MKTG 6201 Overview Company & Competition Organizational success depends on alignment… within the internal system and with the external environment. The role of management is to recognize & resolve tensions. Smith and Lewis 2011 The answer to which strategy is most effective is never… A is more effective than B, but rather… A is more effective under Conditions C1 & B is more effective under Conditions C2. The test of a first-rate intelligence is the ability to hold two opposed ideas in the mind at the same time, & still retain the ability to function. F. Scott Fitzgerald 1945 Glenn Voss 1 Case Analysis & Recommendation In case analysis, you apply frameworks and models to generate insights for solving a real or simulated business problem to achieve organizational success. You also calculate metrics to assess the likely outcomes associated with various alternatives. Your recommendation is formulated as a strategy. 2 Case Analysis & Recommendation Models Frameworks Metrics Concepts & Terminology 3 What is Terminology? • A system of words used to name concepts in a particular discipline. • Examples: – Objectives, Resources & Capabilities – Segmentation, Targeting & Positioning – Product, Price, Promotion-Communication, Place-Channel – Customer Relationship Management – Customer Acquisition & Retention – Customer Satisfaction & Value 4 Terminology • An objective is defined as: – The criterion by which the success or failure of the strategy is measured. • Characteristics of well-written objectives: – Lists a quantified standard of performance. – Designates a clear time frame. – States goal in measurable terms. – Should be challenging but realistic. • Objectives frequently require trade-offs; e.g., increasing market share versus increasing profits; acquiring new customers versus retaining current 23% market share & 28% share of profits customers. Samsung: Apple: 9% market share & 72% of profits Worldwide mobile phones 5 Terminology (cont) • Resource: tangible (e.g., equipment, machinery, mail list), intangible (e.g., brand name, customer knowledge), or human asset that the firm currently possesses. • Capability: the ability to deploy individual resources (e.g., patents, know-how, brand names, equipment) to perform a task or activity to produces a desired end result. What the firm can do (i.e., skills) as a result of teams of resources working together. We are interested in resources & capabilities that are rare & valuable. 6 Common Job Interview Mistakes 7 What is a Metric? • A measure for quantitatively assessing a complex process or outcome, along with procedures for carrying out and interpreting the measures. • Frequently become objectives, for example: – Market share – Revenue or Unit sales volume – Incremental contribution – Customer lifetime value (CLV) – Growth in any of the above (e.g., % change from last year or quarter) 8 Common Intermediate Objectives (Metrics) Not as compelling as Volume or Financial Objectives • • • • • • • • Customer satisfaction Customer loyalty Customer acquisition & retention Customer trial & repeat Brand awareness Brand preference Brand loyalty Brand equity 9 What is an Analytic Framework? • A structured approach to defining, analyzing or communicating the characteristics of a complex system or process. • Examples: – Comprehensive Metabolic Panel, CBC… – Google’s PageRank Algorithm – Competitive Advantage – SWOT Analysis – Product-Market Growth Strategies 10 Competitive Advantage (Framework) How to create, communicate, capture, and sustain unique value for the customer: • Cost Leadership – Lowest cost structure (large share & low price) • Marketing Differentiation – providing superior perceived value by developing – Unique image (brand-centric differentiation) achieved through targeting, positioning & communication capabilities (large share, high advert costs) – Close relationships with customers (customer-centric differentiation) achieved through CRM capabilities & customization (higher prices & costs) • Product Differentiation – offering superior economic value by creating superior product/service features & quality through innovation & product development capabilities (small-to-medium share, large profit margins) 11 Other Terminology with Similar Meaning Cost Leadership (Operations & Logistics Driven) Tata/Dell Operational Excellence "A great deal" "Best price" "Trouble free basic service" Product Differentiation (R&D, Technology & Sales Driven) Product or Innovation Differentiation "Always at cutting edge" "High price but worth it" "Constantly renewing and creative" Porsche/Apple Marketing Differentiation (Brand Advertising or CRM Driven) Marketing Differentiation Customer Responsive “Great brand" "Really understands me" “Valuable business partner" GM/IBM See McKinsey’s “Unbundling the corporation 12 Core Strategy Overview Cost Leadership Operational Excellence Thrust of strategy Organization • Lowest delivered cost • Reliability/efficiency Marketing Differentiation – Brand- or Customer-centric • Complete personalized solution • Infomediary Product/ Innovation Differentiation • Innovative features • Greater functionality • Top down – employees • Front-line autonomy directed • Have it your way