Due Diligence on Wind Energy Projects Site Assessment 30. October 2012, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam 1 of 36 Outline • • • • • 1) Introduction – Lahmeyer International GmbH 2) Site Assessment 3) Bankability criteria 4) On-site wind measurement 5) Wind farm planning and layout • • • • Distances Turbulences Turbine and site suitability Environmental restriction • 6) Wind studies • 7) Norms and guidelines • 8) Appendix 2 of 36 Lahmeyer International GmbH Overview Company Lahmeyer International GmbH (LI) Founding Year 1966 Headquarter Bad Vilbel, Germany Services Technical and economic planning and consulting services Fields of Activity - Energy - Hydropower and Water Resources - Transportation LI Group 6 Associated Companies Employees 2011 LI Group: 1500 Turnover 2011 LI Group: 150 million Euro Representatives in 50 Countries 3 of 36 Lahmeyer International GmbH Divisions & Departments Energy Division Hydropower and Water Resources Division Transportation GE 1 – Electrical Engineering GE 2 – Transmission and Distribution Interdisciplinary technical advisor…. GE 3 – Privately Financed Projects … covering the whole energy industry. GE 4 – Thermal Power Plants GE 5 – Renewable Energies I GE 6 – Renewable Energies II – Wind Energy GE 7 – Economics and Energy Efficiency 4 of 36 GE6 – Wind Energy Department 5 of 36 Global Presence LI has provided wind energy services in over 65 different countries around the world. 6 of 36 GE 6 – Wind Energy Division Key References • Wind measurements masts installed > 240 • Country wide wind mappings > 14 countries • Wind potential evaluations > 300 wind farms • CFD wind studies > 120 wind farms • Feasibility studies > 80 wind farms (> 3,300 MW) • Due diligence studies > 600 wind farms (>12,500 MW) • Construction supervision > 60 wind farms (> 1,700 MW) • Operation and maintenance supervision > 90 wind farms (> 2,800 MW) 8 of 36 GE 6 – Wind Energy Division Example: Zafarana IV Wind Park, Egypt Client New and Renewable Energy Agency (NREA) Main Data • Installed capacity: 80 MW • Number of wind turbines: 94 • Type of turbine: Gamesa: G52, 850 kW • Annual Energy Generation: 244 GWh p.a. Execution Services • Implementation Plan 2005-2010 • Tender procedure (incl. O&M Contract) • PPA and tariff elaboration • Construction Supervision • O&M Supervision 9 of 36 GE 6 – Wind Energy Division Example: Gangwon Wind Farm, Korea Client Unison Corporation, Korea Main Data • • • • Installed capacity: Number of wind turbines: Type of turbine: Vestas Annual Energy Generation: Execution 98 MW 49 V80 – 2.0MW 244 GWh p.a. 2004-2011 Services • • • • • • • Project Management Complete Planning and Engineering Full-time Construction Supervision Site Management Commissioning Quality Control and Assurance O&M Supervision 10 of 36 GE 6 – Wind Energy Division Example: Development of 3 Wind Farms in Sudan Client MINISTRY of ELECTRICITY AND DAMS (MED), SUDAN Main Data • Planned capacity: • Foreseen turbine type: 30 MW 800 – 2,500 kW Execution 2011-2014 Services • Update of Feasibility Studies: • • • • • • • • Assessment of the available wind data Wind farm siting Energy yield calculation Supervision of wind measurement campaign Electrical and civil wind farm layout Review of electrical conditions Economical and financial analysis Steering of CDM registration process • Design and Tendering • Preparation of Conceptual Design • Preparation of Tender Documents • Coordination of Tender process and contract negotiations • Construction supervision • Supervision of Construction 11 of 36 GE 6 – Wind Energy Division Example: Feasibility Study Wind Energy on Phu Quoc Island, Vietnam Client Electricity of Vietnam Power Company No.2 Main Data • • • 2 existing Diesel power stations: 7 MW (total installed capacity) O/HFO fired generation (end 2005): 5 MW Existing distribution network: OH; 22kV (MV); 0.4kV (LV) Forecasted total demand by the end of 2010: 50 MW Execution Services • Phase I: Feasibility Study • Wind Resource Assessment (Identification of the five most promising locations) • Site selection • Wind farm concept • Basic calculation of Specific Electricity Generation 2005-2006 • Phase II: Conceptual Design • Power demand analysis • Electrical grid qualitative analysis • Optimization of the wind farm layout • EIA and resettlement plan 12 of 36 Site Assessment Task of Site Assessment: • Measurement and analysis of wind conditions Benefit: Early knowledge may save your money in case of too low wind conditions Benefit: Knowledge about the risks, e.g. turbulences, extreme wind conditions • Annual energy production Benefit: Allows you to calculated the profitability of your wind project (in case FIT is available) or to calculate the PPA • Wind farm layout and micro-siting Benefit: Licensable