POLSKA AGENCJA INFORMACJI I INWESTYCJI ZAGRANICZNYCH Why Poland blossomed Sławomir Majman PAIiIZ President June, 2012 Poland – key facts Territory: 312 700 km2 – 6th place in the EU Population: 38.1 mn. – 6th place in the EU Currency: Polski Złoty (1 EUR ~ 4.19 PLN) GDP in 2010: 1 415 bln PLN (ca. 354 bln EUR ~3.99 EUR/PLN) GDP growth: 1.6% (2009), 3.9% (2010), 4.3% (2011) Membership: EU, NATO, OECD, WTO, Schengen Zone GDP changes in 2010 (Poland in 2011) FI 2009 NO 0,4% Poland was the only economy in the EU with growing 5,5% EE 3,1% LV -0,3% DK 2010 LT 1,3% 2,1% Poland was the third fastest growing economy in the EU IR -1,0% PL UK 1,3% 2011 NL 1,8% BE 2,1% DE +4,3%* 3,6% CZ 2,4% SK 4,0% Polish economy was growing twice faster than EU average FR AT 2,0% 1,6% HU 1,2% RO -1,3% IT 2012 Poland is expected to develop at the fastest pace in Europe (Europ. Commision) 3,1% SE 1,3% BG 0,2% ES PT -0,1% TR 1,4% GR -4,5% Source: Eurostat. *Data for 2011. 7,5% Strenghts: Image (I) Main advantages of Poland • Stable economic situation • Market growth • Size of internal market • Access to regional markets • Cooperation with suppliers and business • System of investment incentives Poland is 6th most attractive investment location in the world Source: UNCTAD, World Investment Prospects Survey 2009-2011. Strenghts: Image (II) World Investment Report 2011 Most attractive countries for FDI location Position in 2011 ranking (2010) Country 1 China 2 USA 3 India 4 Brazil 5 Russia 6 (12) Poland 7 Indonesia 8 Australia 9 Germany Poland is 6th most attractive investment location in the world Source: World Investment Report 2011 Strengths: Image (III) Poland in Financial Times FDI quality in industrial processing sector Poland– 3rd place in the World, 1st in Europe 600 500 400 300 200 100 China USA Poland Slovakia Brazil India Germany Russia France Canada UK Indonesia Czech Rep. Spain Hungary Vietnam Romania Malesia Thailand Mexico 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Source: Financial Times/ FDI Intelligence. Strenghts: Image (IV) 45% of transnational corporations that invest in developing countries point Poland as a location that offers the biggest opportunities of income increase in 3-year perspective Poland takes the 2nd place in Eastern Europe (after Russia) It is expected that emerging markets in next 7 years will be reposponsible for over 50% of global GDP Soruce: Fortresses and Footholds: Emerging market growth strategies, practices and outlook, Deloitte, Styczeń 2012 r. 7 Strenghts: Image (V) 6th place globally in most attractive FDI destinations ranking UNCTAD 3rd place globally in quality of processing industry Financial Times 3rd place in Europe in terms of pace of growth jobs created due to FDI Ernst & Young One organisation may be wrong, but a few of them must be right Strenghts: Image (VI) Poland is one of the fastest developing countries: • 5th in the World, • 1st in Europe. Source: The Economist 2011. Strenghts: Image (VII) Source: CB Richard Ellis, Wrzesień 2011. Strenghts: Image (VIII) 3rd location worldwide for business services Poland is on the 3rd place worldwide on the shortlist destinations of companies searching for the best location for financial, accounting advisory centers. Source: The Hackett Group, April, 2012. Strenghts: Image (IX) Strenghts: Image (X) „Poland is one of the world's few success stories since the fall of the Soviet bloc, a development that is particularly noticeable in comparison with other countries in Eastern Europe. Statistics show that hardly anyone in Europe works as much per year as the Poles, and that they are also happier on average than other Europeans.” Der Spiegel, (May 2012) The Miracle Next Door. Poland Emerges as a Central European Powerhouse „Poland is the most striking recent economic success story in the EU. It is the only country not to have fallen into recession in 2009 and is pegged to have the fastest GDP growth in the union this year, while the government of premier Donald Tusk enjoys a rare political stability, embarking on its second term of office. ” Financial Times (June 2012) Euro 2012 to highlight Poland’s success Strenghts: Image (XI) „Poland is already the champion of Europe - in terms of economic growth. An estimated GDP growth for 2011 was revised upwards by Brussels (to 4.3%) and is nearly three times bigger than the average of 27 (1.5 %). What saved the Polish growth during the 2009 crisis is that it is driven by strong domestic demand (population of 38 million).” Le Figaro (March 2012) La Pologne, championne européenne de la croissance „Poland is the South Korea of Europe – its economy moves faster than the German locomotive.” La Repubblica (June 2012) · „Poland remains, despite