for the AWIS Leadership Series 2015
AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program http://www.aaas.org/program/rd-budgetand-policy-program
Phase 1: Planning within Agency w/ OMB and
OSTP oversight
Phase 2: OMB
Review
Phase 3: Congressional budget and appropriations
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Phase 1: Internal agency discussions and planning
Joint guidance from OMB / OSTP on S&T (midsummer)
Agencies deliver budget justifications to OMB (early fall)
Phase 1: Planning within Agency w/ OMB and
OSTP oversight
Phase 2: OMB
Review
Phase 3: Congressional budget and appropriations
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Phase 2: OMB performs multi-stage review, responds to agencies
Budget proposals are finalized in January
President presents the proposed budget to Congress early
February
Phase 1: Planning within Agency w/ OMB and
OSTP oversight
Phase 2: OMB
Review
Phase 3: Congressional budget and appropriations
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Phase 3: Congress gets involved
Approves budget resolution: spending targets, reconciliation
302(b) allocations
Approps committees write/approve 12 appropriations bills
12 subcommittees: one for each bill
“President proposes, Congress disposes”
FY10: Final omnibus in December (~3 months late)
FY11: No Budget Res; full-year CR in April (six months late)
FY12: No Budget Res; minibus/megabus (2-3 months late)
FY13: FISCAL CLIFF; final approps in March (5 months late)
FY14: No Budget Res; budget 2 months late; SHUTDOWN; final approps in January
FY15: Budget 1 month late; final approps in December
BCA takes effect: first year of caps
Sequestration kicks in
(delayed and reduced by the
American
Taxpayer Relief
Act)
Budget warfare resolved by
Bipartisan
Budget Act
(restores some funding in FY14,
FY15)
Congress keeps (partially) restoring funding
FY15: 21% reduction in cuts
Discretionary spending cap is only 0.2% above FY14 before inflation
Very little room for any sort of program growth…
…reflected in the President’s budget
R&D in the FY15 Base Budget percent change from FY14, constant dollars
DOE Defense
DOE Energy Programs
US Geological Survey
NIST
NOAA
Transportation
DOD Other
DOE Science
Agriculture
National Institutes of Health
NASA
Veterans Affairs
National Science Foundation
Environ Protection Agency
DOD S&T
Homeland Security
TOTAL
-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%
Source: AAAS analysis of the FY 2015 President's Budget. Does not include additional funding proposed via Opportunity, Growth, and Security Initiative. NOTE: Inflation is 1.7%. © 2014 AAAS
Department of Energy: NNSA, renewables and efficiency,
ARPA-E
Neuroscience
NASA: industry partnerships
Transportation: highways and high-performance rail
Extramural ag research
Advanced Manufacturing
Environmental research
Plus: an extra $5.3 billion in the “Opportunity, Growth and
Security Initiative”
FY 2015 R&D Appropriations by Select Spending Bill
Estimated funding as a percent of FY 2012, in constant dollars
120%
110%
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
Dept. of
Defense S&T
Commerce,
Justice,
Science
Energy &
Water
Agriculture Interior and
Environment
Labor, HHS,
Education*
2012 2013 2014 2015 Request 2015 House 2015 Senate 2015 Omnibus
*Not introduced in House.
CJS bill includes NSF, NASA, Commerce. Source: AAAS analyses of agency budget documents and appropriations bills and reports.
FY 2014 figures are current estimates. R&D includes conduct of R&D and R&D facilities. © 2014 AAAS
Some notable gainers:
DOD, NSF research
NIH Alzheimer’s research
NASA (especially Planetary Science, Aeronautics, exploration)
USDA: Poultry science center funding, AFRI
NOAA Research
Modest increases for NIST, USGS
NSF construction, BRAIN Initiative fully funded
Most NIH institutes: sub-inflation
Mixed outcomes for Office of Science programs, energy technology programs
EPA, NASA Earth Science cut
No high-performance rail R&D
Omnibus also included ~$500 billion for Ebola-related research and clinical trials
Excluded DHS
Most agencies ahead of the discretionary curve
Back to sequester levels?
President to propose cap increase
Size and composition of the discretionary budget? Can R&D stay ahead of the curve?
Deficits have fallen, but big-picture fiscal challenges remain largely unchanged
Debt limit, entitlement growth
Reconciliation strategy?
202-326-6607 http://www.aaas.org/program/rd
-budget-and-policy-program