What Works and What Doesn’t in Reducing Recidivism: Applying the Principles of Effective Intervention in Ohio Presented by: Edward J. Latessa, Ph.D. Center for Criminal Justice Research School of Criminal Justice University of Cincinnati www.uc.edu/criminaljustice Purpose of Criminal Sanctions • Retribution: punishment is justified simply because a person has broken the law • General Deterrence: sanction deters potential offenders by inflicting suffering on actual ones • Specific Deterrence: sanction is applied to stop to offender from reoffending again • Restoration: crime control lies primarily in the community, and victims should be central to the process of restoration • Incapacitation: limits offender’s ability to commit another crime • Rehabilitation: change in behavior of the offender produced by treatment and services. Offender chooses to refrain from new crimes rather than being unable to. Deterrence Theory An Exercise in Social Psychology Aware of the sanction Perceive it as unpleasant Weigh the cost and benefits Assess the risk Make a rational choice BUT…Most Street Level Offenders Impulsive Short term perspective Disorganized Failed in school, jobs, etc. Distorted thinking Hang around with others like themselves Use drugs & alcohol Not rational actors In short: - Deterrence theory collapses Incapacitation • Stronger with some type of offenders (i.e. bank robbers--virtually no effect with drug dealers or users) • High cost for relatively low pay off • Effects are more short term People Who Appear to be Resistant to Punishment • Psychopathic risk takers • Those under the influence of a substance • Those with a history of being punished Evidence Based – What does it mean? There are different forms of evidence: – The lowest form is anecdotal evidence; stories, opinions, testimonials, case studies, etc - but it often makes us feel good – The highest form is empirical evidence – research, data, results from controlled studies, etc. - but sometimes it doesn’t make us feel good Evidence Based Practice is: 1. Easier to think of as Evidence Based Decision Making 2. Involves several steps and encourages the use of validated tools and treatments. 3. Not just about the tools you have but also how you use them How To Digest This Information 1.Think in terms of own agency 2.Think in terms of outside agencies 3.Think in terms of a system perspective Evidence Based Decision Making Requires 1. Assessment information 2. Relevant research 3. Available programming 4. Evaluation 5. Professionalism and knowledge from staff What does the Research tell us? There is often a Misapplication of Research: “XXX Study Says” - the problem is if you believe every study we wouldn’t eat anything (but we would drink a lot of red wine!) • Looking at one study can be a mistake • Need to examine a body of research • So, what does the body of knowledge about correctional interventions tell us? A Large Body of Research Has Indicated…. ….that correctional services and interventions can be effective in reducing recidivism for offenders, however, not all programs and interventions are equally effective • The most effective approaches are based on some principles of effective interventions • Risk (Who) • Need (What) • Treatment (How) • Program Integrity (How Well) Let’s Start with the Risk Principle Risk refers to risk of reoffending and not the seriousness of the offense. You can be a low risk felon or a high risk felon, a low risk misdemeanant or a high risk misdemeanant. There are Three Elements to the Risk Principle 1. Target those offenders with higher probability of recidivism 2. Provide most intensive treatment to higher risk offenders 3. Intensive treatment for lower risk offender can increase recidivism #1: Targeting Higher Risk Offenders • It is important to understand that even with EBP there will be failures. • Even if you reduce recidivism rates you will still have high percentage of failures Example of Targeting Higher Risk Offenders • If you have 100 High risk offenders about 60% will fail • If you put them in well designed EBP for sufficient duration you may reduce failure rate to 40% • If you have 100 low risk offenders about 10% will