AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Army Security Cooperation Planners Course Army G-3/5/7 Lesson 6: Planning – Mission Analysis Mr. Robert “Bob” Maginnis Multinational Strategy and Plans Division HQDA, G-35 5 November 2013 BLOCK UNCLASSIFIED 1 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Enabling Learning Objectives and Readings Army G-3/5/7 Enabling Learning Objectives ELO#1: Understand military decision making process ELO#2: Describe the mission analysis steps that contribute to country planning A plan is a framework from which to adapt, not a script to be followed to the letter. -ADRP 5-0 The Operations Process, paragraph 2-4 UNCLASSIFIED 2 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Overview & Agenda Army G-3/5/7 • • Overview – The military decision making process can be adapted to DOD country planning Agenda – Army Mission Analysis – Elements of Mission Analysis • Analyze Higher Level Guidance • Assess the Security Environment • Define the Desired Security Role • Determine Required Partner Country Condition • Assess Partner Country Condition • Identify Resources Available • Authorities, Programs and Activities Primary References UNCLASSIFIED 3 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION MISSION ANALYSIS OF TRIP TO MARS Army G-3/5/7 UNCLASSIFIED 4 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Military Decision Making Process Army G-3/5/7 • The military decision making process (MDMP) is an iterative planning methodology that integrates the activities of the commander, staff, subordinate headquarters, and other partners to understand the situation and mission; develop and compare courses of action; decide on a course of action that best accomplishes the mission; and produce an operation plan or order for execution. • The MDMP facilitates collaborative planning. • The MDMP also drives preparation. • The MDMP consists of seven steps. Each step of the MDMP has various inputs and outputs. The outputs lead to an increased understanding of the situation facilitating the next step of the MDMP. • The MDMP can be as detailed as time, resources, experience, and the situation permit. UNCLASSIFIED 5 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Mission Analysis Key Inputs Army G-3/5/7 Country Plan Key Inputs • Higher headquarters' plan or order • Higher headquarters’ knowledge and intelligence products • Knowledge products from other organizations • Design concept UNCLASSIFIED 6 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Mission Analysis Key Outputs Army G-3/5/7 Country Plan Key Outputs • Problem statement • Mission statement • Initial commander’s intent • Initial planning guidance • Initial Commander’s Information Requirements (CIR) and Essential Elements of Friendly Information (EEFI) • Updated Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield (IPB) and Running Estimates • Assumptions UNCLASSIFIED 7 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Gov’s Interests Country Planning Army G-3/5/7 Services What are the resource requirements? CJCS “find new ways to leverage the capacity of allies Congress Carefully control expenditures Demand(!) central management Partner Nation Predictable and reliable Relationship with US Country Plan Defense Agencies We need to be reflected in this Combatant Commands Flexibility, responsiveness, stability Credibility with partners State Align with National Security Objectives Require central management OSD Effective, efficient, accountable approach Centralized management of BPC resources UNCLASSIFIED 8 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION DoD Interests in Country Planning Army G-3/5/7 Strategic Interests • • GCC primary responsibility Objectives – Relationships – Access • Facilities • Agreements • Permission/willingness – Partner capacity and capability • Capability (What?) – Lesser developed countries • Capacity (How much?) – More developed countries Institutional Interests • • Service primary responsibility Overarching objectives – Training • Deployment • Language, regional expertise, and culture • Advisor skills – Interoperability – Armaments cooperation • Research and development • Foreign military sales Ultimately, both strategic and institutional objectives supports the GCCs UNCLASSIFIED 9 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Army G-3/5/7 COUNTRY PLANNING – MISSION ANALYSIS 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Analyze higher guidance Assess security environment of partner country Define desired security roles of partner country Determine required partner country condition Identify resources available