A Brief Overview and Forecast of the Prescription Drug Abuse Problem in Indiana* Eric R. Wright, PhD Director, Center for Health Policy Professor and Chair, Department of Health Policy and Management IU Richard M. Fairbanks School of Public Health at IUPUI Email: ewright@iupui.edu * Panel Presentation for “Indiana’s Prescription Drug Abuse Epidemic” with the Honorable Greg Zoeller, Indiana Attorney General and Members of the State’s Prescription Drug Abuse Task Force Panel; Annual Meeting of the Indiana Rural Health Association Conference, August 8, 2013. A BRIEF OVERVIEW OF THE PROBLEM Past-Year Nonmedical Prescription Pain Reliever Use, Ages 12+, Indiana and U.S., 2004-2011, NSDUH 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Indiana U.S. 2004 5.4% 4.8% 2005 5.4% 4.8% 2006 5.9% 5.0% 2007 6.2% 5.1% 2008 6.0% 4.9% 2009 5.7% 4.8% Source: Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, 2013 2010 5.7% 4.9% 2011 5.7% 4.6% Nonmedical Use of Prescription Psychotherapeutics, General Population Ages 12+, Indiana and U.S., National Survey on Drug Use & Health (NSDUH) Lifetime Nonmedical Use Indiana U.S. All Psychotherapeutics Past-Year Nonmedical Use Indiana U.S. Past-Month Nonmedical Use Indiana U.S. 20.7% 19.9% 7.6% 5.7% 2.7% 2.4% Pain Relievers 15.0% 13.3% 6.1% 4.3% 2.0% 1.7% Tranquilizers 9.1% 8.4% 2.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.7% Sedatives 3.9% 2.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% Stimulants 8.3% 7.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% Note: U.S. rates are based on 2011 NSDUH results. Indiana rates are estimated based on annual NSDUH averages from 2002-2004; this is the most recent estimate, since these rates are not continuously computed at the state level. Source: Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, 2013 Past-Year Nonmedical Prescription Pain Reliever Use, by Age Group, in Indiana, 2004-2011, NSDUH 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 12 to 17 18 to 25 26 or Older 2004 8.3% 14.4% 3.4% 2005 8.5% 14.2% 3.4% 2006 7.9% 16.0% 3.8% 2007 7.7% 15.5% 4.4% 2008 7.7% 14.2% 4.4% 2009 8.2% 13.9% 4.0% 2010 7.6% 14.8% 3.9% 2011 7.0% 14.4% 4.0% Source: Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, Office of Applied Studies, 2013 Lifetime Prescription Drug Use without a Doctor’s Prescription, 2011, Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YRBS) Indiana Rate 95% CI Gender Male 21.4 (18.3–24.8) Female 21.5 (18.7–24.5) Race/Ethnicity White 21.7 (18.5–25.3) Black 18.4 (13.8–24.1) Hispanic 19.9 (15.5–25.2) Grade 9th 13.8 (11.3–16.7) 10th 23.2 (20.1–26.7) 11th 24.8 (18.6–32.4) 12th 24.7 (19.2–31.1) Total 21.4 (18.3–24.8) Source: CDC, 2011 Youth Risk Behavior Survey. U.S. Rate 95% CI 20.7 (19.2–22.2) 19.8 (17.8–21.9) 22.9 (21.1–24.8) 14.7 (12.3–17.5) 19.4 (16.4–22.6) 16.5 (14.2–19.1) 18.2 (16.1–20.6) 23.3 (20.8–26.1) 25.6 (23.4–28.0) 20.7 (19.2–22.2) Percentage of Indiana College Students Reporting Use of Prescription Drugs in the Past Year, 2012, Indiana College Substance Use Survey Rx not prescribed to Rx prescribed to student student, but misused Gender Male Female Age Group Under 21 Ages 21+ Institution Private Public Total 15.8% 11.1%*** 11.7% 14.1%*** 8.1% 14.4%*** 12.8% 4.9% 2.7%*** 3.1% 4.0%* 1.9% 4.0%*** 3.5% Statistically significant differences between groups: *p < .05, **p < .01, ***p < .001 Source: Indiana Collegiate Action Network, 2012 Controlled Substances, Schedules II-V, Dispensed in Indiana, 2008-2011, INSPECT 2008 Opioids CNS Depressants Stimulants Others Total 5,849,460 (50.3%) 3,558,007 (30.6%) 1,149,939 (9.9%) 1,077,686 (9.3%) 11,635,092 (100.0%) 2009 2010 2011 6,376,664 5,591,679 5,830,367 (50.2%) (49.3%) (45.8%) 3,902,414 3,514,361 3,889,652 (30.7%) (31.0%) (30.5%) 1,353,939 1,309,265 1,419,003 (10.6%) (11.5%) (11.1%) 1,080,914 926,234 1,604,214 (8.5%) (8.2%) (12.6%) 12,713,931 11,341,539 12,743,236 (100.0%) (100.0%) (100.0%) Source: Indiana Professional Licensing