Autonomous Haulage Trucks - the new way to mine John A. Meech University of British Columbia The Norman B. Keevil Institute for Mining Engineering The Centre for Environmental Research in Minerals, Metals, and Materials Vancouver, British Columbia, V6T 1Z4 "…only 10-15% of mine sites currently 'leverage technology well'...what we’re moving...toward ...with...autonomy is a factory-type environment, ...and that’s going to require...a more clinical and more managed environment. If you look at a [fully-automated] factory,...they are very sterile, very structured environments. If you have robots operating ...the floor can’t be dirty, it can’t be scattered with empty boxes... " - Carl Hendricks, CAT Mining Solutions Region Manager for Australia "A haul road in a modern mine running autonomy …[has] ...the same issues. You can’t have poorly constructed… roads ...Some [automation] ...we use is sensitive to dust ...[which will]...cause the vehicle to sense...an obstacle...that really isn’t there. [T]hat’s going to hinder operation of the machine. There... [must]...be a new level of discipline in how we maintain that environment – just like a factory. These are...things...we should be doing,...the sorts of the things...modern processing plants do. They maintain their environment and operate with rigour." - Carl Hendricks, CAT Mining Solutions Region Manager for Australia Outline • • • • • • • Automation and Sustainability The "New" Mining Engineer Autonomous Open Pit Haulage Systems (AHS) Who is in the Game? Goals (safety, fuel use, tire wear, productivity) ETF Trucks Modeling AHS Motivation behind Automation Safety (removal of people from danger) Lack of skilled personnel (training costs) Loss of equipment and availability Decreased energy use (fuel savings) Decreased wear, maintenance, and replacement Increased productivity More consistent operations Mining Truck Accidents Somewhere in the World every year at least two to three truck drivers are killed because of an accident from human error. Automation of Mining Operations Batch versus Continuous (start-up/shut-down more relevant) Disturbances (environment, nature, human) Maintenance Issues Key Performance Indicators Supervisory Control vs. Autonomous Control Data and Process Integration ("Big" Data) Batch Processes in Mining Drilling Loading Explosives Blasting Digging Loading Ore/Waste Maintenance Hauling Ore/Waste Returning Empty Dumping Ore/Waste Disturbances Weather (rain, snow, mud, dust, wind, heat) Equipment failures (breakdowns, accidents) Maintenance issues (scheduled vs. failure) Ground conditions (diggability, sticky ore, rocks) Geology (hardness, rock size, mineralogy) Human breaks (shift changes, coffee/lunch) Driving behaviour (passive, normal, aggressive) The "New" Mining Engineer Fuzzy Logic Control of a 1/10 scale Autonomous Vehicle http://www.jmeech.mining.ubc.ca/Mine432/eight_track.wmv The "New" Mining Engineer • Understands the role of Automation – Enhance workplace safety – Reduce fuel use, GHG emissions, and tire wear – Increase life cycle time of mining equipment – Stabilize and Optimize (improve) – Improve production and productivity – Reduce haulage costs appreciable DARPA Grand and Urban Challenges • 2004 and 2005 – Mojave Desert • 2007 - Victorville • Vehicles drove autonomously http://www.jmeech.mining.ubc.ca/Mine432/DPG_highlights1.wmv Komatsu's AHS at the Gaby Mine, Chile www.youtube.com/watch?v=fsuRTvK3Nik Basic Requirements • Localization – where am I? • Navigation – where do I want to go? • Obstacle Avoidance – what is in my path? • Condition Monitoring – how is my health? Komatsu – VHMS >>> KOMTRAX Komatsu/Modular Mining Approach IEEE 802.11 n , ac , ad WLAN Computer hardware on-board Central data processing system Supervisory Software Modular Mining Systems Front Runner Modular Mining’s DISPATCH® fleet management system and MASTERLINK® communication system Caterpillar's Approach IEEE 802.11 n , ac , ad WLAN Computer hardware on-board Central data