Chp. 3, pp. 14-16 UNCLASSIFIED 10 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Mission Analysis: #1: Analyze Higher Level Guidance Army G-3/5/7 Guidance for Employment of the Force • • • • United States National Security Strategy Security Prosperity Values International Order Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership: Priorities for the 21st Century • Regional guidance • Primary missions of the U.S. Armed Forces Department of Defense Guidance for Employment of the Force (GEF) • Planning guidance • Theater end states • Critical partners • Security cooperation focus areas UNCLASSIFIED 11 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Mission Analysis: #1: Analyze Higher Level Guidance Army G-3/5/7 • • • • Combatant Command Campaign Plans Theater Campaign plans Global plans Contingency plans Country plans Department of State Integrated Country Strategy – Ambassador’s Goals – Relationship between Mission Goals, and broader USG regional goals – Current operating environment United States Agency for International Development Country Development Cooperation Strategy – Basic development challenges – Strategic rationale for addressing challenges and opportunities – Long term development vision UNCLASSIFIED 12 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Mission Analysis: #2: Assess the Security Environment Army G-3/5/7 • • • • • • Relevant geopolitical trends Significant internal and external threats – Breadth and complexity of their operational demands Key security cooperation opportunities – Partner country’s role in regional organizations Capabilities and resources of the partner nation – Force structure – Defense budget – Expenditures on weapons system purchases Goals and activities of other USG departments Goals and activities of other countries UNCLASSIFIED 13 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Mission Analysis: #3: Define the Desired Security Role Army G-3/5/7 • • • Potential roles – Supporting partner in regional security framework(s) – Potential partner in coalition/bilateral operations – Stable and secure country that denies sanctuary to terrorists, insurgents, criminals, or other hostile transnational elements – Partner in providing/protecting access to the global “commons” – Partner in developing technology – Partner in providing intelligence and information sharing – Role in deterring a potential state aggressor Risk to US strategy of the partner does not assume that role Regional implications of US efforts aimed at enabling the country to play the role US and Georgian Officers UNCLASSIFIED 14 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Mission Analysis: #4: Determine Required Partner Country Condition Army G-3/5/7 • • • Necessary degree of consensus among political leadership and society Necessary operational capability and capacity Necessary institutional capability and capacity – Degree of legitimacy and legal status – Decision making – Resource management – Human resources – Equipment and logistics – Integrating mechanisms Use the Doctrine, Organization, Training, Material, Leadership & education, Personnel & Facilities (DOTMLPF) construct to identify operational capability and capacity requirements UNCLASSIFIED 15 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Principles: Build and Maintain Situational Understanding Army G-3/5/7 • Situational understanding is the product of applying analysis and judgment to relevant information to determine the relationships among the operational and mission variables to facilitate decisionmaking UNCLASSIFIED 16 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Army G-3/5/7 Doctrine Organization Training Materiel Leadership and education Personnel Facilities Current 2015 objective force document devoid of MI; DMI has clearly defined MI proponency role Interim (2–5 years) DMI and G-2 or J-2 developing and validating doctrine based on inputs from foreign donors FSF G-2 or J-2 structured under G-3 or J-3. Extremely limited MI capability in mission critical units No resident MI capability in training centers No organized individual or collective MI training in the GS office of primary responsibility, training centers, or mission critical units No training materials in the MI office of primary responsibility in the GS FSF G-2 or J-2 structured under J-3. Limited MI capability in mission critical units, MI included at training centers Reliable C2 between GS and mission critical units necessary for functioning of MI reporting chains DMI and GJ2 relationships currently being defined— with one another, with G-3 or J-3, with training centers, with civilian