Indonesian Energy Overview Beijing, 2007 Outline Indonesia: A Brief Introduction Energy Demand & Supply Current National Energy Policies and Plans Issues on Energy and the Environment Nuclear Development Status Indonesia: A Brief Introduction Maluku Kalimantan Sumatra Sulawesi Papua Java Nusa Tenggara Indonesia Energy Supply (1) Oil Reserves (As of January 1st, 2006) Natuna 114 54 141 Maluku 986 4,692 Kalimantan Sumatra 69 Sulawesi 149 61 875 97 Papua 23 720 Java 947 Nusa Tenggara Proven : 4,370 MMSTB Potential : 4,558 MMSTB Total : 8,929 MMSTB Source: DGOG, 2007 Indonesia Energy Supply (2) Gas Reserves Natuna (As of January 1st, 2006) 4.57 53.57 1.38 Maluku 45.40 7.83 Kalimantan Sumatra 3.92 Sulawesi 2.37 24.30 24.47 0.006 Papua 0.79 6.04 Java 6.20 Nusa Tenggara 6.30 Proven : 93.95 TSCF Potential : 93.14 TSCF Total : 187.09 TSCF Source: DGOG, 2007 Indonesia Energy Supply (3) Coal Reserves (As of January 1st, 2006) Maluku Kalimantan Sumatra 4,809 Sulawesi 4,671 Papua Java Nusa Tenggara Proven : 5,300 Million ton Potential : 4,180 Million ton Total : 9,480 Million ton Non-Fossil Resources Resources Equivalent Value Existing Utilization Hydro 845.00 juta BOE 75.67 GW 4.2 GW Geothermal 219.00 juta BOE 27.00 GW 0.8 GW 0.45 GW 0.45 GW 0.084 GW 49.81 GW 49.81 GW 0.3 GW Solar - 4.80 kWh/m2/day 0.008 GW Wind 9.29 GW 9.29 GW 0.0005 GW 24.112 ton* e.q. 3 GW for 11 years - - Types Mini/Micro Hydro Biomass Uranium * Resources only exist in Kalan region – West Kalimantan Source: Presentaion of MEMR, 2007 Uranium Resource Potentials Oil Supply & Demand 450 (Million BOE) 400 350 300 250 200 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Supply 1998 1999 Demand 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Natural Gas Supply & Demand 600 550 (Million BOE) 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Supply 1998 1999 Demand 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Coal Supply & Demand 250 (Million BOE) 200 150 100 50 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Supply 1998 1999 Demand 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Indonesia Energy Demand: Final byTypes 1,000 900 800 (Million BOE) 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Coal 1995 Oil Fuels 1996 1997 Natural Gas 1998 Electricity 1999 LPG 2000 2001 Biomass 2002 2003 2004 2005 Indonesia Energy Demand: Final by Sector 1,000 900 800 (Million BOE) 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Industry 1995 1996 1997 Households & Commercial 1998 1999 2000 Transportation 2001 Others 2002 2003 2004 2005 Final Energy Supply & Demand Electricity Oil Refineries Natural gas transmission & distribution Electricity Supply & Demand 35,000 120 100 25,000 80 20,000 60 15,000 40 10,000 20 5,000 0 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 Capacity 1997 1998 1999 Consumption 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Electricity Consumption (TWh) Electricity Capacity (MW) 30,000 Oil Fuels Supply & Demand 450 400 350 (Million BOE) 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 Production 1997 1998 Import 1999 2000 2001 Consumption 2002 2003 2004 2005 Oil Refineries & Transportation Natural Gas Infrastructure Natuna Maluku Kalimantan Sumatra Sulawesi Papua Java LNG Plant LNG Plant (under construction) Nusa Tenggara Trans ASEAN Power Grid Trans ASEAN Gas Pipeline National Energy Policies Types Energy Coal Oil Natural Gas Laws Road Map / Blueprints National Energy Policy (Presidential Decree 5/2006) Law 30/2007 on Energy 10 August 2007 Blueprint of National Energy Industry 2005* National Coal Policy (MEMR Decree 1128/2004) Draft Law on Mineral and Coal Roadmap for Coal and Mineral Presidential Instruction 2/2006 on Coal Liquefaction as Alternative Fuel National Oil and Gas Policy (Draft RUPPN 23 August 2006) Law 22/2001on Oil and Gas 23 November 2001 Upstream Downstream Blueprint of Development and Utilization of National Natural Gas Implementing regulations of Law 22/2001 Renewable Energy Included in Law 30/2007 on Energy Geothermal Geothermal Policy Electricity Other References Roadmap Green Energy Policy on Renewable Energy and Energy Conservation (MEMR Decree 2 January 2004) Nuclear * Policy