layout, considering restrictions, e.g. environmental, setbacks towards roads, high voltage lines, railways, residents Benefit: Choice of most suitable turbine • Environmental impact assessment Benefit: Helps you to improve your layout in case results exceeds local laws • Country wide or area specific wind mapping Benefit: Know the hot spots 13 of 36 Site Assessment Goals of Site Assessment: • Knowledge about the wind conditions of your site • • • • • • Site suitability • • • • Wind speed Wind direction Turbulences Extreme wind condition Air density Choice of right turbine type Layout respecting restrictions Bankable and reliable wind and energy study Calculation of the income side and profitability 14 of 36 Site Assessment Bankability criteria • • • On-site wind measurements Modelling with proper models, like WAsP for simple terrain and CFD for complex Wind farm layout • • • • • • • Distances Restrictions Turbulence Available land Turbine suitability Site suitability Bankable wind resource and energy studies by independent consultants Bankable is what a bank accepts, even if they deviate from norms, guidelines and common practice 15 of 36 On-site wind measurement Why on-site measurement, instead of only modeling? • All models, regardless if static (WAsP) or dynamic (microscale CFD, meso scale atmospheric models) have inherent limitations. Especially extrapolation of wind speed to greater heights above ground is problematic and affected with high uncertainty. • Turbulence data and vertical profile at a complex site can only precisely be determined by measurement • Extreme wind speed calculation for turbine class assignment is more reliable with on site measured time series • Indispensable precondition for project financing • Additional data for temperature, humidity, pressure and solar radiation can be gathered • Reduction of uncertainty because of „real“ wind data • • lowers risk for banks and investors increasing of your project value 16 of 36 On-site wind measurement Key requirements to wind measurements • • • • Representative mast position In complex terrain more than one mast Measurement height minimum 2/3 of planned hub height State-of-Art sensors • • • • • • • • • • „First Class“ anemometers Individually calibrated anemometers Measurement of wind speed, wind direction, temperature Optionally air pressure, humidity, flow inclination Wind speed sensors (anemometer) at minimum three different levels; minimum distance 20 m Wind direction at two heights Mounting and mast design according to IEC 61400-12 Annex G Measurement documentation according to Measnet Minimum measurement period 1 year 17 of 36 Permanent monitoring during measurement to avoid major failures On-site wind measurement Quality of energy results stands or falls with the wind measurement More technical details in Annex 18 of 36 Wind Farm Planning and Layout • • • • • • • Defining site borders (land availability, etc.) Site access (nearby roads, complexity of the site, etc.) Exclusions areas (e.g. distance to suburban areas, houses, streets, etc.) Wind Resource Distances between the turbines Respecting restrictions (e.g. noise, shadow flicker, animals) Obstacles (Rivers, mountains, villages, roads, transmission lines and other obstacles) 19 of 36 Wind Farm Planing and Layout Distances Restrictions Turbulences Available land 20 of 36 Distances Rule of thumbs: • 3-5 rotor diameter distance 90° to the main wind direction • 5-10 rotor diameters distance in main wind direction • The larger the wind farm, the more distance should be kept • Orientation: Minimum 90 % park efficiency (=10 % wake losses) 21 of 36 Turbulence Source: http://f2e.de/de/services/beispiele/nachlaufstroemung-wea-2 Wake turbulence 22 of 36 Turbine suitability Choosing the right turbine for the site • • • • • • • • • IEC Classification Hub height, rotor diameter Transport possibilities Availability (supply) Service possibilities Restriction Track record Proven technology Reputation of manufacturer Site suitability • • • Assessment of IEC class and subclass Turbulence calculation Site suitability confirmation of manufacturer 23 of 36 Site Suitability Analysis • Qualified on-site wind measurement required • Assessment of IEC Classes: • Reference wind speed (Max 10min wind speed in 50yrs) • Average annual wind speed • Turbulence Intensity Wind class I II III Vref 50 m/s 42.5 m/s 37.5 m/s Vave 10 m/s 8.5 m/s 7.5 m/s Turbulence class at 15 m/s A 18.0 % 18.0 % 18.0 % B 15.7 % 15.7 % 15.7 % C 13.5 % 13.5 % 13.5 % • Calculation of turbulence intensity including: • Ambient and representative turbulence intensity • Effective turbulence intensity 24 of 36 Site Suitability Analysis • IEC III are made to low wind region • Huge rotor diameter compared to small rated capacity Examples: