+ Innovation Policies to Support Low-Emissions Development Prof. Nathan Hultman University of Maryland School of Public Policy World Bank Institute September 26, 2012 + Why green innovation? 2 + 3 Rio+20: “Green economy in the context of sustainable development and poverty eradication” Sustainable development emphasizes a holistic, equitable and far-sighted approach to decision-making at all levels. It emphasizes not just strong economic performance but intragenerational and intergenerational equity. It rests on integration and a balanced consideration of social, economic and environmental goals and objectives in both public and private decision-making. The concept of green economy focuses primarily on the intersection between environment and economy. This recalls the 1992 Rio Conference: the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development. Green Growth Goals: + Decoupling Environmental Impacts and Growing the Economy + 5 Innovation and the development / environment agenda New, cheap applications of existing technology Resurrections of old ideas in a new context Integration of several existing technologies to serve an under-tapped market Utilizing services new business models to provide + 6 Solar LED flashlight + 7 Which will push battery technology forward? Both! Tesla Roadster in California Electric Scooters in Asian city High tech, high cost, small market Low tech, low cost, large demand + 8 Which will provide broader benefits now? Tesla Roadster in California Electric Scooters in Asian city High tech, high cost, small market Low tech, low cost, large demand + The Role of Government Market Failures provide the rationale for public policies • Examples: • Environmental externalities • Insufficient investments in clean energy R&D • Market power (monopolies etc.) • Lack of information Implication: Green technologies can benefit from policy + An Example: Four Energy Challenges Climate Change Energy Access Economic Growth Energy Security 10 + Is it possible to achieve the four energy goals? Yes. Energy Innovation Energy Implementation • New and less expensive technologies • New markets • Clear, credible, and longterm policy Green Growth Energy Integration Energy Transformation • New models of production, consumption, behavior, & business • Access to clean energy services • Development and economic well-being + Benefits arise in many development contexts Middle Income Countries Less Developed Countries + Benefits arise in many development contexts Middle Income Countries Less Developed Countries Middle income countries’ economies are expanding quickly. At this stage, a green growth strategy can bring essential elements for development, such as support for energy efficiency, enhanced access to renewables, efficient mass transport systems, development of clean technology and others. + Benefits arise in many development contexts One of the priorities for many less developed countries is energy access (insert textbox link with graphic). Middle Income Countries Less Developed Countries Problem: How can low income countries in the Sub-Sahara bring electricity to remote, isolated communities? Solution: The Lighting Africa program is developing commercial off-grid lighting markets in Sub-Saharan Africa to provide off-grid lighting to 2.5 million Africans by 2012 and to 250 million Africans by 2030 + Example: Green growth and innovation in the energy sector Key Technology Areas End-Use Energy Efficiency Renewables End-Use Fuel Switching Power Generation Efficiency and Fuel Switching Advanced Technologies under Development + Example: Green growth and innovation in the energy sector Key Technology Areas End-Use Energy Efficiency Based on the simple concept of using less energy to provide the same level of output or perform the same task Renewables End-Use Fuel Switching Power Generation Efficiency and Fuel Switching Advanced Technologies under Development Credit: Karen Doherty, Ohio Department of Development + Example: Place of green innovation in the energy sector Key Technology Areas End-Use Energy Efficiency Includes a variety of technologies including solar, wind, biomass, hydro, and geothermal Renewables End-Use Fuel Switching Power Generation Efficiency and Fuel Switching Advanced Technologies under Development © Dana Smillie / World Bank + Example: Green growth and innovation in the energy sector Key Technology Areas End-Use Energy Efficiency Renewables End-Use Fuel Switching Power Generation Efficiency and Fuel Switching Advanced Technologies under Development Choosing the most appropriate energy carrier to supply a given end use while minimizing primary energy consumption + Example: Green growth and innovation in the energy sector Key Technology Areas End-Use Energy Efficiency Renewables End-Use Fuel Switching Power Generation Efficiency and Fuel Switching Advanced Technologies under Development Increasing efficiency of power plants and switching to cleaner fuels + Example: Green growth and innovation in the energy sector Key Technology Areas End-Use Energy Efficiency Renewables End-Use Fuel Switching