fail • If you put them in same program failure rate will be 20% Targeting Higher Risk Offenders continued: • In the end, who had the lower recidivism rate? • Mistake we make is comparing high risk to low risk rather than look for treatment effects #2: Provide Most Intensive Interventions to Higher Risk Offenders • Higher risk offenders will require much higher dosage of treatment – – – – Rule of thumb: 100 hours for moderate risk 200+ hours for higher risk 100 hours for high risk will have little if any effect Does not include work/school and other activities that are not directly addressing criminogenic risk factors Intensive Treatment for Low Risk Offenders will Often Increase Failure Rates • Low risk offenders will learn anti social behavior from higher risk • Disrupts prosocial networks Study of Intensive Rehabilitation Supervision in Canada Recidivism Rates Bonta, J et al., 2000. A Quasi-Experimental Evaluation of an Intensive Rehabilitation Supervision Program., Vol. 27 No 3:312-329. Criminal Justice and Behavior 2002 STUDY OF COMMUNITY CORRECTIONAL PROGRAMS IN OHIO • Largest study of community based correctional treatment facilities ever done • Total of 13,221 offenders – 37 Halfway Houses and 15 Community Based Correctional Facilities (CBCFs) were included in the study. • Two-year follow-up conducted on all offenders • Recidivism measures included new arrests & incarceration in a state penal institution • We also examined program characteristics Determination of Risk • Each offender was given a risk score based on 14 items that predicted outcome. • This allowed us to compare low risk offenders who were placed in a program to low risk offenders that were not, high risk to high risk, and so forth. Reduced Recidivism Increased Recidivism -4 -19 -20 -10-10 -11 -12 -6 -7 -10 -1 -1 -2 -3 1 1 1 0 4 4 3 3 2 11 11 10 10 9 10 7 6 5 5 0 -14-14 -23-23 Probability of Reincarceration Treatment Effects for Low/Moderate Risk Offenders 20 -30 -40 -36 ) ’s en (M am gr ro RC nt P y TM me r m se ss n A ou se io H As vat na ty al i n n ria n t S tio a O u h m ia er m Lig km oc nt ee ss Ce Co or B b A t e ar n s en H A us o m m i PT H o ra ct eat og SE er t rre r T Pr lb H Co ty y Ta RT ty ni nc k O n i mu de W mu om ty ree ove pen m C n C r e Co ton Cou lum g G al D n n A in ic Ca li se pr m k S e an o u e h Fr is H ous A C l al lv H O H A er t V ng lb ati ni Ta inn un D nc Ci CC use s C o m SR is H gra lv r o A ll P ties y a ili nt Sm Fac ou ll t C A mi ug RIP m r e Su p D u s s m Ho tie Co na ili ria P c O CA Fa EO CF y N CB unt ll o A sC ca Lu r ne tle sto Bu C er C y rn EO da OA Co on V e M o us d le Ho a m n To ert di gu ns l o al lb Me kin iti H Ta ain/ us rans n r /M T ho Lo ing ity nty Ma ck n ou c Li mu g C A M m in O y Co on ti V enc ah a g M cinn ve A n ti Ci rna y lte it A er C r t v ta Ri h S es Fr -26 -28 -30 -7 -6 -10 1 1 1 1 0 5 5 5 4 4 3 2 9 8 8 6 6 6 10 6 12 13 13 9 10 0 -2 -1 -14 -13 -20 -20 Probability of Reincarceration Treatment Effects for Moderate Risk Offenders 30 18 19 20 -40 y ion rm at A ci n so io s at A lv ns Sa tio h t ec ig orr C rL C R bo ity M k ar n e T ee H mu u s Cr m Ho m Co a u n l ) A ria ’s O TA se en P u o (M SE s H g y u i t am er lv r n gr nt A p D ou ty ro Ce m n C un t P nt Co kli Co en me an ng sm at Fr oni A ses re T O m ah V As ty ra i M o y n d t og le ni mu s Pr y To mu m tie nc m Co cili de Co on Fa en nt H ep Ca W D H al ll ic A s m CC m he EO CC gra A C ve C ro O ro SR ll P i V y g G a at nt in Sm inn ou pr nc t C e S Ci mi us l m Ho al H Su ert g lb y in Ta er unt unn an tl o D km Bu as C se Bee c ou e Lu is H ous IP lv H e R A er t o u s lb H Ta na ria H s O T es i R on O ilit iti W ac ns F P ra m ll A CA ity T ngu l al EO n ki H N u s u m on m /M ah Co ing M e ck na c n Li day edi A M rsto on M O ne M in/ i V Cor ra at e y Lo inn ous nc nc H ge Ci ert e A lb tiv Ta rna rt lte ta A hS es ity Fr r C ve Ri 20 -6 -5 -10 -18 -20 5 3 3 3 2 9 10 10 8 8 7 6 10 15 12 12 12 13 13 13 0 -2 -2 -15 -14 Probability of Reincarceration Treatment Effects For High Risk Offenders 40 21 22 24 25 27 30 34 32 30 -30 -40 -34 n tio ia y oc nt ss A ou s CC C on y g m i r t n m EO ni A rec A o n ra ah