Measuring and mitigating media concentration

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Measuring and mitigating
media concentration
Richard Collins
Professor of Journalism
Department of Journalism and
Centre for Law, Justice and Journalism
City University London
[email protected]
• Draws on 2013 article in Telecommunications
Policy co-authored with Martin Cave - HHI
data presented today based on Martin’s work.
• Why are we worried?
• What’s changing?
• Measurement issues.
• Remedies?
2
Pervasive concern.
• 2013 House of Lords Select Committee enquiry and DCMS
enquiry.
• UK review by Ofcom 2012.
• Australia reviews 2001 (updated in 2002, 2003 and 2006) and
2007.
• Canada new media ownership rules 2008.
• European Commission Committee on Freedom and Pluralism
of the Media 2011 (reported Jan 2013).
• Germany, Kommission zur Ermittlung der Konzentration im
Medienbereich reviews commercial broadcasting to secure
diversity of opinion (Meinungsvielfalt)
• USA four yearly reviews of media ownership (latest 2010).
3
Scholarly attention.
• Special section of the International Journal of
Communication (IJOC 2010).
• Czepek et al (2009).
• Doyle (2002).
• Harcourt (2005).
• Hulten et al (2010).
• Meier (2005).
• Iosifides (2010).
• Etc.
4
Why the concern?
• Why now? The advertiser-supported model
(which sustained print media in particular) is
under threat, leading to closures and merger.
• Why important? Mass media role in
democracies – to influence political behaviour
and hold power to account.
• Why worry? Regulation less and less effective,
government control of entry to media markets
declines (broadcasting satellites, the internet
etc).
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•
Assumption – concentration
diminishes diversity and quality.
True?
Generally untested empirically - see Milyo for FCC: “local
television newscasts for cross-owned stations contain on
average about 1-2 minutes more news coverage overall, or
4%-8% more than the average for non-cross-owned
stations.………. Newspaper cross-ownership is also associated
with more candidate coverage, more candidate speaking time
and more coverage of opinion polls………With regard to the
partisan slant of news coverage, there is little consistent and
significant difference between cross-owned stations and other
major network-affiliated stations in the same market” (Milyo
2007: npp).
• Economic theory (and some practice) suggests that a rational
owner likely to make monopoly product “impartial” and
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differentiate diverse products.
Issues.
• Law and regulation focused on “legacy media”.
• Legacy media in decline - > closure, merger,
concentration.
• Partial substitution by “new” media – less subject to
regulation, posing problems of exercise of jurisdiction,
possible premature regulation etc.
• New loci of control: eg subscription management
systems, encryption and API protocols, transmission
and distribution platforms etc.
• New media not (yet) a substitute for legacy media.
• Role for “positive” rather than “negative” regulation to
respond to market failure.
7
State of play.
• Trade balance figures for the newspaper
publishing industry in the EU27 show…
between 1995 and 2007… an average
negative growth rate of 10.6% (Leurdijk
et al 2012: 9).
• A clear trend towards ownership
concentration in the (TV) industry (Sanz
2012: 6).
8
Internet and ads. Ofcom 2010: 214.
9
(Relative) decline of legacy sector.
10
Classic and new sectoral
characteristics.
• High first copy/low second copy cost structure of
the sector - > high returns to economies of scale
(and scope) but dramatic loss of profitability once
“tipping point” of cost recovery reached.
• Intermediaries controlling bottlenecks (Apple,
Amazon, Google etc).
• “What is new is a significant change in the
dynamics of the sector…. Power is shifting
towards the downstream, away from the
upstream, from the production side of the media
toward the distribution side” (Simon 2012: 16).
11
UK rules (CA 2003 & Enterprise Act
2002)
• 20/20 rule – no newspaper group with more than
20% share of newspaper consumption can own more
than 20% of a Channel 3 (ITV) or becoming the
Channel 3 nominated news provider licence.
• Prohibition on classes of owners holding
broadcasting licences – notably advertisers, political
& religious groups and PSBs.
• Secretary of State can trigger public interest test re
newspapers or broadcasting (only).
• Ofcom reviews rules periodically (2009 reduced
regulation of local media, radio).
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Measuring
concentration/pluralism.