intelligence agencies No MI qualified faculty in training centers Extremely limited qualified MI personnel in the GS, training centers, and mission critical units Adequacy of DMI and G-2 or J-2 offices UNK. MI school to be built Organized individual and collective MI training, conducted or funded by foreign donors (GS office of primary responsibility, training centers, mission critical units) FSF MI personnel using MI material provided by foreign donors, including C2 linking GS and mission-critical units DMI and G-2 or J-2 relationships clearly defined – with one another, with J-3, with training centers, with civilian intelligence agencies Limited qualified faculty in training centers, minimal qualified MI personnel in the GS, training centers, and mission critical units Adequate DMI and G-3 or J-3 offices. MI school under construction End state (5–10 years) FSF DMI and G-2 or J-2 operating using indigenous doctrine interoperable with regional, multinational, or peacekeeping forces G-2 or J-2 coequal with G-3 or J-3. Sufficient MI capability in mission critical units MI integral in training centers Individual and collective MI training conducted and funded by the host nation (GS, training centers, and mission critical units) FSF sourcing or funding for its own MI and C2 equipment, with limited foreign advice and assistance DMI and G-2 or J-2 relationships—with one another, with J-3, with training centers, with civilian intelligence agencies—stable and functional Self-sustaining qualified faculty in training centers, adequate qualified MI personnel in the GS, training centers, mission critical units Adequate DMI and J-2 offices, MI school fully furnished and operational UNCLASSIFIED 17 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Mission Analysis: #5: Assess Partner Country Condition Army G-3/5/7 • • • • Identify the security objectives/aspirations of the partner country Determine whether the partner country is already performing, or is inclined to perform the desired role Consider the strategic direction of the partner country – Trends – Opportunities – Constraints – Missions and functions of the partner’s security forces – Degree of professionalization Identify areas toward which steady-state activities should be applied, redundancies, gaps, and areas for collaboration UNCLASSIFIED 18 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Mission Analysis: #6: Identify Resources Available Army G-3/5/7 • • Title 10 funding and programs – Office of the Secretary of Defense – Joint Staff – Services Title 22 funding and programs – Foreign Military Financing – International Military Education and Training – Global Peace Operations Initiative • • • Resources of other USG agencies Resources provided by the partner country Enabling agreements (CISMOA, ACSA, SOFA) UNCLASSIFIED 19 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Mission Analysis: Programs and Authorities Army G-3/5/7 Funding Type Title Manager Train International Military Ed and Training 22 State/DSCA X Foreign Military Financing 22 State/DSCA X X Global Train & Equip 10 DSCA X X Counternarcotics 10 DSCA X X Cooperative Threat Reduction (CWMD) 10 DTRA X X Traditional COCOM Activities 10 Services X Warsaw Initiative Fund 10 DSCA X Service Incremental Funds 10 DSCA X CJCS Exercises 10 Joint Staff X Title 10 Mil-to-Mil Activities 10 Services X Title 10 Exercises 10 Services X • Equip Relationships X Two DOD reviews currently examining military engagement authorities – OSD(P) Security Force Assistance Authorities Working Group – CAPE Building Partner Capacity Strategic Portfolio Review UNCLASSIFIED 20 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Army G-3/5/7 Practical Exercise Groups Group 1 MAJ Carol Hickey Mr. Richard Reeves LTC David Carpenter CPT Andrew Lee SFC Lecreacia Brownlee LTC Vernon Wheeler MAJ Bradly Parker SFC Michael Eilers Maj Dave Van Pelt LTC Chang Kim Mr. Paul Cruz MAJ James Burgess SSG Jack Androski MAJ Colin Davis Group 2 CPT Luke Minogue Mr. Edward Martin LTC Michael Willis MAJ Janette Kautzman Mr. Trey Maddox MAJ Eric Grider MAJ Mark VanHanehan MAJ John Parrish LCDR Joshua Jacobson LTC Tomoyoshi Murotani MAJ Wade Murry CPT Nathan Mein CPT Dong Hyun LTC Jim Follwell Group 3 LTC Nelson Chang SGM Tim Lebouf CPT Jacob Pierce LTC Dave Downing CW3 David Goble CPT Todd Wayne LTC Christopher Jeszensky Maj Paul Conroy CPT Megan J Fowler CW3 Roger Smith SGM Jon Matthews CPT Fabienne Suter MAJ Cheree Browne UNCLASSIFIED 21 AMERICA’S ARMY: UNCLASSIFIED THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Army G-3/5/7 Questions? 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