Algal Biofuel Pathway Baseline Costs

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Algal Biofuel Pathway Baseline Costs

Algae Peer Review

Annapolis, MD

Andy Aden, NREL

Ryan Davis, NREL

April 7, 2011

This presentation does not contain any proprietary, confidential, or otherwise restricted information

NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC.

Goals and Objectives

NREL, Sept 15, 2010, Pic #18071

• The goal of this task is to develop baseline technoeconomic analysis and user models for algal biofuels

• Serves as a benchmark against which process variations can be compared

• This task directly supports the Biomass Program by assisting in the development of baseline costs and future cost targets

• Leverages decades of experience in cost-driven R&D for other biomass conversion platforms (biochemical, thermochemical, etc)

• Using technoeconomic analysis (TEA) and modeling, NREL provides direction, focus, and support to the biomass program and algae-related projects, guiding R&D towards program goals

• Algae technologies under development can be incorporated into the models in order to quantify their economic impact

• Experimentally verified data will be used in the models to quantify progress towards program goals

• Sensitivity analysis is used to quantify the impact of key variables on overall economics

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Timeline

June 1, 2010

Sept. 30, 2014

~ 25% Complete

Budget

FY10: $100,000

FY11: $125,000

FY12: $200,000

No ARRA Funding

Overview

Barriers

Ft-A. Feedstock Availability and Cost

Ft-B. Sustainable Production

Bt-K. Biological Process Integration

NREL, March, 2008, Pic #15689

Partners

DOE OBP HQ and GO

Algae Project PIs

National Labs (INL, PNNL, ANL, etc)

Industrial Partner(s) (undisclosed)

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Project Overview

• Multiple algae economic studies have been conducted, with enormous variation

• This project leverages several prior research activities:

• Aquatic species program (ASP)

• DOE Biomass Algal Roadmap

• Analysis conducted for EPA under RFS II

• Conceptual models developed from scratch

• Phased approach:

1) Develop baseline models using best available data

2) Peer review models

3) Incorporate technologies under development

4) Assist in cost target development

$50

$45

$40

$35

$30

$25

$20

$15

$10

$5

$0

Triglyceride Production Cost

Average = $19.25 USD/gal

Variability is wide; Std. Dev. =

$28.8 USD/gal

Courtesy Amy Sun (Sandia)/ Phil Pienkos (NREL)

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Approach

• Rigorous process models developed in Aspen Plus for material and energy balances

• Capital and operating costs developed in Excel ®

• User models developed in Excel ® that approximate Aspen output

• Dissemination of user models and documentation for peer review

• Cost data derived from vendors, cost databases, literature, etc.

• Financial assumptions consistent with other platforms

R&D

Conceptual

Process

Design

Material and

Energy Balance

Capital and

Project Cost

Estimates

Economic

Analysis

Environmental /

Sustainability

Analysis

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Accomplishments

Status:

• Completed milestone report 12/15/10

• Developed Excel spreadsheet models

• User-friendly, generally good agreement with Aspen models

• Submitted publication to peer reviewed journal for autotrophic pathways (Applied Energy)

Scope of analysis:

•3 Pathways

• Autotrophic (“AT”) via open pond

• Autotrophic via photobioreactors (PBRs)

• Heterotrophic (“HT”) via fermentation tanks

• Process boundary carries through to oil upgrading (hydrotreating)

• Green diesel blend stock

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Design Configuration: Autotrophic

0.05% (OP)

0.4% (PBR)

CO2

Makeup water

Algae

Growth

Settling

1%

Flocculent

10%

DAF

Makeup solvent

20%

Centrifuge

Lipid

Extraction

Recycle water

Blowdown

Solvent recycle

Phase

Separation

Spent algae

+ water

Anaerobic

Digestion

Makeup nutrients

Recycle nutrients/ water

Sludge

Solvent

Recovery

Biogas for energy

Raw oil

Hydrogen

Offgas

Naphtha

Upgrading

(hydrotreater)

Diesel

Flue gas from turbine

Power

Green = algae cell density

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Design Basis: Autotrophic Cases

Growth stage

•Open ponds:

Unlined raceways

Paddle wheel mixing

20 cm depth

• CO

2

• CO

2 feed via sumps, spargers scrubbed from “nearby” source

•PBR

Tubular design

8 cm ID x 80 m sections

• Plastic tubes (“low” cost)

Temp control via sprinklers

Shen et al (2009), “Microalgae mass production methods”

Bryan Willson (2009),

“Solix Technology Overview”

Harvesting

•Bioflocculation (1°)  flocculation/DAF (2 °)  centrifuge (3 °)

Concentrates algal biomass to 20% solids

Extraction

•Homogenization + butanol solvent extraction

• Proven technologies in keeping with “baseline” emphasis

Extraction is currently a limiting step for scale-up due to scarcity of public data (DOE Algal Biofuel Roadmap)

