The Convergence of HR and Finance: Leveraging HR’s Most Powerful Advantage to Impact the Business Mark Ubelhart October 2014 To Achieve Impact—Functions Transition* • Professional Practice • Accounting • Sales • Human Resources Decision Science Finance Marketing Human Capital/Talent Management • When made: – Possible by information systems – Essential by scarcity Drivers of Future Business Value Source: Mark Van Cleaf, Organizational Capital Partners What can we learn from High Performing Companies? A global study of more than 15,000 performance companies using 30 years of data identified companies which achieved superior CFROI, Growth and Total Shareholder Returns “We found that employee engagement and retention was a critical factor in the ability of companies to achieve superior and sustainable ROI and Shareholder Value performance.” Dr. Mark L. Frigo, Director - The Center for Strategy, Execution and Valuation Kellstadt Graduate School of Business, DePaul University Co-author of the book DRIVEN: Business Strategy Human Action and the Creation of Wealth A Strategy Map With Risk Management Embedded Create and Protect Shareholder and Stakeholder Value Financial Strategic Objectives Customer Strategic Objectives Strategic Themes Internal Process Strategic Objectives Profitable Growth from New Technologies and Services Increase Value from Existing and New Customers Organizational Efficiency and Leverage Cost & Quality Leadership Develop Technologies to Improve Cost & Performance Deliver Highly Valued Solutions Customer Focused 1- Operational Excellence 2-Create Value with Technology 3-Grow High Value Customer Relationships 4-Organizational Alignment Reduce costs Disciplined Investment in New Technologies Improve Pricing Discipline Communication and Teaming Improve quality and costs continuously Drive Packaging Technology Enable Rapid New Product introduction Information Sharing Leverage Technology Leverage an Open Collaboration Technology Transfer Model Risk Management: Strategic Risk Assessment Improve Productivity Eliminate non-value added processes Licensing Risk Management: Liability for Failures Risk Management: Protect IP Risk Management: Protect Customer Information Risk Management: ERM Initiative TQ/RRS TQ/RRS TQ/RRS TQ/RRS Capabilities and Growth Strategic Objectives Roles and Alignment Organizational Alignment “Create a High Performance Culture and Infrastructure” Develop Balanced Scorecard and Strategy Maps Retain and Develop Critical Talent Develop Strategic Risk Management Skills and Culture Develop Leadership Enable and Encourage and Execution-Driven Continuous Learning and Knowledge Sharing Culture Source: Frigo, Mark L. and Richard J. Anderson, Strategic Risk Management: A Primer for Directors and Management Teams (2011). Used with permission. Retention Risk Score Identifyand and Target At-Risk Talent 1. Identify Target At-Risk Talent Creates a common understanding of who is at risk and why… Employee Retention Risk Score Critical Talent Key Factors Increasing Risk Jim Smith 726 Yes Pay history, 6 – 10 yrs tenure Carol Yu 610 No New employee, geographic location Anand Gupta 462 No Manager tenure, department diversity Sarah Young 280 Yes Pay history Managing Your Talent Risk Predicting Risk—employee by employee, quarter by quarter—so that management can: 1. Identify and target at-risk talent 2. Target clusters of risk for group interventions 3. Measure retention performance across units, across managers 4. Reshape talent sourcing strategies 5. Benchmark your company Business Framework to Take Action Target Clusters of Risk for Group Interventions Employee Scores Segmentation Methods Demographic Segments • Diversity groups • Critical talent • Location Organizational Segments • Business Unit • Function • Division Risk Clusters Actions Sales engineers, <2 years experience in Austin, TX: High risk but low attrition Combine Risk Analysis with HR Solutions Cluster Analysis • Model-generated segments Women managers, age 25-34, in Finance: Medium risk and high attrition Manager Training Compensation Plan Changes Alternative Work Arrangements Career Planning Workshops Measure Retention Performance Across Units, Across Managers Conventional analysis looks at turnover alone, masking crucial information about “degree of difficulty”. Talent Guardian offers true performance assessment. Group 1 Group 2 Predicted Turnover 40% Predicted Turnover Actual Turnover 24% Actual Turnover +16% High Retention Performance Group 3 22% Predicted Turnover 