• European Commission’s Media Pluralism Monitor
(KUL 2009).
• 166 indices, 75 possible threats and 43 distinct risks!
• one of the 166 individual indicators, “Political bias in
the media”, requires a “Quantitative content analysis
for measuring the proportion of actors representing
different political viewpoints and groupings by
dividing them into 4 groups: government, governing
parties, opposition parties, and other political and
ideological groupings” (KUL 2009: 46).
13
Equal weight? Defining the
market?
• MPM attributes “equal weight to all indicators” (KUL
2009: 26): are magazines, radio, television and
newspapers equivalent and equal? Book publishing
companies, web sites, cable stations etc? (KUL 2009: 78).
• What’s the market? Does the Yorkshire Post operate in
the same market as The Times? Is BSkyB in the same
market as ITV?
• Measuring the right things – “retail” media or
“wholesale” media (news agencies etc). PSB, in or out?
• Revenues (Enders) or consumption?
14
Hirschman-Herfindahl index or
HHI.
• Customarily used in competition policy/law and by
the FCC. Calculated by expressing the market shares
of all participants as percentages, squaring the
individual percentages and adding up the result.
• HHI can range between 10,000 (100% monopoly)
and 0 (large number of firms each with a small
market share). The squaring rule gives high weight to
large firms.
• Thus a firm with a 20% share will add 400 points to
the index, which is twice the combined contribution
of 200 points of two firms each with a share of 10%. 15
HHI applied to Ofcom UK data.
• BBC
• News Corporation
• ITN
• Sky
• DMGT
• Trinity Mirror
• Northern & Shell
• Guardian
• Telegraph
• Others (estimate)
• Total
1369
144
144
100
25
16
9
9
4
10
1830
16
UK – BBC salience.
17
Problems. Remedy?
• Defining markets.
• Attributing weight.
• Measuring the right things (revenue? consumption?
only news?).
• Choosing the measurement instrument.
• (Finding an uncomfortable conclusion – BBC the
problem).
• Perverse outcomes (EMAP/Scottish Radio Holdings
merger).
• Public intervention in media markets? Too much, too
18
little, just right?
Remedy? Public intervention.
•
•
•
•
•
•
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PSB.
IFNCs – Labour (Scotland, Wales, N England).
City TV – Conservative.
France – levy on ISP and telco turnover.
Press subsidies (Norway, Sweden, Austria, France).
Ofcom 2005 proposal for a Public Service Publisher.
Media ethics and editorial/journalistic independence
– McGregor Report 1977.
19
References.
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Collins R and M Cave (2013) Media Pluralism and the Overlapping Instruments Needed to Achieve it.
Telecommunications Policy. 37, 311-320.
House of Lords Select Committee on Communications. Inquiry into Media Plurality. See evidence (for
Enders and others) at http://www.parliament.uk/business/committees/committees-a-z/lordsselect/communications-committee/publications/ on 22.9.2013.
Leurdijk, A, M Slot and O Nieuwenhuis (2012) Statistical, Ecosystems and Competitiveness Analysis of the
Media and Content Industries: The Newspaper Publishing Industry. Seville. European Commission. Joint
Research Centre Institute for Prospective Technological Studies.
KUL (2009) Independent Study on Indicators for Media Pluralism in the Member States – Towards a RiskBased Approach.
McGregor, O [Chair] (1977) Report of the Royal Commission on the Press. Cmnd 6810. London. HMSO.
Milyo (2007) The Effects of Cross-Ownership on the Local Content and Political Slant of Local Television
News. FCC PUR 07000029.
Ofcom (2010) International Communications Market Report 2010. London. Ofcom.
Ofcom (2012) Report to the Secretary of State (Culture, Media and Sport) on the operation of the media
ownership rules listed under Section 391 of the Communications Act 2003. London. Ofcom.
Sanz, E (2012) Statistical, Ecosystems and Competitiveness Analysis of the Media and Content Industries:
European Television in the New Media Landscape. Seville. European Commission. Joint Research Centre
Institute for Prospective Technological Studies.
Simon, J-P (2012) The Dynamics of the media and contents sector. A synthesis of the analysis of the media
and content industries. Seville. European Commission. Joint Research Centre Institute for Prospective
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Technological Studies.
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