An Evaluation of the Cost and Effectiveness of Commercial Oyster Aquaculture in the Chesapeake Bay as a Nutrient Control Strategy Alexander L. Miller Kurt Stephenson, Darrell Bosch, Daniel Kauffman, Bonnie Brown May 28, 2010 Nutrient Reduction Goals for the Bay Source: http://www.bayjournal.com/article.cfm?article=3691 Achieving Nutrient Reduction Goals • Current Focus is on Source Reductions – Point Sources (PS) and Nonpoint Sources (NPS) • 3 Es - “This particular effort is going to involve everyone doing everything everywhere,” » -EPA’s Bay Program Office. What else can we do? Move Beyond a Source Reduction Strategy • Increase Ecosystem Nutrient Assimilative Capacity Nutrient Assimilation is: - “The capacity of an ecosystem to reduce nutrients within the ambient water through biological processing, sequestration, and nutrient harvest” Oysters • Natures Water Filters – Healthy oysters consume algae, each one filtering up to 5 liters of water per hour. • “It is the oyster's eating habits that make it so important to its environment: it is a voracious filter feeder that performs several vital functions in the Bay's ecosystem” – Chesapeake Bay Program Where does the N go? Air (Nutrient Removal Function) N&P removed by harvesting bivalve biomass Water Nitrogen (N) Phosphorus (P) 1 Bivalves Phytoplankton 2 N in bivalve biodeposits (feces & pseudofeces) Sediment Source: Adapted from Newell Nitrification & Denitrification Processes Portion of total N converted to N2 gas thru denitrification Oyster Aquaculture and Nutrient Assimilation • Native oyster restoration plagued by disease, habitat loss, and predation. • Existing aquaculture operations are providing nutrient removal services for free, but currently limited in scope. • Expansion of oyster aquaculture limited by finances. Prices in shucked market will not support expansion. Bottom Line: May not receive additional nutrient assimilative services from oyster aquaculture for free! Questions at Hand -Is oyster aquaculture a cost effective means to remove nutrients? -How does oyster aquaculture nutrient removal compare to source reduction technologies? Is Oyster Aquaculture a Cost Effective Means to Remove Nutrients? What is a Nutrient Assimilation Credit and How will This Help? • Documented mass load (e.g. pounds) of nutrients removed from a water body. • Creation of demand for such credits creates incentives for additional revenue for oyster firms, past the sale of oyster ‘meat’ What is the cost of removing nutrients using oyster aquaculture? • Calculate what an oyster aquaculturists would need to charge for nutrient assimilation credits in order to meet a targeted rate of return on an investment. • Allows cost comparison with source reduction technologies. Oyster Aquaculture Firm Costs Oyster Seed Equipment Labor Oyster Growing Site Permitting Insurance Rate of Return (Revenues – Costs) Revenues Growth Rates Mortality (Disease) Predation Weather Oyster Production System Oyster Meat -Shucked -Halfshell Nutrient Assimilation Credits Bio-economic Model Oyster Production Function Revenue Input/Output Control Deck (N Credit $) Nutrient Removal Function Costs Oyster Aquaculture Production Function -Number of Oysters Stocked or Transferred into Each Stage -Mortality Rate -Number of Months in Each Stage (Growth Rate) -Number of Oysters to Market Commercial Oyster Aquaculture Costs Capital Investment Costs Annual Administrative and Permitting Costs Annual Operational and Management Costs Nutrient Removal Function 1 3” Oyster (gdw) Percentage (%) of N & P in Meat and Shell (g/gdw) lbs of N & P Removed by Harvesting Oysters in t 2 Biodeposition Rate ºC and mg/l (g/gdw/t) Oyster (gdw/t) Biodeposit Deposition (g/t) N in Biodeposits (g) Denitrification Removal (%) lbs of total N converted to N2 gas thru denitrification in t Oyster Aquaculture Firm Costs Oyster Seed Equipment Labor Oyster Growing Site Permitting Insurance Rate of Return (Revenues – Costs) Revenues Growth Rates Mortality (Disease) Predation Weather Oyster Production System Oyster Meat -Shucked -Halfshell Nutrient Assimilation Credits Illustration: Two Hypothetical, But Representative Oyster Aquaculture Enterprises Cage Float Cumulative Growout Mortality (%) 30% 25% Denitrification (%) 20% 30% Halfshell Price ($) $0.28 $.0.38 Percent (%) to Halfshell Market 90% 90% •IRR: 13.4% •IRR: 12% Nutrient Assimilation Credit Prices Under Different Economic Conditions Item Cage Float lbs of N removed Per Year 913 332 lbs of P removed Per Year 60 18 N Credit Price ($) to Achieve 15% Return (70% oyster sold in half-shell market) $48.33 $79.64 N Credit Price ($) to Achieve 15% Return (80% oyster sold in half-shell market) $30.04 $48.14 N Credit Price ($) to Achieve 15% Return (90% oyster sold in half-shell market) $11.75 $16.63 Similar Analysis with Different Assumptions $225.00 Nutrient Credit Price ($) Per lbs of N $200.00 $175.00 Price ($) Per Oyster $150.00 $0.24 $125.00 $0.26 $0.28 $100.00 $0.30 $75.00 $50.00 $25.00 $0.00 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% Cumulative Growout Mortality (%) Cage Assumptions: Denitrification: 20% % to Halfshell Market: 90% 60% How does oyster aquaculture nutrient removal compare to source reduction technologies? Comparison with Point Source, Urban Stormwater, and Non-point Source Costs Reduction Measure $ Per lbs of N Removed Point Source (WWTP) $9.60 - $15.60 Urban Stormwater (Sand Filter) $195 - $3,300 Agricultural Non-Point Source (BMP) $0.45 - $30.30 Comparison of Nutrient Removal Potentials • 1 M oysters sent to market: 377 to 1181 lbs of N removed (0% to 30% denitrification rates) • What would be needed to achieve equivalent reductions from nutrient sources: – Pounds removed from lowering 1 mgd of WWTP effluent from 8 mg/l to 4 mg/l of N – Treating ~200 Acres of Urban Stormwater Runoff – Adding BMPs to ~300 Acres of Pasture – Adding BMPs to ~70 Acres of Cropland Concluding Thoughts In Summary: • Oyster aquaculture is a potentially cost competitive water quality enhancement tool under some financial and environmental conditions. • Under a range of reasonable assumptions about oyster prices, mortality/growth, and input costs, new oyster aquaculture investments would be forthcoming for between $11.75 and $16.63 dollars per pound of N. • Ability to pay for water quality enhancement is currently limited given current policies, however, some options may exist. Acknowledgements • National Fish and Wildlife Foundation • Oyster Growers Questions?