10% 22% Actual Turnover 23% 0% Average Retention Performance -13% Low Retention Performance The Message: All three locations had roughly the same turnover. But, Group 1 had the best performance compared to predicted turnover. And Group 3 the worst. The Action: Investigate Group 1 for best practices, and Group 3 for root causes. Talent Guardian™—Actual Client, Prominent Risk Clusters “Hired Young Guns” “Reaching for More” “Mid-Career Misfires” 3% of population 4% of compensation investment 3% of population 3% of compensation investment 3.5% of population 3% of compensation investment • Young, though likely not first job • High performing, relatively high pay • Tend to live in suburban-like areas (educated, mid-to-high income, homeowners, married with RRS children) 480 • Average performers • Recently changed roles/ promoted, but with relatively small pay increase • Tend to live in economically depressed areas RRS “Builders” “Solid Opportunists” “Struggling Starters” 1% of population 1% of compensation investment 2.5% of population 3% of compensation investment 2.5% of population 2% of compensation investment • • • • Young, perhaps first job Modest pay Skewed toward Business Unit A Tend to live in suburban-like areas Most Concern RRS 500 Pivotal/Key Talent Concentration • Not first job • Low performers, slow pay progression • Tend to live in low income, relatively uneducated areas 450 • • • • RRS 490 Average performing Tend to move between roles Have relatively high pay Tend to live in suburban-like areas RRS • Young, likely first job out of school • Average to modest performers • Likely living in relatively low income areas RRS 470 460 Secondary Concern Modest Concern Retention Risk Complexion Benchmarks Numbe r of Pe ople In Between 21% Low Ris k 57% High Ris k 22% Inv e stme nt in Pe ople In Between 29% High Ris k 24% Low Ris k 47% The Link Between… Retention Risk Scores (RRS) Talent Quotient and Business Results RRS Pivotal Employees All Employees CFROI All Others Predicted TQ Talent Quotient Definition The people getting the highest total pay increases… …are they leaving or staying? The GAAP Equivalent for Human Capital Reporting – The relevant information is available – Standardization within and across companies has been accomplished – Hewitt research demonstrates that a 10% increase Useinwithin framework ofemployees long-term shareholder attractingaand retaining pivotal for a company $10 billionis in now capital investment valuewith creation possibleadds an estimated $70 million to $160 million to its bottom line. Linkage to Business Results and CFROI • Quantifying what has typically been considered fuzzy—the shareholder value upside of investing in talent • Utilizing "apples-to-apples" financial results, adjusting for industry (e.g. financial services) • Correcting for “reverse causality" issues—are pivotal employees staying (i.e. high TQ) because of good financial results or does TQ drive future financial results? 1 Incremental Cost of Talent versus Measurable Business Impact CFROI and Total Business Return 1997 – 2007, N = 115 companies TQ Uncovers Critical Pipeline Gaps • • Example of Talent Quotient by pay level, highlighting critical future leadership gap for this company. Bench strength issue highlighted; TQ not being reported to the Board TQ RETAIN 160 130 T Q 120 118 108 100 TQ<100 LOSING PIVOTAL EMPLOYEES 70 59 40 BROAD ($50K– $125K) MGMT* ($125K– $200K) TQ>100 RETAINING PIVOTAL EMPLOYEES EXEC* ($200K+) TOTAL ($50K+) Identifying “Stall Points” in Corporate Performance ➤ Nearly 500 executive interviews ➤ Largest data set assembled on longterm corporate performance ➤ Deep analysis of “stalled companies” ceburl.com/economist-talent 19 Talent is a Major Factor in Organizational Revenue Stalls Over 80% of the time, the key controllable factors of revenue stalls in an organization are either entirely about talent or disproportionately about talent. Strategic Factors 70% Premium Position Captivity 23% Regulatory Actions 7% Innovation Management Breakdown Premature Core Abandonment Failed Acquisition 10% 7% 13% Key Customer Dependency 6% Strategic/ Diffusion Conglomeration 5% Adjacency Failures 4% External Factors Organizational Factors 13% 17% Economic Downturn 4% © 2014 CEB. All rights reserved. CEB142868PRINT National Labor Market Inflexibility 1% Geopolitical Context 1% Talent Bench Shortfall 9% Board Inaction 4% Organization Design 2% Voluntary Growth Slowdown 2% Incorrect Performance Metrics 2% 8 Company Specific Results—Big