mindset based on • Flat structure fine-grained information • Decentralized • Team-oriented/ loose-knit • Experimentation Core processes • Standardized • Modular operations • Logistics/fulfillment • Integrated view of customer • manufacturing • Service • Product development • Market sensing Economic driver • Scale • Scope • Speed • Production • Supply chain • Customer/Collaborator relations • Positioning & Communications • Product Innovation • Competitor knowledge • Price, reliability, access… • Mkt Penetration & exploration • Price & distribution • Relationships, customization, full service… • Customer satisfaction & retention • Product proliferation, promotion & lateral collaborators • Innovation, design, features… • Product & market exploration • Product innovation & key collaborators at all levels Critical Capabilities Value Proposition Marketing Objectives Implementation SWOT Analysis Incorporating the 5 Cs Company1 Strengths Company1 Weaknesses Identify valuable & rare Identify valuable & rare resources & capabilities that resources & capabilities the company1 currently that the company1 currently possesses. lacks. Opportunities Threats Relevant opportunities Relevant threats with w/respect to customers2, respect to customers2, collaborators3, competitors4 collaborators3, competitors4 & the overall socioeconomic, & the overall technology, legal context5. socioeconomic, technology, 5. legal context 14 See the Primer on SWOT Analysis What is a Model? • A hypothetical or simple description of a complex system or process. • Effective strategies rely on insightful or valid models. • Examples: – Aristotle’s Geocentric Model • accountedModel for all observations of Mechanics the movement of the sun and – Newton’s of Classical the moon, and the planets, and the stars; – Marketing Strategy Formulation & Implementation • good predictor of future positions of celestial bodies (i.e., – Product Life Cycle Model verifiable) • simplicity (PrincipleModels of Parsimony) - as few assumptions or rules – Demand Elasticity as possible & no contradictions. 15 Porter’s Value Chain Model Competitive Advantage in the Value Chain Product Differentiation Marketing Differentiation Cost Leadership 16 Marketing Process Model SWOT Analysis Company Customers Competitors Collaborators Context Market Segmentation Create Value Selection & Targeting Product/Service Offering Promotion/ Communicate & Communication Capture Value Customer Acquisition Product/Service Offering Positioning Place/ Channel Pricing Customer Retention/Expansion Revenue & Profits Customer Relationship Management Sustain Value 17 Marketing Strategy Model Formulation & Implementation Segmentation & Targeting define product market , competitors & product-market growth strategy. 1. Objective(s) 2. Target Customers – Segment, Profile & Target 3. Key Competitors – Objectives, target customers, strategy, strengths & weaknesses 4. Core Strategy – Competitive advantage; market penetration, market development, product development, or diversification; & positioning 5. Marketing Mix Implementation Product Pricing Channel Communications CRM Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy 18 Segmentation Variable Framework Demographic Age Family size Family life cycle Gender Social class Income Occupation Education Race Generation Geographic Country/Region/Culture Urban/rural Climate Psychological Lifestyle Personality traits Expertise & awareness Attributes/Benefits sought Behavioral (esp. w/CRM) Usage rate & loyalty Occasions Purchase patterns For working professionals in North Texas seeking career advancement, the Cox PMBA is a part-time program that… 19 VALS Psychographic Groups (Framework) Use in the Flare Case to Develop Customer Descriptions Take the VALS survey at: http://www.strategicbusinessinsights.com/vals/presurvey.shtml 20 Marketing Strategy Model Formulation & Implementation 1. Objective(s) 2. Target Customers – Segment, Profile & Target 3. Key Competitors – Objectives, target customers, strategy, strengths & weaknesses 4. Core Strategy – Competitive advantage; market penetration, market development, product development, or diversification; & positioning 5. Marketing Mix Implementation Product Pricing Channel Communications CRM Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy 21 Competitor Analysis See Market Evolution The first thing to note about the competitive environment is the number of competitors. As the number of competitors increases (decreases): • Competitive market is more fragmented (concentrated), • Barriers to entry are lower (higher), • Supply and demand are more heterogeneous and dynamic, • Competitive advantage focuses more on productcentric innovation (downstream brand-centric or customer-centric differentiation or cost leadership) • Growth focuses more on revenues (profits) & customer acquisition (retention). 