Agency, Board of Pharmacy. INSPECT 2008-2011. FORCASTING THE IMPACT OF RX ABUSE ON INDIANA Percentage of Indiana Treatment Episodes with Heroin Use and Nonmedical Opioid Use Reported at Admission (TEDS, 2001-2010) 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% IN Heroin IN Opioids 2001 2.6% 6.0% 2002 2.8% 6.4% 2003 2.6% 7.5% 2004 3.0% 7.9% 2005 3.3% 9.1% 2006 3.2% 10.2% 2007 2.9% 11.3% Source: Substance Abuse and Mental Health Data Archive, 2010 2008 4.1% 13.7% 2009 5.5% 13.6% 2010 6.6% 15.2% Number of Arrests for Possession and Sale/ Manufacture of “Other Drugs” (Barbiturates & Benzedrine) in Indiana, 1999–2010, Uniform Crime Reports (UCR) 4,500 4,000 3,500 Number of Arrests 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Possession Sale 1999 1,617 316 2000 1,255 528 2001 1,493 537 2002 1,621 476 2003 1,688 556 2004 2,191 659 2005 2,620 746 2006 2,643 767 2007 2,720 690 2008 3,511 815 2009 3,994 930 2010 3,426 931 Source: National Archive of Criminal Justice Data, Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research, University of Michigan, 1999-2010 UCR Number of Arrests for Possession and Sale/ Manufacture of Cocaine & Opiates in Indiana, 1999–2010, UCR 6,000 Number of Arrests 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Possession Sale 1999 2,872 2,585 2000 3,185 1,885 2001 3,410 1,803 2002 3,964 1,977 2003 3,856 2,207 2004 4,317 2,464 2005 5,020 2,617 2006 5,608 3,227 2007 3,937 2,668 2008 3,301 2,336 2009 2,617 2,425 2010 2,397 2,028 Source: National Archive of Criminal Justice Data, Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research, University of Michigan, 1999-2010 UCR Percentage of Indiana and U.S. Treatment Episodes with Nonmedical Prescription Drug Use Reported at Admission, 2000–2010, Treatment Episode Data Set (TEDS) 22% 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Indiana U.S. 2000 11.6% 7.7% 2001 10.9% 9.0% 2002 11.6% 9.6% 2003 12.6% 10.0% 2004 12.8% 10.9% 2005 14.5% 11.0% 2006 15.5% 10.8% 2007 16.5% 12.4% 2008 18.9% 14.0% 2009 19.1% 16.2% Source: Substance Abuse and Mental Health Data Archive, 2000-2010 TEDS 2010 20.2% 19.1% Drug Overdose Deaths by Intent, U.S., 1999-2010 Unintentional Suicide Undetermined 35,000 30,000 Number of Deaths 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Year Source: National Vital Statistics System. 1999-2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Number of Drug Overdose Deaths Involving Opioid Pain Relievers and Other Drugs U.S., 1999-2010 18,000 Any opioid analgesic 16,000 Number of deaths 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 Specified drug(s) other than opioid analgesic Only non-specified drug(s) 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: CDC/NCHS, National Vital Statistics System Deaths with a Contributing Cause of Poisoning by Narcotics and Hallucinogens in Indiana, 20082011, Indiana State Department of Health (ISDH) Mortality Data Set Included in T codes for contributing causes 2008 2009 2010 2011 Opium Heroin Other opioids (codeine, morphine) Methadone Other synthetic narcotics Other and unspecified narcotics Cocaine Cannabis (derivatives) Lysergide (LSD) Other & unspecified psychodysleptics (hallucinogens; e.g., Mescaline, Psilocin, Psilocybine) 0 57 112 76 55 51 55 5 0 0 66 158 78 67 21 49 5 0 0 57 145 60 50 20 46 7 0 0 64 183 58 41 50 40 8 0 1 0 0 0 Total 412 444 385 444 Source: Indiana State Department of Health, Epidemiology Resource Center, Data Analysis Team, 2013 CONCLUSIONS • Prescription drug abuse has emerged as a major iatrogenic epidemic both in Indiana and across the United States. • The demand for addiction treatment will increase significantly over the next few years due both to increasing rates of abuse and expanding efforts to identify and screen individuals in need of care. • To slow or reverse these trends, we will need to develop and implement a comprehensive statewide plan that addresses both the demand and supply for prescription drugs.