Spent biomass utilization

•Anaerobic digestion

Improves sustainability: generates power coproduct, enables nutrient recycle

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Design Configuration: Heterotrophic

Sugar stream

Algae

Growth

Vent

5%

Concentration

(centrifuge)

Makeup solvent

20%

Lipid

Extraction

Air

Water/solubles

Recycle nutrients/ water

Solvent recycle

Phase

Separation

Spent algae

+ water

Anaerobic

Digestion

Makeup nutrients

Sludge

Solvent

Recovery

Raw oil

Hydrogen

Offgas

Naphtha

Upgrading

(hydrotreater)

Diesel

Biogas for energy

Flue gas from turbine

Power

Green = algae cell density

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Design Basis: Heterotrophic Case

Aerobic fermentation

• Carbon source from cellulosic sugars (corn stover)

• Leverage NREL expertise, design report models

• 50% lipid baseline (vs 25% for autotrophic)

• NREL model: 20% saccharification solids =

110 g/L sugars

• 50% algae yield = 50 g/L algae

• 4 day batch time

• 1,000 m 3 /tank

• Concentration via centrifuge from 5%  20%

• All other downstream units equal to AT cases

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Design Assumptions

Autotrophic

Scale of production [MM gal/yr algal oil]

Algae productivity

Algal cell density [g/L]

Lipid content [dry wt%]

CO

2 consumed [lb/lb algae]

Operating days/yr

Heterotrophic

Scale of production [MM gal/yr algal oil]

Sugar source

Algal cell density [g/L]

Lipid content [dry wt%]

Algae productivity [g algae/g sugar]

% Sugar conversion

Operating days/yr

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Open pond

10

25 [g/m 2 /day]

0.5

25%

1.9

330

Base case

PBR

10

1.25 [kg/m 3 /day]

4

25%

1.9

330

Base case

13 (1,000 dry tonne/day corn stover)

Corn stover via NREL cellulosic ethanol design report model

50 (set per sugar model @20% saccharification solids)

50%

0.5

95%

350

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Baseline Cost Results

Minimum Fuel Selling Price

$25

$20

$15

$10

$5

$0

$8,52

OP

(TAG)

$18,10

PBR

(TAG)

$9,84

$20,53

OP

(Diesel)

PBR

(Diesel)

Baselines show high costs of today’s currently available technologies, opportunities for cost reduction

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$21

$9

$24

Direct Installed Capital, MM$ (Ponds)

$22

$30

$12

$41

Ponds

CO2 Delivery

Harvesting

Extraction

Digestion

Inoculum System

Hydrotreating

OSBL Equipment

Land Costs

Operating ($/gal of product) $23 $16

Total = $195MM

Capital ($/gal of product)

$108

Direct Installed Capital, MM$ (PBR)

$522

PBR system

CO2 Delivery

Harvesting

Extraction

Digestion

Inoculum System

Hydrotreating

OSBL Equipment

Land Costs

Total = $631MM

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Results: Land, Resource, Cost Assessment

Yield

Lipid production [MM gal/yr]

Diesel production [MM gal/yr]

Land Use:

Pond/PBR/Fermentor land use [acre]

Total plant land required [acre]

Resource Assessment:

Net makeup water demand [MM gal/yr] 1

-Water evaporated [gal/gal lipid]

-Water blowdown to treatment/discharge [gal/gal lipid]

Fresh CO2/ sugar demand [ton/yr] 2

Power coproduct [MM kwh/yr] 3

Naphtha coproduct [gal/yr]

System cost:

Total capital cost (direct + indirect) [$MM]

Net operating cost [$MM/yr]

-Coproduct credit [$MM/yr]

1.

Includes evaporation (consumptive loss) plus blowdown (treated offsite)

2.

After recycling turbine flue gas + digestion effluent

3.

After considering all ISBL facility power demands; includes CO

2 capture step (autotrophic).

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Open pond

10.0

9.3

4,820

7,190

10,000

570

430

145,000

80

340,000

$390

$37

$6

PBR

10.0

9.3

4,820

7,190

3,000

250

50

145,000

100

340,000

$990

$55

$7

Heterotrophic

13.1

12.2

13

Sensitivity Analysis: Autotrophic

$14

$12

$10

$8

$6

$4

$2

$0

$20

$18

$16

Cost of TAG: Alternative Growth Cases

1.25 g/L/day

25% TAG

25 g/m 2 /day

25% TAG

40 g/m 2 /day

50% TAG

60 g/m 2 /day

60% TAG

Operating ($/gal of lipid)

Capital ($/gal of lipid)

Land ($/gal of lipid)

2.0 g/L/day

50% TAG

3.0 g/L/day

60% TAG

OP

(base)

OP

(aggressive)

OP

(max growth)

PBR

(base)

PBR

(aggressive)