VO or tio og M do y C lva Pr y le nit Sa nc To m u g h t de an m i m en L Co or g eek eek ep D b ar ru B Cr l H p D use m ica m Ho lu em Co ert se A Ch lb u A C o Ta s H VO MR i i lv at T A inn use nc o s Ci na H gram ns ria ro ty io O ll P oun nsit a C ra Sm klin ty T an ni Fr mu m C o TA P ty SE r un um tle Co ing r te Bu mit usk en m /M tC Su ing es en i ck lit tm Li aci ea F Tr ll A CC nty nity C u u o SR C m ies s m t ca Co ili l al Lu on Fac H nt F a ng Ca BC din nni C e u ll A in/M se D IP e r a ou R ov all r Lo s H use G H i o n g lv ) rin aho A aH ’s p n en ria P S cM O CA use M (M o EO H A am N ert VO gr ro lb ati tP Ta inn en e nc sm n C i R TH es to ss ers O W day ty A orn on ni C M mu use ncy m Ho ge C o er t e A lb iv Ta rnat t lte ar A h St es ity Fr r C ve Ri 2010 STUDY OF COMMUNITY CORRECTIONAL PROGRAMS IN OHIO • Over 20,000 offenders – 44 Halfway Houses and 20 Community Based Correctional Facilities (CBCFs) were included in the study. • Two-year follow-up conducted on all offenders -60 Harbor Light--D/A CompDrug MONDAY Oriana RIP Oriana CCTC West Central CATS male RTP TH Turtle Creek Cinti VOA SOT AH Alum Creek Harbor Light--Corr Alternatives Franklin STARK WORTH CTCC Canton NEOCAP Oriana TMRC TH Springrove Oriana Summit Pathfinder Oriana Cliff Skeen ALL CBCF FACILITIES EOCC Female ALL HWH FACILITIES Lorain-Medina Mahoning Oriana Crossweah River City STAR Talbert House CCC Booth H/Salv A CCA RTC I CCA RTC II Cinti VOA D/A Comm Trans Ctr Crossroads Diversified Fresh Start SOS TH Pathways AH Dunning ARCA Oriana RCC Licking-Muskingum CATS female RTP Mansfield VOA SEPTA TH Cornerstone EOCC Male Lucas AH Price AH Veterans Dayton VOA Small Programs Toledo VOA Northwest CCC TH Beekman CATS male TC % Difference in Rate of New Felony Conviction Treatment Effects for Low Risk: New Felon Conviction 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 -50 -60 Oriana Crossweah Licking-Muskingum West Central SOS AH Dunning STAR Crossroads Lucas ARCA CTCC Canton SEPTA River City Comm Trans Ctr MONDAY Small Programs AH Price TH Turtle Creek Franklin Oriana Summit ALL CBCF FACILITIES Oriana RCC TH Beekman Northwest CCC NEOCAP Talbert House CCC EOCC Female CATS female RTP Pathfinder TH Springrove EOCC Male CCA RTC I AH Veterans Oriana CCTC Cinti VOA D/A WORTH Mansfield VOA Dayton VOA TH Cornerstone Mahoning ALL HWH FACILITIES Cinti VOA SOT Lorain-Medina Oriana TMRC CompDrug Oriana RIP CATS male TC Oriana Cliff Skeen STARK CATS male RTP Alternatives AH Alum Creek Diversified Harbor Light--D/A Booth H/Salv A Toledo VOA TH Pathways Fresh Start Harbor Light--Corr CCA RTC II % Difference in Rate of New Felony Conviction Treatment Effects for Moderate Risk: New Felony Conviction 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 -50 -60 AH Veterans TH Beekman MONDAY CTCC Canton TH Springrove Northwest CCC WORTH Diversified Oriana CCTC Oriana Summit Oriana Crossweah ARCA Booth H/Salv A CATS male RTP Crossroads Franklin Comm Trans Ctr STARK River City Talbert House CCC West Central EOCC Male ALL CBCF FACILITIES CompDrug AH Dunning Alternatives CCA RTC II Small Programs Harbor Light--D/A ALL HWH FACILITIES Oriana TMRC CATS male TC Fresh Start Dayton VOA NEOCAP Harbor Light--Corr Oriana RIP Licking-Muskingum Mahoning Cinti VOA D/A Oriana RCC STAR SOS Lucas CATS female RTP AH Price TH Turtle Creek Lorain-Medina Pathfinder Toledo VOA EOCC Female Oriana Cliff Skeen SEPTA AH Alum Creek Mansfield VOA TH Cornerstone CCA RTC I % Difference in Rate of New Felony Conviction Treatment Effects for High Risk: New Felony Convictions 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 -50 Average Difference in Recidivism by Risk for Halfway House Offenders Low risk ↑ recidivism by 3% Moderate risk ↓ recidivism by 6% High risk ↓ recidivism by 14% Need Principle By assessing and targeting criminogenic needs for change, agencies can reduce the probability of recidivism Criminogenic Non-Criminogenic • • • • • • • • • • Anti social attitudes Anti social friends Substance abuse Lack of empathy Impulsive behavior Anxiety Low self esteem Creative abilities Medical needs Physical conditioning Major Set of Risk/Need Factors 1. Antisocial/procriminal