Jerome Verny - TransBaltic

Transbaltic conference 2010
The new geography of freight flows in the Baltic Sea Region
Container shipping
on the Northern Sea Route
Jerome VERNY
Associate Professor (transport/logistics)
Rouen Business School, France
Principal international commercial maritime routes
Asia-Europe Market
• Containerized freight transported on shipping lanes =
21.6 million TEU in 2008 (30% of containerized freight
transported on shipping lanes all over the globe)
 Annual growth rate of 5-6 % between 2008 and 2015
 Annual growth rate of 24 % between 2015 and 2030
(source : HWWI)
Limitations of the transport supply
• While the capacity of ports and ships can be improved,…
• …the Royal Road will soon reach its limits.
 Changes in the spatial distribution of freight flows must
be envisaged
Some international commercial routes
The Northern Sea Route and the Royal Route
Pertinence and feasibility of container transport
along the NSR
- Global warning and progressive lifting of technical
constraints on navigation
- New geography of places and flows
- Feasibility from a cost standpoint.
Discussion: NSR and opportunities
for the Baltic Sea Region
-Future orientation of the transport and
function of the Baltic Sea Region in
serving internal and intercontinental
-Impact on the transport patterns in the
Baltic Sea Region?
-Connectivity and accessibility of the
territories around the Baltic Sea?
Thank you for your attention
For more informations :
Verny, J. & Grigentin, C., 2009. Container shipping on the
Northern Sea Route, International Journal of Production
Economics, 122 (1), 107-117
Jerome VERNY
International young researcher award, 2009
(OECD-ITF, International Transport Forum)
. Associate Professor (transport/logistics), RBS, France
. Founder and CEO, OPAL Conseil
Regional development, Operations and Supply Chain Management consulting firm
Research interests:
. Economic and transport geography
. Geographical economics
Current projects:
. European Transport Policy, sustainable development and regional development
(the decoupling between freight transport and economic growth)
. Transport and globalization (Northern Sea Route, Sea-Air transport)