Power Generation Efficiency and Fuel Switching New Technologies – Advanced and “Mundane” Brazil Pres. Lula driving VW Gol, first production gas/ethanol vehicle, Brazil 2003 + Policies to Support Green Innovations 21 + Green growth benefits from complementary policies Innovation Regulations and Standards International Cooperation Policy Options Quantity Instruments Price Instruments Source: Sierra, Hultman, & Shapiro + Green growth benefits from complementary policies Innovation Regulations and Standards International Cooperation Policy Options Quantity Instruments Price Instruments Source: Sierra, Hultman, & Shapiro + Innovation policies for promoting frontier innovation Policy instruments for innovation Innovation policies Promote frontier innovation Strengthen adaptive innovation Improve absorptive capacity Strengthen international collaboration + Innovation policies for promoting frontier innovation Supply side “technology push” Demand side “market pull” Public funding to labs and universities Provide Research Grants Tax credits for energy research Strengthen national research systems Early stage development finance The traditional supply-push mechanism: • More influence over research • Select participants to projects IEA estimates: $1 trillion per year until 2050 in 17 key technologies + Innovation policies for promoting frontier innovation Supply side “technology push” Demand side “market pull” Public funding to labs and universities Provide Research Grants Tax credits for energy research Strengthen national research systems Early stage development finance Government donations to universities or individuals to undertake research in the energy field. Benefits: easy to target specific sectors of the energy field and also include requirements of social co-benefits. Weakness: does not ensure commercialization, as it only affects early stages in the technology cycle. + Innovation policies for promoting frontier innovation Supply side “technology push” Public funding to labs and universities Provide Research Grants Tax credits for energy research Strengthen national research systems Early stage development finance Demand side “market pull” Tax reductions to entities that undertake desirable research and innovation activities. Helps stimulating corporate investment in energy projects • Allows firms to choose the most profitable research opportunities • But: may promote distorting tax avoidance rather than productive investment in countries with a weak tax enforcement system. + Supply side “technology push” Demand side “market pull” Public funding to labs and universities Provide Research Grants Tax credits for energy research Strengthen national research infrastructure Early stage development finance Objective assessment of the national research system in order to improve it, including: • Develop a national research and innovation strategy for the energy sector and national priority setting • Work with industrial partners and international donors • increase access to scientific information • Establish centers of excellence for clean energy research • Create programs for entrepreneurship and innovation • Improve remuneration • of researchers + Innovation policies for promoting frontier innovation Supply side “technology push” Public funding to labs and universities Provide Research Grants Tax credits for energy research Strengthen national research systems Early stage development finance Policies to support business incubators Demand side “market pull” Angels and Venture Capital firms + Promoting BOP innovation for LED Dedicated international VC funding and risk capital for developing country start-ups, Training for developed country firms in understanding BOP needs, conducting demonstration tests Prize funds Special support to small and medium enterprises Government-funded R&D, compulsory licensing, patent pools bilateral and multilateral market access agreements, applied research networks Allowing firms to access national, regional and global supply chains + 31 Role for both domestic and international policy Direct Support Indirect Support Applied research networks Basic research networks Advanced Market Commitments Business education at technical universities Patent Commons Country green growth rankings Patent pools / cross-licensing International standard setting agreements agreements Global or regional science foundations Challenge / prize programs International Green Growth Challenge Business acceleration centers Joint R&D partnerships Enterprise worker discovery programs R&D Scholarships, fellowships Procurement / Price support Idea marketplaces Corporation* Source: Sierra, Hultman, & Shapiro + National Innovation Ecosystem Innovation climate Macroeconomic environment Research Natural capital Development Demonstration Policies Market formation Diffusion Institutional structures Skills and capabilities International Technological collaboration New energy technologies and processes Source Modified from WESS 2010 + Strengthening Innovation Adaptive innovation requires policies that Facilitate access