attitudes, values, beliefs and cognitive emotional states 2. Procriminal associates and isolation from anticriminal others 3. Temperamental and anti social personality patterns conducive to criminal activity including: Weak socialization Impulsivity Adventurous Restless/aggressive Egocentrism A taste for risk Weak problem-solving/self-regulation & coping skills 4. A history of antisocial behavior Major Set of Risk/Need Factors Cont. 5. Familial factors that include criminality and a variety of psychological problems in the family of origin including: Low levels of affection, caring, and cohesiveness Poor parental supervision and discipline practices Outright neglect and abuse 6. Low levels of personal, educational, vocational, or financial achievement 7. Low levels of involvement in prosocial leisure activities 8. Substance Abuse Recent study of parole violators in Pennsylvania found a number of criminogenic factors related to failure* *Conducted by Pennsylvania Dept. of Corrections Pennsylvania Parole Study Social Network and Living Arrangements Violators Were: • More likely to hang around with individuals with criminal backgrounds • Less likely to live with a spouse • Less likely to be in a stable supportive relationship • Less likely to identify someone in their life who served in a mentoring capacity Pennsylvania Parole Study Employment & Financial Situation Violators were: • Slightly more likely to report having difficulty getting a job • Less likely to have job stability • Less likely to be satisfied with employment • Less likely to take low end jobs and work up • More likely to have negative attitudes toward employment & unrealistic job expectations • Less likely to have a bank account • More likely to report that they were “barely making it” (yet success group reported over double median debt) Pennsylvania Parole Study Alcohol or Drug Use Violators were: • More likely to report use of alcohol or drugs while on parole (but no difference in prior assessment of dependency problem) • Poor management of stress was a primary contributing factor to relapse Pennsylvania Parole Study Life on Parole Violators were: • Had unrealistic expectations about what life would be like outside of prison • Had poor problem solving or coping skills – Did not anticipate long term consequences of behavior • Failed to utilize resources to help them – Acted impulsively to immediate situations – Felt they were not in control • More likely to maintain anti-social attitudes – Viewed violations as an acceptable option to situation – Maintained general lack of empathy – Shifted blame or denied responsibility Pennsylvania Parole Violator Study: • Successes and failures did not differ in difficulty in finding a place to live after release • Successes & failures equally likely to report eventually obtaining a job Major Risk and/or Need Factor and Promising Intermediate Targets for Reduced Recidivism Factor Risk Dynamic Need History of Antisocial Behavior Early & continued involvement in a number antisocial acts Build noncriminal alternative behaviors in risky situations Antisocial personality Adventurous, pleasure Build problem-solving, selfseeking, weak self management, anger mgt & control, restlessly aggressive coping skills Antisocial cognition Attitudes, values, beliefs & rationalizations supportive of crime, cognitive emotional states of anger, resentment, & defiance Antisocial associates Close association with Reduce association w/ criminals & relative isolation criminals, enhance from prosocial people association w/ prosocial people Reduce antisocial cognition, recognize risky thinking & feelings, build up alternative less risky thinking & feelings Adopt a reform and/or anticriminal identity Adopted from Andrews, D.A. et al, (2006). The Recent Past and Near Future of Risk and/or Need Assessment. Crime and Delinquency, 52 (1). Major Risk and/or Need Factor and Promising Intermediate Targets for Reduced Recidivism Factor Risk Dynamic Need Family and/or marital Two key elements are nurturance and/or caring better monitoring and/or supervision Reduce conflict, build positive relationships, communication, enhance monitoring & supervision