FRST 532
COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEM, GLOBAL CHANGE
SCIENCE AND ECOLOGICAL SUSTAINABILITY
ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT: STRATEGIES FOR
COPING WITH CHANGE AND UNCERTAINTY
J. BRIAN NYBERG
OUTLINE
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Definition
Goals
Adaptive Management Process
Key points
Question
The world is changing,
Many uncertainties, continual
changes in societal and
environmental values
WE ALSO…
ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT IS ONE WAY
TO COPE WITH THIS CHANGING WORLD
BUT WHAT IS
ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT ?
DEFINITION
ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT is a process for improving policies
and practices by managing system( ecological, administrative
and other) so as to produce desired outputs and learn about
the systems’ dynamics and responses.
 it is also a systematic management paradigm that assumes
natural resource management policies and actions are not
static, but are adjusted based on the combination of new
scientific and socio-economic information.
Adaptive management is widely recommended as a valuable
method for managing resources in the face of change and
uncertainty.
-Forest Management
-Water Management
-wildlife Management
-Environmental impact Management…
Uncertainty is always present in natural resource management
An integrative approach with a focus on
System
Analysis
ADAPTIVE
MANAGEMENT
GOAL
Inform managers of the probable consequences of decisions
they will make in the future,
so management programs will be more likely to achieve
society’s goals and objectives.
PROCESS
Assess the problem:
management objectives, indicatorsof success, options for action,
assumptions, key uncertainties, alternative hypotheses
Design:
Design actions to test hypotheses; predict outcomes based on
current knowledge
Implement:
Implement the actions as designed
Monitor:
Monitor implementation (is there any deviation from the
design?) and effectiveness (were the objectives achieved?)
Evaluate:
Evaluate outcomes and learn : which actions were
most effective, and which hypotheses to accept / reject?
Adjust:
Adjust future decision ; revise uncertainties
and hypotheses and repeat; share what has been learned
KEY POINTS, 1
 ADAPTIVE
MANAGEMENT
ACKNOWLEDGES
UNCERTAINTY ABOUT HOW NATURAL RESOURCE
SYSTEM FUNCTION AND HOW THEY RESPOND TO
MANAGEMENT ACTION.
KEY POINTS, 2
 ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT IS DESIGNED TO IMPROVE
UNDERSTANDING OF HOW A RESOURCE SYSTEM
WORKS,
SO
AS
TO
ACHIEVE
MANAGEMENT
OBJECTIVES.
KEY POINTS, 3
 ADAPTIVE
MANAGEMENT
MAKES
USE
OF
MANAGEMENT
INTERVENTIONS
AND
FOLLOWUP
MONITORING TO PROMOTE UNDERSTANDING AND
IMPROVE SUBSEQUENT DECISION MAKING.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T9xm3cUsY7k
14minutes video on Adaptive Management
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THANK YOU…
QUESTIONS
DO ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT IS SUFFICIENT TO COPE
WITH THE CHANGING WORLD AND ITS UNCERTAINTIES
GIVING THE FACT THAT HUMANS PHILOSOPHY ….?