Paper Blueprint of Biofuel Development for Alleviation of Poverty & Unemployment December 2006 Presidential Instruction 1/2006 on Biofuel as Alternative Fuel Law 27/2003 on Geothermal 22 October 2003 Blueprint of Development and Utilization of Geothermal Energy Draft implementing regulations Nuclear Policy Law 10/1997 on Nuclear Energy Roadmap for Nuclear Energy Power Sector Restructuring Policy 25 August 1988 Law 15/1985 & Draft Law on Electricity National General Plan on Electricity (RUKN) (MEMR Decree 2270/ 2006) General Plan on Electricity Development by State Electricity Utility Company (last revision: 2006) : Under preparation Includes roadmap for brown coal liquefaction, geothermal, wind, nuclear, biodiesel technology, gasohol, bio oil, solar, fuel cell National Energy Plan Energy Mix 2005 Hydro 3% Coal 15% Natural Gas 29% Geothermal 1% Oils 52% Energy Mix 2025 (BAU Scenario) Energy Mix 2025 (National Energy Policy 2006) Hydro 2% Coal 33% Geothermal 1% Bio-fuels 5% Coal 35% Oils 41% RE 17% OPTIMIZATION Geothermal 5% Biomass, Nuclear, Hydro, Solar, Wind 5% Natural Gas 30% Coal liquifaction 2% Natural Gas 21% Source: National Energy Policy, 2006 Oils 20% Issues on Energy and the Environment 350 12.0 % 7,000 6,000 250 5,000 (MtCO2e) Million Metric Tonnes of CO2 300 10.0 % 4,000 3,000 2,000 8.0 % 1,000 200 0 -1,000 AS Cina Energy Indonesia Brazil Agriculture Rusia Forestry India Waste 6.0 % 150 4.0 % 100 2.0 % 50 0 0.0 % 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Total CO2 emission from energy utilization Ratio between CO2 emission from energy utilization and total CO2 emission (incl. LULUCF) Nuclear Development Status § § Updates on the road map: § The plan on nuclear development option is part of PEN 2005 § Socialization is still in progress until now § The rest of the plan is consequently delayed, but GOI still tries to push the decision by the end of 2007 § Resistency from the public: § Local community protests § Decree of the NU moslem leaders: disadvantages of nuclear power overshadowed its benefits. Remarks on Nuclear Development IIEE’s estimates up to 2016 around 7,000 MW of coal steam (6 Electricity demand growth: 6 - 7 % p.a Supply capacity: PLN : coal power plants acceleration program IPP : Geothermal (470 MW addition) Existing system capacity (incld. Gas PPs) Reserve margin will be 36% in 2015 Supply from nuclear power isn’t necessary system perfomance will be deteriorated due to execessive reserve margin and decrease of the overall capacity factor. ENERGI (FINAL) INDONESIA 2006 dan 2010 Sektor Rumah Tangga dan Komersial 2006 Sektor Rumah Tangga dan Komersial 2010 BBM 28.1% Batubara (Briket) 0.1% BBM 53.1% Biofuel (Biooil) 0.0% BBG (Tabung) 1.5% Batubara (Briket) 1.2% Biofuel (Biooil) 3.7% BBG (Pipa) 6.4% BBG (Tabung) 0.0% BBG (Pipa) 0.1% LPG 19.0% Listrik 36.1% Listrik 40.1% LPG 10.6% Sektor Transportasi 2006 Biofuel (BioDiesel) 0.0% Biofuel (Bio-Oil) 0.0% BBG (Pipa) 0.0% Sektor Transportasi 2010 Biofuel (Bio- Biofuel (BioEtanol) Diesel) 7.6% 0.4% Biofuel (Bio-Oil) 1.9% Listrik 0.0% BBG (Pipa) 1.4% Biofuel (BioEtanol) 0.0% Listrik 0.0% BBM (Minyak Solar) 45.9% BBM (Minyak Solar) 42.3% BBM (Premium) 54.0% BBM (Premium) 46.5% ENERGI (FINAL) INDONESIA 2006 dan 2010 (Lanjutan) Sektor Industri 2006 Gas 19.6% Sektor Industri 2010 Listrik 13.1% Gas 20,4% Listrik 12,4% BBM 27,8% Batubara 22.5% BBM 43.8% Batubara 34,9% LPG 1.1% LPG 1,4% Sektor Pembangkit Listrik 2006 Gas 14.3% Sektor Pembangkit Listrik 2010 BBM 23.7% Biofuel 0.9% Batubara-Hybrid 0.0% Biofuel 3,1% Batubara-Hybrid 2.2% Batubara 71.4% Gas 8.3% Panas Bumi 5.3% BBM 2.7% Biofuel 0.8% Hydro 9.6% Batubara 46.2% Hydro 7.8% Panas Bumi 6.8% THANKS YOU Development of New & Renewable Energy Source Rumah Tangga dan komersial Transportasi Industri Pembangkit Listrik BBG √ √ √ √ LPG √ √ √ – Batubara √ – √ √ Briket √ – √ – Gas Batubara √ √ √ √ Batubara Cair – √ √ √ Bio-Etanol – √ – – Bio-Diesel – √ – – Bio-Oil √ √ – √ • Panas Bumi √ – √ √ Biomassa √ – – √ Nuklir – – – √ Air – – – √ Surya √ √ – √ Angin – – – √ CBM √ √ √ √ Hidrogen / Fuel Cell – √ – √ Oil Shale – √ √ √ Biogenic Gas √ – – √ Jenis Bahan Bakar • Gas • Batubara • Biofuel • EBT Lain