School and/or work Low levels of performance & satisfaction Enhance performance, rewards, & satisfaction Leisure and/or recreation Low levels of involvement & satisfaction in anticriminal leisure activities Enhancement involvement & satisfaction in prosocial activities Substance Abuse Abuse of alcohol and/or drugs Reduce SA, reduce the personal & interpersonal supports for SA behavior, enhance alternatives to SA Adopted from Andrews, D.A. et al, (2006). The Recent Past and Near Future of Risk and/or Need Assessment. Crime and Delinquency, 52 (1). Targeting Criminogenic Need: Results from MetaAnalyses Reduction in Recidivism Increase in Recidivism Source: Gendreau, P., French, S.A., and A.Taylor (2002). What Works (What Doesn’t Work) Revised 2002. Invited Submission to the International Community Corrections Association Monograph Series Project Assessment is the engine that drives effective correctional programs • Need to meet the risk and need principle • Reduces bias • Aids decision making • Allows you to target dynamic risk factors and measure change According to the American Heart Association, there are a number of risk factors that increase your chances of a first heart attack Family history of heart attacks Gender (males) Age (over 50) Inactive lifestyle Over weight High blood pressure Smoking High Cholesterol level The Development and Validation of the Ohio Risk and Need Assessment System (ORAS) Project Overview • The Ohio Risk Assessment System (ORAS) consists of four major instruments: 1. 2. 3. 4. Pretrial Community Supervision Prison Intake Reentry Data Collection • Data collection for primary data was collected by UC research staff with structured interviews, file reviews, and self-report surveys • Recidivism data was collected by online court records by county of arrest as well as OHLEG • Total Sample was 1,837 from across Ohio Domains Examined 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Pro-criminal views/criminal thinking Friends and criminal acquaintances Education Family and social relationships Residence stability and safety Alcohol abuse/use Drug abuse/use Mental and physical health Employment (status and values) Criminal history Domains Examined 11. Financial stress 12. Involvement in pro-social activities 13. Physical and sexual abuse 14. Problem recognition 15. Treatment motivation, needs, expectations 16. Anxiety/negative emotionality 17. Empathy/perspective taking 18. Coping skills/values 19. Anger/frustration The Pretrial Instrument • First entry into the ORAS system • Outcome indicator included Failure to Appear and New Arrest PRETRIAL ASSESSMENT TOOL NAME: _____________________________________ CASE NUMBER:_____________________________ BOND AMOUNT:____________________________ DATE OF OFFENSE:______________ DATE OF ASSESSMENT:__________ COURT DATE:___________________ Verified 1. What was the age of the defendant at first arrest. If unknown, use first conviction 0 = If the defendant was 33 or older 1 = If the defendant was 32 or younger 2. How many failure to appear warrants have been filed in the last 24 months 0 = None 1 = A single failure to appear in the last 24 months 2 = Two or more failure to appears in the last 24 months 3. Did the defendant have three or more prior jail incarcerations? 0 = No 1 = Yes Number of Prior Prison incarcerations: ______ 4. Was the defendant employed at the time of arrest? 0 = Defendant is employed full time/disabled/retired/student (31+ hours) 1 = Defendant is employed part time (10-30 hours) 2 = Defendant is unemployed Defendant on public welfare?: ______ Job start date was within 6 months: ______ 5. Any illegal drug use in the last 6 months 0 = No 1 = Yes 6. Defendant self reported severe drug related problems 0 = No (1-3) 1 = Yes (4-5) 7. Has the Defendant lived at the current residence for 6 months or more? 0 = Yes 1 = No Is the current residence within the assessor’s jurisdiction? ______ Risk Level 0-2 = Low 3-5 = Medium 6+ = High TOTAL SCORE Cutoffs Scores • The descriptive statistics revealed that there were very few high risk cases, indicating that the cutoffs should be adjusted to provide better representation for all groups • Revised cutoffs and