Stimulate uptake + Strengthening Innovation Regulations Improve financial infrastructure Public Procurement Standards • Guaranteed feed-in tariffs for renewables • Taxes and tradable permits for emissions pollution • Tax credits for new technologies (e.g. for compact fluorescent light bulbs) • Government rules (e.g. limits to polluting emissions from industrial plants) + Strengthening Innovation Stimulate the uptake of technologies Regulations Improve financial infrastructure Public Procurement Standards • Improve quality of the business environment and governance conditions • Improve the bureaucratic climate and the formal/informal regulations regarding economic transactions • Shorten official licensing procedures for entrepreneurial activity + Strengthening Innovation Stimulate the uptake of technologies Regulations Improve financial infrastructure Public Procurement Standards • Help firms to reduce the early stage production costs • Motivate new companies to enter the clean energy market • Raises awareness among consumers • Lead to economic competitiveness in the energy sector + Strengthening Innovation Regulations Improve financial infrastructure Public Procurement Standards •Guarantees to foster markets of green energy • Generate green jobs in the energy sector Stimulate the uptake of technologies + Policy Strategies to support Green “Innovation Ecosystems” 38 Market Deployment Framework for National Innovation + Policies National Research Development Support R&D through funding, tax credits, grants, sticky city policies, global connectivity of firms Early stage development finance, promote business incubators, VC funding and risk capital, Policies for market re-entry and experimentation, global connectivity of firms International Low-cost gap technologie s (Wind onshore) High costgap technologies (PV) Prototype & demonstration stage University networks, Science centers, patent collaboration Demonstration The Kyoto Technology Mechanism Mature technologies (Hydropower ) Market formation Diffusion Stimulate market pull through standards, procurement, sticky city policies Trade and FDI Procurement CDM projects Source: OECD/IEA 2008 Regional Science Foundations Academic Institutes NGOs, think tanks Public Labs National Business Incubators Private Labs Entrepreneurs Fund 1: Risk capital Start-ups Project developers Universities 40 Investment De-risking Funds Fund 2: IP Sharing IP developers Non-profit IP buyers Services provided: • Regional priority setting • Research funding • Cooperative / Extension programs • Scholarship / Fellowship funding • Curriculum design support • International scientific and entrepreneurial “study abroad” Research • Business plan assistance • Market intelligence • Access international venture capital • Fundraising & pitch training • IP training & policy advisory • Office space • Networking facilitation • Tech transfer assistance Development Demonstration • Equity and debt instruments to de-risk capital investment in developing countries • Funding to purchase IP from developers • Funding to subsidize patent licensing to non-profit or socially-oriented technology deployment groups Deployment Source: Sierra, Hultman, & Shapiro + 41 Conclusions: Innovation for LowEmissions Development Transformative innovations may not happen in predictable places Refocus on supporting the diversity of innovation Domestic: Regulatory and business environment IP Standards National priorities International: Regional Science Foundations National Business Incubators De-risking funds + Further Readings Hultman, Sierra, Shapiro, and Eis, Green Growth Innovation, The Brookings Institution 2012 World Bank (2012) Dutz, Mark and Sharma, Siddarth, Green Growth, Technology & Innovation. Policy Research Working Paper 5932 World Bank (2012) Inclusive Green Growth The Pathway to Sustainable Development. Washington: The World Bank World Economic and Social Survey 2011, The Great Green Technological Transformation, The United Nations: New York Tomlinson, Shane, Zorlu, Pelin and Langley, Claire (2008) E3G report launch: Innovation and Technology Transfer: Framework for a Global Climate Deal. Xiaomei Tan and Zhao Gang. “An Emerging Revolution: Clean Technology Research, Development and Innovation in China.” WRI Working Paper. World Resources Institute, Washington DC. Sauter, Raphael and Jim Watson, (2008) Technology Leapfrogging: A Review of the Evidence, Sussex Energy Group, University of Sussex, 2008. IEA (2010) Energy Technology Roadmaps: a guide to implementation, IEA: Paris Dechezleprêtre, Antoine, Matthieu Glachant, Ivan Hascic, Nick Johnstone, and Yann Ménière. (2011) Invention and transfer of climate mitigation technologies on a global scale: a study drawing on patent data. + 43 + Acknowledgments 44 • Kathy Sierra and Allison Shapiro (Brookings Institution) • Pablo Benitez, Alex Bozmoski, and Amanda Jerneck (World Bank) + Contact Dr. Nathan E. Hultman Assoc. Professor & Director, Environmental Policy Program School of Public Policy, University of Maryland Nonresident Fellow, The Brookings Institution hultman@umd.edu