PBR

(max growth)

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Sensitivity: Ponds

Open Pond Sensitivities

Lipid content (50 : 25 : 12.5%)

Growth rate (50 : 25 : 12.5 g/m2/day)

Operating factor (365 : 330 : 250 days/yr)

Nutrient recycle (100% : base : 0%)

Water supply (undergound : utility purchase)

Inoculum system (not required : required)

Nutrient demand (source 1 : base : source 2)

Flocculant required (15 : 40 : 80 mg/L)

CO2 cost basis ($0 : $36 : $70/ton)

CO2 delivery (pure CO2 : flue gas)

Water recycle (100% : 95% : 80%)

Evaporation rate (0.15 : 0.3 : 0.6 cm/day)

More “bang for the buck” targeting lipids vs growth rate

(Realistically, cannot maximize both simultaneously)

-$6 -$4 -$2 $0 $2 $4 $6 $8

Change to TAG production cost ($/gal)

[1] Benemann, J. et al., “Systems and Economic Analysis of Microalgae Ponds for Conversion of CO

2 to Biomass.”

Final Report to the Department of Energy, Pittsburgh Energy Technology Center (1996) DOE/PC/93204-T5

[2] Hassannia, Jeff. “Algae Biofuels Economic Viability: A Project-Based Perspective.” Article posted online: http://www.biofuelreview.com/content/view/1897/1

$10

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Sensitivity: PBR

PBR Sensitivities

Lipid content (50 : 25 : 12.5%)

Growth rate (2.5 : 1.25 : 0.63 kg/m3/day)

Tube cost basis (-50% : $1.05/ft : +50%)

Operating factor (365 : 330 : 250 days/yr)

Nutrient recycle (100% : base : 0%)

Nutrient demand (source 1 : base : source 2)

Flocculant required (15 : 40 : 80 mg/L)

CO2 cost basis ($0 : $36 : $70/ton)

Inoculum system (not required : required)

Water supply (undergound : utility purchase)

-$10

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Tube cost = 50% of total production cost

-$5 $0 $5 $10

Change to TAG production cost ($/gal)

$15 $20

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Relevance

• The baseline models and analysis are supporting a number of program activities and milestones

• For example: GREET algae analysis

• Models are important for development of cost-competitive biofuels from algae

• Baseline results demonstrate that for systems modeled, fuels production is not yet cost competitive with current fossil fuels

• High-value coproducts required to improve economics

Significant R&D required

• The analysis thus far shows primary cost drivers are lipid content and growth rate

• This analysis can serve a wide variety of stakeholders

• Industry (analysis facilitates communication between industry and DOE)

Research community

• Decision makers

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Success Factors

Success Factors:

– Maintaining close interaction with researchers is crucial

– Transparent communication of all assumptions and results to ensure proper use of data

– Buy-in from all stakeholders is critical

– Common financial assumptions for program

Challenges

– Much of the current model data is derived from literature. Experimentally verified data will be more meaningful

– Several process unit operations possess high degree of uncertainty

Harvesting

• Extraction

– There are many possible combinations of process technology and configuration not currently modeled

– Scalability of technologies

– Sustainability (e.g. water and resource requirements)

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Future Work

• Publication

• Incorporate technologies under development into models

• Assist DOE in target development for algae

• Sustainability analysis

• Analyze feasibility of using wastewater / alternative water sources

• Investigate lower-cost materials for PBR

• Comparative analysis for heterotrophic vs. autotrophic over time

• Investigate process alternatives

NREL, Sept, 2010, Pic #18229

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Summary

• Rigorous algae baseline technoeconomic analysis and user models have been developed for the Biomass Program and algae community

3 pathways: open pond, photobioreactor, heterotrophic

• Models currently calculate high costs for algal biofuels

• Primary cost drivers are lipid content and yield

• Models will be useful in assisting DOE with target development and research interaction

• Thank you to….

• Biomass Program Algae Team (Valerie Sarisky-Reed, Joyce Yang, Ron Pate, Joanne

Morello, Zia Haq, Leslie Pezzullo, Paul Bryan, Brian Duff, Alison Goss Eng, Christine

English, Dan Fishman)

• NREL researchers: Phil Pienkos, Lieve Laurens, Eric Jarvis, Eric Knoshaug, Mary Biddy,

David Humbird, Abhijit Dutta, Danny Inman

• National Laboratory partners: (INL, PNNL, ORNL, ANL, SNL)

• NAABB (Jose Olivares)

• Industrial partners

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Publications

Ryan Davis, Andy Aden, Philip T Pienkos. Techno-Economic Analysis of Autotrophic Microalgae for Fuel Production. Submitted for publication to Applied Energy (2011, in review).

Davis, Ryan. November 2009. Techno-economic analysis of microalgae-derived biofuel production. National Renewable Energy

Laboratory (NREL)

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