Manufacturer Turbine type Rotordiameter [m] Hub height [m] Rated Power [kW] Vestas V112 112 84, 94, 119, 140 3000 Vestas V126 126 119 3000 Nordex N117 117 91, 120, 141 2400 Gamesa G114 114 93, 120, 140 2000 Goldwind GW109 109 90 2500 Goldwind GW106 106 80, 90 2500 25 of 36 Site Suitability Analysis Power curve comparison IEC I and IEC III 3000 2500 Power [kW] 2000 1500 N90 2,5 MW IEC I N117 2,4 MW IEC III 1000 500 0 Wind speed [m/s] 26 of 36 Environmental restrictions Shadow Distance to housing areas Noise Distance to housing areas Wild Live Endangered Species – Bird trails Landscape Distance to National Parks, Monuments, etc. Country specific requirements 27 of 36 Wind park planning Wind park planning, available land and exclusion areas merged 28 of 36 Wind park planning Wind resource map 29 of 36 Wind park planning Wind park planning, micro siting at optimal positions 30 of 36 Bankable wind study Key requirements to a bankable wind study • • • • • • • • • Site visit Quality control of wind data Measure-Correlate-Predict (MCP)-Procedures (gap filling) Long-term correlation with suitable long-term references Vertical / Horizontal Flow Modelling Procedure Gross energy yield Loss estimation Uncertainty estimation Probability of Exceedance (PoE) 31 of 36 Relevant norms and guidelines • IEC 61400-12 Annex G • • IEC 61400-1 Ed.3: Wind turbines – Part 1: Design Requirements • • Specifies essential design requirements to ensure the engineering integrity of wind turbines Measnet: Evaluation of site specific wind conditions • • • • • • • • Mounting of instruments on meteorological mast Site inspection Relevant meteorological parameters Representativeness of wind measurements Measurement documentation Data evaluation and extrapolation Derived results Reporting Technical Guidelines for wind turbines Part 6: Determination of Wind Potential and Energy Yields • German guideline published by non-profit organization: Foerdergesellschaft Windenergie e.V. (FGW) 32 of 36 Q&A Thank you for your kind attention Contact: Anil Bindal Tel: +49 (0) 6101-55-1676 Email : anil.bindal@lahmeyer.de Website: www.lahmeyer.de 33 of 36 Q&A Appendix 34 of 36 On-site Wind measurement Sensors • State of the art: „ First Class“ cup anemometers, with high measurement accuracy and relatively high insensitivity regarding turbulence and low power consumption • Wind speed sensors individually calibrated in wind tunnel • Wind direction measured with wind vanes • Redundant wind speed (on same height above ground) and direction sensors (different heights) • Additional sensors for temperature, humidity, pressure and evtl. solar radiation well-designed poor-designed Source: IEA Expert group study: 11. Wind speed measurement and use of cup anemometry 35 of 36 On-site Wind measurement General recommendations for met mast siting Representative position within wind farm Covering of as much turbine positions as possible within representative radius Position free from obstacles within a radius of 20-30 times obstacle height Position with regular flow conditions • • • Not on or behind sharp ridges (recirculation zones) Not in depressions Preferably in flat area or on smooth shaped hills 36 of 36 On-site Wind measurement Placing of met mast(s) on the Wind farm site Questions to be answered: How many met masts are necessary? Which height of mast is necessary? Where to put the met mast(s)? Additional measurement of vertical profile necessary? 37 of 36 On-site Wind measurement Number of met mast(s) on the wind farm site Two terrain types can be distinguished! Simple terrain (Desert) - Minor Relief - Negligible influence of orography on wind speed - Wind conditions only influenced by roughness Complex terrain (Italian Alps) - Significant relief - Slopes with steepness > 30% - Wind conditions influenced by roughness and orography 38 of 36 On-site Wind measurement Representative radius of met masts Terrain type Minimum measurement height a. g. Representative radius of mast (max. distance of any wind turbine to mast) Simple Terrain: (Example Desert) 2/3 of hub height 10 km Complex Terrain: (Example Italian Alps) 2/3 of hub height (mast on plateau), hub 2 km height if mast on Could be even less in very ridge complex terrain Source: MEASNET-Evaluation of site specific wind conditions, 2009 - Significant relief - Slopes with steepness > 30% - Wind conditions influenced by roughness and orography 39 of 36 On-site Wind measurement Flow disturbances of tubular and lattice tower 40 of 36 On-site Wind measurement Example of State-of-the-Art Design: Top Sensors Source: IEC standard 61400-12-1 Alternative according to IEC 61400-12: no single top sensor, two sensors at same height mounted on booms. 41 of 36 Site Assessment Example for State-of-the-art design: Lower sensors 42 of 36