the crisis, the champion of economic growth. The state budget has doubled in the last decade, the country was well governed.” Die Welt (June 2012), Wunderkind Polen Strenghts: EU funding (I) Support areas Ca. 90 thousand projects have received support of EUR 14,2 bn. Certified payment application constituted 105% of allocations Strenghts: European funding (II) What have we reached? Examples Transportation • 779 km built/reconstructed expressways • 4 236 km built/reconstructed national and local roads • 635 km built/reconstructed railways Ecology • 13 000 km built/reconstructed sewerage, • 5 700 km built/reconstructed water supply pipelines • 275 built/reconstructed city water pipelines • 1 729 built/reconstructed home wastewater treatment plants Development of human capital 2,7 mln people (incl. 1,6 mln women) has received supprot from ESF Entrepreneurship and innovations 2 799 of SME received support for new implemented investments 17 science parks have received support Strenghts: European funding (III) Absorption of europan funding (mln EUR) Poland and EU member states Strenghts: Human Resources (I) Main university centres Students in given EU countries Tricity Szczecin Warsaw Poznan Lodz Wroclaw Cracow • 20 million of talented young people, who speak foreign languages • 2 mln students, over 400 000 graduates every year • 87% of students speak foreign languages • 50% of population is younger than 35 yrs. (in the group between 20 and 29 y.o. 1/3 studies) • there is 460 of higher education institutions in Poland Źródło: EIU, Eurostat. Strenghts: Human Resources (II) Foreign language capability by age groups 50% Language proficiency is one of the strongest points for Poland as a BPO center 40% 30% 20% Children learn foreign languages from the age of 6 10% 0% 18-24 25-34 English 35-44 German 45-54 Russian Source: CBOS Survey Foreign language capability among students 100% English is the most popular foreign language in Poland 80% 60% 40% Learning of foreign languages is obligatory in the Polish education system 20% 0% English Source: Randstad. German Russian French Spanish Strenghts: Human Resources (III) Attractiveness in terms of number of students Source: European Cities and Regions of the Future 2012/13, fDi Intelligence Strenghts: Size of the market Markets served: • Internal market of 38 mn people promień 1000 km 250 mln ludzi • Unlimited access to the EU market • Strong relations with CIS and Balkan states Stable economy: •GDP growth in Poland 3.9% 4.3% in 2011 •Main growth factors: domestic demand and foreign trade promień 2000 km 550 mln ludzi Leverages: State aid (I) I. CIT exemption in Special Economic Zone only available in Special Economic Zone (SEZ) II. Government grants through individual negotiations individually approved and granted by the Ministry of the Economy based on the Council of Ministers’ Resolution III. Real estate tax exemption subject to negotiation with the local authorities only in case if the investor is the owner of the building (provided by the Commune Council) IV. Cash grants available through EU Funds subject to negotiation with different managing institutions depending on the investment project key parameters All above presented instruments can be combined together however the total amount of state aid cannot exceed the maximum aid intensity Leverages: State aid (II) Special Economic Zones Special Economic Zone (SEZ) is an especially dedicated area where investors receive special benefits Major purpose of SEZ is to support local growth There are 14 SEZ + many subzones Cumulative area = 20 000 hectares SEZ will operate at least until 2020 Permits to conduct activities in SEZ are issued by the authorities of each SEZ Minimum investment: EUR 100,000 Possibility of including the land selected by an investor into SEZ Benefits from obtaining a permit to conduct activities in SEZ: eligibility for income tax exemption – a form of regional aid plot of land prepared for an investment project, available at a competitive price free assistance in dealing with formalities relating to the investment project Tax rates • Corporate Income Tax (CIT) rate: 19% • Personal Income Tax (PIT) rates: 18% & 32% • Value added tax (VAT) basic rate : 23% reduced rates : 8%, 5% export rate : 0% • Social Security Tax paid by employer between 17.48% and 20.41% FDI Flow to Poland 2011: EUR 10.2 bn 52% increase over 2010 Źródło: Narodowy Bank Polski, luty 2012 r. PAIiIZ projects in 2011 • Number of completed projects: 53 • Estimated value: EUR 1 171 mn. • New jobs: 10 284 • Key sectors: • BPO • automotive • electronics • Main source countries: • USA • Japan • France • China In April, 2012 PAIiIZ cooperated with 150 investors Source: PAIiIZ, 2011 Projects