 Discuss Techniques and Procedures for conducting an operational mission analysis
–
First step of Commander’s Estimate process
– Operational level (includes strategic military and politico-military objectives)

 JP 3-0, Doctrine for Joint Operations, 1 Feb 95
 JP 5-00.2, Procedures for Forming and Operating a
Joint Task Force, 13 Jan 99
 CJCSM 3500.05, JTF Headquarters Master Training
Guide, 15 Apr 97

Crisis Action Planning Process
C
R
I
S
I
S
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
III
Course of
Action
Development
IV
Course of
Action
Selection
V
Execution
Planning
OPORD
VI
Execution
Deployment
Data Base
Warning
Order
Planning
Order
Alert
Order
Execute
Order
AND/OR
I
Mission Analysis/
Restated Mission
II
Course of Action
Development
III
Analysis of Opposing
Courses of Action
IV
Comparison of Own
Courses of Action
Combined
Commander’s Estimate Process
V
Commander’s
Decision

 Common understanding of the problem
 CTF restated mission
 Most probable & most risky courses of action

Commander’s guidance & approval to continue planning

NGO/PVO
Combined Planning Group
Air/Sea
Lift
JIC
Personnel
TPFDD
C2
SPT
IO
INTER-
NATIONAL
ORGs
Legal
Host Nation
Core planning group
Fires
Engineer
SOF
PSYOPS
Civil
Affairs
Component
LNOs
Public
Affairs
Logistics

MISSION
ANALYSIS
MA
BRIEF
COA
CONTINUOUS INFORMATION TO COMPONENTS
DEVELOPMENT
COA
ANALYSIS
DECISION
BRIEF
CDR’S
ESTIMATE
SYNCHRO
PLAN
PREPARE
PLAN
ISSUE
PLAN
W.O.#1 W.O.#2 W.O.#3
CRITICAL ACTIVITIES & DEADLINES
MISSION ANALYSIS BRIEF TO CFC
FIRST W.O.TO COMPONENTS
DECISION BRIEF TO CFC
THIRD W.O. TO COMPONENTS
WRITTEN ORDER DEADLINE
SECOND W.O. TO NATIONS
CDR’S ESTIMATE TO CFC DEADLINE
ORDER PRODUCTION DEADLINE
ORDER DISSEMINATION DEADLINE
NATIONS BRIEFBACK TO CFC
DATE__________

Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & CDR’s Int
Develop Limitations
Determine Centers of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Conduct Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the End State
Mission Analysis
Develop Mission Statement
Mission Analysis Brief

 Tasking(s) from the “HICON” will normally include the following:
–
–
–
–
–
Situation Update
Force Structure
Time Constraints
Deception Plan (If Applicable)
Command Relationships
 Can come in the form of a WARNING ORDER(forces),
ALERT ORDER or PLANNING ORDER,
UN/SECURITY COUNCIL DECISION /RESOLUTION
OR TREATY.

 Contribute to development of CIPB
 Staff sections determine:
– Other known facts
– Current status or condition
 Monitor CPG outputs

Develop Assumptions
 Replaces missing or unknown facts in planning
 May cover
– All the difficulties effecting the Situation
– All the abilities effecting the Situation
– Success of Friendly Supporting Operations
 Must be logical, realistic, and addressed for planning to continue
 Never assume away possible problems, concerns or issues that may adversely effect our required endstate

 National Endstate or Inter/Multi-National Resolution

HICON’S Mission, Intent, and Combined End State
 Define and Analyze the Combined Operations Area
(COA)
 Identify Tasks From Outside the Military
–
Home Nation’s Requirements
– Asian Interests and Concerns
– UN Public Statements
– International Government Positions
– International/Regional Organizations

 Restrictions placed on the CTF
– Constraints: Things the CTF must do
– Restraints: Things the CTF cannot do
 Imposed by higher headquarters
 Implied by conditions, circumstances or other

 Those characteristics, capabilities , or locations from which we will derive our best success.
 Both event requirements(enemy) and international support(friendly) centers of gravity are analyzed
– Used as a tool to help determine strengths and weaknesses
JP 1-02

 Specified -Stated in the CINC’s directive
 Implied -- Not stated, but necessary to do the mission
 Essential -- Of the above, which must be done to achieve success.

 Capabilities required to accomplish tasks?
 What non-traditional/non-military tasks can be performed by military forces?
 What do we already have?
 What is the shortfall?

 What are the risks associated with the mission assigned by the HICON?
 Where is the HICON willing to accept risk?
 Do limitations, assigned tasks or assumptions create risk?


Review higher CTF’S guidance
 Consider basic military principles
 Consider conditions necessary to end event effects(measures of effectiveness)
 Consider conditions for transition to nonmilitary led operations

 Who: CTF
 What: Essential Tasks
 When: When Directed by HICON
 Where: AOR
 Why: Operational End State

Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Determine Centers of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Conduct Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the End State
Develop Mission Statement
Mission Analysis Mission Analysis Brief

Crisis Action Planning Process
C
R
I
S
I
S
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
III
Course of
Action
Development
IV
Course of
Action
Selection
V
Execution
Planning
OPORD
VI
Execution
Deployment
Data Base
Warning
Order
Planning
Order
Alert
Order
Execute
Order
AND/OR
I
Mission Analysis/
Restated Mission
II
Course of Action
Development
III
Analysis of Opposing
Courses of Action
IV
Comparison of Own
Courses of Action
Commander’s Estimate Process
V
Commander’s
Decision

 Common understanding of the problem
 CTF restated mission
 Mission Analysis Briefing

Combined Commander’s guidance & approval to continue planning