Box Retail Organization For each 10 point improvement in TQ… 1.5 – 2.0% improvement in sales per square foot Can we trust this data? Relative Sales/ Sq Ft Growth in Sales/Sq Ft Controllable Margin Econometric Methods to Normalize Store Performance for External Factors Regression Model: Store Performance vs. TQ Future Sales Sq Ft or Controllable Margin = Function of Human Capital Metrics, e.g. TQ (adjusted for reverse causality) Momentum Building For Human Capital Accountability Reporting Many organizations are pursuing such disclosure • Society for Human Resources Management (SHRM) and its Metrics & Measures Task Force—suspended • Sustainable Accounting Standards Board (SASB) • American National Standards (ANSI) and U.S. Technical Advisory Group (TAG) Momentum Building For Human Capital Accountability Reporting Many organizations are pursuing such disclosure • International Standards Organization (ISO) with 42 Nations participating or observing the development of HR standards • In the UK, Chartered Institute of Personnel Development (cipd) with the results becoming law in two years • CalPERS to engage companies and their external managers on Governance, Risk Management, Human Capital and Environmental practices Human resources measures… …management and investment information When will standardized Human Capital metrics become a visible practice for leading companies? -- 2007 Human Capital Institute Poll: Accountability Reporting 50% 45% 40% 28% 30% 22% 20% 10% 3% 2% 0% This Year Next 2–3 Years Five Years Beyond 5 Years Never IIRC Guidelines SASB Approach to Human Capital • • • • • Michael Bloomberg and Mary Shapiro are serving as the Chair and Vice Chair of SASB – People of this caliber have the power to change the world Focus on ESG issues that are material per the SEC Industry specific approach to human capital metrics – SASB covers 80+ industries across 10 sectors Human capital manifests in different ways – As “Employee Recruitment, Development, and Retention” topics – As “Fair Labor, Labor Rights, and Human Rights” topics – As “Employee/Workforce Health & Safety” topics – As “Employee Inclusion & Diversity” topics Standards for 5 Sectors available for download at www.sasb.org Defining Workforce Productivity • What is our workforce productivity? What is the marginal return of $1.00 invested in the workforce? • What is the ROI of our investment in workforce? • Is our productivity improving? How do we rank? • Compared to the competition, are we leading or lagging? © Human Capital Management Institute 27 Wherefore Human Capital Standardization • 8/2014 hrfuture.net, by Wilson Wong, the Chair, the Human Capital Standards Committee at the British Standards Institute; Head of Insights and Futures at the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development (CIPD) • An aim is to provide a human capital management framework for any organization where the bulk of the value creation is located in its human capital • To enable traditional professional silos of HR, Finance… and so forth to work instead to best (sustainable) advantage, lower systematic risk to business continuity and raise professional accountability Smarter Annual Report • Descriptive and Prescriptive • “A Smarter Annual Report—How Companies are Integrating Financial and Human Capital Reporting” by Laurie Bassi, David Creelman, Andrew Lambert • The IIRC has already had a sizable number of large international companies following its guidelines for integrated reporting on a trial basis for several years • The Association of Chartered Certified Accountants survey of 200 CFOs indicates that half of the firms surveyed anticipate adopting integrated reporting within three years BSI’s Human Capital Standards • A diagnostic framework for organizations that are ready to develop more mature and transparent systems of governance • 100-day public consultations between Oct 1, 2014 and Jan 11, 2015 The Center for Talent Reporting • Home of Talent Development Reporting principles (TDRp) • Featuring: Securing upfront agreement on expected impact and goal alignment • Over 600 measures and 60 sample reports available A BTS Perspective • Integrated financial, strategic and human resource planning and decision making – model the business—from current state to future state – capture financial dashboards, employee and customer metrics and their major interdependencies – simulate decision making and weighing the risks and returns through intensive internal training Source: Dan Parisi, BTS