THE DUKE GLOBAL INTEGRATIVE BUSINESS SIMULATION Cross Continent MBA Program Term VIII 2007 Agenda Objectives Mechanics Advice/suggestions Part I: Objectives Duke Global Integrative Business Simulation A competitive business simulation focused on strategy formulation & implementation A capstone learning experience that integrates learning from the core curriculum requires the design and execution of a strategy demands good decision making under uncertainty Tests your ability to build and maintain an effective team integrate functional decisions to achieve company goals deal effectively with unexpected events Part II: Mechanics Three Worlds Blue World, Red World and Green Each with five/six teams Teams compete within a world Each world has a wing in Thomas Center, each team with an office (a team room) Software will be loaded before you occupy your office Decisions Beginning: Strategy Planning Worksheet Present it to a venture capitalist group Quarter 0: start-up decisions about plant locations and size Quarters 1~4 decisions Shareholder meeting Quarter 5~? decisions Final presentations Multiple Functional Decisions Starting with Q1 Marketing Sales Finance Operations R&D Some decisions about the present, others about the future Logistics Headquarters / External Environment Handouts Deadlines, Late Penalties: $1,000 per minute Give yourself the time to enter the decisions and verify them Each quarter: turn in your memory key + a hard copy; Our version of Sarbanes-Oxley: hard copy must be signed by the CEO Facilitators A group of facilitators help me run the simulation Dedicated team for each world Communications We communicate with you by memos and handouts You cannot talk to any member of any of your competing teams You can talk to instructor and facilitators You can give out Press Releases We also publish Duke Street Journal Part III: Advice and Suggestions Initial Company Position Customers Perceive Companies as Equals $700K Cash AAA Debt Rating Finance R&D All Companies at Same Position Marketing Sales Operations All Companies Face Start-Up Decisions • Plant Location • Production Levels • Plant Capacity Three Experienced Sales Reps Define Your Success Your company is a going concern Imagine that you will leave the company to a group of successors who will continue your work You define your strategic objectives You define the metrics by which you want to measure yourself During the simulation, you should see how you well do against the metrics that you have developed Assessing Your Situation Your situation at a given stage is given by: Your financial statements balance sheet, income statement, cash flow statement Available inventory, production capacity Number and locations of sales offices and salesforce available Product features amount of pre-approved loans available Improvement level, reliability, variable costs Customer satisfaction levels How Do You Succeed? Competitive results are based on the interactions of: Customers’ demand characteristics Competitors’ and company decisions Economics in the environment Unknowns ?? There are many decisions, each involves tradeoffs Strategy Creates Alignment Finance R&D Marketing Sales Operations Understand Your Customers 24 Unique Customers 15 Wholesalers 9 Retailers Needs differ by customer type Demand forecast by customer Understand Multiple Sources of Competitive Advantages Price Product Improvements Reliability Sales Support Delivery Advertising Geographic or Customer Focus Branding Strategy Plant Location Understand Construction, Production and Sales Cycle Quarter 1 onwards: Quarter X Construct Quarter X+1 Produce & Store in Regional Warehouse Quarter X+2 Distribute/Sell Quarter 0: Construction and production together Linkage Across Different Types of R&D Product improvement makes your product more complex Your manufacturing costs may go up You may need to invest in cost reduction Your reject rate may go up You may need to invest in process improvement Different Types of Loans Long-term Debt (Planned) Short-Term Debt (Planned) Must be scheduled Must be Issued Automatically renewed Interest rate 1% higher than short-term debt Must maintain debt/equity ratio below 100% to issue 10-year maturity Interest rate depends on credit rating (prime rate plus risk premium) Bank intervenes if D/E > 100% Solvency Loan Solvency Loan (Emergency) Automatically granted Fee: $10,000 Interest rate about 6% above prime rate Automatically converted to short-term debt next quarter Managing Cash Flow Cash Balance Debt Accounts Receivable Available Cash Operating Expenses Capital Expenditures Interest D/E Ratio is a Ratio D/E can go up in two ways You get more debt OR You lose money and erode your equity Check how much money can you borrow before your D/E becomes too high Check how much loss you can afford before your D/E becomes too high You cannot Estimate the Demand Function Your sales are a function of a large number of variables Your price, advertising, product improvement level, previous history with customers, your sales force, etc. All of these variables for each of your competitors You will NOT have enough data to make a good estimate You may some intuitive feel for how things work but not a precise relationship Suggestions for Success Make your strategy the centerpiece of your thinking If uncertain about a decision Check the case facts from the manual Ask about it There is a person behind every piece of paper Use all your instincts, judgment, and experience React to information/events as you would in your real job Next Steps Make sure everyone is well prepared Draft on Saturday Jan 13 Teams will be announced after the draft Tuesday Jan 16: we will begin with a short lecture in Geneen Everyone will go to Thomas center You will begin by filling out a specific strategy planning worksheet I will also ask you to agree on a decision making process Caution This simulation is a very good learning experience It is not a game but is a simulation The objective is not to do slightly better than the competitors but is to put the company on a sound footing It is a lot of fun BUT It can also be very stressful Maintain the right balance GOOD LUCK!