Hållbara transporter - här och nu! Jonas Strömberg Director Sustainable Solutions, Scania Climate Change Peak Oil Energy security Diesel shortage Air Quality Congestion Increase of transportation … Drivers for Sustainable Transport Global warming Effects so far beyond IPCC’s worst scenario Rise in temperature Changed weather patterns Ice loss, Diseases, Rising seas, Fresh water, etc. When, How often, Force, etc. Heavier rains Floodings, Landslides, Infrastructure, etc. More evaporation Droughts, Erosion, Deserts, Fires, etc. Drivers for sustainable transport End of cheap oil and local energy security Transportsektorns utmaning Oljeberoende, CO2-utsläpp, energieffektivisering Oil use in OECD 120 100 80 Other sectors 70% 60 40 Transport sector 20 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 Transport Sector to 97 % dependent on oil Drivers for Sustainable Transport Air Quality & Congestion Over 50 % of World’s population live in cities Air pollution and congestion is a major problem in most cities Why Sustainable Transport? Climate Change Air Quality Are you part of the problem? Or part of the solution? Oil & Energy Security Congestion 10 Sustainable transport - vision Many parallel roads Engine Rolling resistance Aerodynamics 1. Logistics 2. Driver 3. Vehicle technology 4. Biofuels Payload 50% 1970 2000 50% 2020 40 km of Light Rail 14 km of Elevated Rail 7 km of Metro/Subway What you get for US $ 1 billion Source: BRT Planning Guide 2007, The Institute for Transportation &/ Development Policy 426 km of Bus Rapid Transit 12 Scania is part of the solution! Commercially available renewable fuel alternatives Ethanol BioDiesel (RME) Biogas Synthetic diesel Methanol DME Hydrogen Handle & store + + + + + ? + + + + + - ? + ? + + ? ? + - ? + ? ? ? ? + - Comm. available Yes Yes Yes No No No No Production capacity Local Emissions CO2/GHG reduction In vehicle • 90 % of World’s biofuel • Local and global fuel • Sustainable volume production • 3rd party verification • Stable fuel • Average CO2 reduction 71 % (EU) • Many feedstocks • Similar to diesel • Fuel quality issues • Cold properties • Not for infrequent use • High and low blends • Average CO2 reduction 38 % (EU) 3 commercial sustainable biofuels • Local waste to fuel • Good for local fleets • Can be combined with CNG • Expensive infrastructure • Average CO2 reduction 73 % (EU) Ethanol and biodiesel the major tools to reach global energy security and CO2 goals! Biofuels 2020 - 2030 (IEA) Big reductions possible – here and now! from Annex V of the EU RED directive Biofuel production pathway Default GHG emission saving Sugar beet ethanol 52% Wheat ethanol, process not spec 16% Wheat ethanol, NG as process fuel 47% Wheat ethanol, straw as fuel 69% Sugar cane ethanol 71% RME (Biodiesel) 38% Waste oil FAME (Biodiesel) 83% Biogas from organic waste 73% Considerable reduction of greenhouse gases! Biofuels Could be done right – could be done wrong! Czech Rp Norway UK South Africa Ethanol buses & trucks Brazil Europe Poland Belgium UK Czech Rp France Scandinavia Sweden Norway Finland SLA Brazil Africa South Africa Asia/Oceania Australia Thailand Bus - Biodiesel Timber truck - Biodiesel Refuse - Biogas Bus - Biogas Biogas & biodiesel buses & trucks Coach - Biodiesel Truck - Biodiesel …energy efficiency and biofuels are supporting each other – not competing… Ethanol-hybrid buses tested in Stockholm 2009-10 Ökad energieffektivitet Marknadsdrivet - oavsett kravställning eller bränsletyp Euro litres/100 km 1 2 3 4 5 ’01 ’06 ’09 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 Bränsle är en stor del av operativa kostnaden. Bränsleeffektivitet är ett centralt konkurrensmedel. Alla effektiviseringar