processing system Supervisory Software COMMAND for hauling CAT’s MineStar System Sensors – Localization and Navigation IEEE 802.11 Communication network Sensors for • Navigation >>> GPS and Radar • Object- Avoidance GPS accurate to 10 cm (D-GPS) Sensors – Object Recognition and Avoidance IEEE 802.11 Communication network Sensors for • Navigation • Object- Avoidance >>> Radar and LIDAR Radar range to 80 m • Front LIDAR range to 20 m • Sides and Rear mm-wave Radar Obstacle Detection System Sensors – Object Recognition and Avoidance IEEE 802.11 Communication network Sensors for • Navigation • Object- Avoidance >>> Radar and LIDAR Radar range to 80 m • Front LIDAR range to 20 m • Sides and Rear IBEO and SICK scanning laser instruments Sensors – Object Recognition and Avoidance IEEE 802.11 Communication network Sensors for • Navigation • Object- Avoidance >>> Radar and LIDAR Radar range to 80 m • Front LIDAR range to 20 m • Sides and Rear CAT’s Radar and LIDAR-based Obstacle Detection System Obstacle Detection - System Reliability Reliability Actually Present Not Present Detected 100 1-5 Nothing Detected 0 95-99 ^ ^ Goal << Measure of Success Elements of an Autonomous Haulage System Additional Sensors • • • • • • Wheel Speed Steering Angle Road Edge Guidance Lasers Payload Monitoring Tire Temperatures (embedded in tread) Status Lights Requirements for Success • A Project Champion is essential at the highest levels • Long-term organization commitment based on benefits • Significant workplace culture change is needed • Revolutionary vs. Evolutionary • Small steps better than one large step • Develop new core competencies first • Engage with workforce personnel • Replace labour by attrition and promotion • Build-in system redundancies Implementation of a Successful Project Manual Moonshot KPI (core) 0 % Autonomous Robotic KPI (core) 100 Implementation of a Successful Project Manual ‘Baby’ steps KPI (core) 0 % Autonomous Robotic KPI (core) 100 Implementation of a Successful Project Manual Robotic KPI (core) KPI (core) ? 0 % Autonomous 100 Implementation of a Successful Project • KPIs may decrease initially until full adaptation • Which plan is best? 1. Replace MHS with AHS in one step – no interaction 2. Isolate AHS from MHS : Separate routes, staged introduction 3. Integrate AHS with MHS: Significant safety concerns • Safety concerns require careful design and planning • Is a back-up or fall-back system necessary or desired? Develop Core Competencies • • • • • • • • Process Control fundamentals Understanding control stability Supervisory control hierarchies Software algorithms Artificial Intelligence methods Managing large databases Sensor knowledge and maintenance Remote operation of equipment Change Management Requirements • Mine Personnel Issues – Truck Drivers >>> Hardware/Software Maintenance – Introduce AHS with all affected personnel involved – Humans in-the-loop must be accounted for • Machine Issues – Monitoring health of sensors on regular basis – Soft-sensors to confirm operational effectiveness – Data Collection to integrate into planning/scheduling Change Management Requirements • Mine Management Issues – Must be on-side with all decisions about the changes – New safety/traffic rules required (some are positive) – More maintenance / less operational activities – Drilling and Blasting practices must change • Headquarter Issues – Move to Central Control must be done with care – Initial focus on integrating massive data collections – Decisions must support local mine site personnel Who is in the Game? Mines using AHS Codelco Radomiro Tomic, Chile Komatsu Cu 2005 Codelco Gabriela Mistral, Chile Komatsu Cu 2008 Rio Tinto West Angelas, Australia Komatsu Fe 2010 BHP-Billiton Navajo Coal, NM, USA CAT coal 2012 BHP-Billiton Jimblebar mine, Australia CAT Fe 2013 Fortescue Solomon mine, Australia CAT Fe 2013 Stanwell Meandu mine, Australia Hitachi coal 2014 Komatsu – Codelco Radomiro Tomic mine - 2004 Komatsu – Codelco Radomiro