22 Competitor Analysis • • • • See Product Market Definition Philosophy • Offensive or Defensive which is related to • Leader or Follower Objectives • Growth (revenue/market share) or profit related objectives? Strategy • Competitive advantage – Cost leadership – Marketing differentiation – Product differentiation • Targeted customers • Offering position Strengths & • Resources & capabilities to: Develop & produce superior products Weaknesses Communicate & distribute offering Manage customer relationships 23 Marketing Capabilities • Product Management: develop & deliver superior-quality or customized goods & services. • Communications Management and Brand-building: create and manage customer value perceptions leading to high levels of brand equity, using effective: positioning, advertising message delivery, personalized communications, & integrated marketing communications • Pricing Management: extract the optimal revenue & profit from customers through price discrimination tactics, e.g., using sophisticated yield management capability; unrelated to charging a high (product or marketing differentiation) or low (cost leadership) price. • Channel Management: establish and manage channels of distribution that effectively and efficiently deliver value to end-user customers • Customer Relationship Management: identify profitable customers and prospects and initiate, maintain, and leverage relationships with these customers to create superior customerlevel profits. Requires data collection & interpretation for individual customers, individual customer targeting capability, and personalized communications capability. • Market Sensing & Customer Insights: Ability to learn about customers, competitors, channel members and the broader market to develop actionable market intelligence and customer segmentation and targeting schema • Marketing Planning & Implementation: conceive and implement marketing strategies that optimize the match between the firm’s resources (including multiple product lines and brands) and the marketplace to achieve superior sales and profits Marketing Strategy Model Formulation & Implementation 1. Objective(s) 2. Target Customers – Segment, Profile & Target 3. Key Competitors – Objectives, target customers, strategy, strengths & weaknesses 4. Core Strategy – Competitive advantage; market penetration, market development, product development, or diversification; & positioning 5. Marketing Mix Implementation Product Pricing Channel Communications CRM Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy 25 Product-Market Growth Strategy Framework K&P pp. 7-12 Markets Existing Existing New Market Penetration Expand share and/or size of current customer wallet Market Development Acquire new customer markets Product Development Develop new offering features/attributes Diversification Develop totally new offerings targeting new markets Offerings New 26 Product & Market Exploration Capabilities Markets Existing Existing Offerings New New Exploitation Market exploration Cost Leadership: Google and Amazon with incremental refinement of by building Adapt current offering mostly compete scale to to create current product & market new market (& capabilities); e.g., exploit their digitally-delivered data capabilities new geographic market or new management and search capabilities therapeutic use for existing drug Amazon “good at making everything as low-cost as possible.” Google’s “cloud services will cost 50% less than competing products.” Product exploration Create new product features & capabilities that enhance offerings’ appeal to current markets Product & Market exploration Create entirely new productmarket categories & capabilities; Can Amazon’s Kindle compete Can Google X deliver “worldeffectively in the tablet market? changing moonshots”? 27 Product & Market Exploration Capabilities Markets Samsung New Existinghas repositioned itself as a Exploitation with incremental Market exploration competitive consumer refinement of current product & Adapt current offering to create market capabilities new market (& capabilities); e.g., brand, exploiting Existing Samsung “built its business around new geographic market or new existing capabilities, producing & selling components to … therapeutic for existing Apple’s use strength has drug developing new Apple, Sony & Hewlett-Packard…” & been in creating or doublesproduct Apple’s investment equipment (featuresin &) Offerings establishing entirely new development Product & Market exploration Product exploration product-markets Create entirely new(i.e., productCreate new product features & capabilities, & market categories & capabilities; capabilities that enhance radical or disruptive spending “$3 billion on offerings’ appeal to current New innovation) in rapid ads, compared markets with Apple (Jobs): “Consumers don’t succession (i.e., know what theyspeed) want.” Samsung: “We get most of our ideas Apple’s $933 million but iPod, has not delivered iPhone, iPad… the market.” andfrom Microsoft’s $1.9 since Jobs’ departure. billion.” 28 Marketing Strategy Model Formulation & Implementation 1. Objective(s) 2. Target Customers – Segment, Profile & Target 3. Key Competitors – Objectives, target customers, strategy, strengths & weaknesses 4. Core Strategy – Competitive advantage; market penetration, market development, product development, or diversification; & positioning 5. Marketing Mix Implementation Product Pricing Channel Communications CRM Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Internal consistency between objectives, target customers & competitors, core strategy, and marketing mix implementation is the single-most important criterion for grading case recommendations. 