Transbaltic conference 2010
The new geography of freight flows in the Baltic Sea Region
Container shipping
on the Northern Sea Route
Jerome VERNY
Associate Professor (transport/logistics)
Rouen Business School, France
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Principal international commercial maritime routes
Asia-Europe Market
• Containerized freight transported on shipping lanes =
21.6 million TEU in 2008 (30% of containerized freight
transported on shipping lanes all over the globe)
 Annual growth rate of 5-6 % between 2008 and 2015
 Annual growth rate of 24 % between 2015 and 2030
(source : HWWI)
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jerome.verny@rouenbs.fr
Limitations of the transport supply
• While the capacity of ports and ships can be improved,…
• …the Royal Road will soon reach its limits.
 Changes in the spatial distribution of freight flows must
be envisaged
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jerome.verny@rouenbs.fr
Some international commercial routes
The Northern Sea Route and the Royal Route
Pertinence and feasibility of container transport
along the NSR
- Global warning and progressive lifting of technical
constraints on navigation
- New geography of places and flows
- Feasibility from a cost standpoint.
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jerome.verny@rouenbs.fr
Discussion: NSR and opportunities
for the Baltic Sea Region
Questions:
-Future orientation of the transport and
function of the Baltic Sea Region in
serving internal and intercontinental
flows?
-Impact on the transport patterns in the
Baltic Sea Region?
-Connectivity and accessibility of the
territories around the Baltic Sea?
Thank you for your attention
For more informations :
Verny, J. & Grigentin, C., 2009. Container shipping on the
Northern Sea Route, International Journal of Production
Economics, 122 (1), 107-117
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jerome.verny@rouenbs.fr
Jerome VERNY
International young researcher award, 2009
(OECD-ITF, International Transport Forum)
. Associate Professor (transport/logistics), RBS, France
. Founder and CEO, OPAL Conseil
Regional development, Operations and Supply Chain Management consulting firm
Research interests:
. Economic and transport geography
. Geographical economics
Current projects:
. European Transport Policy, sustainable development and regional development
(the decoupling between freight transport and economic growth)
. Transport and globalization (Northern Sea Route, Sea-Air transport)
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jerome.verny@rouenbs.fr