Tomic mine - 2005 Komatsu – Codelco • • • • • • • In 2006: 5 AHS 930E trucks; 32,000 tpd; 256 days Mechanical Availability: > 90% Cost per tonne reduced from $1.36 to $0.50 Est. maintenance reduction: 7% Est. depreciation reduction: 3% Gaby mine AHS trucks: 2008 – 11 2012 – 18 Safety issues (accidents): 2006 – 0 2007 – 2 Komatsu – Codelco • • • • AHS trucks operate in an "electronic bubble" Each truck is aware of all other machines on site Unknown machine in AHS area causes shutdown Navigation is a hybrid of – High-precision GPS, and – Dead-reckoning IMU (accelerometers/gyroscopes) Komatsu – Codelco • Change how mine operations are planned & implemented • Must consider all vehicles, not only AHS trucks • Complexity increases exponentially with number of trucks "There are hardware restrictions...Information exchanged between trucks and central control is enormous. At Gaby, 11 trucks and 30 pieces of equipment...limit...information transfer." – Jeffery Dawes, Komatsu Chile Komatsu – Rio Tinto • Rio’s “Mine of the Future” concept • Began in 2008 at West Angelas Mine, Australia • First 24 months – 42,000,000 tonnes – 145,000 cycles (290 t) – Short haul distance ~1.5 km • 5 trucks – 25 min. cycles • Ave. Velocities (initial trial): – Loaded = 7-10 kph – Empty = 14-18 kph Rio Tinto's Mine of the Future – the Future is NOW! Caterpillar - BHP-Billiton • Joint venture at 2 mines since 2007 – Mt. Keith Nickel Mine in Australia – Navajo Coal Mine in New Mexico • • • • Initial 2 truck trial in Arizona and at Mt. Keith - 2010 Planned a staged implementation from 5 > 55 > 150 Plan was adjusted after 2008 Financial Crisis Planning an Integrated Remote Operations Centre (IROC) in Perth to schedule/plan/control Pilbara mines http://milltongroup.blogspot.ca/2011/09/bhp-plans-autonomous-mining-operation.html Caterpillar - Fortescue • MOU with Fortesque and WesTrac in 2011 – Solomon Iron Ore Mine in Australia • CAT MineStarTM system & Command for hauling • Initial fleet - 12 AHS 793F trucks – 2012 • At full capacity, 45 AHS trucks by 2015 http://www.miningmagazine.com/reports/cat-signs-haul-truck-deal-with-fmg European Truck Factory – the next step? • Decoupling Maintenance from Operation • 95% Mechanical Availability http://www.etftrucks.eu ETF MT-240 Truck - Haul Trains ETF MT-240 Truck on Empty Haul ETF MT-240 Truck Turning Circle ETF MT-240 – Oscillating Axle Advantage ETF MT-240 – Stability on Rough Roads ETF MT-240 – Simultaneous Tipping ETF MT-240 – Engine Change-out (15 min.) ETF MT-240 – Axle swap-out (45 min.) ETF MT-240 – tire change (15 min.) ETF MT-240 – decreased tire scrubbing Conventional 240 t truck ETF 240 t truck ETF MT-240 –tire size comparison ETF Haulage Truck Capacities Modeling Open Pit Haulage Operations Key Performance Indicators – KPIs – – – – – – – – – Production per day per truck per month Fuel Use per hour per km per tonne Tire Wear per hr per km per tonne Cycle Time increased/decreased Truck Speeds Increased/decreased Cycles per day increased %Mechanical availability increased %Utilization increased O&M Costs decreased Batch or Discrete Process - Loading (a State) (an Event) (a State) Shovel Waiting Shovel begins to Load Shovel Waiting Truck Driving to Spot (a State) Truck stops (an Event) Truck being Loaded (a State) Truck starts (an Event) Truck (a State) Driving from Spot after: John Sowa, 2001. Processes and Causality, www.jfsowa.com/ontology/causal.htm Components of the Model • • • • • • • • Driver Behaviour module (fuzzy) Road Conditions module (fuzzy) Fuel Consumption module (deterministic) Tire Wear module (thermodynamic/fuzzy) Truck Movement module (deterministic) Lateral Displacement module (probabilistic) Loading, Dumping, Queuing module (stochastic) Maintenance and delays module (stochastic) Road Segment Characteristics Route Waste Shovel to Dump (5.203 km) Dump to Parking (4.330km) Ore Shovel to Crusher (6.041 km) Crusher to Parking (1.427 km) Segment Length (m) Grade (%) Speed Limit (km/h) Maximum Acceleration (m/s²) Stop at end? 