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Infrastructure Modeling: Decision
Technologies
Project Lead: William Al Wallace
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting January 31-February 1, 2013
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
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Decision Technologies Project Overview
Enabling response and recovery activities with
the goal of improving community resilience to a
catastrophic event
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
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Modeling civil and social
infrastructure systems and their
interdependencies to improve the
response and restoration decision
process
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
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Project Relevance to DHS S&T Mission/Impact of Project
The first objective of “Strategic Goal 3” in Department of
Homeland Security Strategic Plan
– to protect and strengthen the resilience of the nation’s critical infrastructure
and key resources
Source: U.S. DHS Strategic Plan Fiscal Years 2008-2013 (http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/DHS_StratPlan_FINAL_spread.pdf)
• The end user for this research are managers of federal, state and
local emergency management departments as well as managers of
critical infrastructures
• With decision technologies like MUNICPAL, these managers will be
able to prepare for hazard scenarios through training and address
potential issues in ensuring community resilience well before a
catastrophic event occurs
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
5
Technical Approach and Progress of Current Work
1. Apply MUNICIPAL (Multi-Network Interdependent Critical
Infrastructure Program for the Analysis of Lifelines) to a new
larger community
2. Model social infrastructure systems and integrating them
into the restoration, preparedness, and vulnerability models
3. Integrate preparedness decisions into the Integrated
Interdependent Network Design and Scheduling (IINDS)
model
4. Evaluate the value of information sharing among
infrastructure and emergency managers
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
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Artificial Community for Disaster Training and Research
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
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Water
Power
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
Transportation
Waste Water
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
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Technical Approach and Progress of Current Work
1. Apply MUNICIPAL to a new larger community
2. Model social infrastructure systems and integrating them
into the restoration, preparedness, and vulnerability models
3. Integrate preparedness decisions into the Integrated
Interdependent Network Design and Scheduling (IINDS)
model
4. Evaluate the value of information sharing among
infrastructure and emergency managers
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
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Social infrastructure systems
include:
• Public service such as police,
fire, and EMS
• Private services such as fuel
distribution and personal
banking
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
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The functionality of
social infrastructures
rely heavily on the
behaviors of both
individuals and groups
Source: W.A. Wallace et al., “Decision support for ethical problem solving: A
multi-agent approach”, Decision Support Systems 43 (2007) 1571–1587.
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
11
Technical Approach and Progress of Current Work
3. Integrate preparedness decisions into the Integrated
Interdependent Network Design and Scheduling (IINDS)
model
4. Evaluate the value of information sharing among
infrastructure and emergency managers
• Ph.D. thesis titled “Integrated Mitigation, Restoration, and
Scheduling Problem for Interdependent Civil Infrastructure
Networks” details the techniques and effort in building the
models of mitigation and information sharing and
incorporating them into the IINDS model
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
12
Current Translation Activities and End Users
1. Web-Based MUNICIPAL
2. An experimental exercise based upon MUNICIPAL was held
with representatives from emergency management
community on November 29, 2012.
3. Investigating the Integration of MUNICIPAL into DHS’s
SUMMIT framework
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
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Web-Based MUNICIPAL
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
14
Web-Based MUNICIPAL
“The final product is really enlightening. They pointed out some things that we
normally don’t get involved in…I think that now we’d get much more involved in
orchestrating their efforts to see that one is not hindering the other.”
–Warren Lee, Director of Emergency Management, New Hanover County, NC
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
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Products
• Web-based decision support tool MUNICIPAL prototype
• Models incorporating mitigation decisions into the restoration
model as well as testing the logic of centralized vs.
decentralized decision making
• Ph.D. dissertation titled “Integrated Mitigation, Restoration,
and Scheduling Problem for Interdependent Civil
Infrastructure Networks.”
• Technical Report on the assessment of the models included in
MUNICIPAL
– Created as a result of interviews conducted with members of the emergency
management and infrastructure communities
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
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Looking Forward
For the remainder of year 5 we will:
• Continue research on social infrastructure modeling including agent-based
systems and integrate them into vulnerability and restoration models
• Apply existing models to the artificial community to test the
generalizability and scalability of those models
• Develop a workshop / training session for New York State Department of
Homeland Security (NYS-DHS) officials employing MUNICIPAL, tentatively
scheduled for June 2013
• Produce three papers on the following topics:
• A technical paper describing the decision tool MUNICIPAL
• The integration of preparedness decisions into the IINDS model
• The value of information sharing among infrastructure managers
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
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Looking Forward
For year 6 proposed work we will:
• Construct models of social infrastructures that provide private
services, i.e. personal banking and fuel distribution utilizing agent
based modeling technologies.
• Incorporate models of social infrastructures that provide private
services into MUNICIPAL.
• Conduct exercises demonstrating the models for social and civil
infrastructure restoration
• Implement the artificial community into the web-based prototype of
MUNICIPAL
• Develop a report on how to construct an artificial community for
purposes of research and training
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013
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• Faculty
– PI: William Al Wallace
– Thomas C. Sharkey
– John E. Mitchell
• Graduate Students
–
–
–
–
Questions?
Burak Cavdaroglu
Ryan Loggins
Erik Hammel
Sarah Nurre
• Undergraduate Students
– Jonathan Taylor
– Sarah Brehm
William A. Wallace  Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
This project is supported by the US
Department of Homeland Security under
Award Number: 2008-ST-061-ND 0001.
CHC-R 5th Annual Meeting
January 31-February 1, 2013