IMO activities on control of GHG emissions from ships Eivind S. Vagslid Head, Chemical and Air Pollution Prevention Section Marine Environment Division - IMO International Maritime Organization (IMO) The IMO Convention was adopted in 1948 and IMO first met in 1959 A specialized agency of the UN 169 Member States Develop and maintain a comprehensive regulatory framework for shipping Safety, environment, legal matters, technical co-operation, security and the efficiency of shipping Safe, secure and efficient shipping on cleaner oceans! Ship emissions one of the last major ship pollutants to be regulated Work started at IMO in the late 1980’s Annex VI adopted in 1997, in force in May 2005, revised 2005 – 2008 Revised Annex VI in force 1 July 2010 Prohibits ODS in line with the Montreal Protocol Regulates exhaust gas: NOx & SOx (PM), and cargo vapours from tankers (VOC) Energy Efficiency or CO2 emissions not covered Resolution A.963(23) IMO Policies and Practices Related to the Reduction of Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Ships, adopted by Assembly 23 in December 2003 IMO’s GHG Work has three distinct routes: Technical - mainly applicable to new ships - EEDI, Operational - applicable to all ships in operation – SEEMP and EEOI, and Market-based Measures (MBM) – carbon price for shipping, incentive, may generate funds. A.963(23) requests MEPC to: − develop a work plan with timetable – (technical/operational culminated at MEPC 59, the work plan for MBIs culminates at MEPC 62 (Assembly 27)) − establishment of GHG baseline and develop CO2 indexing methodology Second IMO GHG Study 2009 2007 shipping CO2 emissions 870 million tons Tank International Aviation 1,9 % International Shipping 2,7 % Domestic shipping & fishing 0,6 % General Cargo Other Sectors 11,6 % Main Activity Electricity and Heat Production 35,0 % Transport 21,7 % Manufacturing Industries and Construction 18,2 % Bulk Other Energy Industries 4,6 % Unallocated Autoproducers 3,7 % Container RoRo /Vehicle Ropax Deep Ocean seagoing ships Cruise Regional Coastwise ships Other 0 50 100 150 200 250 CO 2 emissions (million tons / yr) A1FI 7000 6000 5000 4000 A1B A1T A2 B1 B2 Max Min 3000 2000 2030 2040 2050 A1B 2020 A1FI 2010 A2 0 2000 A1T 1000 B1 Significant increase predicted – 200 300% by 2050 in the absence of regulations Demand is the primary driver Technical and operational efficiency measures can provide significant improvements but will not be able to provide real reductions if demand continues 8000 B2 Future CO2 emissions: CO2 emissions from ships (million tons CO2 / yr) ' Scenarios for CO2 emissions from International Shipping from 2007 to 2050 in the absence of climate policies Distribution of the world fleet March 2008 ships above 400 GT Flag States Annex I Number of ships GT DW 33.4% 26.1% 22.82% Non-Annex I 66.6%) 73.9% 77.18% Lloyd’s Register Fairplay Article 1(b) of the IMO Convention Encourage removal of discriminatory actions …. promote the availability of shipping without discrimination …… not be based on measures designed to restrict the freedom of shipping of all flags ….; Reduction by Annex I flags only 80% 8,532 8,000 70% 7,042 7,000 60% 5,552 6,000 5,000 52% 50% 4,062 4,000 40% 35% 2,573 3,000 2,000 30% 20% 17% 10% 1,000 0 70% 0% current 0% 5% reduction 10% reduction 15 % reduction 20% reduction average emissions per ship emission reduction % emission reduction to current emissions average emissions per ship (tonnes) 9,000 Potential reductions of CO2 emissions DESIGN (New ships) Concept, speed & capability Hull and superstructure Power and propulsion systems Low-carbon fuels Renewable energy Saving of CO2/tonnemile 2% to 50%+ Combined 2% to 20% 5% to 15% 10% to 50%+ 5% to 15%* 1% to 10% Exhaust gas CO2 reduction 0% OPERATION (All ships) Fleet management, logistics & incentives Voyage optimization 5% to 50%+ Energy management 1% to 10% 1% to 10% 10% to 50%+ Energy Efficiency Design Index - EEDI neff M nPTI neff M nME fj PME (i ) CFME (i ) SFCME (i ) PAE CFAE SFCAE fj PPTI (i ) feff (i ) PAEeff (i ) CFAE SFCAE feff (i ) Peff (i ) CFME SFCME j 1 i 1 i 1 i 1 j 1 i 1 fi CapacityVref fw Requires a minimum efficiency level (grams CO2/tonne-mile) Will stimulate continued technology development Complex formula to accommodate most ship types and sizes Enables comparison of ships able to move the same cargo 10% reduction for ships built between 2015 – 2020 20% reduction for ships built between 2020 – 2025 30% reduction for ships built between 2025 – 2030 9 Ship type Cut-off limit Estimated CO2 emissions (tonnes) Contribution ratio from same ship type Contribution ratio to total CO2 emissions Bulk carrier 10,000 DWT 175,520,816 98.52% 15.70% Gas tanker 2,000 DWT 46,871,129 98.50% 4.19% Tanker 4,000 DWT 213,145,106 95.72% 19.06% Container ship 10,000 DWT 254,812,434 96.54% 26.07% General cargo ship (Including combination 3,000 DWT carrier) 87,274,101 90.00% 7.80% Refrigerated cargo carrier 18,767,755 97.64% 1.68% 796,391,341 96.11% 71.22% Total coverage 3,000 DWT --- 190 – 240 million tonnes CO2 reduced annually compared with BAU by 2030 Estimated CO2 emission reduction [mill tonnes]. 300 Annual tonnes CO2 reduced 250 200 150 100 50 2013 2015 2020 A1B 2025 B2 2030 Ship Energy Efficiency Management Plan - SEEMP Onboard management tool to include: Improved voyage planning (Weather routeing/Just in time) Speed and power optimization Optimized ship handling (ballast/trim/use of rudder and autopilot) Improved fleet management Improved cargo handling Energy management 12 Energy Efficiency Operational Indicator - EEOI An efficiency indicator for all ships (new and existing) obtained from fuel consumption, voyage (miles) and cargo data (tonnes) Actual Fuel Consumption Index Fuel Consumption in Operation = Cargo Onboard x (Distance traveled) EEDI and SEEMP Effects Scenario: A1B Low uptake 4000 EEDI 10% SEEMP 11% Technical measures 3500 Operational measures Alternative fuels 3000 Mt CO2 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 EEDI and SEEMP Effects Scenario: A1B Optimistic 4000 Technical measures 3500 Operational measures EEDI 39% Alternative fuels 3000 Mt CO2 2500 SEEMP 28% 2000 1500 1000 MBM 500 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 203 0 2035 2040 2045 2050 MEPC 61 – 27 September to 1 October Further progress made on all three elements of IMO’s GHG work Technical and operational measures Intersessional meeting on energy efficiency measures (June/July 2010) Regulatory text on EEDI and SEEMP finalized Adoption by MEPC 62 (July 2010)? In force 1 January 2013? Market-based measures Report by MBM Expert Group Intersessional meeting in March/April 2011 The Bali Plan of Action •Emissions from international shipping not covered separately but under “Mitigation” in the Bali Plan of Action. • The negotiations under the Bali Action Plan, should culminate at COP 15 (December 2009). • The mandate was extended to December 2010 with a view to the adoption of a post-2012 regime. • BAP is considering how all types of emissions will be treated in the future, including ship emissions. • Will ship emissions still be left to IMO? • UNFCCC 2-tracks: AWG-KP and AWG-LCA 17 Shipping under UNFCCC Consultations in Copenhagen and throughout 2010 were constructive and fruitful but have not lead to a single agreed text as there are three challenging obstacles: • Should a reduction target be set for international shipping, and if so, what should the target be and should it be set by UNFCCC or IMO? • Should the new UNFCCC treaty state how revenues from a marketbased instrument under IMO should be distributed and used (climate change purposes in developing countries)? • How should the balance between the basics principles under the two conventions be expressed in the new treaty text (UNFCCC and its fundamental CBDR principle, and on the other hand, the IMO constitutive Convention with its non discriminatory approach)? Thank you for your attention! For more information please see: www.imo.org 19