 -15,900 -13,200 -13,000 -12,400 -12,400 -11,500 -10,600 -10,400 Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine O Sewing Machine Operators Postal Service Mail Carriers Switchboard Operators, Including Answering Service Postal Service Clerks Cooks, Fast Food Data Entry Keyers Word Processors and Typists Textile Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Electrical, Electronics, and Electromechanical Assemblers Miscellaneous Plant and System Operators Door-to-Door Sales Workers, News and Street Vendors, and Relate Food Service Managers Electrical and Electronic Equipment Assemblers Begin with the end in mind. Does education prepare for a career, or the next level of education? Who’s Writing the Curriculum? • Educators? (state, county, school) • Business Persons? • Politicians? What are we preparing students for? • More Education? • Entry-level Career? • Life? • • • • • • • HS Diploma 2-year Certificate Associate Degree Bachelor Degree Master Degree Doctoral Degree Professional Degree Vs • • • • • • • • • CompTIA ServSafe ProStart CNA ASE NCCER NIMS PrintEd AWS Educational Testing Service, 2006 Surprises Future Demand Changing World www.ctpnc.org/presentations Upsetting the Projection Data • Recession • Natural Disasters • Immigration • Automation / Technology • Job relocation • Elections North Carolina’s Workforce Challenges • 4. Dislocated or young workers in economically hard-hit micropolitan and rural areas have very limited alternatives for employment. • 5. Seeking good-paying jobs, more workers must increase their skills by accessing and completing education beyond high school or by earning industry-recognized credentials. • 6. The recession slowed baby boomer retirements, but the impact is likely to be felt first and greatest in micropolitan and rural areas where more workers are near-retirement age. North Carolina Must Consider 1. …ensuring that students enroll in educational programs that teach the right skills… 2. …linking the curriculum offered and industry needs… 3. …and integrating work-relevant learning into the academic experience. 4. …guiding students more effectively in their career planning… 5. …good job opportunities go unfilled for lack of available workers. The New Economy • New manufacturing jobs require workers with more advanced levels of training and education. • In many of these instances, however, workers entering these industries will be asked to perform different tasks and possess different skills than the workers who are leaving those industries. Science, technology, engineering and math (STEM) occupations • A common theme among high growth occupations is that they increasingly require mastery of STEM skills. • Jobs that extensively require these skills are often considered “mission critical” – meaning that companies build their competitive advantage on the talents of people in these occupations and that companies risk losing customers or market share if they do not have this talent readily available or if the workers who occupy these positions have obsolete skills. Postsecondary Completion • Community colleges represent a critical, more financiallyaccessible resource for preparing and training the next generation of the workforce, both initially – through assisting displaced or at-risk workers obtain a high school diploma or pass the general educational development (GED) exam – and through lifelong learning. Programs of Study • The key concern among many policymakers is whether the programs of study offered at the state’s colleges and universities were relevant to business. • Educational institutions must continue to expand the supply of workers with in-demand skills, particularly STEM-related skills. • Furthermore, continuous change in industry demand suggests that the curriculum in postsecondary institutions at the universities as well as the community colleges should prepare workers to learn and adapt in a dynamic economic environment, emphasizing STEM. We Must Consider Policies Aimed At: • Engaging education at all levels more actively in the state's future prosperity by ensuring that students enroll in educational programs that teach the right skills, linking the curriculum offered and industry needs, and integrating workrelevant learning into the academic experience. • Ensuring greater employment stability through earned postsecondary education or learned adaptable skills by guiding students more effectively in their career planning and addressing the substantial education or training gap that must be met for low-skilled jobseekers or workers to compete for good-paying jobs. Final Thoughts • A high school diploma alone will no longer offer even a remote pathway for future success. • For most, the pre-requisites to achieve middle class status is the “new middle” job’s post-secondary credential – often a two-year associate degree at minimum –sometimes combined with an industry credential and/or a four year degree. Economic Development Targets Piedmont Triad Partnership • Aviation & Aerospace • Automotive • Plastics • Data Centers • Healthcare (incl. Biotech) • Logistics & Distribution • Finance & Insurance • Arts & Tourism • Food processing • Furnishings Economic Development Targets Research Triangle Regional Partnership • • • • • • • • • • • Pharmaceuticals Informatics Agricultural Biotechnology Pervasive Computing Advanced Medical Care Analytical Instrumentation Nanoscale Technologies Clean/Green Technology Defense Technologies Interactive gaming and E-learning Biological Agents / Infectious Diseases Economic Development Targets North Carolina’s Northeast Commission • Agricultural Biotechnology • Automotive • Aviation/Aerospace • Marine • Renewable Energy • Basic Health Services Economic Development Targets AdvantageWest • Advanced Manufacturing • Entrepreneurial Development • Green Energy and Products • Health & Life Sciences • Distribution & Logistics • Digital Media • Data Centers • Agribusiness • Film Economic Development Targets Charlotte Regional Partnership • Health & Life Sciences (Biotech) • Defense & Security • Energy & Environment • Financial Services & Insurance • Motorsports Economic Development Targets North Carolina’s Southeast Commission • Distribution & Logistics • Military Contractors • Biotechnology • Alternative Energy • Boat Building • Building Products • Agribusiness & Food Processing • Metal Working Economic Development Targets North Carolina’s Eastern Region • Marine Trades • Defense/Aerospace • Value-added Agriculture • Life Sciences • Advanced Manufacturing • Tourism NC Strategic Industry Clusters • Aviation and