percentages N % Low: 0-2 Medium: 3-5 High: 6+ 126 239 87 28 53 19 Cutoffs Failure to Appear New Arrest 14.9 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 6.7 0 Low r = .128 Medium r = .206 High Cutoffs: Any Violation Failure Rate of Sample 35 28.7 30 25 20 17.6 LOW MED 15 HIGH 10 5 4.8 0 Differences in Recidivism Rates for each Risk Level (r = .223, n=452) Community Supervision Risk Assessment Tool (ORAS-CST) Final Domains on the ORAS-CST 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Criminal /Supervision History (6 items) Education, Employment and Finances(6 items) Family and Social Support (5 items) Neighborhood Problems (2 items) Substance Use (5 items) Peer Associations (4 items) Criminal Attitudes and Behavioral Problems (7 items) The Distribution of Risk Levels for Males in the Community Supervision Sample Males (N = 513) Level N % Low Risk (0-14) 77 15 Medium Risk (15-23) 207 40 High Risk (24-33) 190 37 Very High Risk (34+) 39 8 Percent with New Arrest Males: Risk Level by Recidivism for the Community Supervision Sample Low 0-14 Medium = 15-23 High = 24-33 Very High 34+ ORAS-CST Risk Level Correlation with Recidivism: r = .373 The Distribution of Risk Levels for Females in the Community Supervision Sample Females (N =165) Level N % Low Risk (0-14) 43 25 Medium (15-21) 65 40 High Risk (22-28) 47 29 Very High Risk (29+) 10 6 Females: Risk Level by Recidivism for the Community Supervision Sample 60 Low Risk Medium Risk High Risk Very High Risk 50 Percent with New Arrest 50 40.4 40 30 21.5 20 10 9.3 0 Low 0-14 Medium 15-21 High 22-28 Very High 29+ ORAS-CST Risk Level Correlation with Recidivism: r = .300 Additional Case Planning Items • Additional case planning items are incorporated into the final assessment. – These items are asked of the offender but the answers are used for case planning purposes and to facilitate targeting responsivity obstacles but which are not used in the final calculation for the prediction of adult criminal recidivism and/or probation violations. • These include questions pertaining to: Low intelligence Reading and writing limitations History of abuse/neglect Transportation Language Physical handicap Mental health issues Treatment motivation Child care Ethnicity, and cultural barriers Priorities in Case Management • Each domain provides cut points that indicate the priority the domain should take in service provision. • Individuals who score high have high deficits in these categories and are more likely to re-offend. Priorities in Case Management Criminal History 60 Low Priority Medium Priority High Priority 46 50 53 60 Low Priority Medium Priority High Priority 50 37 40 40 30 Education and Finances 30 27 20 20 10 10 0 0 21 Percent Arrested by Priority Level Percent Arrested by Priority Level Low (0-3) Med (4-6) High (7-8) Low (0-1) Med (2-4) High (5-6) 55 Priorities in Case Management Family and Social Support Neighborhood Problems 60 40 48 41 30 20 10 0 Percent Arrested Percent Arrested 50 Low Priority Medium Priority High Priority 32 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 45 Low Priority Medium Priority High Priority 35 17 Percent Arrested by Priority Level Percent Arrested by Priority Level Low (0-1) Med (2-3) High (4-5) Low (0) Med (1) High (2-3) Priorities in Case Management 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Low Priority Medium Priority High Priority 27 Peers 70 45 40 60 Percent Arrested Percent Arrested Substance Abuse 50 64 Low Priority Medium Priority High Priority 43 40 30 21 20 10 0 Percent Arrested by Priority Level Percent Arrested by Priority Level Low (0-2) Med (3-4) High (5-6) Low (0-1) Med (2-4) High (5-8) Priorities in Case Management Criminal Attitudes and Behavior Patterns 70 Percent Arrested 60 50 Low Priority Medium Priority High Priority 59 44 40 30 24 20 10 0 Percent Arrested by Priority Level Low (0-3) Med (4-8) High (9-13) Screening Tool (ORAS-CSST) • ORAS-CSST – Abbreviated version of the ORAS-CST • Designed to quickly identify low risk offenders who may not need case management priorities and a full assessment. – 4 Items taken from the ORAS-CST – Scores range from 0 - 7 – Overall Correlation with new arrest: r =.381 The Distribution of Risk Levels for Males with the Community Supervision Screen Males (N = 513) Level N % Low (0-2) 119 23.2 Medium - High (3-7) 394 76.8 Males: Risk Level by Recidivism for the Community Supervision Screen Percent with New Arrest 60 Low Risk Med-High Risk 50.3 50 40 30 20 16 10 0 Low 0-2 Med – High Risk (3-7) ORN-CS Screen Score Correlation with Recidivism: r = .372 The Distribution of Risk Levels for Females with the Community Supervision Screen Females (N =165) Level N % Low Risk (0-3) 88 53 Medium - High (4-7) 77 47 Females: Risk Level by Recidivism for the Community Supervision Screen Percent with New Arrest 50 Low Risk Med-High Risk 40.3 40 30 20 12.5 10 0 Low 0-3 Med – High Risk (4-7) ORN-CS Screen Score Correlation with Recidivism: r = .365 Prison Reentry Assessment Tool (ORAS-RT) Final Domains 1. 2. 3. Criminal /Supervision History (8 items) Social Capital and Support (5 items) Criminal Attitudes and Behavioral Patterns (7 items) The Distribution of Risk Levels for Males in the Prison Release Sample Males (N =212) Level N % Low Risk (0-9) 47 22 Medium Risk (10-15) 109 52 High Risk (16+) 56 26 Males: Risk Level by Recidivism for the Prison Release Sample Percent with New Arrest 70 64.3 60 49.5 50 40 30 21.3 20 10 0 Low 0-9 Medium 10-15 High 16+ ORAS-PRT Risk Level Correlation with Recidivism: r = .295 The Distribution of Risk Levels for Females in the Prison Release Sample Females (N =65) Level N % Low Risk (0-10) 31 48 Medium (11-14) 25 38 High Risk (15+) 9 14 Females: Risk Level by Recidivism for the Prison Release Sample Percent with New Arrest 60 55.6 50 44 40 30 20 10 6.5 0 Low 0-10 Medium = 11-14 High = 15+ ORAS-PRT Risk Level Correlation with Recidivism: r = .442 Advantage to ORAS • • • • • • • Developed and validated on Ohio population Assessments at various decision points Non-proprietary Will be fully automated Training and training of trainers available Can be used for case planning and reassessment Standardizes assessment across the State Some Common Problems with Offender Assessment Assess offenders but process ignores important factors Assess offenders but don’t distinguish levels (high, moderate, low) Assess offenders then don’t use it – everyone gets the same treatment Make errors and don’t correct Don’t assess offenders at all Do not adequately train staff in use or interpretation Assessment instruments are not validated or normed • List three speeches that have changed your life • List three people who have changed your life Treatment Principle The most effective interventions are behavioral: • Focus on current factors that influence behavior • Action oriented Results from Meta Analysis: Behavioral vs. NonBehavioral Reduced Recidivism Andrews, D.A. 1994. An Overview of Treatment Effectiveness. Research and Clinical Principles, Department of Psychology, Carleton University. The N refers to the number of studies. Most Effective Behavioral Models • Structured social learning where new skills and behavioral are modeled • Cognitive behavioral approaches that target criminogenic risk factors Social Learning Refers to several processes through which individuals acquire attitudes, behavior, or knowledge from the persons around them. Both modeling and instrumental conditioning appear to play a role in such learning The Four Principles of Cognitive Intervention 1. Thinking affects behavior 2. Antisocial, distorted, unproductive irrational thinking can lead to antisocial and unproductive behavior 3. Thinking can be influenced 4. We can change how we feel and behave by changing what we think Recent Meta-Analysis of Cognitive Behavioral Treatment for Offenders by Landenberger & Lipsey (2005)* • Reviewed 58 studies: 19 random samples 23 matched samples 16 convenience samples • Found that on average CBT reduced recidivism by 25%, but the most effective configurations found more than 50% reductions Significant Findings (effects were stronger if): • • • • Sessions per week (2 or more) - RISK Implementation monitored - FIDELITY Staff trained on CBT - FIDELITY Higher proportion of treatment completers RESPONSIVITY • Higher risk offenders - RISK • Higher if CBT is combined with other services - NEED Evaluation of a CBT Program: Thinking for a Change Lowenkamp and Latessa (2006) • • • • • Tippecanoe County Indiana Probation +T4C vs. Probation 136 Treatment cases 97 Comparison cases Variable follow up (range 6 to 64 months; average 26) • Outcome—arrest for new criminal behavior Multivariate Model • Controlled for – Risk (prior arrests, prior prison, prior community supervision violations, history of drug use, history of alcohol problems, highest grade completed, employment status at arrest) – Age – Sex – Race – Time at risk or length of follow up time Adjusted Recidivism Rates Comparing T4C Participants to Comparison Group Recent Study of Non-Residential Community Correctional Programs in Ohio involving over 13,000 Offenders • Included both misdemeanants and felons under community supervision • Programs included day reporting centers, work release, ISP, and electronic monitoring programs TYPE OF COMMUNITY SUPERVISION PROGRAM DID NOT MATTER: FOUR FACTORS WERE SIGNIFCICANTLY RELATED TO OUTCOME • Proportion of higher risk offenders in program (at least 75% of offenders in programs were moderate or high risk) • Level of supervision for higher risk offenders (high risk offenders averaged longer periods of supervision than low risk) • More treatment for higher risk offenders (at least 50% more time spent in treatment) • More referrals for services for higher risk offenders (at least 3 referrals for every 1 received by low risk) Changes in Recidivism by Program Factors for Probation Programs Reductions in Recidivism Increased Recidivism Change in Recidivism by 4 Point Factor Score for Probation Programs Reduced Recidivism Increased Recidivism What Doesn’t Work with Offenders? Lakota tribal wisdom says that when you discover you are riding a dead horse, the best strategy is to dismount. However, in corrections, and in other affairs, we often try other strategies, including the following: • • • • • • • • • • • • Buy a stronger whip. Change riders Say things like “This is the way we always have ridden this horse.” Appoint a committee to study the horse. Arrange to visit other sites to see how they ride dead horses. Create a training session to increase our riding ability. Harness several dead horses together for increased speed. Declare that “No horse is too dead to beat.” Provide additional funding to increase the horse’s performance. Declare the horse is “better, faster, and cheaper” dead. Study alternative uses for dead horses. Promote the dead horse to a supervisory position. Ineffective Approaches • Programs that cannot maintain fidelity • Drug prevention classes focused on fear and other emotional appeals • Shaming offenders • Drug education programs • Non-directive, client centered approaches • Bibliotherapy • Freudian approaches • Talking cures • Self-Help programs • Vague unstructured rehabilitation programs • Medical model • Fostering self-regard (self-esteem) • “Punishing smarter” (boot camps, scared straight, etc.) The Fidelity Principle: Make Sure Programs Are Delivered With Fidelity and Integrity Program Integrity and Recidivism • Every major study we have done has found a strong relationship between program integrity and recidivism • Higher integrity score – greater the reductions in recidivism Program Integrity—Relationship Between Program Integrity Score And Treatment Effect for Community Supervision Programs Reduced Recidivism Increased Recidivism Program Integrity—Relationship Between Program Integrity Score And Treatment Effect for Residential Programs Reduced Recidivism Increased Recidivism 0-30 31-59 60-69 70+ Lessons Learned from the Research Who you put in a program is important – pay attention to risk What you target is important – pay attention to criminogenic needs How you target offender for change is important – use behavioral approaches Important Considerations Offender assessment is the engine that drives effective programs helps you know who & what to target Design programs around empirical research helps you know how to target offenders Program Integrity make a difference Service delivery, disruption of criminal networks, training/supervision of staff, support for program, QA, evaluation