CLUVA Climate Change and Urban Vulnerability in Africa Nathalie Jean-Baptiste, UFZ, Leipzig, Germany Fatemeh Jalayer AMRA, Naples, Italy Ethiopian Regional Conference on Capacity Development for Integrating Disaster Risk Management into Urban Settings in Africa October 11, 2012, Addis Ababa A Linear modular approach to vulnerability assessment A modular approach to vulnerability and risk assessment Emission Climate Change Climate change scenarios Hazard Assessment Down-scaling climate change scenarios Hazard assessment Incorporating exposure Risk assessment Risk-based strategic climate change urban adaptation Exposure Risk Very High-Resolution Climate Change Data Increases in rainfall Increase in temperatures Slide 3 Flood Hazard Assessment Understand the hazards and how climate change will effect them Slide 4 Assessing Vulnerability of Informal Settlements B L Analyze local vulnerability based on flood hazard assessments Slide 5 Development of strategies to enhance resilience of urban areas towards climate change Understand the governance situation, develop mitigation strategies Slide 6 Integrated vulnerability assessment approach An approach that considers vulnerability as a multifaceted entity Vulnerability rather the ‚starting-point‘ for developing adaptation strategies (OʼBrien et al. 2007) o Emerges from development studies and hazard and disaster o A product of different realities and causes external to natural hazards o Examines current vulnerabilities and not prospective impacts Contextual vulnerability Pressure-and-Release Model (Blaikie et al. 1994) Space of Vulnerability (Watts & Bohle 1993) Seite 8 Slide 10 Vulnerability assessment Frameworks and Models Help Identify the vulnerable systems and population segments most affected • • Development focused Family of approaches and methods that enable locals (rural or urban) to express, enhance, share and analyse their knowledge of life and conditions Natural hazards Community-Based Participatory Research (CBPR) (Hatch et al.,1993) • • • Involves the community in research process Combines knowledge with action Seeks social change Health Participatory Climate Change adaptation appraisal (PCCAA) • Climate Change (Moser, 2009) • Mechanism through which the perception of severe weather impact on household and community asset is highlighted Indentify current policies and institutions that help or constraints adaptive capacity Participatory Rural Appraisal (PRA) (Chambers,1983) Participatory Action Research (PAR) (Chambers and Conway,1992) Seite 11 Stakeholders mapping and identifying the role of actors in adaptive strategies Seite 12 Climate Change and Urban Vulnerability in Africa Multidisciplinary & Interdisciplinary vulnerability knowledge production The CLUVA project is an integrated effort between seven European institutions and six African research establishments. CLUVA develops context-centered methods to assess vulnerability and to increase knowledge on managing climate related risks such as floods, droughts and sea level rise. www.cluva.eu Seite 13 CLUVA Partners African European partners: partners: AMRA, Analysis and Monitoring of Environmental Risks, Italy UGB, Project Université coordinator Gaston Berger, Sénégal UY1-ENSP, KU, University Ecoleofnationale Copenhagen, Supérieure DanishPolytechnique Centre for Forest Université LandscapeYaoundé and Planning, 1, Cameroun Denmark UO, UM,University UniversityofofOugadougou, Manchester, Burkina School ofFaso Environment and ARU, Development, Ardhi University UK Tanzania, Tanzania EIABC TUM, AAU, Technical Ethiopian University Institute of Munich, of Architecture, GermanyBuilding CMCC, Construction Euromediterranean and City Development, Center ofEthiopia Climate Changes, Italy CSIR, UFZ, Council Helmholtz forCentre Scientific forand Environmental Industrial Research, Research,South Germany NIBR, Africa Norwegian Institute of Urban and Regional Research, Norway Slide 14 Cluva Case-Study Cities CLUVA Objectives • Develop methods and knowledge to be applied to African cities to manage risks related to climate change reduce vulnerabilities improve cities’ coping capacity and resilience towards climate changes Slide 16 An Outlook to CLUVA Improving the resilience of the urban systems Climate change and natural hazard models Vulnerability and risk assessment towards climate change Indentification hotspots Understanding of theurban governance structure Developing Vulnerability assessment climate for informal change scenarios settlements Developing different land-use indicators Downscaling Maps of urbanof climate morphology change types scenarios Development innovative land use and governance Flood Future hazard urban scenarios strategies to enhance resilience of urban areas Desertification Identify multi-dimensional scenarios conditions towardsthe climate change .surrounding vulnerable groups .A multi-risk framework Slide 17 Thank you! Slide 18