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 8 7 10 11 12 13 14 15 2 3 16 17 12 13 18 19 19 18 14 98 537 680 761 44 1,502 500 944 137 137 944 500 1,201 300 353 554 359 78 537 680 1,904 867 353 554 968 100 100 968 359 0 5 7 10 5 10 2 5 0 0 -5 -2 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 40 40 40 40 40 40 60 25 25 60 40 40 40 40 40 40 25 40 40 40 40 40 40 60 25 25 60 40 0.42 0.42 0.21 0.21 0.42 0.21 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 no no yes no no yes yes no yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no no yes yes yes yes yes no yes no yes yes Equipment • 9 CAT 793D haulage trucks (7-10) • Initially 3 assigned to waste • Initially 6 assigned to ore • Command system reschedules to address – Stripping ratio requirements (set to 0.5) – Queuing delays due to maintenance • 2 shovels (one digging waste / one digging ore) • Auxiliary equipment (grader, water truck, dozers) Truck Movement ExtendSIM Software • Dynamic modeling of real-world processes • Uses building blocks to explore processing steps • Benefits • Easy to use • Inexpensive • MS-Windows environment • Handles both Discrete and Deterministic Models Discrete and Deterministic • Discrete Events • Probabilistic method • Maintenance, Loading, Dumping • Deterministic (100 msec) • First Principles • Truck movement – Fuel consumption – Tire temperature • Fuzzy Models (A.I.) • Road conditions (rolling resistance and traction) • Tire wear • Driver behaviour (velocity, acceleration, reaction time) Truck Movement • Model accounts for all forces that affect motion • Rolling resistance and traction • Grade and Gravity • Aerodynamic forces (wind) • Motive power from the engine Truck Movement • Acceleration and velocity are limited by road conditions • Significant influence of the driver behaviour • Wind effects are included to account for head-winds, following winds, and side-winds (significant above 25 kph) Truck Movement - Rimpull Truck Movement - Retarding Comparison of Manual vs. Autonomous Comparison of Driver Behaviour Output Economic Comparison – 9-truck manual fleet and 7-truck AHS fleet (AHS set to same production as manual) – 9-truck manual fleet and 9-truck AHS fleet (different production for both cases); Significant Assumptions 1. AHS infrastructure costs = $6,690,000 2. AHS Start-up costs = $500,000 3. AHS incremental capital costs = $1,000,000 Incremental Economic Analysis ∆CF = (1 – t) (∆Opex) + t∆D where ∆CF t ∆Opex ∆D = cash flow difference between two projects = Tax Rate of 50% (conservative analysis) = operating cost difference = depreciation difference (straight-line) Net Present Value is given by: NPV(@ i) = [∆CF/(1+i) y] – ∆Capex + ∆S/(1+i) d where i y ∆Capex ∆S = interest rate of 10%; = year and d = Project life (years); = capital cost difference = salvage value difference at end of life Assumptions Initial tread depth Ave Time to Scrap a tire (hours) Maintenance costs ($/h) Operators per truck Labour per AHS Turnover = 35% Truck Depreciation Purchase price to site (Manual) Purchase price to site (AHS) = 97 mm = 5,300 hrs = 130 = 4.2 = 0.45 = 7.0 yrs = $4,000,000 = $5,000,000 Source: mine (shop visit) Source: mine (shop visit) Source:mine report Including vacation/training Source: mine report Source: mine (visit) Assumptions – common costs Village Cost (fly-in/fly-out) Flight Cost Tire Cost Fuel Price per L Training cost (simulator) Mining Quarterly wage Labour costs - HR overheads Hiring Cost US$/person/night US$/person/flight US$/tire US$L delivered US$ Real Qtr US$/t US$/person/Qtr % of wage US$/new starter 62.73 169.86 33,000 0.90 25,000 2.30 30,000 15% 3,200 Assumptions – AHS infrastructure Infrastructure Telecom / IT Basic transmission station Servers (with redundancy) Routers (24-ports/PoE) Switches Energy System (with Redundancy) Network Adaptation (Cables CAT 6) Monitoring System (Camera, SW specific, etc.) Positioning System with redundancy (DGPS, antennas, etc.) Quant. 