Growth Management
& Draft Land Budget
Planning Services Department
June 24th, 2013
Overview
• Growing planning challenges
• Provincial Growth Plan policies aim to:
•curb urban sprawl,
•revitalize downtowns,
•create complete communities,
•protect natural resources and agriculture
•and increase housing and transportation
choices.
• Through compact oriented development
Land Budget Analysis - Policy Basis
Population Forecasts Hierarchy, 2031
GROWTH PLAN
Durham Region Share:
960,000 people
DURHAM REGION
OFFICIAL PLAN
Clarington Share:
140,340 people
CLARINGTON
OFFICIAL PLAN
forecasts
Courtice
36,600
Bowmanville
64,200
Newcastle
19,300
Orono/Rural:
20,300
Durham Region Official Plan Forecasts
Clarington
2011
2031
Growth
% Change from
2011 to 2031
Urban Population
72,705
124,685
51,980
72%
Rural Population
15,275
15,655
380
2%
Total Population
87,980
140,340
52,360
60%
Households
30,225
52,120
21,895
72%
Employment
22,575
38,420
15,845
70%
Designated Greenfield and Built-Up Areas
A minimum of 40 % of
residential building permits
within the Built-Up Area
Built-Up Area
Designated Greenfield Area
Designated
Built Boundary
Greenfield
Area
Urban Boundary
Built-Up
Built-Up AreaArea
Vis
Intensification within Built-up
Built-Up Area
Area 6,181 Units
Designated Greenfield Area
32%
Built Boundary
Urban Boundary
Built-Up Area Built-Up Area
Visualization of Built Boundary
ualization of Built Boundary
Greenfield density
50 people/jobs per ha
Greenfield
Development
13, 462 units
68%
Forecasted Units to 2031
Intensification
Greenfield
Intensification 6,181 units
Target
Greenfield
Forecast
13, 462 units
Committed and
Proposed
3,039
49%
Committed and
Proposed
6,267
47%
Remaining
Intensification
3,142
51%
Remaining
Greenfield
7, 195
53%
Number of years current committed and proposed
(9,247) units will last
6 years
5 years
11 years
15 years
19 years
13 years
3 years
3years
13 years
10 years
There are no easy ways to Land Budget
"This is that critical point in the planning process where the planning staff hashes
out the issues so that they are all on the same page."
Current Supply of Gross Developable Land (ha),
as of January 2013
Total remaining units: 10,337
274 ha
Total land available: 665 ha
Hectares (ha)
194 ha
78 ha
67 ha
47 ha
5 ha
Land Supply vs. Demand to 2031
Hectares (ha)
Built-Up Area
Land Supply vs. Demand to 2031
Hectares (ha)
Greenfield Area
Courtice
URBAN
STRUCTURE
Growth
Forecasts 2031
Population
11,700
Intensification
units
2,055
Greenfield
units
2,643
Total units
4, 698
Bowmanville
URBAN
STRUCTURE
Growth
Forecasts 2031
Population
28,100
Intensification
units
3,602
Greenfield
units
7,763
Total units
11, 365
Newcastle
URBAN
STRUCTURE
Growth
Forecasts 2031
Population
Intensification
units
11,000
524
Greenfield
units
3,056
Total units
3, 580
Managing Growth:
Secondary Plan Policies and Phasing
• Development of Greenfield Areas that are greater than approximately
20 hectares shall only proceed in accordance with an approved
Secondary Plan.
• Clarington will also have to develop more detailed phasing policies to
guide the Secondary Planning process including:
• the consideration of the amount of available land
• infrastructure and public facilities costs
• fiscal capacity of the municipality
Challenges
• Accommodating intensification will be a challenge for Clarington
• Municipality will need to more than double its Intensification rate to meet the
Region’s targets
• community acceptance and support for compact development
• Large portion of the committed Greenfield (draft approved and proposed)
development does not have sufficient services
Overall....
• Clarington has sufficient land to accommodate the Regional Official Plan
population forecasts and intensification targets for the Community.
• Adoption of sustainable land development principles and building practices is
vital to reducing the potential environmental pressures of growth.
• There will be a need for strong urban design polices to ensure community
character is protected and enhanced.
Growth Management
& Draft Land Budget
Planning Services Department
June 24th, 2013