served by PAIiIZ in 2010 & 2011 2010 2011 % of 2010 reached in 2011 Number of the positively closed projects 50 53 106% Value of the positively closed projects (EUR m) 678.2 1 170.5 173% Declared work places 9 526 10 284 108% Source: PAIiIZ, February 2012. Projects currently served by PAIiIZ In April, 2012 PAIiIZ conducted 150 investment projects Value: EUR 5.0 bn New work places: 34 576 Key sectors: • BPO, R&D • Automotive • Machine • Elektronics Major source countries of investors: USA (34 projects, EUR 789 mn.) UK (18 proj. EUR 575 m.) Germany (15 proj. EUR 212 m.) People’s Republic of China (9 proj. EUR203mn.) Source: PAIiIZ, April, 2012 Strengths: Poland’s export growth (bn EUR in 2011) 8.7 United Kingdom 6.1 35.4 8.3 Germany France 8,3 Czech Republic 7.3 Italy Źródło: Narodowy Bank Polski, Gazeta Wyborcza, luty 2012 r. Russia Strength: FDI’s growth (I) Flash estimates for 2011 • Despite turmoil in the global economy, global FDI inflows rose by 17% in 2011, to $1.5 trillion, surpassing their pre-crisis average. • UNCTAD estimates that FDI flows will rise moderately in 2012, to around $1.6 trillion. • Developing and transition economies continued to account for half of global FDI in 2011 as their inflows reached a new record high. 2500 1500 Global FDI inflows (USD Billions) 1,969 2000 1,744 1,472 1,180 1,290 1,509 1000 500 0 pre-crisis average 2005-2007 2007 2008 2009 2010* 2011* Source: UNCTAD, January, 2012. Strength: FDI’s growth (II) Flash estimates for 2011 UNCTAD: •FDI inflow to Poland increased to USD 14.2 bn in 2011, •from USD 9.7 bn in 2010, •that means 46.7% increase. NBP: •FDI inflow increased to EUR 10.2 bn in 2011, •vs. EUR 6.7 bn in 2010, •that means 52% increase. Source: UNCTAD, January, 2012. Strength: FDI’s growth (III) Flash estimates for 2011 2500 World 1,969 2000 1500 1,744 1,472 1,180 1,290 1,509 1000 500 0 pre-crisis average 20052007 2007 2008 2009 2010* 2011* * Estimates Poland Source: UNCTAD, January, 2012. * Estimates Strength: localizations (I) Warsaw is one of the most atractive localizations for FDI in Europe Place City Country 1 London United Kingdom 2 Paris France 3 Vienna Austria … … … 20 Prague Czech Republic 21 Warsaw Poland 22 Barcelona Spain 23 Antverpia Belgium Warsaw third in the CEE region • After Moscow (4th place) and Prague (20th place) • Improvement by one position vs. former edition. Source: European Cities and Regions of the Future 2012/13, fDi Intelligence Strength: localizations (II) Warsaw in the top of the European business friendly institutions Place City Country 1 London United Kingdom 2 Moscow Russia 3 Brussels Belgium 4 Warsaw Poland 5 Prague Czech Republic 6 Paris France 7 Copenhagen Denmark 8 Stokholm Sweden Source: European Cities and Regions of the Future 2012/13, fDi Intelligence Strength: localizations (III) Top 10 region of the CEE region in terms of investment attractiveness Place City Country 1 Woj. Małopolskie Poland 2 Woj. Opolskie Poland 3 Kraj Środkowoczeski Czech R. 4 Kraj Pilzneński Czechy R. 5 Pardubice Czechy R. 6 Aglomeracja Śląska Poland 7 Zaporoże Ukraine 8 Obwód Stara Zagora Bulgaria 9 Region Tuapsiński Russia 10 Woj. Wielkopolskie Poland Źródło: European Cities and Regions of the Future 2012/13, fDi Intelligence Strength: localizations (IV) Top 10 cities in the CEE region in terms of attractiveness Place City Country 1 Katowice Poland 2 Kraków Poland 3 Poland Poland 4 Lwów Ukraine 5 Brno Czech Republic 6 Warszawa Poland 7 Ostrawa Czech Republic 8 Poznań Poland 9 Cheb Czech Republic Moskwa Russia 10 Źródło: European Cities and Regions of the Future 2012/13, fDi Intelligence Sectors of opportunities - Business Services Sector - Offshore haven in Poland Poland is still among top offshore locations in the world. The boom which has started over 3 years ago is not weakening at all. Today BBS in Poland is valued at over $ 3,6 bn, in the following 12 month is expected to grow up to $ 4.5 bn, increasing the employment from 80,000 to 100,000 in business services centers. ABSL Source: Association of Business Services Leaders, Offshore haven in Poland, April 2012 Pros and cons of Poland great location in the heart of Europe platform to reach consumers across Europe one of the largest and fastest growing markets in the EU its large and excellent, well-educated and eager-for-success labor force - quality of road and railway infrastructure - red tape - select labor market regulations Why Poland? Strategic location – gateway to the EU Economic and political stability Availability of skilled human resources Effective incentive system including EU-Funding Thank you for your attention 00-585 Warszawa, ul. Bagatela 12 tel. (+48 22) 334 98 00, fax (+48 22) 334 99 99 e-mail: post@paiz.gov.pl