30 8 10 20 1 1 1 1 Unit $ $30,000 $12,500 $40,000 $5,000 $150,000 $200,000 $1,500,000 $200,000 Subtotal Total $900,000 $100,000 $400,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $1,500,000 $200,000 $3,550,000 1 4 2 2 20 1 $700,000 $180,000 $100,000 $10,000 $50,000 $500,000 Subtotal $700,000 $720,000 $200,000 $20,000 $1,000,000 $500,000 $3,140,000 Total $6,690,000 Services Installation and Commissioning Consulting (12 months) Project Manager (6 months) Transmission Link Training Transport/logistics AHS Trucks to match Manual Production (37,867 tpd) Element Manual (9) 7 AHS 8 AHS 9 AHS V full - km/h 17.4 18.5 13.4 V empty - km/h 27.1 28.6 Ave Fuel Use - L/t 0.83 Ave Fuel Use - L/cycle % Change (AHS-Man) 7 AHS 8 AHS 9 AHS 12.7 6.2 -23.1 -26.8 23.4 17.2 5.7 -13.6 -36.4 0.76 0.83 0.78 -8.1 -0.1 -5.1 185.3 168.4 209.3 223.9 -9.1 12.9 20.9 Ave Fuel Use - L/hour 218 235.5 252 239.4 8.1 15.6 9.9 Ave tire wear - mm/cycle 0.015 0.014 0.014 0.013 -5.0 -7.8 -13.8 Ave tire time to scrap - hrs 5,504 4,876 5,834 6,029 -11.4 6.0 9.6 Ave. Number of Cycle/day 18.9 24.5 21.1 19 29.4 11.9 0.4 Ave. Total Cycle Time (min) 51 42.9 49.8 56.1 -15.9 -2.3 10.0 Ave. Queuing (min)/cycle 1.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 -49.4 -50.8 -47.8 Percent Utilization (%) 65 78 73 74 19.4 12.7 14.1 AHS Trucks to match Manual Production (37,867 tpd) Manual 9 trucks 7 AHS 8 AHS 9 AHS 7 AHS vs. Manual 8 AHS vs. Manual 9 AHS vs. Manual CAPEX (M$)* $36.00 $42.19 $47.19 $52.19 - - - OPEX (M$/year) $50.17 $44.63 $46.08 $47.11 - - - - - - - $6.19 -$5.54 $0.88 $3.21 $0.00 $9.45 48.7% $11.19 -$4.09 $0.76 $2.42 $0.65 $1.26 11.7% $16.19 -$3.06 $0.66 $1.86 $5.23 -$1.92 -5.2% Element ∆CC (M$) ∆OC (M$/year) ∆D - Depreciation (M$/year) ∆CF (M$/year) ∆SV (M$) - Salvage Value @ DCFROR After Tax NPV@10% After Tax DCFROR AHS Trucks running at Default Speeds Element Manual* 7AHS 8 AHS 9AHS Ave Fuel - L/tonnes 0.83 0.78 0.78 0.78 Ave Fuel - L/cycle 185.27 172.53 172.91 172.89 Ave tire - mm/cycle 0.015 0.014 0.014 0.014 Fuel burn rate (L/h) 218 236 252 239 Tire life (hours) 5504 4876 5834 7029 % Utilization 65% 78% 73% 74% Maintenance (%) 4.0% 3.4% 4.3% 4.9% Annual Material Moved (t) 13,821,605 13,821,605 16,185,560 18,156,560 Years of Mining 7 7 5.98 5.33 AHS Trucks running at Default Speeds Manual 9 trucks 7 AHS 8 AHS 9 AHS CAPEX (M$)* $36.00 $42.19 $47.19 $52.19 - - - OPEX (M$/year) $50.17 $44.63 $51.51 $57.08 - - - ∆CC (M$) - - - - $6.19 $11.19 $16.19 ∆OC (M$/year) - - - - -$5.54 $1.34 $6.91 ∆D =Depreciation (M$/yr) - - - - $0.88 $2.72 $4.65 ∆CF (M$/year) - - - - $3.21 $0.69 -$1.13 ∆SV (M$) = Salvage Value - - - - $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 After Tax NPV@10% - - - - $9.45 $3.36 $15.59 After Tax DCFROR - - - - 48.7% 14.8% 9.5% Element 7 AHS vs. 8 AHS vs. 9 AHS vs. Manual Manual Manual Trend due to advancement of revenue from later years into early years Comparison of KPIs AHS AHS AHS + 20% AHS AHS +22% -5% -8% -7% Manual Manual Manual Manual Manual Investment cost per truck Truck haulage speeds - 7 - 14% Fuel consumption - 5 - 10% Mechanical Availability +15 - 25% Tire Wear +20 - 30% - 5 - 15% Comparison of KPIs AHS AHS AHS + 22% +10% AHS -15% -8% -80% Manual Manual Manual Increased Productivity Maintenance costs Increased Truck life Manual Labour costs* * Labour savings depend on current mine circumstances – union and turnover issues Conclusion • “New” miners of the 21st Century have new skills – Environment – Socio-political – Automation • • • • Mining industry is a new frontier for automation AHS is the first step in Open Pits Komatsu & CAT are well "down the road" to robotic mining Mine site management change is an important element Conclusion • Modeling a mine is useful in determining change benefits • AI methods can play a major role in developing these models • Benefits of AHS – – – – – Production/productivity Fuel Consumption Tire Wear Rate %Utilization Maintenance + 15 to 20 % – 10 to 15 % – 5 to 15 % + 10 to 20 % – 8%