29 MKTG 6201 Course Materials Textbook: • Strategic Marketing Problems – Roger Kerin & Robert Peterson (K&P) Cases: • Cases in course packet Lectures and Discussions: • In conjunction with cases & handouts of slides 30 MKTG 6201 Course Learning Outcomes At the end of this course, you should be able to: • Understand how company strengths & weaknesses & external opportunities & threats influence the success of a marketing strategy; Qualitative Analysis • Develop and communicate marketing action plans that effectively target, attract, and retain profitable Recommendation customer segments; & • Conduct basic quantitative analyses to evaluate the outcomes associated with alternative marketing programs. Metrics/Quantitative Analysis 31 Assessment & Grade Distribution • Group Homework (5 × 4) • Final Examination • Total Cox Recommended Grade Distribution A/AB/B+ B-… 20 20 40 40% 50% 10% 32 Sample Grade Sheet Topic Poor Fair Good Excellent Financial Comparison What assumptions are required to make the next-best alternative better?) .25 .5 .75 1 Economic Value Analysis and Consistency with price elasticity estimates .25 .5 .75 1 Comparative advantage analysis .25 .5 .75 1 Summary marketing strategy .25 .5 .75 1 TOTAL 33 Financial Analysis in Marketing K&P Chapter 2 • • • • • • • Marketing Pro Formas Breakeven Analysis Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) Sales Forecasts Economic Value Analysis Channel Margin Calculus Demand Elasticity 34 Developing Pro Forma & B/E Analyses Traditional Line Items Revenues Cost of Goods Sold Gross Margin (Profit) Operating Expenses (e.g., SG&A) Operating Margin (Profit) Net Income Before Tax Income Tax Net Income After Tax Dollars Price * Quantity COGS/unit * Quantity GM/unit * Quantity Variable (VC) & Fixed (FC) Revenue–COGS–VC–FC % 100% COGS% GM% Can vary - See the South Delaware Coors Pro Forma To conduct breakeven analysis for a proposed change, group variable costs VC = COGS & Variable Operating Expenses 35 And then focus on Incremental Fixed Expenses Organizing for Effective B-E Analysis Traditional Income Statement Sales revenue - Cost of goods sold = Gross margin (profit) Incremental Costing Sales revenue - Incremental, avoidable VC = Total (Gross) contribution ($) = - Incremental, avoidable FC = Net contribution (profit) Selling expenses Depreciation Administrative overhead Operating margin (profit) - Interest expense = Pretax profit… - Other fixed or sunk costs = Pretax profit… Contribution Margin % (CM%) = Total Contribution / Sales revenue Contribution Margin $ ($CM) = Total Contribution / Sales volume or $ Contribution per unit 36 Breakeven (BE) Analysis To calculate Incremental Sales Revenue required to breakeven (BER) for a given level of incremental fixed costs (FC): Net Contribution 0 + FC 0 FC/(P – VC/unit) BER = BEQ * P = Incremental Revenue – VC – FC = (Q * P) – (Q * VC/unit) – FC = Q (P – VC/unit) – FC + FC = Q required to break even (BEQ) VC Q P CM = Incremental Variable Cost = Incremental Quantity = Incremental Price = P – VC/unit See also http://harvardbusinessonline.com/flatmm/flashtools/breakeven/ 37 Calculate Breakeven for the Following Opening a New Office Variable Costs COGS Direct Operating Costs Total Variable Costs Selling Price = $25 BEQ = FC/(P – VC/unit) BEQ = BER = 20% 20% 40% Fixed Costs/Year Fixed salaries 160,000 Depreciation 50,000 Utilities & phone 12,000 Insurance 10,000 Interest 20,000 Property Taxes 10,000 Maintenance/Janitorial 5,600 Miscellaneous 2,400 TOTAL $270,000 38 Review Questions • What does organizational success depend on? • What are the 5 Cs and how do they relate to a SWOT analysis? • What are three approaches to achieving competitive advantage? Which are most relevant to marketing? • What are some key marketing resources & capabilities? • What are the 5 steps in the marketing strategy formulation & implementation model? • What are the 4 key growth strategies? • What are the 5 marketing mix elements (4 Ps + 1)? 39 Next Week Chris Millican, Boston Consulting Group South Delaware Coors Case This is a practice case that addresses whether an MBA student should invest in a Coors distributorship in South Delaware. The initial decision focuses on which marketing research to purchase in order to assess the viability of the distributorship. You will have ten minutes during class to make that decision as a group. After purchasing the research, you will have 20 minutes to develop a pro forma and recommendations for the Coors distributorship (see the Coors Excel spreadsheet). If you need more background on breakeven analysis, review the Breakeven Tool. To complete the spreadsheet, fill in the key assumptions that are highlighted in yellow. The spreadsheet should fill in as you enter these numbers. Note that constructing spreadsheets in this manner is extremely important because it allows you to conduct “What-if” analyses by simply changing your assumptions. To prepare for class, read the case carefully, review the Coors Excel spreadsheet, and think about the following questions. 40