aerospace • Distribution and logistics • Food manufacturing • Life sciences and biotechnology • Energy and the green economy xx xx xx xx We are currently preparing students for jobs that don’t yet exist … … using technologies that haven’t yet been invented … … in order to solve problems we don’t even know are problems yet. Who predicted these? • • • • • • • • • Cell phones for everyone iPads, Kindles Smart phones iPod - portable music and videos Hand-held GPS Text messaging Blogs, Twitter MySpace, FaceBook Wikipedia, YouTube Old technologies making a comeback • Vegetable powered-Diesel engines • Wind power • Rain barrels • Recycling building materials • Biofuel (Moonshine) If we really want to prepare our students for successful careers, we need to know all we can about the rapidly changing job market. C. Droessler Economic Epochs • Agricultural economy (school calendar) • Industrial economy (bell schedule) • Postindustrial economy – Service economy – Information economy – Knowledge economy – Digital economy Workplace Professionalism • Punctuality, courtesy, and manners are among the qualities many employers see as having fallen through the cracks between the Baby Boomer generation and succeeding ones. Basic Knowledge Skills • • • • • • • • • English Language (spoken) Reading Comprehension (in English) Writing in English (grammar, spelling, etc.) Mathematics Science Government/Economics Humanities/Arts Foreign Languages History/Geography Applied Skills • • • • • • • • • • • Critical Thinking, Problem Solving Bloom's Taxonomy Oral Communications Written Communications Teamwork, Collaboration Creating Diversity Evaluating Information Technology Application Analyzing Leadership Applying Creativity, Innovation Lifelong Learning, Self Understanding Direction Professionalism, Work Ethic Remembering Ethics, Social Responsibility When funds are short we cut… • Art, Music, Dance, Theater, Computers, Athletics, Career and Technical Education • These are the programs where students are asked to apply the skills they learn in core courses • Electives are now essentials !! "Content matters, but we need to pare down the curriculum and leave room for more application," said Tony Wagner, an author and co- director of the Change Leadership Group at the Harvard Graduate School of Education. "The world doesn't care what you know. The world cares what you can do with what you know." Who’s Writing the Curriculum? • Educators? • Business Persons? • Politicians? What are we preparing students for? • More Education? • Entry-Level Career? • Life? 21 Things that will be Obsolete by 2020 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. Desks Language Labs Computers Homework The Role of Standardized Tests in College Admissions Differentiated Instruction as a Sign of Distinguished Teacher Fear of Wikipedia Paperbacks Attendance Offices Lockers I.T. Departments Centralized Institutions Organization of Educational Services by Grade Education Schools that fail to Integrate Technology Paid/Outsourced Professional Development Current Curricular Norms Parent-teacher Conference Night Typical Cafeteria Food Myth # 1 • All of the manufacturing is moving from NC to China. NC Board of Education Mission Every public school student will graduate from high school, globally competitive for work and postsecondary education and prepared for life in the 21st Century. What is the Purpose of School? • Learning how to sit in rows. • Learning how to get up and move en masse at the sound of a bell. • Learning how to stay in place for 40-minute increments. • Learning how to override your bodily functions. • Learning how to answer the questions that the person standing in front of the room already knows the answer to. • It’s a training ground for behavioral management. • It’s the place where kids go to watch adults work really hard! The 10 key skills for the future of work • • • • • • • • • • Sense-making Social intelligence Novel and adaptive thinking Cross-cultural competency Computational thinking New-media literacy Transdisciplinarity Design mind-set Cognitive load management Virtual collaboration The Career Planning Process 1. Assessments! Skill and interest inventories. 2. Do your homework! Research all careers. 3. Get out there! Job shadowing, internship, etc. 4. Talk to adults! Find out what they do. 5. Pick a career! An entry-level position. 6. Start a plan! Schooling, certification, background checks, or other requirements. 7. Choose elective classes based on career plan. 8. What’s next? What does it take to get to the next level? Four-Year High School Plan Goal is high school graduation Reviewed by parents, counselor vs Ten-Year Education/Career Plan “Where do you want to be at age 25?” Goal is successful entry into the workplace Reviewed by parents, counselor, and future employers Our Mission Help our students find the right career: • High demand occupations in growing industries • ROI - Education vs. Salary • Jobs with potential for advancement • Future-proof occupations • Transferable skills • Job satisfaction Questions before I conclude? Chris Droessler College Tech Prep Consultant NC Department of Public Instruction Chris.Droessler@dpi.nc.gov Our Mission Help our students find the right career: • High demand occupations in growing industries • ROI - Education vs. Salary • Jobs with potential for advancement • Future-proof occupations • Transferable skills • Job satisfaction Everybody’s Working For The Weekend (Loverboy) Take This Job And Shove It (Johnny Paycheck) Rainy Days And Mondays Always Get Me Down (Carpenters) I Don’t Like Mondays (Boomtown Rats) Don’t Talk To Me About Work (Lou Reed ) The Work Song (Billy Squier) Goin’ To Work (Martina McBride ) Off To Work (Chicago) I’ve Been Working On The Railroad (John Denver) I Don’t Wanna Work That Hard (Blaine Larsen) Seven Day Weekend (Abc) The Weekend Song (Alanis Morissette) Living For The Weekend (Hard-Fi) Passion and Purpose •Thriving in your work, not just surviving. •Leaving the world a little better off because you cared to make a difference in your work. •Helping students discover their passion and then helping them turn that passion into an educational pathway that will lead to a rewarding career. Passion and Purpose Help students discover their passion, then help them get on a pathway where they can turn that passion into a career. CLD Thanks for listening! Chris Droessler College Tech Prep Consultant NC Department of Public Instruction Chris.Droessler@dpi.nc.gov Confucius Said . . . “I hear and I forget. I see and I remember. I do and I understand.” (Confucius, 500 BC)