införs när de är kommersiellt gångbara. Stigande bränslepriser (alla bränslen) ’92 0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 ’96 2000 2010 2020 Minskning av lokala emissioner Sker via lagstiftning NOx PARTICLES 25 EU-direktivet om grön upphandling Syfte: Ta med energiförbrukning och utsläpp i upphandling. Räknar om dessa till ett monetärt värde. Men – om inte kravställaren lägger till egna krav mycket liten effekt på CO2 och lokala utsläpp. I praktiken enbart effekt på energieffektivisering! Hur tacklar vi den stora utmaningen här och nu? Projected CO2-emissions from road transport in EU Effektiv CO2-reduktion från transportsektorn Data from TREMOVE Operativ kostnad Lokala emissioner (PM, NOx) Lagstiftning (Euro 5 etc) Gröna upphandlingsdirektivet Ja Värderas mycket svagt Energieffektivitet Ja Ja Fossil CO2 Svag drivkraft Värderas mycket svagt Behov av ytterligare upphandlingskrav Ja Transportbranschens svåraste utmaning – kraftfull fossil CO2-reduktion – kan här och nu endast effektivt drivas genom egna funktionella upphandlingskrav… … Viktigt: Hur mycket CO2-reduktion får man per krona? Vad driver hållbara transporter här och nu? 31 Men det finns kommersiella lösningar som kan göra verklig skillnad – här och nu! Hållbara transporter - här och nu! Birger Pettersson Säljare Gröna Produkter, Scania-bilar Sverige 33 Men det finns kommersiella lösningar som kan göra verklig skillnad – här och nu! 35 Ecolution by Scania Main components Vehicle Driver training Driver follow-up Maintenance+ CO2 and energy optimised specification Customised energy efficient driving Coaching and continuous improvements Extra attention to fuel economy Consulting Ecolution by Scania - exempel CO2 Maintenance+ 34.1 l/100 km 31.2 l/100 km 28.4 Driver follow-up l/100 km biofuel Exempel från kund med long-haul diesellastbil Från: Till: Till: 3,4 liter/mil, medelhastighet 59.2 km/h (Ursprungsfordon) 3,1 liter/mil, medelhastighet 63.8 km/h (Optimerat nytt fordon) 2,8 liter/mil, medelhastighet 63.2 km/h (Förarträning) Ecolution Bra för miljön. Bra för affärerna. Här och nu. Brochure Stadsbuss, Distribution, Sopbil Fjärrtrafik, Coach , Anläggning Bioetanol, biodiesel, biogas Tumregler för biobränslen Biodiesel 40 Analysera var du får mest CO2-besparing för pengarna! 71% 73% 38% CO2-reduktion 2500000 +22% 2000000 +29% +3% 1500000 vehicle maintenance 1000000 fuel 500000 0 diesel Etanol Biogas biodiesel OBS - exempel! Varje fall är unikt – olika drivmedelsproduktion och driftfall. Scania hittar bästa lösning för varje kund! Ethanol buses in Stockholm since 1989 • All buses on biofuels in the inner city • Big effect on both air quality and CO2 • Cost efficient CO2 reduction! • ~ 500 ethanol buses • ~ 140 biogas buses • Over 6 tonnes of particles and 50 000 tonnes of CO2 reduced/year Public Transport Authority’s (SL) biofuel goals: • 2006 25 % • 2012 50 % • 2025 100 % Up to 90% less fossil CO2 with existing technology Tack! jonas.stromberg@scania.com birger.pettersson@scania.com 51 Optimised specification Fleet management No C200 analysis Engine Fuel: Biodiesel, biogas, ethanol Highly reflective glass Gear shifting programme with without Eco Openable windows with Acceleration control without with with Auxiliary heater without with Not in combination with AC EU Directive: 10 % biofuels 2020 To count, biofuels must meet EU’s sustainability criteria: Minimum level of greenhouse gas savings (35%, rising to 50% in 2017, and to 60% in 2018 for new installations) No raw material from high carbon land No raw material from highly bio-diverse land Other local certification schemes can qualify under EU umbrella Ethanol, biogas and biodiesel can fulfil the EU criteria.